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Lugano - Nyonnais (2 - 1):
2011/2012
Vital Stats and Trends Summary:
› Trends favouring homewin (Lugano) (Trends: 11 Stars: 15)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Nyonnais) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 34 Stars: 54)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Lugano home:
5-0-2
14-9
› Lugano form:
3-1-2
6-7
› Home form:
4-0-2
11-8
› Nyonnais away:
2-2-3
12-13
› Nyonnais form:
2-1-3
8-9
› Away form:
2-2-2
11-11
Team Status:
We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.
Overall
› Lugano: Neutral
Form: 3-1-2
(10 points, 1.67 avg)
Last 30 matches: 16-4-10
(52 points, 1.73 avg)
› Nyonnais: Downtrend
Form: 2-1-3
(7 points, 1.17 avg)
Last 30 matches: 14-8-8
(50 points, 1.67 avg)
Home/Away
› Lugano: Neutral
Home form: 4-0-2
(12 points, 2.00 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 9-1-5
(28 points, 1.87 avg)
› Nyonnais: Neutral
Away form: 2-2-2
(8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 7-5-3
(26 points, 1.73 avg)
Table:
| Home | Away | All | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | Goals | Matches | Goals | Matches | Goals | |||||||||||||||||
| All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | ||
| 1 | St Gallen | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Bellinzona | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Aarau | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 27 |
| 4 | Chiasso | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 26 |
| 5 | Lugano | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 24 |
| 6 | Wil 1900 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 22 | 23 |
| 7 | Biel Bienne | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 30 | 23 |
| 8 | Vaduz | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 20 |
| 9 | Locarno | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 26 | 20 |
| 10 | Winterthur | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 16 | 19 |
| 11 | Nyonnais | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 19 |
| 12 | Wohlen | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 17 |
| 13 | Carouge | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 29 | 17 |
| 14 | Delemont | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 16 |
| 15 | Kriens | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 28 | 15 |
| 16 | Brühl | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 5 |
Simulator:
The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.
› Homewin: 64% (value odds 1.57)
› Awaywin: 26% (value odds 3.83)
› Draw: 10% (value odds 9.85)
› Over: 79% (value odds 1.27)
› Under: 21% (value odds 4.75)
Expected Score:
› Lugano: 1.59
› Nyonnais: 1.38
› Total: 2.96
› Over: 59%
› Under: 41%
Team Trends:
When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.
Trends favouring homewin (Lugano) (Trends: 11 Stars: 15)
| › Lugano playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. | [won | 5/ | 7] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Lugano playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [won | 23/ | 36] | [63.89%] | [1*] |
| › Lugano playing against average awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [won | 11/ | 16] | [68.75%] | [1*] |
| › Lugano playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. | [won | 27/ | 39] | [69.23%] | [1*] |
| › Lugano playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [won | 16/ | 20] | [80.00%] | [3*] |
| › Lugano playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. | [won | 31/ | 51] | [60.78%] | [1*] |
| › Lugano playing in weekend at home the last 3 seasons. | [won | 15/ | 25] | [60.00%] | [1*] |
| › Lugano playing 2 homematches in a row the last 3 seasons. | [won | 7/ | 9] | [77.78%] | [2*] |
| › Nyonnais playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 18/ | 29] | [62.07%] | [1*] |
| › Nyonnais playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 9/ | 15] | [60.00%] | [1*] |
| › Nyonnais playing against offensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 12/ | 19] | [63.16%] | [1*] |
Trends favouring awaywin (Nyonnais) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
Trends favouring draw (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
| › Nyonnais playing against defensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 6/ | 17] | [35.29%] | [1*] |
Trends favouring over (Trends: 34 Stars: 54)
| › Lugano playing against defensively poor teams the current season. | [over | 5/ | 7] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Lugano playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 28/ | 39] | [71.79%] | [2*] |
| › Lugano playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 15/ | 20] | [75.00%] | [2*] |
| › Lugano playing against offensively good teams the current season. | [over | 5/ | 8] | [62.50%] | [1*] |
| › Lugano playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 27/ | 42] | [64.29%] | [1*] |
