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Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw
       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

Winterthur - Brühl (2 - 1):

Challenge League (Switzerland)
2011/2012

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Winterthur) (Trends: 9 Stars: 26)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Brühl) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 2 Stars: 3)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 16 Stars: 35)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Winterthur home: 0-3-5 4-11
› Winterthur form: 3-3-0 9-1
› Home form: 0-3-3 3-8

› Brühl away: 0-1-6 5-21
› Brühl form: 1-0-5 5-17
› Away form: 0-1-5 4-18

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Winterthur: Uptrend
Form: 3-3-0 (12 points, 2.00 avg)
Last 30 matches: 8-9-13 (33 points, 1.10 avg)

› Brühl: Uptrend
Form: 1-0-5 (3 points, 0.50 avg)
Last 30 matches: 1-2-12 (5 points, 0.33 avg)

Home/Away

› Winterthur: Neutral
Home form: 0-3-3 (3 points, 0.50 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 1-6-8 (9 points, 0.60 avg)

› Brühl: Neutral
Away form: 0-1-5 (1 points, 0.17 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 0-1-6 (1 points, 0.14 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 St Gallen 7 5 1 1 19 8 16 8 6 2 0 18 7 20 15 11 3 1 37 15 36
2 Bellinzona 8 4 0 4 11 8 12 7 5 0 2 13 6 15 15 9 0 6 24 14 27
3 Aarau 8 5 1 2 14 10 16 7 3 2 2 11 10 11 15 8 3 4 25 20 27
4 Chiasso 7 5 1 1 11 3 16 8 2 4 2 7 7 10 15 7 5 3 18 10 26
5 Lugano 7 5 0 2 14 9 15 8 2 3 3 9 12 9 15 7 3 5 23 21 24
6 Wil 1900 8 3 3 2 14 11 12 7 3 2 2 13 11 11 15 6 5 4 27 22 23
7 Biel Bienne 7 2 2 3 11 12 8 8 5 0 3 21 18 15 15 7 2 6 32 30 23
8 Vaduz 7 4 2 1 18 10 14 8 2 0 6 13 20 6 15 6 2 7 31 30 20
9 Locarno 8 3 3 2 12 12 12 7 2 2 3 7 14 8 15 5 5 5 19 26 20
10 Winterthur 8 0 3 5 4 11 3 7 5 1 1 15 5 16 15 5 4 6 19 16 19
11 Nyonnais 8 3 2 3 11 10 11 7 2 2 3 12 13 8 15 5 4 6 23 23 19
12 Wohlen 7 1 3 3 10 10 6 8 3 2 3 10 12 11 15 4 5 6 20 22 17
13 Carouge 8 3 0 5 11 18 9 7 2 2 3 6 11 8 15 5 2 8 17 29 17
14 Delemont 7 3 2 2 11 6 11 8 1 2 5 5 15 5 15 4 4 7 16 21 16
15 Kriens 7 3 2 2 18 11 11 8 1 1 6 8 17 4 15 4 3 8 26 28 15
16 Brühl 8 1 1 6 10 24 4 7 0 1 6 5 21 1 15 1 2 12 15 45 5

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 67% (value odds 1.50)

› Awaywin: 7% (value odds 15.37)

› Draw: 27% (value odds 3.73)

› Over: 74% (value odds 1.34)

› Under: 26% (value odds 3.92)

Expected Score:

› Winterthur: 1.96

› Brühl: 0.77

› Total: 2.73


› Over: 55%

› Under: 45%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Winterthur) (Trends: 9 Stars: 26)

› Winterthur playing against defensively poor teams the current season. [won 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Brühl playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [lost 12/ 15] [80.00%] [3*]
› Brühl playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [lost 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Brühl playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [lost 12/ 15] [80.00%] [3*]
› Brühl playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [lost 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Brühl playing in weekend the current season. [lost 12/ 15] [80.00%] [3*]
› Brühl playing in weekend at away the current season. [lost 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Brühl playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. [lost 12/ 15] [80.00%] [3*]
› Brühl playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. [lost 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Brühl) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Winterthur playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [lost 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 2 Stars: 3)

› Winterthur playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 3/ 8] [37.50%] [1*]
› Winterthur playing in weekend at home the current season. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 16 Stars: 35)

› Winterthur playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [over 19/ 25] [76.00%] [2*]
› Winterthur playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [over 25/ 35] [71.43%] [2*]
› Winterthur playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [over 11/ 16] [68.75%] [1*]
› Winterthur playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [over 10/ 13] [76.92%] [2*]
› Winterthur playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 50/ 73] [68.49%] [1*]
› Winterthur playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 25/ 37] [67.57%] [1*]
› Winterthur playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. [over 36/ 55] [65.45%] [1*]
› Winterthur playing in weekend at home the last 3 seasons. [over 19/ 29] [65.52%] [1*]
› Brühl playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [over 13/ 15] [86.67%] [3*]
› Brühl playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [over 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Brühl playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 13/ 15] [86.67%] [3*]
› Brühl playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Brühl playing in weekend the current season. [over 13/ 15] [86.67%] [3*]
› Brühl playing in weekend at away the current season. [over 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Brühl playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. [over 13/ 15] [86.67%] [3*]
› Brühl playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. [over 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Winterthur playing in weekend the current season. [under 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Winterthur
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1481.3
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1411.1
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1452.0

