Eibar vs Arandina | Segunda B - Group 2

Eibar - Arandina (4 - 0):

Segunda B - Group 2 (Spain)
2011/2012

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Eibar) (Trends: 4 Stars: 4)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Arandina) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 20 Stars: 38)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 21 Stars: 30)

› Eibar home: 7-4-1 14-10
› Eibar form: 2-4-0 8-6
› Home form: 3-3-0 6-3

› Arandina away: 2-4-5 13-18
› Arandina form: 2-2-2 5-6
› Away form: 2-2-2 9-10

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Eibar: Neutral
Form: 2-4-0 (10 points, 1.67 avg)
Last 30 matches: 11-14-5 (47 points, 1.57 avg)

› Arandina: Neutral
Form: 2-2-2 (8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 30 matches: 6-9-9 (27 points, 1.12 avg)

Home/Away

› Eibar: Neutral
Home form: 3-3-0 (12 points, 2.00 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 8-6-1 (30 points, 2.00 avg)

› Arandina: Uptrend
Away form: 2-2-2 (8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 2-4-5 (10 points, 0.91 avg)

Table:

		Home							Away							All
		Matches				Goals			Matches				Goals			Matches				Goals
		All	W	D	L	For	Aga	Pts	All	W	D	L	For	Aga	Pts	All	W	D	L	For	Aga	Pts
1	Mirandes	11	8	2	1	20	6	26	13	6	6	1	11	4	24	24	14	8	2	31	10	50
2	Ponferradina	11	9	1	1	24	6	28	13	5	3	5	16	14	18	24	14	4	6	40	20	46
3	Amorebieta	13	9	3	1	25	11	30	10	3	3	4	9	11	12	23	12	6	5	34	22	42
4	Eibar	12	7	4	1	14	10	25	12	3	7	2	15	13	16	24	10	11	3	29	23	41
5	Guijuelo	13	7	4	2	18	12	25	11	4	1	6	10	17	13	24	11	5	8	28	29	38
6	Alaves	12	6	5	1	23	11	23	12	3	5	4	15	12	14	24	9	10	5	38	23	37
7	Sestao	12	8	2	2	21	9	26	12	2	5	5	15	20	11	24	10	7	7	36	29	37
8	Athletic Bilbao Am	12	7	4	1	21	12	25	11	3	2	6	10	15	11	23	10	6	7	31	27	36
9	Gimnastica Torrelavega	11	5	2	4	14	15	17	13	5	4	4	14	14	19	24	10	6	8	28	29	36
10	Osasuna Am	11	6	2	3	20	15	20	13	4	3	6	15	19	15	24	10	5	9	35	34	35
11	Zamora	13	6	5	2	19	11	23	11	2	4	5	8	12	10	24	8	9	7	27	23	33
12	Real Union	12	7	2	3	22	10	23	12	1	5	6	9	19	8	24	8	7	9	31	29	31
13	Salamanca	10	3	5	2	15	11	14	13	5	1	7	17	21	16	23	8	6	9	32	32	30
14	UD Logrones	12	4	5	3	13	10	17	12	3	3	6	14	16	12	24	7	8	9	27	26	29
15	Arandina	13	4	5	4	13	11	17	11	2	4	5	13	18	10	24	6	9	9	26	29	27
16	Palencia	13	6	3	4	11	12	21	11	1	3	7	7	16	6	24	7	6	11	18	28	27
17	Real Sociedad Am	12	1	3	8	6	18	6	12	5	2	5	19	21	17	24	6	5	13	25	39	23
18	Gimnastica Segoviana	13	4	3	6	13	16	15	11	1	3	7	7	23	6	24	5	6	13	20	39	21
19	Lemona	12	2	5	5	8	15	11	12	0	3	9	7	22	3	24	2	8	14	15	37	14
20	Burgos	10	1	2	7	9	18	5	13	3	0	10	8	22	9	23	4	2	17	17	40	14

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 36% (value odds 2.80)

› Awaywin: 15% (value odds 6.70)

› Draw: 49% (value odds 2.02)

› Over: 26% (value odds 3.84)

› Under: 74% (value odds 1.35)

Expected Score:

› Eibar: 1.28

› Arandina: 0.96

› Total: 2.25

› Over: 45%

› Under: 55%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Eibar) (Trends: 4 Stars: 4)

› Eibar playing against offensively average awayteams the current season.	[won	4/	6]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Eibar playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season.	[won	4/	6]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Arandina playing against defensively good hometeams the current season.	[lost	4/	6]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Arandina playing against defensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons.	[lost	4/	6]	[66.67%]	[1*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Arandina) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring awaywin.

