Consensus
Summary of current votes

› Number of users favouring homewin: 1     › Number of users favouring over 2.5: 1
› Number of users favouring awaywin: 0     › Number of users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Number of users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw
       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5

Chelsea - Manchester United
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Premiership (England)
2007/2008

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Chelsea) (Trends: 13 Stars: 16)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Manchester United) (Trends: 14 Stars: 22)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 10 Stars: 20)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 5 Stars: 8)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 20 Stars: 40)

› Chelsea home: 11-6-0 33-11
› Chelsea form: 4-2-0 11-6

› Manchester United away: 9-5-3 30-13
› Manchester United form: 4-2-0 14-4


Team Status

› Chelsea: Neutral
Form: 4-2-0 (14 points, 2.33 avg)
Last 30 matches: 20-8-2 (68 points, 2.27 avg)

› Manchester United: Neutral
Form: 4-2-0 (14 points, 2.33 avg)
Last 30 matches: 23-4-3 (73 points, 2.43 avg)


Table
Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Manchester United 18 16 1 1 43 6 49 17 9 5 3 30 13 32 35 25 6 4 73 19 81
2 Chelsea 17 11 6 0 33 11 39 18 12 3 3 27 13 39 35 23 9 3 60 24 78
3 Arsenal 18 13 5 0 36 11 44 17 8 6 3 30 18 30 35 21 11 3 66 29 74
4 Liverpool 18 11 6 1 42 13 39 17 8 6 3 20 13 30 35 19 12 4 62 26 69
5 Everton 17 10 3 4 29 14 33 18 8 4 6 21 15 28 35 18 7 10 50 29 61
6 Aston Villa 18 10 3 5 34 20 33 17 7 6 4 33 24 27 35 17 9 9 67 44 60
7 Portsmouth 17 7 8 2 24 12 29 18 9 1 8 24 24 28 35 16 9 10 48 36 57
8 Manchester City 18 11 4 3 26 17 37 17 4 6 7 16 24 18 35 15 10 10 42 41 55
9 Blackburn 18 7 7 4 23 18 28 17 6 6 5 22 25 24 35 13 13 9 45 43 52
10 West Ham 17 7 5 5 20 20 26 18 6 3 9 17 22 21 35 13 8 14 37 42 47
11 Tottenham 17 8 4 5 45 31 28 18 2 8 8 19 27 14 35 10 12 13 64 58 42
12 Newcastle 18 8 5 5 25 24 29 17 3 4 10 17 34 13 35 11 9 15 42 58 42
13 Wigan 17 8 4 5 21 15 28 18 1 5 12 11 34 8 35 9 9 17 32 49 36
14 Middlesbrough 17 5 5 7 17 22 20 18 3 7 8 14 27 16 35 8 12 15 31 49 36
15 Sunderland 17 8 2 7 19 18 26 18 2 3 13 13 36 9 35 10 5 20 32 54 35
16 Bolton 18 6 5 7 21 18 23 17 2 3 12 11 34 9 35 8 8 19 32 52 32
17 Reading 18 8 2 8 19 24 26 17 1 3 13 18 41 6 35 9 5 21 37 65 32
18 Birmingham 17 5 7 5 24 20 22 18 2 3 13 16 37 9 35 7 10 18 40 57 31
19 Fulham 18 4 5 9 20 31 17 17 1 7 9 12 27 10 35 5 12 18 32 58 27
20 Derby 17 1 5 11 10 33 8 18 0 3 15 7 43 3 35 1 8 26 17 76 11

Simulator

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 37% (value odds 2.69)

› Awaywin: 37% (value odds 2.73)

› Draw: 26% (value odds 3.81)

› Over: 39% (value odds 2.57)

› Under: 61% (value odds 1.64)