| › Lugano playing against offensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 15/ | 20] | [75.00%] | [2*] |
| › Lugano playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. | [over | 6/ | 9] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Lugano playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. | [over | 9/ | 15] | [60.00%] | [1*] |
| › Lugano playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. | [over | 5/ | 7] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Lugano playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [over | 47/ | 73] | [64.38%] | [1*] |
| › Lugano playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [over | 25/ | 36] | [69.44%] | [1*] |
| › Lugano playing in weekend the current season. | [over | 8/ | 12] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Lugano playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. | [over | 33/ | 51] | [64.71%] | [1*] |
| › Lugano playing in weekend at home the last 3 seasons. | [over | 19/ | 25] | [76.00%] | [2*] |
| › Lugano playing against average awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 11/ | 16] | [68.75%] | [1*] |
| › Lugano playing 2 homematches in a row the last 3 seasons. | [over | 8/ | 9] | [88.89%] | [3*] |
| › Lugano after scoring 2 or more in their last 2 homematches the last 3 seasons. | [over | 5/ | 6] | [83.33%] | [3*] |
| › Nyonnais playing against good teams the current season. | [over | 5/ | 7] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Nyonnais playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 21/ | 29] | [72.41%] | [2*] |
| › Nyonnais playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 12/ | 15] | [80.00%] | [3*] |
| › Nyonnais playing against offensively good teams the current season. | [over | 7/ | 8] | [87.50%] | [3*] |
| › Nyonnais playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 29/ | 44] | [65.91%] | [1*] |
| › Nyonnais playing against offensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 16/ | 19] | [84.21%] | [3*] |
| › Nyonnais playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. | [over | 9/ | 15] | [60.00%] | [1*] |
| › Nyonnais playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. | [over | 5/ | 7] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Nyonnais playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [over | 46/ | 73] | [63.01%] | [1*] |
| › Nyonnais playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [over | 25/ | 36] | [69.44%] | [1*] |
| › Nyonnais playing in weekend the current season. | [over | 9/ | 15] | [60.00%] | [1*] |
| › Nyonnais playing in weekend at away the current season. | [over | 5/ | 7] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Nyonnais playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. | [over | 42/ | 68] | [61.76%] | [1*] |
| › Nyonnais playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. | [over | 23/ | 33] | [69.70%] | [1*] |
| › Nyonnais playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 19/ | 31] | [61.29%] | [1*] |
| › Nyonnais playing against defensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 11/ | 17] | [64.71%] | [1*] |
| › Nyonnais playing 2 awaymatches in a row the last 3 seasons. | [over | 5/ | 8] | [62.50%] | [1*] |
Trends favouring under (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
ELO Ratings:
The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.
Lugano
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1512.8
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1481.1
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1471.1
› Current ELO Rating: 1501.7
Nyonnais
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1504.1
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1453.5
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1430.7
› Current ELO Rating: 1434.4
| Match | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugano | 1516.2 | 1514.9 | 1530.4 | 1514.6 | 1529.3 | 1512.8 | 1526.5 | 1505.8 | 1501.9 | 1481.1 | 1463.4 | 1460.8 | 1471.1 | 1486.1 | 1501.7 |
| Nyonnais | 1495.8 | 1480.0 | 1494.9 | 1475.0 | 1494.7 | 1504.1 | 1501.4 | 1493.0 | 1476.3 | 1453.5 | 1433.8 | 1414.6 | 1430.7 | 1440.9 | 1434.4 |
Power Ratings:
A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.
Lugano
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.10
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.00
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.98
› Current Power Rating: 10.05
Nyonnais
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.05
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.00
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.97
› Current Power Rating: 10.00
| Match | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugano | 10.05 | 10.05 | 10.10 | 10.08 | 10.13 | 10.10 | 10.13 | 10.08 | 10.08 | 10.00 | 9.93 | 9.93 | 9.98 | 10.00 | 10.05 |
| Nyonnais | 10.00 | 9.97 | 10.00 | 9.97 | 10.03 | 10.05 | 10.05 | 10.05 | 10.03 | 10.00 | 9.95 | 9.90 | 9.97 | 10.00 | 10.00 |
Systems:
Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.