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 20 Stars: 38)

› Eibar playing against poor teams the current season.	[draw	3/	7]	[42.86%]	[2*]
› Eibar playing against defensively average teams the current season.	[draw	5/	11]	[45.45%]	[3*]
› Eibar playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons.	[draw	6/	14]	[42.86%]	[2*]
› Eibar playing against offensively poor teams the current season.	[draw	7/	12]	[58.33%]	[3*]
› Eibar playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons.	[draw	21/	58]	[36.21%]	[1*]
› Eibar playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season.	[draw	5/	14]	[35.71%]	[1*]
› Eibar playing against teams with average elo rating the current season.	[draw	11/	24]	[45.83%]	[3*]
› Eibar playing in weekend the current season.	[draw	11/	24]	[45.83%]	[3*]
› Arandina playing against defensively good teams the current season.	[draw	4/	8]	[50.00%]	[3*]
› Arandina playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons.	[draw	4/	8]	[50.00%]	[3*]
› Arandina playing against offensively average teams the current season.	[draw	4/	6]	[66.67%]	[3*]
› Arandina playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons.	[draw	4/	6]	[66.67%]	[3*]
› Arandina playing against teams with average elo rating the current season.	[draw	9/	24]	[37.50%]	[1*]
› Arandina playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season.	[draw	4/	11]	[36.36%]	[1*]
› Arandina playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons.	[draw	9/	24]	[37.50%]	[1*]
› Arandina playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons.	[draw	4/	11]	[36.36%]	[1*]
› Arandina playing in weekend the current season.	[draw	9/	24]	[37.50%]	[1*]
› Arandina playing in weekend at away the current season.	[draw	4/	11]	[36.36%]	[1*]
› Arandina playing in weekend the last 3 seasons.	[draw	9/	24]	[37.50%]	[1*]
› Arandina playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons.	[draw	4/	11]	[36.36%]	[1*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Eibar after winning in their last homematch the last 3 seasons.

[over

8/

13]

[61.54%]

[1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 21 Stars: 30)

› Eibar playing against average awayteams the current season.	[under	4/	6]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Eibar playing against defensively average teams the current season.	[under	8/	11]	[72.73%]	[2*]
› Eibar playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons.	[under	39/	61]	[63.93%]	[1*]
› Eibar playing against offensively average awayteams the current season.	[under	4/	6]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Eibar playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons.	[under	39/	58]	[67.24%]	[1*]
› Eibar playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons.	[under	67/	104]	[64.42%]	[1*]
› Eibar playing in weekend the last 3 seasons.	[under	67/	107]	[62.62%]	[1*]
› Arandina playing against good teams the current season.	[under	8/	13]	[61.54%]	[1*]
› Arandina playing against good hometeams the current season.	[under	5/	7]	[71.43%]	[2*]
› Arandina playing against good teams the last 3 seasons.	[under	8/	13]	[61.54%]	[1*]
› Arandina playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons.	[under	5/	7]	[71.43%]	[2*]
› Arandina playing against defensively good teams the current season.	[under	6/	8]	[75.00%]	[2*]
› Arandina playing against defensively good hometeams the current season.	[under	4/	6]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Arandina playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons.	[under	6/	8]	[75.00%]	[2*]
› Arandina playing against defensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons.	[under	4/	6]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Arandina playing against offensively average teams the current season.	[under	5/	6]	[83.33%]	[3*]
› Arandina playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons.	[under	5/	6]	[83.33%]	[3*]
› Arandina playing against teams with average elo rating the current season.	[under	15/	24]	[62.50%]	[1*]
› Arandina playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons.	[under	15/	24]	[62.50%]	[1*]
› Arandina playing in weekend the current season.	[under	15/	24]	[62.50%]	[1*]
› Arandina playing in weekend the last 3 seasons.	[under	15/	24]	[62.50%]	[1*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Eibar
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1530.6
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1522.4
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1508.0

› Current ELO Rating: 1507.4

Arandina
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1430.2
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1391.2
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1359.4

› Current ELO Rating: 1362.3

ELO Trend
Match	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
Eibar	1480.8	1495.6	1491.2	1475.9	1486.2	1486.1	1494.4	1491.9	1502.2	1501.2	1510.6	1505.2	1497.4	1521.2	1530.6	1509.3	1519.0	1514.1	1522.4	1520.1	1513.1	1508.0	1518.2	1507.4
Arandina	1485.0	1495.4	1495.4	1490.4	1489.6	1485.2	1499.5	1483.9	1499.9	1483.0	1476.1	1460.6	1439.0	1436.9	1430.2	1442.9	1421.8	1401.3	1391.2	1368.7	1380.8	1359.4	1356.6	1362.3

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Eibar
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.13
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.13
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.13

