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Kerkyra - Doxa (3 - 1):
2011/2012
Vital Stats and Trends Summary:
› Trends favouring homewin (Kerkyra) (Trends: 11 Stars: 23)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Doxa) (Trends: 4 Stars: 5)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 9 Stars: 11)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 12 Stars: 19)
› Kerkyra home:
2-2-5
8-17
› Kerkyra form:
1-2-3
4-8
› Home form:
2-2-2
6-9
› Doxa away:
1-1-6
3-13
› Doxa form:
3-0-3
5-4
› Away form:
1-1-4
3-6
Team Status:
We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.
Overall
› Kerkyra: Neutral
Form: 1-2-3
(5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 6-6-18
(24 points, 0.80 avg)
› Doxa: Uptrend
Form: 3-0-3
(9 points, 1.50 avg)
Last 30 matches: 5-4-21
(19 points, 0.63 avg)
Home/Away
› Kerkyra: Neutral
Home form: 2-2-2
(8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 5-2-8
(17 points, 1.13 avg)
› Doxa: Uptrend
Away form: 1-1-4
(4 points, 0.67 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 1-1-13
(4 points, 0.27 avg)
Table:
| Home | Away | All | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | Goals | Matches | Goals | Matches | Goals | |||||||||||||||||
| All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | ||
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 5 | 30 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 16 | 51 |
| 2 | Olympiakos | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 6 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 46 | 14 | 49 |
| 3 | PAOK Saloniki | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 38 |
| 4 | AEK Athens | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 13 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 37 |
| 5 | OFI | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 17 | 32 |
| 6 | Atromitos | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 31 |
| 7 | Xanthi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 23 | 29 |
| 8 | Asteras Tripolis | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 7 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 28 |
| 9 | Aris | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 26 |
| 10 | Panionios | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 20 | 23 |
| 11 | Ergotelis | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 5 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 28 | 23 |
| 12 | Giannina | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 5 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 23 | 18 |
| 13 | Panaitolikos | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 26 | 18 |
| 14 | Levadiakos | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 26 | 16 |
| 15 | Kerkyra | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 15 |
| 16 | Doxa | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 24 | 12 |
Simulator:
The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.
› Homewin: 56% (value odds 1.78)
› Awaywin: 25% (value odds 3.97)
› Draw: 19% (value odds 5.40)
› Over: 37% (value odds 2.69)
› Under: 63% (value odds 1.59)
Expected Score:
› Kerkyra: 0.96
› Doxa: 1.11
› Total: 2.07
› Over: 41%
› Under: 59%
Team Trends:
When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.
Trends favouring homewin (Kerkyra) (Trends: 11 Stars: 23)
| › Kerkyra playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [won | 7/ | 7] | [100.00%] | [4*] |
| › Doxa playing against offensively poor teams the current season. | [lost | 8/ | 12] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Doxa playing against offensively poor hometeams the current season. | [lost | 4/ | 6] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Doxa playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 8/ | 11] | [72.73%] | [2*] |
| › Doxa playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. | [lost | 12/ | 18] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Doxa playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. | [lost | 6/ | 8] | [75.00%] | [2*] |
| › Doxa playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 32/ | 48] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Doxa playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 21/ | 23] | [91.30%] | [4*] |
| › Doxa playing in weekend the current season. | [lost | 8/ | 11] | [72.73%] | [2*] |
| › Doxa playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 27/ | 43] | [62.79%] | [1*] |
| › Doxa playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 19/ | 20] | [95.00%] | [4*] |
Trends favouring awaywin (Doxa) (Trends: 4 Stars: 5)
| › Kerkyra playing against poor teams the current season. | [lost | 5/ | 8] | [62.50%] | [1*] |
