Consensus:
Summary of current votes
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› Trends favouring homewin (Lanciano) (Trends: 15 Stars: 20)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Frosinone) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 9 Stars: 20)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 5 Stars: 6)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 18 Stars: 32)
› Lanciano home:
5-4-1
12-8
› Lanciano form:
1-4-1
5-7
› Home form:
2-3-1
5-4
› Frosinone away:
1-3-7
7-15
› Frosinone form:
1-1-4
5-8
› Away form:
0-1-5
2-9
We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.
› Lanciano: Neutral
Form: 1-4-1
(7 points, 1.17 avg)
Last 30 matches: 10-12-8
(42 points, 1.40 avg)
› Frosinone: Downtrend
Form: 1-1-4
(4 points, 0.67 avg)
Last 30 matches: 7-7-16
(28 points, 0.93 avg)
› Lanciano: Neutral
Home form: 2-3-1
(9 points, 1.50 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 7-6-2
(27 points, 1.80 avg)
› Frosinone: Downtrend
Away form: 0-1-5
(1 points, 0.17 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 1-4-10
(7 points, 0.47 avg)
| Home | Away | All | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | Goals | Matches | Goals | Matches | Goals | |||||||||||||||||
| All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | ||
| 1 | Trapani | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 24 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 22 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 46 |
| 2 | Siracusa | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 29 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 45 |
| 3 | Cremonese | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 17 | 41 |
| 4 | Pergocrema | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 29 | 37 |
| 5 | Spezia | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 35 |
| 6 | Barletta | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 35 |
| 7 | Carrarese | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 10 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 34 |
| 8 | Portosummaga | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 34 |
| 9 | Lanciano | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 33 |
| 10 | Südtirol | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 32 |
| 11 | Triestina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 20 | 7 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 35 | 27 |
| 12 | Piacenza | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 14 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | 25 |
| 13 | Frosinone | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 28 | 23 |
| 14 | Latina | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 31 | 23 |
| 15 | Prato | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 25 | 22 |
| 16 | Andria BAT | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 6 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 21 |
| 17 | Bassano Virtus | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 10 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 30 | 19 |
| 18 | FeralpiSalo | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 25 | 17 |
The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.
› Homewin: 35% (value odds 2.85)
› Awaywin: 32% (value odds 3.08)
› Draw: 32% (value odds 3.08)
› Over: 32% (value odds 3.10)
› Under: 68% (value odds 1.48)
› Lanciano: 1.18
› Frosinone: 0.86
› Total: 2.04
› Over: 41%
› Under: 59%
When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.
| › Lanciano playing against poor teams the current season. | [won | 5/ | 8] | [62.50%] | [1*] |
| › Lanciano playing against defensively average teams the current season. | [won | 7/ | 10] | [70.00%] | [2*] |
| › Lanciano playing against teams with poor form the last 6 matches the current season. | [won | 5/ | 7] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Frosinone playing against good teams the current season. | [lost | 8/ | 13] | [61.54%] | [1*] |
| › Frosinone playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 12/ | 19] | [63.16%] | [1*] |
| › Frosinone playing against offensively poor hometeams the current season. | [lost | 4/ | 6] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Frosinone playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 16/ | 26] | [61.54%] | [1*] |
| › Frosinone playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. | [lost | 7/ | 11] | [63.64%] | [1*] |
| › Frosinone playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 33/ | 52] | [63.46%] | [1*] |
| › Frosinone playing in weekend at away the current season. | [lost | 7/ | 11] | [63.64%] | [1*] |
| › Frosinone playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 29/ | 47] | [61.70%] | [1*] |
| › Frosinone playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 28/ | 43] | [65.12%] | [1*] |
| › Frosinone playing against defensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 14/ | 20] | [70.00%] | [2*] |
| › Frosinone playing 2 awaymatches in a row the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 6/ | 7] | [85.71%] | [3*] |
| › Frosinone after losing in their last 4 or more awaymatches the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 6/ | 10] | [60.00%] | [1*] |
| › Lanciano playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. | [draw | 4/ | 10] | [40.00%] | [2*] |
| › Lanciano playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 40/ | 89] | [44.94%] | [2*] |
| › Lanciano playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 10/ | 24] | [41.67%] | [2*] |
| › Lanciano playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 18/ | 44] | [40.91%] | [2*] |
| › Lanciano playing against defensively average awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 7/ | 16] | [43.75%] | [2*] |
| › Lanciano playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 31/ | 63] | [49.21%] | [3*] |
| › Lanciano playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 10/ | 25] | [40.00%] | [2*] |
| › Lanciano playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 36/ | 84] | [42.86%] | [2*] |
| › Frosinone playing in February the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 4/ | 7] | [57.14%] | [3*] |
| › Lanciano playing against teams with poor form the last 6 matches the current season. | [over | 5/ | 7] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Frosinone playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 13/ | 19] | [68.42%] | [1*] |
| › Frosinone playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 16/ | 26] | [61.54%] | [1*] |
| › Frosinone playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [over | 32/ | 52] | [61.54%] | [1*] |
| › Frosinone playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. | [over | 29/ | 47] | [61.70%] | [1*] |
| › Lanciano playing against poor teams the current season. | [under | 5/ | 8] | [62.50%] | [1*] |
| › Lanciano playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 17/ | 24] | [70.83%] | [2*] |
| › Lanciano playing against poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 8/ | 13] | [61.54%] | [1*] |
| › Lanciano playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. | [under | 6/ | 10] | [60.00%] | [1*] |
| › Lanciano playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [under | 65/ | 89] | [73.03%] | [2*] |
| › Lanciano playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [under | 30/ | 44] | [68.18%] | [1*] |
| › Lanciano playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 32/ | 44] | [72.73%] | [2*] |
| › Lanciano playing against defensively average awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 13/ | 16] | [81.25%] | [3*] |
| › Lanciano playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 48/ | 63] | [76.19%] | [2*] |
| › Lanciano playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 20/ | 25] | [80.00%] | [3*] |
| › Lanciano playing in February the last 3 seasons. | [under | 7/ | 7] | [100.00%] | [4*] |
| › Lanciano playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. | [under | 61/ | 84] | [72.62%] | [2*] |
| › Lanciano playing in weekend at home the last 3 seasons. | [under | 29/ | 43] | [67.44%] | [1*] |
| › Lanciano after drawing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. | [under | 10/ | 12] | [83.33%] | [3*] |
| › Frosinone playing against offensively poor hometeams the current season. | [under | 4/ | 6] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Frosinone playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. | [under | 8/ | 12] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Frosinone playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. | [under | 7/ | 11] | [63.64%] | [1*] |
| › Frosinone playing in weekend at away the current season. | [under | 7/ | 11] | [63.64%] | [1*] |
The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.
Lanciano
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1513.8
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1505.0
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1485.4
› Current ELO Rating: 1475.1
Frosinone
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1494.8
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1431.2
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1401.2
› Current ELO Rating: 1361.6
| Match | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lanciano | 1515.0 | 1525.6 | 1538.0 | 1548.1 | 1530.8 | 1512.6 | 1507.1 | 1490.9 | 1501.1 | 1484.5 | 1493.1 | 1513.8 | 1509.5 | 1489.5 | 1511.0 | 1505.0 | 1498.2 | 1504.1 | 1485.4 | 1475.8 | 1475.1 |
| Frosinone | 1485.0 | 1495.4 | 1479.7 | 1493.8 | 1502.6 | 1517.1 | 1527.3 | 1525.3 | 1517.2 | 1516.3 | 1495.7 | 1494.8 | 1478.4 | 1456.0 | 1439.0 | 1431.2 | 1411.0 | 1419.0 | 1401.2 | 1379.3 | 1361.6 |
A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.
Lanciano
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.05
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.08
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.03
› Current Power Rating: 10.03
Frosinone
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.08
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.95
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.93
› Current Power Rating: 9.88
| Match | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lanciano | 10.03 | 10.05 | 10.08 | 10.10 | 10.08 | 10.03 | 10.03 | 10.00 | 10.03 | 9.97 | 10.00 | 10.05 | 10.05 | 10.03 | 10.08 | 10.08 | 10.08 | 10.10 | 10.03 | 10.03 | 10.03 |
| Frosinone | 9.97 | 10.00 | 9.97 | 10.03 | 10.05 | 10.08 | 10.10 | 10.10 | 10.10 | 10.10 | 10.08 | 10.08 | 10.00 | 9.98 | 9.95 | 9.95 | 9.93 | 9.95 | 9.93 | 9.90 | 9.88 |
Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.
› Point Ratio System: 1.35 (indicates homewin)
Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 21 9-6-6 24-23 33
› At home: 10 5-4-1 12-8 19
Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 9-12
› At home: 4-6
Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.14 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.20 goals per match
Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.10 goals per match
› At home: allowing 0.80 goals per match
Form:
› Overall:
DDWLDD
1-4-1
› Home:
WDLDWD
2-3-1
ELO Rating: 1475.1
Last 10 Matches Overall:
| Jan 29 2012 | away | Barletta | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Jan 22 2012 | home | Prato | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Jan 15 2012 | away | Triestina | 0-3 | lost | over |
| Jan 08 2012 | home | Bassano Virtus | 1-0 | won | under |
| Dec 18 2011 | away | FeralpiSalo | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Dec 11 2011 | home | Siracusa | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Dec 04 2011 | away | Pergocrema | 2-0 | won | under |
| Nov 27 2011 | home | Portosummaga | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Nov 20 2011 | home | Carrarese | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Nov 13 2011 | away | Trapani | 3-1 | won | over |
Summary: 3-5-2 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 2.10 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 11-10
Last 10 Matches At Home:
| Jan 22 2012 | home | Prato | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Jan 08 2012 | home | Bassano Virtus | 1-0 | won | under |
| Dec 11 2011 | home | Siracusa | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Nov 27 2011 | home | Portosummaga | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Nov 20 2011 | home | Carrarese | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Nov 06 2011 | home | Latina | 2-1 | won | over |
| Oct 23 2011 | home | Andria BAT | 2-1 | won | over |
| Oct 12 2011 | home | Spezia | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Sep 25 2011 | home | Barletta | 2-1 | won | over |
| Sep 11 2011 | home | Triestina | 3-2 | won | over |
Summary: 5-4-1 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 12-8
Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 21 6-5-10 23-28 23
› At away: 11 1-3-7 7-15 6
Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 11-10
› At away: 4-7
Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.10 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.64 goals per match
Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.33 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.36 goals per match
Form:
› Overall:
DLWLLL
1-1-4
› Away:
DLLLLL
0-1-5
ELO Rating: 1361.6
Last 10 Matches Overall:
| Jan 29 2012 | away | Prato | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Jan 22 2012 | home | Südtirol | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Jan 15 2012 | away | Spezia | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Jan 09 2012 | home | Barletta | 2-1 | won | over |
| Dec 18 2011 | away | Siracusa | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Dec 11 2011 | home | FeralpiSalo | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Dec 04 2011 | away | Portosummaga | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Nov 27 2011 | home | Bassano Virtus | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Nov 20 2011 | away | Pergocrema | 0-3 | lost | over |
| Nov 13 2011 | away | Piacenza | 1-1 | draw | under |
Summary: 1-2-7 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.20 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 7-15
Last 10 Matches Away:
| Jan 29 2012 | away | Prato | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Jan 15 2012 | away | Spezia | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Dec 18 2011 | away | Siracusa | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Dec 04 2011 | away | Portosummaga | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Nov 20 2011 | away | Pergocrema | 0-3 | lost | over |
| Nov 13 2011 | away | Piacenza | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Oct 30 2011 | away | Trapani | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Oct 16 2011 | away | Andria BAT | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Oct 09 2011 | away | Carrarese | 1-0 | won | under |
| Sep 18 2011 | away | Südtirol | 0-1 | lost | under |
Summary: 1-3-6 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.10 Median score: 1.00 Goals: 7-14
| Aug 28 2005 | Frosinone - Lanciano | 1-0 | homewin | under |
| Jan 09 2006 | Lanciano - Frosinone | 0-2 | awaywin | under |
| Oct 02 2011 | Frosinone - Lanciano | 2-1 | homewin | over |
Summary (overall): 2-0-1 O-U: 1-2 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00
Summary (3 years): 1-0-0 O-U: 1-0 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.00
Trend: Frosinone is 3-0-0
Trend 3 years: Frosinone is 1-0-0
| Jan 09 2006 | Lanciano - Frosinone | 0-2 | awaywin | under |
Summary (overall): 0-0-1 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00
Summary (3 years): 0-0-0 O-U: 0-0 Avg. score: 0 Median score: 0.00
Trend: Frosinone is 1-0-0
Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.