› Current Power Rating: 10.15

Arandina
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.97
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.95
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.90

› Current Power Rating: 9.92

Power Rating Trend
Match	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
Eibar	9.93	9.95	9.95	9.93	9.95	9.95	9.98	9.98	10.00	10.00	10.03	10.03	10.03	10.10	10.13	10.08	10.10	10.10	10.13	10.13	10.13	10.13	10.15	10.15
Arandina	9.97	10.00	10.00	10.00	10.00	10.00	10.05	10.03	10.15	10.10	10.10	10.05	9.97	9.97	9.97	10.03	10.00	9.95	9.95	9.92	9.95	9.90	9.90	9.92

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 1.17 (indicates homewin)

› Game Form System: -7 (indicates awaywin)

› Weighted Form System: -11 (indicates awaywin)

› Goal Superiority System: 4 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 3 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 2 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 3 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 52% (homewin) 35% (draw) 13% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.00 (indicates draw)

Stats for hometeam (Eibar):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 24 10-11-3 29-23 41
› At home: 12 7-4-1 14-10 25

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 10-14
› At home: 5-7

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.21 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.17 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 0.96 goals per match
› At home: allowing 0.83 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WDDDWD 2-4-0
› Home: DWWDDW 3-3-0

ELO Rating: 1507.4

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 12 2012	away	Lemona	2-2	draw	over
Feb 04 2012	home	Alaves	2-1	won	over
Jan 29 2012	away	UD Logrones	0-0	draw	under
Jan 21 2012	home	Real Union	1-1	draw	under
Jan 14 2012	away	Athletic Bilbao Am	1-1	draw	under
Jan 08 2012	away	Real Sociedad Am	2-1	won	over
Dec 17 2011	home	Sestao	0-0	draw	under
Dec 11 2011	home	Osasuna Am	1-0	won	under
Dec 04 2011	away	Palencia	0-2	lost	under
Nov 27 2011	home	Gimnastica Torrelavega	2-1	won	over

Summary: 4-5-1 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 11-9

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Feb 04 2012	home	Alaves	2-1	won	over
Jan 21 2012	home	Real Union	1-1	draw	under
Dec 17 2011	home	Sestao	0-0	draw	under
Dec 11 2011	home	Osasuna Am	1-0	won	under
Nov 27 2011	home	Gimnastica Torrelavega	2-1	won	over
Nov 13 2011	home	Mirandes	0-0	draw	under
Oct 30 2011	home	Ponferradina	1-0	won	under
Oct 16 2011	home	Salamanca	1-0	won	under
Oct 01 2011	home	Burgos	2-1	won	over
Sep 17 2011	home	Lemona	4-3	won	over

Summary: 7-3-0 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.10 Median score: 1.00 Goals: 14-7

Stats for awayteam (Arandina):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 24 6-9-9 26-29 27
› At away: 11 2-4-5 13-18 10

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 9-15
› At away: 5-6

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.08 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.18 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.21 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.64 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DLWLDW 2-2-2
› Away: LDWLWD 2-2-2

ELO Rating: 1362.3

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 12 2012	home	Alaves	1-0	won	under
Feb 05 2012	away	Real Union	1-1	draw	under
Jan 29 2012	home	Real Sociedad Am	1-3	lost	over
Jan 21 2012	away	Osasuna Am	2-1	won	over
Jan 15 2012	home	Gimnastica Torrelavega	0-1	lost	under
Jan 07 2012	home	Mirandes	0-0	draw	under
Dec 17 2011	away	Ponferradina	0-2	lost	under
Dec 10 2011	home	Salamanca	0-1	lost	under
Dec 04 2011	away	Burgos	4-2	won	over
Nov 27 2011	home	Lemona	0-0	draw	under

Summary: 3-3-4 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 9-11

Last 10 Matches Away:

Feb 05 2012	away	Real Union	1-1	draw	under
Jan 21 2012	away	Osasuna Am	2-1	won	over
Dec 17 2011	away	Ponferradina	0-2	lost	under
Dec 04 2011	away	Burgos	4-2	won	over
Nov 20 2011	away	UD Logrones	2-2	draw	over
Nov 06 2011	away	Sestao	0-2	lost	under
Oct 22 2011	away	Amorebieta	1-3	lost	over
Oct 09 2011	away	Zamora	0-1	lost	under
Sep 18 2011	away	Alaves	1-1	draw	under
Sep 03 2011	away	Real Sociedad Am	0-0	draw	under

Summary: 2-4-4 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 11-15

History:

Overall History

Sep 25 2011

Arandina - Eibar

1-1

draw

under

Summary (overall): 0-1-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 0-1-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00

Trend: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Home - Away History

No previous history registered for these teams.

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Consensus:

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