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Consensus:
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Novara - Atalanta (0 - 0):
2011/2012
Vital Stats and Trends Summary:
› Trends favouring homewin (Novara) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Atalanta) (Trends: 3 Stars: 4)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 22 Stars: 33)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 9 Stars: 14)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 9 Stars: 19)
› Novara home:
2-5-5
13-21
› Novara form:
1-1-4
3-10
› Home form:
0-3-3
4-11
› Atalanta away:
3-4-4
14-18
› Atalanta form:
2-1-3
3-6
› Away form:
1-3-2
6-8
News:
Novara
2013-05-26 Empoli-Livorno finale per la A Novara ko, Brescia solo pari
Empoli-Livorno finale per la A Novara ko, Brescia solo pari Niente ribaltone nei match di ritorno: doppio Saponara nel 4-1 dell'Empoli, Paulinho firma il pari col Brescia
2013-05-22 Paulinho riprende il Brescia: 1-1 Pari anche tra Novara ed Empoli
Paulinho riprende il Brescia: 1-1 Pari anche tra Novara ed Empoli Semifinali di andata: la squadra di Calori passa in vantaggio con Caracciolo, poi pareggia i conti il brasiliano del Livorno. Nell'altra sfida, Buzzegoli su rigore risponde a Maccarone
Atalanta
2013-06-17 Juventus gaat overstag en neemt huurling voor 4,8 miljoen euro over
Federico Peluso speelt ook vanaf komend seizoen voor Juventus. De club uit Turijn meldt maandagavond via de officiële kanalen dat de centrumverdediger annex linksback definitief van Atalanta is overge...
2013-06-09 La Lazio è campione d'Italia Atalanta travolta in finale: 3-0
La Lazio è campione d'Italia Atalanta travolta in finale: 3-0 La squadra di Bollini trionfa a Gubbio con doppietta di Cataldi e gol di Tounkara. L'ultimo titolo biancoceleste risaliva al 2000-01
2013-06-06 Atalanta in finale con la Lazio Un gol di Cais gela il Milan
Atalanta in finale con la Lazio Un gol di Cais gela il Milan Contro la Lazio domenica per la conquista dello scudetto di categoria. I rossoneri di Dolcetti spingono, ma i nerazzurri colpiscono alla prima vera occasione
2013-05-19 Atalanta denied winning finale
A late goal from Cyril Thereau denied Atalanta a winning end to the Serie A season as Chievo took home a 2-2 draw.
2013-05-19 Thereau salva il Chievo al 92' Atalanta beffata all'ultimo respiro
Thereau salva il Chievo al 92' Atalanta beffata all'ultimo respiro Finisce 2-2 l'anticipo dell'ultima giornata di A. In gol Stendardo, Giorgi e doppietta del francese
Team Status:
We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.
Overall
› Novara: Downtrend
Form: 1-1-4
(4 points, 0.67 avg)
Last 30 matches: 6-10-14
(28 points, 0.93 avg)
› Atalanta: Neutral
Form: 2-1-3
(7 points, 1.17 avg)
Last 30 matches: 10-12-8
(42 points, 1.40 avg)
Home/Away
› Novara: Downtrend
Home form: 0-3-3
(3 points, 0.50 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 3-6-6
(15 points, 1.00 avg)
› Atalanta: Neutral
Away form: 1-3-2
(6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 4-6-5
(18 points, 1.20 avg)
Table:
| Home | Away | All | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | Goals | Matches | Goals | Matches | Goals | |||||||||||||||||
| All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | ||
| 1 | AC Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 5 | 24 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 23 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 45 | 20 | 47 |
| 2 | Juventus | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 25 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 21 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 33 | 13 | 46 |
| 3 | Lazio | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 20 | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 24 | 42 |
| 4 | Udinese | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 7 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 41 |
| 5 | Napoli | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 41 | 24 | 37 |
| 6 | Inter Milan | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 36 |
| 7 | Roma | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 27 | 35 |
| 8 | Atalanta | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 13 | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | Palermo | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 14 | 27 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 4 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 34 | 31 |
| 10 | Cagliari | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 24 | 30 |
| 11 | Genoa | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 23 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 7 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 31 | 43 | 30 |
| 12 | Fiorentina | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 21 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 28 |
| 13 | Parma | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 18 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 9 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 31 | 27 |
| 14 | Chievo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 9 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 30 | 27 |
| 15 | Catania | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 26 | 26 |
| 16 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 25 |
| 17 | Siena | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 5 | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 22 | 23 |
| 18 | Lecce | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 12 | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 38 | 18 |
| 19 | Cesena | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 7 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 34 | 16 |
| 20 | Novara | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 5 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 42 | 16 |
Simulator:
The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.
› Homewin: 19% (value odds 5.13)
› Awaywin: 31% (value odds 3.24)
› Draw: 50% (value odds 2.01)
› Over: 42% (value odds 2.39)
› Under: 58% (value odds 1.72)
Expected Score:
› Novara: 1.05
› Atalanta: 1.30
› Total: 2.35
› Over: 47%
› Under: 53%
Team Trends:
When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.
