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Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw
       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

Locarno - Chiasso (1 - 1):

Challenge League (Switzerland)
2011/2012

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Locarno) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Chiasso) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 11 Stars: 19)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 19 Stars: 26)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 6 Stars: 7)

› Locarno home: 3-3-2 12-12
› Locarno form: 3-2-1 7-6
› Home form: 3-2-1 11-8

› Chiasso away: 2-4-2 7-7
› Chiasso form: 2-2-2 4-4
› Away form: 2-2-2 5-5

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Locarno: Uptrend
Form: 3-2-1 (11 points, 1.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 11-8-11 (41 points, 1.37 avg)

› Chiasso: Neutral
Form: 2-2-2 (8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 30 matches: 10-8-12 (38 points, 1.27 avg)

Home/Away

› Locarno: Neutral
Home form: 3-2-1 (11 points, 1.83 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 7-5-3 (26 points, 1.73 avg)

› Chiasso: Uptrend
Away form: 2-2-2 (8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 3-6-6 (15 points, 1.00 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 St Gallen 7 5 1 1 19 8 16 8 6 2 0 18 7 20 15 11 3 1 37 15 36
2 Bellinzona 8 4 0 4 11 8 12 7 5 0 2 13 6 15 15 9 0 6 24 14 27
3 Aarau 8 5 1 2 14 10 16 7 3 2 2 11 10 11 15 8 3 4 25 20 27
4 Chiasso 7 5 1 1 11 3 16 8 2 4 2 7 7 10 15 7 5 3 18 10 26
5 Lugano 7 5 0 2 14 9 15 8 2 3 3 9 12 9 15 7 3 5 23 21 24
6 Wil 1900 8 3 3 2 14 11 12 7 3 2 2 13 11 11 15 6 5 4 27 22 23
7 Biel Bienne 7 2 2 3 11 12 8 8 5 0 3 21 18 15 15 7 2 6 32 30 23
8 Vaduz 7 4 2 1 18 10 14 8 2 0 6 13 20 6 15 6 2 7 31 30 20
9 Locarno 8 3 3 2 12 12 12 7 2 2 3 7 14 8 15 5 5 5 19 26 20
10 Winterthur 8 0 3 5 4 11 3 7 5 1 1 15 5 16 15 5 4 6 19 16 19
11 Nyonnais 8 3 2 3 11 10 11 7 2 2 3 12 13 8 15 5 4 6 23 23 19
12 Wohlen 7 1 3 3 10 10 6 8 3 2 3 10 12 11 15 4 5 6 20 22 17
13 Carouge 8 3 0 5 11 18 9 7 2 2 3 6 11 8 15 5 2 8 17 29 17
14 Delemont 7 3 2 2 11 6 11 8 1 2 5 5 15 5 15 4 4 7 16 21 16
15 Kriens 7 3 2 2 18 11 11 8 1 1 6 8 17 4 15 4 3 8 26 28 15
16 Brühl 8 1 1 6 10 24 4 7 0 1 6 5 21 1 15 1 2 12 15 45 5

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 35% (value odds 2.83)

› Awaywin: 32% (value odds 3.16)

› Draw: 33% (value odds 3.03)

› Over: 53% (value odds 1.88)

› Under: 47% (value odds 2.14)

Expected Score:

› Locarno: 1.05

› Chiasso: 1.01

› Total: 2.06


› Over: 41%

› Under: 59%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Locarno) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Locarno playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [won 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Chiasso) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Locarno playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [lost 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 11 Stars: 19)

› Locarno playing against good teams the current season. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Locarno playing against average awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 18] [38.89%] [1*]
› Locarno playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 3/ 8] [37.50%] [1*]
› Locarno playing in weekend the current season. [draw 5/ 14] [35.71%] [1*]
› Locarno playing in weekend at home the current season. [draw 3/ 8] [37.50%] [1*]
› Locarno playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 17] [41.18%] [2*]
› Chiasso playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 4/ 8] [50.00%] [3*]
› Chiasso playing in weekend the current season. [draw 5/ 14] [35.71%] [1*]
› Chiasso playing in weekend at away the current season. [draw 4/ 7] [57.14%] [3*]
› Chiasso playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 8/ 21] [38.10%] [1*]
› Chiasso playing against offensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 11] [45.45%] [3*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 19 Stars: 26)

› Locarno playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [over 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]
› Locarno playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [over 10/ 15] [66.67%] [1*]
› Locarno playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [over 6/ 8] [75.00%] [2*]
› Locarno playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 46/ 73] [63.01%] [1*]
› Locarno playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 23/ 37] [62.16%] [1*]
› Locarno playing in weekend the current season. [over 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Locarno playing in weekend at home the current season. [over 6/ 8] [75.00%] [2*]
› Locarno playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. [over 41/ 64] [64.06%] [1*]
› Locarno playing in weekend at home the last 3 seasons. [over 24/ 36] [66.67%] [1*]
› Locarno playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. [over 20/ 31] [64.52%] [1*]
› Locarno playing against average awayteams the last 3 seasons. [over 11/ 18] [61.11%] [1*]
› Locarno playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [over 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]
› Locarno playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [over 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Locarno playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Locarno playing 2 homematches in a row the last 3 seasons. [over 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Locarno after drawing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [over 8/ 9] [88.89%] [3*]
› Chiasso playing against defensively poor teams the current season. [over 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Chiasso playing against average teams the last 3 seasons. [over 16/ 26] [61.54%] [1*]
› Chiasso after losing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [over 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 6 Stars: 7)

› Chiasso playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 9/ 15] [60.00%] [1*]
› Chiasso playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [under 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Chiasso playing in weekend the current season. [under 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Chiasso playing in weekend at away the current season. [under 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Chiasso playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [under 14/ 21] [66.67%] [1*]
› Chiasso playing against offensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Locarno
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1439.3
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1418.9
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1434.8

› Current ELO Rating: 1438.4

Chiasso
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1554.0
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1536.6
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1517.0

› Current ELO Rating: 1505.6

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Locarno 1485.0 1479.6 1459.5 1443.6 1458.5 1439.3 1432.7 1442.4 1439.5 1418.9 1429.0 1435.7 1434.8 1444.8 1438.4
Chiasso 1500.0 1510.0 1509.7 1525.3 1540.0 1554.0 1535.9 1532.4 1541.7 1536.6 1513.3 1523.4 1517.0 1496.9 1505.6

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Locarno
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.78
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.75
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.80

› Current Power Rating: 9.83

Chiasso
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.20
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.20
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.20

› Current Power Rating: 10.20

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Locarno 9.93 9.93 9.85 9.83 9.90 9.78 9.78 9.80 9.80 9.75 9.78 9.80 9.80 9.83 9.83
Chiasso 10.00 10.03 10.03 10.10 10.12 10.20 10.17 10.17 10.20 10.20 10.17 10.20 10.20 10.17 10.20

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.25 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: 1 (indicates draw)

› Weighted Form System: 4 (indicates draw)

› Goal Superiority System: -6 (indicates awaywin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 1 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 3 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 3 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 31% (homewin) 44% (draw) 25% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.33 (indicates awaywin)

Stats for hometeam (Locarno):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 15 5-5-5 19-26 20
› At home: 8 3-3-2 12-12 12

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 10-5
› At home: 6-2

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.27 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.50 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.73 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.50 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LWWDWD 3-2-1
› Home: WDWLWD 3-2-1

ELO Rating: 1438.4

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Dec 04 2011 home Aarau 1-1 draw under
Nov 20 2011 away Wil 1900 2-1 won over
Nov 13 2011 away Winterthur 0-0 draw under
Nov 06 2011 home Brühl 2-1 won over
Oct 30 2011 away Chiasso 1-0 won under
Oct 22 2011 home Kriens 1-3 lost over
Oct 01 2011 away Biel Bienne 1-1 draw under
Sep 24 2011 home Vaduz 2-1 won over
Sep 10 2011 home Nyonnais 2-2 draw over
Aug 27 2011 away St Gallen 0-5 lost over

Summary: 4-4-2 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 2.70 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 12-15

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Dec 04 2011 home Aarau 1-1 draw under
Nov 06 2011 home Brühl 2-1 won over
Oct 22 2011 home Kriens 1-3 lost over
Sep 24 2011 home Vaduz 2-1 won over
Sep 10 2011 home Nyonnais 2-2 draw over
Aug 20 2011 home Carouge 3-0 won over
Aug 06 2011 home Bellinzona 0-3 lost over
Jul 30 2011 home Lugano 1-1 draw under
May 21 2011 home Delemont 3-2 won over
May 15 2011 home Servette 3-2 won over

Summary: 5-3-2 O-U: 8-2 Avg. score: 3.40 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 18-16

Stats for awayteam (Chiasso):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 15 7-5-3 18-10 26
› At away: 8 2-4-2 7-7 10

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 6-9
› At away: 3-5

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.20 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.88 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 0.67 goals per match
› At away: allowing 0.88 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DLWDLW 2-2-2
› Away: WLDDWL 2-2-2

ELO Rating: 1505.6

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Dec 04 2011 home Bellinzona 1-0 won under
Nov 26 2011 away Carouge 1-2 lost over
Nov 20 2011 home Lugano 1-1 draw under
Nov 05 2011 away St Gallen 1-0 won under
Oct 30 2011 home Locarno 0-1 lost under
Oct 23 2011 away Winterthur 0-0 draw under
Oct 01 2011 home Nyonnais 1-0 won under
Sep 25 2011 away Delemont 0-0 draw under
Sep 12 2011 away Biel Bienne 1-2 lost over
Aug 26 2011 home Vaduz 3-0 won over

Summary: 4-3-3 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 1.50 Median score: 1.00 Goals: 9-6

Last 10 Matches Away:

Nov 26 2011 away Carouge 1-2 lost over
Nov 05 2011 away St Gallen 1-0 won under
Oct 23 2011 away Winterthur 0-0 draw under
Sep 25 2011 away Delemont 0-0 draw under
Sep 12 2011 away Biel Bienne 1-2 lost over
Aug 20 2011 away Aarau 2-1 won over
Aug 06 2011 away Wohlen 1-1 draw under
Jul 23 2011 away Wil 1900 1-1 draw under
May 21 2011 away Servette 0-3 lost over
May 12 2011 away Delemont 0-3 lost over

Summary: 2-4-4 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 7-13

History:

Overall History

Oct 01 2005 Locarno - Chiasso 0-1 awaywin under
Apr 20 2006 Chiasso - Locarno 1-0 homewin under
Oct 14 2006 Locarno - Chiasso 0-0 draw under
Apr 22 2007 Chiasso - Locarno 3-1 homewin over
Dec 02 2007 Locarno - Chiasso 1-5 awaywin over
Feb 17 2008 Chiasso - Locarno 2-1 homewin over
Aug 06 2010 Locarno - Chiasso 0-1 awaywin under
Apr 01 2011 Chiasso - Locarno 1-2 awaywin over
Oct 30 2011 Chiasso - Locarno 0-1 awaywin under

Summary (overall): 3-1-5 O-U: 4-5 Avg. score: 2.22 Median score: 1.00

Summary (3 years): 0-0-3 O-U: 1-2 Avg. score: 1.67 Median score: 1.00

Trend: Chiasso is 6-1-2

Trend 3 years: Locarno is 2-0-1

Home - Away History

Oct 01 2005 Locarno - Chiasso 0-1 awaywin under
Oct 14 2006 Locarno - Chiasso 0-0 draw under
Dec 02 2007 Locarno - Chiasso 1-5 awaywin over
Aug 06 2010 Locarno - Chiasso 0-1 awaywin under

Summary (overall): 0-1-3 O-U: 1-3 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 1.00

Summary (3 years): 0-0-1 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 1.00 Median score: 1.00

Trend: Chiasso is 3-1-0

Trend 3 years: Chiasso is 1-0-0