Expected Score

› Chelsea: 1.30

› Manchester United: 1.44

› Total: 2.74


› Over: 55%

› Under: 45%


Trends
Trends favouring homewin (Chelsea) (Trends: 13 Stars: 16)
› Chelsea playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [won 21/ 33] [63.64%] [1*]
› Chelsea playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [won 10/ 16] [62.50%] [1*]
› Chelsea playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [won 72/ 107] [67.29%] [1*]
› Chelsea playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [won 39/ 53] [73.58%] [2*]
› Chelsea playing in weekend the current season. [won 18/ 27] [66.67%] [1*]
› Chelsea playing in weekend at home the current season. [won 9/ 13] [69.23%] [1*]
› Chelsea playing in April the last 3 seasons. [won 8/ 12] [66.67%] [1*]
› Chelsea playing in April at home the last 3 seasons. [won 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Chelsea playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. [won 61/ 87] [70.11%] [2*]
› Chelsea playing in weekend at home the last 3 seasons. [won 34/ 44] [77.27%] [2*]
› Chelsea playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [won 8/ 13] [61.54%] [1*]
› Chelsea playing against offensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [won 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Chelsea after drawing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [won 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Manchester United) (Trends: 14 Stars: 22)
› Manchester United playing against good teams the current season. [won 10/ 15] [66.67%] [1*]
› Manchester United playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. [won 29/ 44] [65.91%] [1*]
› Manchester United playing against defensively good teams the current season. [won 7/ 9] [77.78%] [2*]
› Manchester United playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [won 19/ 28] [67.86%] [1*]
› Manchester United playing against offensively good teams the current season. [won 9/ 11] [81.82%] [3*]
› Manchester United playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [won 16/ 24] [66.67%] [1*]
› Manchester United playing against teams with good form the last 6 matches the current season. [won 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Manchester United playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [won 23/ 33] [69.70%] [1*]
› Manchester United playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [won 75/ 106] [70.75%] [2*]
› Manchester United playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [won 32/ 52] [61.54%] [1*]
› Manchester United playing in weekend the current season. [won 20/ 29] [68.97%] [1*]
› Manchester United playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. [won 63/ 89] [70.79%] [2*]
› Manchester United playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. [won 30/ 45] [66.67%] [1*]
› Manchester United playing 2 awaymatches in a row the last 3 seasons. [won 9/ 12] [75.00%] [2*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 10 Stars: 20)
› Chelsea playing against good teams the current season. [draw 6/ 15] [40.00%] [2*]
› Chelsea playing against good awayteams the current season. [draw 4/ 6] [66.67%] [3*]
› Chelsea playing against good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 11] [54.55%] [3*]
› Chelsea playing against defensively good teams the current season. [draw 4/ 9] [44.44%] [2*]
› Chelsea playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 11/ 29] [37.93%] [1*]
› Chelsea playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 13] [38.46%] [1*]
› Chelsea playing against offensively good teams the current season. [draw 5/ 11] [45.45%] [3*]
› Chelsea playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 9/ 25] [36.00%] [1*]
› Chelsea playing against teams with good form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 3/ 6] [50.00%] [3*]
› Chelsea playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 6/ 16] [37.50%] [1*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 5 Stars: 8)
› Chelsea playing in April at home the last 3 seasons. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Manchester United playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 33/ 52] [63.46%] [1*]
› Manchester United playing in April at away the last 3 seasons. [over 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Manchester United playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. [over 27/ 45] [60.00%] [1*]
› Manchester United playing 2 awaymatches in a row the last 3 seasons. [over 9/ 12] [75.00%] [2*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 20 Stars: 40)
› Chelsea playing against good teams the current season. [under 12/ 15] [80.00%] [3*]
› Chelsea playing against good awayteams the current season. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Chelsea playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. [under 30/ 45] [66.67%] [1*]
› Chelsea playing against good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 8/ 11] [72.73%] [2*]
› Chelsea playing against defensively good teams the current season. [under 8/ 9] [88.89%] [3*]
› Chelsea playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [under 23/ 29] [79.31%] [2*]
› Chelsea playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 10/ 13] [76.92%] [2*]
› Chelsea playing against offensively good teams the current season. [under 8/ 11] [72.73%] [2*]
› Chelsea playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [under 19/ 25] [76.00%] [2*]
› Chelsea playing against teams with good form the last 6 matches the current season. [under 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Chelsea playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 24/ 33] [72.73%] [2*]
› Chelsea playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [under 11/ 16] [68.75%] [1*]
› Chelsea playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 68/ 107] [63.55%] [1*]
› Chelsea playing in weekend the current season. [under 22/ 27] [81.48%] [3*]
› Chelsea playing in weekend at home the current season. [under 9/ 13] [69.23%] [1*]
› Chelsea playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. [under 59/ 87] [67.82%] [1*]
› Chelsea after playing under 4 or more matches in a row the current season. [under 8/ 8] [100.00%] [4*]
› Chelsea after playing under 4 or more matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [under 9/ 9] [100.00%] [4*]
› Manchester United playing in weekend at away the current season. [under 9/ 15] [60.00%] [1*]
› Manchester United playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [under 15/ 24] [62.50%] [1*]

ELO Ratings

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Chelsea
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1580.0
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1592.1
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1615.2

› Current ELO Rating: 1612.4

Manchester United
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1594.6
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1611.4
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1624.0

› Current ELO Rating: 1624.0


Power Ratings

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Chelsea
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.53
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.78
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.88

› Current Power Rating: 10.90

Manchester United
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.90
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 11.15
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 11.33

› Current Power Rating: 11.35


Systems

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.41 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: 4 (indicates homewin)

› Weighted Form System: 12 (indicates homewin)

› Goal Superiority System: -2 (indicates draw)

› Scoring Ability System: -2 (indicates draw)

› Percentage Win System: 41% (homewin) 32% (draw) 26% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.33 (indicates awaywin)


Stats for hometeam (Chelsea)

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 35 23-9-3 60-24 78
› At home: 17 11-6-0 33-11 39

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 10-25
› At home: 6-11

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.71 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.94 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 0.69 goals per match
› At home: allowing 0.65 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DWWWDW 4-2-0
› Home: WDWWWD 4-2-0

ELO Rating: 1612.4

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Apr 17 2008 away Everton 1-0 won under
Apr 14 2008 home Wigan 1-1 draw under
Apr 05 2008 away Manchester City 2-0 won under
Mar 30 2008 home Middlesbrough 1-0 won under
Mar 23 2008 home Arsenal 2-1 won over
Mar 19 2008 away Tottenham 4-4 draw over
Mar 15 2008 away Sunderland 1-0 won under
Mar 12 2008 home Derby 6-1 won over
Mar 01 2008 away West Ham 4-0 won over
Feb 10 2008 home Liverpool 0-0 draw under

Summary: 7-3-0 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.90 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 22-7

Last 10 Matches At Home: