Llagostera vs Real Zaragoza Am | Segunda B - Group 3

Llagostera - Real Zaragoza Am (1 - 0):

Segunda B - Group 3 (Spain)
2011/2012

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Llagostera) (Trends: 2 Stars: 6)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Real Zaragoza Am) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 10 Stars: 18)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 15 Stars: 24)

› Llagostera home: 4-3-4 17-15
› Llagostera form: 4-0-2 11-5
› Home form: 3-1-2 12-8

› Real Zaragoza Am away: 2-3-7 14-25
› Real Zaragoza Am form: 1-5-0 5-4
› Away form: 0-3-3 5-12

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Llagostera: Uptrend
Form: 4-0-2 (12 points, 2.00 avg)
Last 30 matches: 10-5-9 (35 points, 1.46 avg)

› Real Zaragoza Am: Uptrend
Form: 1-5-0 (8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 30 matches: 4-9-11 (21 points, 0.88 avg)

Home/Away

› Llagostera: Neutral
Home form: 3-1-2 (10 points, 1.67 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 4-3-4 (15 points, 1.36 avg)

› Real Zaragoza Am: Downtrend
Away form: 0-3-3 (3 points, 0.50 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 2-3-7 (9 points, 0.75 avg)

Table:

		Home							Away							All
		Matches				Goals			Matches				Goals			Matches				Goals
		All	W	D	L	For	Aga	Pts	All	W	D	L	For	Aga	Pts	All	W	D	L	For	Aga	Pts
1	Atletico Baleares	13	10	1	2	25	11	31	11	6	4	1	20	11	22	24	16	5	3	45	22	53
2	Orihuela	12	6	5	1	18	8	23	11	5	3	3	13	11	18	23	11	8	4	31	19	41
3	L'Hospitalet	11	7	3	1	14	7	24	13	5	1	7	13	14	16	24	12	4	8	27	21	40
4	Mallorca Am	13	6	3	4	19	14	21	11	5	3	3	18	15	18	24	11	6	7	37	29	39
5	Badalona	13	6	4	3	16	9	22	11	4	3	4	13	8	15	24	10	7	7	29	17	37
6	Olimpic de Xativa	13	7	4	2	16	8	25	11	3	2	6	11	11	11	24	10	6	8	27	19	36
7	Ontinyent	13	8	1	4	21	12	25	11	2	5	4	8	15	11	24	10	6	8	29	27	36
8	Llagostera	11	4	3	4	17	15	15	13	6	2	5	10	8	20	24	10	5	9	27	23	35
9	Reus Deportiu	12	6	4	2	12	10	22	12	3	4	5	14	14	13	24	9	8	7	26	24	35
10	Sant Andreu	10	5	3	2	15	7	18	13	4	4	5	12	14	16	23	9	7	7	27	21	34
11	Huracan Valencia	11	4	4	3	12	9	16	12	4	6	2	12	9	18	23	8	10	5	24	18	34
12	Lleida Esportiu	12	5	5	2	18	12	20	12	3	4	5	10	14	13	24	8	9	7	28	26	33
13	Teruel	11	7	3	1	16	9	24	12	1	5	6	10	20	8	23	8	8	7	26	29	32
14	Denia	12	7	3	2	22	8	24	11	1	1	9	4	16	4	23	8	4	11	26	24	28
15	Valencia Am	11	4	3	4	16	16	15	12	3	2	7	12	20	11	23	7	5	11	28	36	26
16	Gandia	11	4	3	4	13	13	15	13	1	6	6	8	15	9	24	5	9	10	21	28	24
17	Real Zaragoza Am	12	2	6	4	9	16	12	12	2	3	7	14	25	9	24	4	9	11	23	41	21
18	Andorra	12	3	1	8	15	19	10	11	2	3	6	9	19	9	23	5	4	14	24	38	19
19	Manacor	11	3	3	5	13	15	12	13	2	1	10	14	29	7	24	5	4	15	27	44	19
20	Sporting Mahones	11	5	2	4	8	12	17	10	0	2	8	5	27	2	21	5	4	12	13	39	19

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 46% (value odds 2.19)

› Awaywin: 10% (value odds 9.83)

› Draw: 44% (value odds 2.27)

› Over: 30% (value odds 3.33)

› Under: 70% (value odds 1.43)

Expected Score:

› Llagostera: 1.53

› Real Zaragoza Am: 1.05

› Total: 2.58

› Over: 52%

› Under: 48%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Llagostera) (Trends: 2 Stars: 6)

› Llagostera playing against poor teams the current season.	[won	5/	6]	[83.33%]	[3*]
› Llagostera playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons.	[won	5/	6]	[83.33%]	[3*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Real Zaragoza Am) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring awaywin.

