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Qormi - Sliema Wanderers (1 - 3):
2011/2012
Vital Stats and Trends Summary:
› Trends favouring homewin (Qormi) (Trends: 3 Stars: 5)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Sliema Wanderers) (Trends: 4 Stars: 4)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 8 Stars: 24)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 9 Stars: 9)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 10 Stars: 16)
› Qormi home:
6-1-3
21-11
› Qormi form:
2-0-4
8-8
› Home form:
4-0-2
13-8
› Sliema Wanderers away:
4-3-3
14-12
› Sliema Wanderers form:
2-3-1
6-4
› Away form:
1-3-2
8-8
News:
Qormi
2013-05-22 Maltese Cup final rematch favours Hibernians
Two goals from Tarabai and one from fellow Brazilian Jackson Lima secured a tenth Maltese Cup for Hibernians FC, as they beat Qormi FC 3-1 in the final for the second season in a row.
Sliema Wanderers
Team Status:
We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.
Overall
› Qormi: Neutral
Form: 2-0-4
(6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 30 matches: 8-2-10
(26 points, 1.30 avg)
› Sliema Wanderers: Neutral
Form: 2-3-1
(9 points, 1.50 avg)
Last 30 matches: 6-11-3
(29 points, 1.45 avg)
Home/Away
› Qormi: Neutral
Home form: 4-0-2
(12 points, 2.00 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 6-1-3
(19 points, 1.90 avg)
› Sliema Wanderers: Downtrend
Away form: 1-3-2
(6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 4-3-3
(15 points, 1.50 avg)
Table:
| Home | Away | All | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | Goals | Matches | Goals | Matches | Goals | |||||||||||||||||
| All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | ||
| 1 | Valletta | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 6 | 29 | 21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 51 | 16 | 54 |
| 2 | Hibernians | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 7 | 27 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 49 | 15 | 47 |
| 3 | Floriana | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 18 | 40 |
| 4 | Sliema Wanderers | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 29 | 23 | 29 |
| 5 | Birkirkara | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 16 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 27 | 29 |
| 6 | Balzan Youths | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 11 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 34 | 28 |
| 7 | Qormi | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 7 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 33 | 26 |
| 8 | Mosta | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 33 | 23 |
| 9 | Mqabba | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 13 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 37 | 20 |
| 10 | Tarxien Rainbows | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 5 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 42 | 16 |
| 11 | Hamrun Spartans | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 8 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 47 | 16 |
| 12 | Marsaxlokk | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 5 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 24 | 45 | 12 |
Simulator:
The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.
› Homewin: 34% (value odds 2.95)
› Awaywin: 26% (value odds 3.77)
› Draw: 40% (value odds 2.53)
› Over: 39% (value odds 2.59)
› Under: 61% (value odds 1.63)
Expected Score:
› Qormi: 1.32
› Sliema Wanderers: 1.21
› Total: 2.53
› Over: 51%
› Under: 49%
Team Trends:
When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.
Trends favouring homewin (Qormi) (Trends: 3 Stars: 5)
| › Qormi playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. | [won | 5/ | 6] | [83.33%] | [3*] |
| › Qormi playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. | [won | 6/ | 10] | [60.00%] | [1*] |
| › Qormi playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [won | 6/ | 10] | [60.00%] | [1*] |
Trends favouring awaywin (Sliema Wanderers) (Trends: 4 Stars: 4)
| › Qormi playing against good teams the current season. | [lost | 6/ | 9] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Qormi playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 6/ | 9] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Qormi playing against offensively good teams the current season. | [lost | 6/ | 9] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Qormi playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 6/ | 9] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
Trends favouring draw (Trends: 8 Stars: 24)
| › Sliema Wanderers playing against defensively poor teams the current season. | [draw | 6/ | 12] | [50.00%] | [3*] |
| › Sliema Wanderers playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 6/ | 12] | [50.00%] | [3*] |
| › Sliema Wanderers playing against offensively good teams the current season. | [draw | 6/ | 9] | [66.67%] | [3*] |
| › Sliema Wanderers playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 6/ | 9] | [66.67%] | [3*] |
| › Sliema Wanderers playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. | [draw | 11/ | 20] | [55.00%] | [3*] |
| › Sliema Wanderers playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 11/ | 20] | [55.00%] | [3*] |
| › Sliema Wanderers playing in weekend the current season. | [draw | 11/ | 19] | [57.89%] | [3*] |
| › Sliema Wanderers playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 11/ | 19] | [57.89%] | [3*] |
Trends favouring over (Trends: 9 Stars: 9)
| › Qormi playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. | [over | 4/ | 6] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Qormi playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. | [over | 12/ | 20] | [60.00%] | [1*] |
| › Qormi playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. | [over | 6/ | 10] | [60.00%] | [1*] |
| › Qormi playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [over | 12/ | 20] | [60.00%] | [1*] |
| › Qormi playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [over | 6/ | 10] | [60.00%] | [1*] |
| › Qormi playing in weekend the current season. | [over | 12/ | 19] | [63.16%] | [1*] |
| › Qormi playing in weekend at home the current season. | [over | 6/ | 9] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Qormi playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. | [over | 12/ | 19] | [63.16%] | [1*] |
| › Qormi playing in weekend at home the last 3 seasons. | [over | 6/ | 9] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
Trends favouring under (Trends: 10 Stars: 16)
| › Sliema Wanderers playing against offensively good teams the current season. | [under | 7/ | 9] | [77.78%] | [2*] |
| › Sliema Wanderers playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 7/ | 9] | [77.78%] | [2*] |
| › Sliema Wanderers playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. | [under | 13/ | 20] | [65.00%] | [1*] |
| › Sliema Wanderers playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. | [under | 7/ | 10] | [70.00%] | [2*] |
| › Sliema Wanderers playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [under | 13/ | 20] | [65.00%] | [1*] |
| › Sliema Wanderers playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [under | 7/ | 10] | [70.00%] | [2*] |
| › Sliema Wanderers playing in weekend the current season. | [under | 13/ | 19] | [68.42%] | [1*] |
| › Sliema Wanderers playing in weekend at away the current season. | [under | 7/ | 9] | [77.78%] | [2*] |
| › Sliema Wanderers playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. | [under | 13/ | 19] | [68.42%] | [1*] |
| › Sliema Wanderers playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. | [under | 7/ | 9] | [77.78%] | [2*] |
ELO Ratings:
The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.
Qormi
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1496.4
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1448.3
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1422.7
› Current ELO Rating: 1421.8
Sliema Wanderers
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1498.7
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1496.9
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1479.6
› Current ELO Rating: 1462.4
| Match | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qormi | 1485.0 | 1501.8 | 1485.3 | 1502.5 | 1515.0 | 1509.8 | 1489.2 | 1504.0 | 1515.7 | 1514.6 | 1496.4 | 1510.9 | 1492.9 | 1468.9 | 1448.3 | 1461.9 | 1443.0 | 1422.7 | 1397.6 | 1421.8 |
| Sliema Wanderers | 1495.8 | 1517.6 | 1532.1 | 1526.0 | 1540.5 | 1533.3 | 1514.2 | 1493.8 | 1489.6 | 1484.4 | 1498.7 | 1494.3 | 1486.6 | 1480.7 | 1496.9 | 1507.3 | 1489.2 | 1479.6 | 1472.4 | 1462.4 |
Power Ratings:
A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.
Qormi
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.07
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.95
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.97
› Current Power Rating: 10.00
Sliema Wanderers
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.10
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.15
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.15
› Current Power Rating: 10.15
| Match | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qormi | 9.95 | 10.02 | 9.97 | 10.05 | 10.07 | 10.07 | 10.05 | 10.10 | 10.17 | 10.17 | 10.07 | 10.12 | 10.07 | 10.00 | 9.95 | 10.02 | 10.00 | 9.97 | 9.92 | 10.00 |
| Sliema Wanderers | 10.00 | 10.05 | 10.08 | 10.08 | 10.10 | 10.10 | 10.05 | 10.03 | 10.03 | 10.03 | 10.10 | 10.10 | 10.10 | 10.10 | 10.15 | 10.18 | 10.15 | 10.15 | 10.15 | 10.15 |
Systems:
Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.
› Point Ratio System: 0.40 (indicates awaywin)› Game Form System: -4 (indicates awaywin)
› Weighted Form System: 3 (indicates draw)
› Goal Superiority System: -12 (indicates awaywin) (last 10)
› Goal Superiority System: -2 (indicates draw) (last 6)
› Scoring Ability System: 0 (indicates draw) (last 10)
› Scoring Ability System: 2 (indicates draw) (last 6)
› Percentage Win System: 45% (homewin) 20% (draw) 35% (awaywin)
› Defensor System: 0.67 (indicates awaywin)
Stats for hometeam (Qormi):
Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 20 8-2-10 33-33 26
› At home: 10 6-1-3 21-11 19
Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 12-8
› At home: 6-4
Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.65 goals per match
› At home: scoring 2.10 goals per match
Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.65 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.10 goals per match
Form:
› Overall:
LWLLLW
2-0-4
› Home:
WWWLWL
4-0-2
ELO Rating: 1421.8
Last 10 Matches Overall:
| Feb 10 2012 | away | Mqabba | 4-1 | won | over |
| Feb 03 2012 | home | Hibernians | 0-2 | lost | under |
| Jan 27 2012 | away | Mosta | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Jan 14 2012 | away | Floriana | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Jan 07 2012 | home | Hamrun Spartans | 3-0 | won | over |
| Dec 10 2011 | away | Tarxien Rainbows | 0-2 | lost | under |
| Dec 03 2011 | home | Valletta | 1-4 | lost | over |
| Nov 25 2011 | away | Balzan Youths | 0-2 | lost | under |
| Nov 21 2011 | home | Birkirkara | 2-0 | won | under |
| Nov 12 2011 | away | Hibernians | 0-4 | lost | over |
Summary: 3-0-7 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.90 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 11-18
Last 10 Matches At Home:
| Feb 03 2012 | home | Hibernians | 0-2 | lost | under |
| Jan 07 2012 | home | Hamrun Spartans | 3-0 | won | over |
| Dec 03 2011 | home | Valletta | 1-4 | lost | over |
| Nov 21 2011 | home | Birkirkara | 2-0 | won | under |
| Oct 29 2011 | home | Mosta | 4-1 | won | over |
| Oct 22 2011 | home | Marsaxlokk | 3-1 | won | over |
| Oct 15 2011 | home | Mqabba | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Sep 30 2011 | home | Floriana | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Sep 18 2011 | home | Tarxien Rainbows | 4-1 | won | over |
| Aug 28 2011 | home | Balzan Youths | 3-0 | won | over |
Summary: 6-1-3 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 3.20 Median score: 0.00 Goals: 21-11
Stats for awayteam (Sliema Wanderers):
Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 20 6-11-3 29-23 29
› At away: 10 4-3-3 14-12 15
Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 7-13
› At away: 3-7
Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.45 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.40 goals per match
Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.15 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.20 goals per match
Form:
› Overall:
WWLDDD
2-3-1
› Away:
LDDWLD
1-3-2
ELO Rating: 1462.4
Last 10 Matches Overall:
| Feb 10 2012 | home | Hamrun Spartans | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Feb 03 2012 | away | Tarxien Rainbows | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Jan 28 2012 | home | Valletta | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Jan 15 2012 | away | Balzan Youths | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Jan 08 2012 | home | Birkirkara | 1-0 | won | under |
| Dec 11 2011 | away | Marsaxlokk | 2-0 | won | under |
| Dec 03 2011 | home | Floriana | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Nov 25 2011 | home | Mqabba | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Nov 19 2011 | away | Hibernians | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Nov 12 2011 | home | Tarxien Rainbows | 3-0 | won | over |
Summary: 3-6-1 O-U: 2-8 Avg. score: 1.70 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 11-6
Last 10 Matches Away:
| Feb 03 2012 | away | Tarxien Rainbows | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Jan 15 2012 | away | Balzan Youths | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Dec 11 2011 | away | Marsaxlokk | 2-0 | won | under |
| Nov 19 2011 | away | Hibernians | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Oct 28 2011 | away | Valletta | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Oct 21 2011 | away | Mosta | 2-3 | lost | over |
| Oct 17 2011 | away | Hamrun Spartans | 2-4 | lost | over |
| Sep 24 2011 | away | Birkirkara | 1-0 | won | under |
| Sep 11 2011 | away | Floriana | 1-0 | won | under |
| Aug 28 2011 | away | Mqabba | 2-0 | won | under |
Summary: 4-3-3 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 0.00 Goals: 14-12
History:
Overall History
| Nov 06 2011 | Sliema Wanderers - Qormi | 3-3 | draw | over |
Summary (overall): 0-1-0 O-U: 1-0 Avg. score: 6.00 Median score: 6.00
Summary (3 years): 0-1-0 O-U: 1-0 Avg. score: 6.00 Median score: 6.00
Trend: Neither team is favoured based on history.
Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.