| › Kerkyra playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. | [lost | 6/ | 8] | [75.00%] | [2*] |
| › Kerkyra playing in weekend the current season. | [lost | 11/ | 18] | [61.11%] | [1*] |
| › Kerkyra playing in weekend at home the current season. | [lost | 5/ | 8] | [62.50%] | [1*] |
Trends favouring draw (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)
| › Kerkyra playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 20/ | 57] | [35.09%] | [1*] |
| › Kerkyra playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 10/ | 26] | [38.46%] | [1*] |
Trends favouring over (Trends: 9 Stars: 11)
| › Kerkyra playing against poor teams the current season. | [over | 5/ | 8] | [62.50%] | [1*] |
| › Kerkyra playing against poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 6/ | 9] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Kerkyra playing against defensively average teams the current season. | [over | 4/ | 6] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Kerkyra playing against offensively poor awayteams the current season. | [over | 5/ | 7] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Kerkyra playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. | [over | 5/ | 8] | [62.50%] | [1*] |
| › Kerkyra playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. | [over | 6/ | 9] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Kerkyra playing in weekend at home the current season. | [over | 6/ | 8] | [75.00%] | [2*] |
| › Doxa playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 8/ | 13] | [61.54%] | [1*] |
| › Doxa playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. | [over | 12/ | 20] | [60.00%] | [1*] |
Trends favouring under (Trends: 12 Stars: 19)
| › Kerkyra playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. | [under | 12/ | 20] | [60.00%] | [1*] |
| › Kerkyra playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 35/ | 57] | [61.40%] | [1*] |
| › Doxa playing against poor teams the current season. | [under | 4/ | 6] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Doxa playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 10/ | 16] | [62.50%] | [1*] |
| › Doxa playing against offensively poor teams the current season. | [under | 9/ | 12] | [75.00%] | [2*] |
| › Doxa playing against offensively poor hometeams the current season. | [under | 5/ | 6] | [83.33%] | [3*] |
| › Doxa playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 16/ | 26] | [61.54%] | [1*] |
| › Doxa playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 8/ | 11] | [72.73%] | [2*] |
| › Doxa playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. | [under | 14/ | 18] | [77.78%] | [2*] |
| › Doxa playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. | [under | 6/ | 8] | [75.00%] | [2*] |
| › Doxa playing in weekend the current season. | [under | 8/ | 11] | [72.73%] | [2*] |
| › Doxa playing in February the last 3 seasons. | [under | 5/ | 8] | [62.50%] | [1*] |
ELO Ratings:
The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.
Kerkyra
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1359.7
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1332.7
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1291.6
› Current ELO Rating: 1284.6
Doxa
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1364.8
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1306.1
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1273.8
› Current ELO Rating: 1262.1
| Match | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerkyra | 1480.8 | 1480.0 | 1460.3 | 1440.0 | 1422.6 | 1414.9 | 1399.6 | 1408.7 | 1405.5 | 1384.8 | 1359.7 | 1354.4 | 1362.9 | 1339.4 | 1332.7 | 1329.6 | 1312.0 | 1291.6 | 1270.1 | 1284.6 |
| Doxa | 1493.4 | 1478.0 | 1460.4 | 1441.0 | 1419.8 | 1404.8 | 1382.5 | 1376.1 | 1364.8 | 1345.7 | 1321.4 | 1299.2 | 1306.1 | 1278.6 | 1258.5 | 1273.8 | 1281.7 | 1262.1 |
Power Ratings:
A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.
Kerkyra
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.70
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.70
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.62
› Current Power Rating: 9.60
Doxa
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.67
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.57
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.57
› Current Power Rating: 9.57
| Match | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerkyra | 9.95 | 9.95 | 9.92 | 9.85 | 9.82 | 9.82 | 9.80 | 9.82 | 9.82 | 9.80 | 9.70 | 9.70 | 9.72 | 9.70 | 9.70 | 9.70 | 9.65 | 9.62 | 9.57 | 9.60 |
| Doxa | 10.00 | 9.97 | 9.82 | 9.77 | 9.75 | 9.72 | 9.67 | 9.67 | 9.67 | 9.62 | 9.60 | 9.55 | 9.57 | 9.55 | 9.52 | 9.57 | 9.60 | 9.57 |
Systems:
Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.
› Point Ratio System: 0.39 (indicates awaywin)› Game Form System: -11 (indicates awaywin)
› Weighted Form System: -16 (indicates awaywin)
› Goal Superiority System: -4 (indicates draw) (last 10)
› Goal Superiority System: -5 (indicates awaywin) (last 6)
› Scoring Ability System: -1 (indicates draw) (last 10)
› Scoring Ability System: -1 (indicates draw) (last 6)
› Percentage Win System: 49% (homewin) 17% (draw) 34% (awaywin)
› Defensor System: 0.67 (indicates awaywin)
Stats for hometeam (Kerkyra):
Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 20 3-6-11 12-28 15
› At home: 9 2-2-5 8-17 8
Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 8-12
› At home: 6-3
Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.60 goals per match
› At home: scoring 0.89 goals per match
Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.40 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.89 goals per match
Form:
› Overall:
DDLLLW
1-2-3
› Home:
DWLWDL
2-2-2
ELO Rating: 1284.6
Last 10 Matches Overall:
| Feb 15 2012 | away | Doxa | 1-0 | won | under |
| Feb 12 2012 | away | Atromitos | 1-3 | lost | over |
| Feb 04 2012 | home | Giannina | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Jan 28 2012 | away | Panionios | 0-2 | lost | under |
| Jan 22 2012 | away | Panaitolikos | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Jan 15 2012 | home | Asteras Tripolis | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Jan 08 2012 | away | Panathinaikos | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Jan 04 2012 | home | Aris | 1-0 | won | under |
| Dec 18 2011 | away | OFI | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Dec 11 2011 | home | Olympiakos | 0-4 | lost | over |
Summary: 2-3-5 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 1.80 Median score: 1.00 Goals: 5-13
Last 10 Matches At Home:
| Feb 04 2012 | home | Giannina | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Jan 15 2012 | home | Asteras Tripolis | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Jan 04 2012 | home | Aris | 1-0 | won | under |
| Dec 11 2011 | home | Olympiakos | 0-4 | lost | over |
| Nov 19 2011 | home | Ergotelis | 2-1 | won | over |
| Oct 15 2011 | home | Atromitos | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Sep 24 2011 | home | Panionios | 0-3 | lost | over |
| Sep 17 2011 | home | Panaitolikos | 2-3 | lost | over |
| Aug 28 2011 | home | Panathinaikos | 0-2 | lost | under |
| Apr 10 2011 | home | Ergotelis | 1-0 | won | under |
Summary: 3-2-5 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 9-17
Stats for awayteam (Doxa):
Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 18 3-3-12 7-24 12
› At away: 8 1-1-6 3-13 4
Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 4-14
› At away: 2-6
Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.39 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.38 goals per match
Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.33 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.62 goals per match
Form:
› Overall:
WLLWWL
3-0-3
› Away:
LDLLLW
1-1-4
ELO Rating: 1262.1
Last 10 Matches Overall:
| Feb 15 2012 | home | Kerkyra | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Feb 12 2012 | home | Panaitolikos | 2-1 | won | over |
| Feb 08 2012 | away | Panaitolikos | 2-0 | won | under |
| Feb 05 2012 | away | Asteras Tripolis | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Jan 29 2012 | home | Panathinaikos | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Jan 25 2012 | home | Asteras Tripolis | 1-0 | won | under |
| Jan 22 2012 | home | Aris | 1-3 | lost | over |
| Jan 18 2012 | away | Panathinaikos | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Jan 14 2012 | away | OFI | 0-2 | lost | under |
| Jan 08 2012 | home | Olympiakos | 0-0 | draw | under |
Summary: 3-1-6 O-U: 2-8 Avg. score: 1.60 Median score: 1.00 Goals: 6-10
Last 10 Matches Away:
| Feb 08 2012 | away | Panaitolikos | 2-0 | won | under |
| Feb 05 2012 | away | Asteras Tripolis | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Jan 18 2012 | away | Panathinaikos | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Jan 14 2012 | away | OFI | 0-2 | lost | under |
| Jan 03 2012 | away | AEK Athens | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Dec 11 2011 | away | Ergotelis | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Nov 30 2011 | away | Olympiakos | 0-6 | lost | over |
| Nov 27 2011 | away | Levadiakos | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Jun 04 1995 | away | Panathinaikos | 0-5 | lost | over |
| May 21 1995 | away | Iraklis | 1-3 | lost | over |
Summary: 1-1-8 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 4-21
History:
Overall History
| Feb 15 2012 | Doxa - Kerkyra | 0-1 | awaywin | under |
Summary (overall): 0-0-1 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 1.00 Median score: 1.00
Summary (3 years): 0-0-1 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 1.00 Median score: 1.00
Trend: Kerkyra is 1-0-0
Trend 3 years: Kerkyra is 1-0-0