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 10 Stars: 18)

› Real Zaragoza Am playing against good teams the current season.	[draw	6/	13]	[46.15%]	[3*]
› Real Zaragoza Am playing against good teams the last 3 seasons.	[draw	6/	13]	[46.15%]	[3*]
› Real Zaragoza Am playing against defensively good teams the current season.	[draw	6/	14]	[42.86%]	[2*]
› Real Zaragoza Am playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons.	[draw	6/	14]	[42.86%]	[2*]
› Real Zaragoza Am playing against offensively poor teams the current season.	[draw	8/	18]	[44.44%]	[2*]
› Real Zaragoza Am playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons.	[draw	8/	18]	[44.44%]	[2*]
› Real Zaragoza Am playing against teams with average elo rating the current season.	[draw	9/	24]	[37.50%]	[1*]
› Real Zaragoza Am playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons.	[draw	9/	24]	[37.50%]	[1*]
› Real Zaragoza Am playing in weekend the current season.	[draw	9/	24]	[37.50%]	[1*]
› Real Zaragoza Am playing in weekend the last 3 seasons.	[draw	9/	24]	[37.50%]	[1*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring over.

Trends favouring under (Trends: 15 Stars: 24)

› Llagostera playing against poor teams the current season.	[under	4/	6]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Llagostera playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons.	[under	4/	6]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Llagostera playing against offensively poor teams the current season.	[under	11/	14]	[78.57%]	[2*]
› Llagostera playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons.	[under	11/	14]	[78.57%]	[2*]
› Llagostera playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season.	[under	11/	14]	[78.57%]	[2*]
› Llagostera playing against teams with average elo rating the current season.	[under	17/	24]	[70.83%]	[2*]
› Llagostera playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons.	[under	17/	24]	[70.83%]	[2*]
› Llagostera playing in weekend the current season.	[under	17/	24]	[70.83%]	[2*]
› Llagostera playing in weekend the last 3 seasons.	[under	17/	24]	[70.83%]	[2*]
› Real Zaragoza Am playing against good teams the current season.	[under	9/	13]	[69.23%]	[1*]
› Real Zaragoza Am playing against good teams the last 3 seasons.	[under	9/	13]	[69.23%]	[1*]
› Real Zaragoza Am playing against defensively good teams the current season.	[under	10/	14]	[71.43%]	[2*]
› Real Zaragoza Am playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons.	[under	10/	14]	[71.43%]	[2*]
› Real Zaragoza Am playing against offensively poor teams the current season.	[under	12/	18]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Real Zaragoza Am playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons.	[under	12/	18]	[66.67%]	[1*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Llagostera
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1413.6
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1445.9
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1423.8

› Current ELO Rating: 1447.6

Real Zaragoza Am
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1376.9
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1303.1
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1279.2

› Current ELO Rating: 1282.6

ELO Trend
Match	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
Llagostera	1480.8	1464.0	1444.2	1427.6	1420.2	1419.2	1410.3	1393.8	1405.3	1385.8	1377.7	1390.0	1386.5	1402.9	1413.6	1390.1	1412.3	1425.3	1445.9	1464.3	1440.8	1423.8	1435.4	1447.6
Real Zaragoza Am	1485.0	1479.8	1464.8	1458.5	1443.4	1438.3	1457.4	1438.2	1419.6	1400.1	1415.0	1425.3	1421.4	1396.8	1376.9	1353.3	1332.9	1313.6	1303.1	1295.5	1289.8	1279.2	1272.3	1282.6

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Llagostera
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.90
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.02
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.02

› Current Power Rating: 10.10

Real Zaragoza Am
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.72
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.53
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.53

› Current Power Rating: 9.55

Power Rating Trend
Match	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
Llagostera	9.95	9.90	9.85	9.80	9.80	9.80	9.80	9.75	9.80	9.77	9.77	9.80	9.80	9.87	9.90	9.85	9.90	9.95	10.02	10.07	10.05	10.02	10.07	10.10
Real Zaragoza Am	9.93	9.93	9.90	9.90	9.85	9.85	9.90	9.88	9.85	9.82	9.85	9.88	9.88	9.78	9.72	9.65	9.62	9.53	9.53	9.53	9.53	9.53	9.53	9.55

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.61 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: 0 (indicates draw)

› Weighted Form System: 7 (indicates homewin)

› Goal Superiority System: 18 (indicates homewin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 5 (indicates homewin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 10 (indicates homewin) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 6 (indicates homewin) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 47% (homewin) 26% (draw) 27% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.17 (indicates draw)

Stats for hometeam (Llagostera):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 24 10-5-9 27-23 35
› At home: 11 4-3-4 17-15 15

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 7-17
› At home: 6-5

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.12 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.55 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 0.96 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.36 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WWLLWW 4-0-2
› Home: DWLWLW 3-1-2

ELO Rating: 1447.6

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 12 2012	away	Badalona	1-0	won	under
Feb 05 2012	home	Mallorca Am	4-2	won	over
Jan 29 2012	away	Olimpic de Xativa	0-1	lost	under
Jan 22 2012	home	Atletico Baleares	1-2	lost	over
Jan 15 2012	away	Ontinyent	2-0	won	under
Jan 08 2012	away	Sporting Mahones	3-0	won	over
Dec 17 2011	home	Andorra	2-0	won	under
Dec 11 2011	away	Valencia Am	2-0	won	under
Dec 03 2011	home	Orihuela	1-3	lost	over
Nov 27 2011	away	Sant Andreu	1-0	won	under

Summary: 7-0-3 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 17-8

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Feb 05 2012	home	Mallorca Am	4-2	won	over
Jan 22 2012	home	Atletico Baleares	1-2	lost	over
Dec 17 2011	home	Andorra	2-0	won	under
Dec 03 2011	home	Orihuela	1-3	lost	over
Nov 19 2011	home	Gandia	3-0	won	over
Oct 29 2011	home	Huracan Valencia	1-1	draw	under
Oct 16 2011	home	Teruel	2-0	won	under
Oct 01 2011	home	Reus Deportiu	2-2	draw	over
Sep 18 2011	home	Badalona	0-0	draw	under
Sep 03 2011	home	Olimpic de Xativa	0-2	lost	under

Summary: 4-3-3 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.80 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 16-12

Stats for awayteam (Real Zaragoza Am):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 24 4-9-11 23-41 21
› At away: 12 2-3-7 14-25 9

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 11-13
› At away: 7-5

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.96 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.17 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.71 goals per match
› At away: allowing 2.08 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DDDDDW 1-5-0
› Away: DLLLDD 0-3-3

ELO Rating: 1282.6

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 12 2012	home	Manacor	1-0	won	under
Feb 05 2012	away	Huracan Valencia	1-1	draw	under
Jan 29 2012	home	L'Hospitalet	1-1	draw	under
Jan 22 2012	away	Teruel	1-1	draw	under
Jan 15 2012	home	Denia	1-1	draw	under
Jan 08 2012	home	Reus Deportiu	0-0	draw	under
Dec 18 2011	away	Lleida Esportiu	0-4	lost	over
Dec 11 2011	away	Badalona	1-2	lost	over
Dec 04 2011	home	Mallorca Am	1-4	lost	over
Nov 27 2011	away	Olimpic de Xativa	0-2	lost	under

Summary: 1-5-4 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 2.30 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 7-16

Last 10 Matches Away:

Feb 05 2012	away	Huracan Valencia	1-1	draw	under
Jan 22 2012	away	Teruel	1-1	draw	under
Dec 18 2011	away	Lleida Esportiu	0-4	lost	over
Dec 11 2011	away	Badalona	1-2	lost	over
Nov 27 2011	away	Olimpic de Xativa	0-2	lost	under
Nov 13 2011	away	Ontinyent	2-2	draw	over
Oct 30 2011	away	Andorra	2-1	won	over
Oct 16 2011	away	Orihuela	0-1	lost	under
Oct 02 2011	away	Gandia	6-4	won	over
Sep 18 2011	away	Manacor	1-3	lost	over

Summary: 2-3-5 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 3.50 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 14-21

History:

Overall History

Sep 24 2011

Real Zaragoza Am - Llagostera

0-0

draw

under

Summary (overall): 0-1-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 0.00 Median score: 0.00

Summary (3 years): 0-1-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 0.00 Median score: 0.00

Trend: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Home - Away History

No previous history registered for these teams.

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