› Current ELO Rating: 1459.4

Brühl
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1407.3
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1334.5
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1267.4

› Current ELO Rating: 1251.3

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Winterthur 1480.8 1480.6 1459.2 1481.4 1460.5 1481.3 1460.8 1439.8 1419.6 1411.1 1434.6 1457.0 1452.0 1446.5 1459.4
Brühl 1485.0 1480.4 1461.2 1444.1 1422.6 1407.3 1382.6 1377.7 1355.9 1334.5 1312.4 1292.6 1267.4 1246.9 1251.3

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Winterthur
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.03
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.88
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.05

› Current Power Rating: 10.08

Brühl
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.62
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.52
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.30

› Current Power Rating: 9.25

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Winterthur 9.97 9.97 9.95 10.00 9.97 10.03 10.00 9.93 9.88 9.88 10.00 10.05 10.05 10.05 10.08
Brühl 9.95 9.95 9.92 9.85 9.78 9.62 9.57 9.57 9.55 9.52 9.40 9.37 9.30 9.22 9.25

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.23 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: -6 (indicates awaywin)

› Weighted Form System: -12 (indicates awaywin)

› Goal Superiority System: 25 (indicates homewin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 20 (indicates homewin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 2 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 4 (indicates homewin) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 43% (homewin) 26% (draw) 31% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: -2.67 (indicates homewin)

Stats for hometeam (Winterthur):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 15 5-4-6 19-16 19
› At home: 8 0-3-5 4-11 3

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 7-8
› At home: 4-4

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.27 goals per match
› At home: scoring 0.50 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.07 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.38 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DWWDDW 3-3-0
› Home: LLLDDD 0-3-3

ELO Rating: 1459.4

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Dec 05 2011 away Biel Bienne 2-1 won over
Nov 20 2011 home Delemont 0-0 draw under
Nov 13 2011 home Locarno 0-0 draw under
Nov 05 2011 away Nyonnais 2-0 won under
Oct 29 2011 away Brühl 5-0 won over
Oct 23 2011 home Chiasso 0-0 draw under
Oct 03 2011 away Bellinzona 0-2 lost under
Sep 24 2011 home Wil 1900 1-4 lost over
Sep 10 2011 home Lugano 1-2 lost over
Aug 27 2011 away Carouge 2-0 won under

Summary: 4-3-3 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.20 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 13-9

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Nov 20 2011 home Delemont 0-0 draw under
Nov 13 2011 home Locarno 0-0 draw under
Oct 23 2011 home Chiasso 0-0 draw under
Sep 24 2011 home Wil 1900 1-4 lost over
Sep 10 2011 home Lugano 1-2 lost over
Aug 22 2011 home Wohlen 1-2 lost over
Aug 06 2011 home St Gallen 0-1 lost under
Jul 23 2011 home Aarau 1-2 lost over
May 21 2011 home Biel Bienne 1-0 won under
May 11 2011 home Vaduz 1-1 draw under

Summary: 1-4-5 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 1.80 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 6-12

Stats for awayteam (Brühl):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 15 1-2-12 15-45 5
› At away: 7 0-1-6 5-21 1

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 13-2
› At away: 6-1

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.00 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.71 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 3.00 goals per match
› At away: allowing 3.00 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LLLLLW 1-0-5
› Away: LLDLLL 0-1-5

ELO Rating: 1251.3

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Dec 10 2011 home Wohlen 3-2 won over
Dec 04 2011 away Delemont 0-3 lost over
Nov 19 2011 home Biel Bienne 1-4 lost over
Nov 06 2011 away Locarno 1-2 lost over
Oct 29 2011 home Winterthur 0-5 lost over
Oct 23 2011 away Aarau 0-1 lost under
Oct 01 2011 home Vaduz 2-3 lost over
Sep 24 2011 away Nyonnais 2-2 draw over
Sep 10 2011 home St Gallen 1-3 lost over
Aug 27 2011 away Kriens 1-7 lost over

Summary: 1-1-8 O-U: 9-1 Avg. score: 4.30 Median score: 5.00 Goals: 11-32

Last 10 Matches Away:

Dec 04 2011 away Delemont 0-3 lost over
Nov 06 2011 away Locarno 1-2 lost over
Oct 23 2011 away Aarau 0-1 lost under
Sep 24 2011 away Nyonnais 2-2 draw over
Aug 27 2011 away Kriens 1-7 lost over
Aug 14 2011 away Chiasso 0-3 lost over
Jul 22 2011 away Lugano 1-3 lost over
-

Summary: 0-1-6 O-U: 6-1 Avg. score: 3.71 Median score: 0.00 Goals: 5-21

History:

Overall History

Oct 29 2011 Brühl - Winterthur 0-5 awaywin over

Summary (overall): 0-0-1 O-U: 1-0 Avg. score: 5.00 Median score: 5.00

Summary (3 years): 0-0-1 O-U: 1-0 Avg. score: 5.00 Median score: 5.00

Trend: Winterthur is 1-0-0

Trend 3 years: Winterthur is 1-0-0

Home - Away History

No previous history registered for these teams.