› Point Ratio System: 1.00 (indicates draw)› Game Form System: 2 (indicates draw)
› Weighted Form System: 9 (indicates homewin)
› Goal Superiority System: -2 (indicates draw) (last 10)
› Goal Superiority System: 0 (indicates draw) (last 6)
› Scoring Ability System: -2 (indicates draw) (last 10)
› Scoring Ability System: -2 (indicates draw) (last 6)
› Percentage Win System: 57% (homewin) 14% (draw) 29% (awaywin)
› Defensor System: -0.33 (indicates homewin)
Stats for hometeam (Lugano):
Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 15 7-3-5 23-21 24
› At home: 7 5-0-2 14-9 15
Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 9-6
› At home: 5-2
Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.53 goals per match
› At home: scoring 2.00 goals per match
Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.40 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.29 goals per match
Form:
› Overall:
LLDWWW
3-1-2
› Home:
WWLLWW
4-0-2
ELO Rating: 1501.7
Last 10 Matches Overall:
| Dec 11 2011 | home | Vaduz | 2-0 | won | under |
| Dec 04 2011 | away | Wohlen | 1-0 | won | under |
| Nov 30 2011 | home | Bellinzona | 2-0 | won | under |
| Nov 20 2011 | away | Chiasso | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Oct 29 2011 | away | Carouge | 0-3 | lost | over |
| Oct 23 2011 | home | Wil 1900 | 0-3 | lost | over |
| Oct 01 2011 | away | Kriens | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Sep 25 2011 | home | Biel Bienne | 1-3 | lost | over |
| Sep 10 2011 | away | Winterthur | 2-1 | won | over |
| Aug 27 2011 | away | Nyonnais | 2-3 | lost | over |
Summary: 4-2-4 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 2.90 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 13-16
Last 10 Matches At Home:
| Dec 11 2011 | home | Vaduz | 2-0 | won | under |
| Nov 30 2011 | home | Bellinzona | 2-0 | won | under |
| Oct 23 2011 | home | Wil 1900 | 0-3 | lost | over |
| Sep 25 2011 | home | Biel Bienne | 1-3 | lost | over |
| Aug 21 2011 | home | Delemont | 3-1 | won | over |
| Aug 08 2011 | home | Aarau | 3-1 | won | over |
| Jul 22 2011 | home | Brühl | 3-1 | won | over |
| May 21 2011 | home | Wohlen | 1-1 | draw | under |
| May 11 2011 | home | Servette | 0-6 | lost | over |
| May 02 2011 | home | Winterthur | 2-3 | lost | over |
Summary: 5-1-4 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 3.60 Median score: 4.00 Goals: 17-19
Stats for awayteam (Nyonnais):
Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 15 5-4-6 23-23 19
› At away: 7 2-2-3 12-13 8
Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 9-6
› At away: 5-2
Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.53 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.71 goals per match
Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.53 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.86 goals per match
Form:
› Overall:
LLLWWD
2-1-3
› Away:
WWDLLD
2-2-2
ELO Rating: 1434.4
Last 10 Matches Overall:
| Dec 03 2011 | away | St Gallen | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Nov 27 2011 | home | Delemont | 1-0 | won | under |
| Nov 20 2011 | home | Kriens | 3-0 | won | over |
| Nov 05 2011 | home | Winterthur | 0-2 | lost | under |
| Oct 29 2011 | away | Wil 1900 | 1-3 | lost | over |
| Oct 22 2011 | home | Bellinzona | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Oct 01 2011 | away | Chiasso | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Sep 24 2011 | home | Brühl | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Sep 10 2011 | away | Locarno | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Aug 27 2011 | home | Lugano | 3-2 | won | over |
Summary: 3-3-4 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 3.10 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 15-16
Last 10 Matches Away:
| Dec 03 2011 | away | St Gallen | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Oct 29 2011 | away | Wil 1900 | 1-3 | lost | over |
| Oct 01 2011 | away | Chiasso | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Sep 10 2011 | away | Locarno | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Aug 20 2011 | away | Biel Bienne | 2-0 | won | under |
| Aug 07 2011 | away | Vaduz | 4-3 | won | over |
| Jul 30 2011 | away | Aarau | 1-2 | lost | over |
| May 21 2011 | away | Schaffhausen | 3-2 | won | over |
| May 07 2011 | away | Wil 1900 | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Apr 22 2011 | away | Lugano | 2-1 | won | over |
Summary: 4-3-3 O-U: 8-2 Avg. score: 3.70 Median score: 4.00 Goals: 19-18
History:
Overall History
| Nov 08 2008 | Nyonnais - Lugano | 0-2 | awaywin | under |
| May 02 2009 | Lugano - Nyonnais | 4-0 | homewin | over |
| Oct 02 2009 | Nyonnais - Lugano | 1-3 | awaywin | over |
| Mar 07 2010 | Lugano - Nyonnais | 2-1 | homewin | over |
| Nov 14 2010 | Nyonnais - Lugano | 0-1 | awaywin | under |
| Apr 22 2011 | Lugano - Nyonnais | 1-2 | awaywin | over |
| Aug 27 2011 | Nyonnais - Lugano | 3-2 | homewin | over |
Summary (overall): 3-0-4 O-U: 5-2 Avg. score: 3.14 Median score: 3.00
Summary (3 years): 3-0-3 O-U: 5-1 Avg. score: 3.33 Median score: 3.50
Trend: Lugano is 5-0-2
Trend 3 years: Lugano is 4-0-2
Home - Away History
| May 02 2009 | Lugano - Nyonnais | 4-0 | homewin | over |
| Mar 07 2010 | Lugano - Nyonnais | 2-1 | homewin | over |
| Apr 22 2011 | Lugano - Nyonnais | 1-2 | awaywin | over |
Summary (overall): 2-0-1 O-U: 3-0 Avg. score: 3.33 Median score: 3.00
Summary (3 years): 2-0-1 O-U: 3-0 Avg. score: 3.33 Median score: 3.00
Trend: Lugano is 2-0-1
Trend 3 years: Lugano is 2-0-1