Trends favouring homewin (Novara) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
Trends favouring awaywin (Atalanta) (Trends: 3 Stars: 4)
| › Novara playing in weekend the current season. | [lost | 11/ | 18] | [61.11%] | [1*] |
| › Atalanta playing against defensively poor teams the current season. | [won | 5/ | 7] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Atalanta playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. | [won | 13/ | 21] | [61.90%] | [1*] |
Trends favouring draw (Trends: 22 Stars: 33)
| › Novara playing against average teams the current season. | [draw | 4/ | 11] | [36.36%] | [1*] |
| › Novara playing against average awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 13/ | 27] | [48.15%] | [3*] |
| › Novara playing against offensively poor teams the current season. | [draw | 4/ | 11] | [36.36%] | [1*] |
| › Novara playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 24/ | 63] | [38.10%] | [1*] |
| › Novara playing against offensively average awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 6/ | 17] | [35.29%] | [1*] |
| › Novara playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. | [draw | 7/ | 19] | [36.84%] | [1*] |
| › Novara playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. | [draw | 3/ | 8] | [37.50%] | [1*] |
| › Novara playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. | [draw | 5/ | 12] | [41.67%] | [2*] |
| › Novara playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 39/ | 103] | [37.86%] | [1*] |
| › Novara playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 22/ | 52] | [42.31%] | [2*] |
| › Novara playing in weekend at home the current season. | [draw | 3/ | 8] | [37.50%] | [1*] |
| › Novara playing in February the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 4/ | 10] | [40.00%] | [2*] |
| › Novara playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 30/ | 84] | [35.71%] | [1*] |
| › Novara playing in weekend at home the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 17/ | 40] | [42.50%] | [2*] |
| › Novara after playing under 2 matches in a row the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 3/ | 7] | [42.86%] | [2*] |
| › Atalanta playing against offensively poor teams the current season. | [draw | 4/ | 11] | [36.36%] | [1*] |
| › Atalanta playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. | [draw | 9/ | 23] | [39.13%] | [1*] |
| › Atalanta playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. | [draw | 4/ | 11] | [36.36%] | [1*] |
| › Atalanta playing in weekend the current season. | [draw | 8/ | 19] | [42.11%] | [2*] |
| › Atalanta playing in weekend at away the current season. | [draw | 4/ | 10] | [40.00%] | [2*] |
| › Atalanta playing in February the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 4/ | 11] | [36.36%] | [1*] |
| › Atalanta after playing under 2 matches in a row the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 4/ | 8] | [50.00%] | [3*] |
Trends favouring over (Trends: 9 Stars: 14)
| › Novara playing against average teams the current season. | [over | 8/ | 11] | [72.73%] | [2*] |
| › Novara playing against defensively average teams the current season. | [over | 7/ | 11] | [63.64%] | [1*] |
| › Novara playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 10/ | 15] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Novara playing against offensively poor teams the current season. | [over | 7/ | 11] | [63.64%] | [1*] |
| › Atalanta playing against poor teams the current season. | [over | 5/ | 7] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Atalanta playing against offensively poor teams the current season. | [over | 7/ | 11] | [63.64%] | [1*] |
| › Atalanta playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. | [over | 8/ | 11] | [72.73%] | [2*] |
| › Atalanta playing in weekend at away the current season. | [over | 7/ | 10] | [70.00%] | [2*] |
| › Atalanta playing against defensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 8/ | 11] | [72.73%] | [2*] |
Trends favouring under (Trends: 9 Stars: 19)
| › Novara playing against average awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 17/ | 27] | [62.96%] | [1*] |
| › Novara playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [under | 62/ | 103] | [60.19%] | [1*] |
| › Novara playing in February the last 3 seasons. | [under | 8/ | 10] | [80.00%] | [3*] |
| › Novara after playing under 2 matches in a row the last 3 seasons. | [under | 7/ | 7] | [100.00%] | [4*] |
| › Novara after drawing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. | [under | 10/ | 15] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Atalanta playing against poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 8/ | 13] | [61.54%] | [1*] |
| › Atalanta playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 13/ | 20] | [65.00%] | [1*] |
| › Atalanta playing in February the last 3 seasons. | [under | 9/ | 11] | [81.82%] | [3*] |
| › Atalanta after playing under 2 matches in a row the last 3 seasons. | [under | 8/ | 8] | [100.00%] | [4*] |
ELO Ratings:
The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.
Novara
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1373.6
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1303.8
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1232.2
› Current ELO Rating: 1227.8
Atalanta
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1497.7
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1466.1
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1435.5
› Current ELO Rating: 1435.7
| Match | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novara | 1500.0 | 1484.4 | 1500.3 | 1484.3 | 1480.0 | 1458.7 | 1440.1 | 1433.8 | 1432.7 | 1412.3 | 1394.3 | 1402.9 | 1382.3 | 1373.6 | 1350.7 | 1342.8 | 1320.1 | 1303.8 | 1276.9 | 1255.8 | 1232.2 | 1222.1 | 1227.8 |
| Atalanta | 1500.0 | 1510.4 | 1525.1 | 1534.9 | 1518.0 | 1512.7 | 1526.6 | 1519.9 | 1501.3 | 1511.6 | 1510.8 | 1506.5 | 1503.6 | 1497.7 | 1495.4 | 1505.0 | 1482.7 | 1466.1 | 1442.8 | 1451.3 | 1435.5 | 1425.3 | 1435.7 |
Power Ratings:
A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.
Novara
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.75
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.57
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.42
› Current Power Rating: 9.45
Atalanta
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.03
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.00
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.95
› Current Power Rating: 9.97
| Match | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novara | 10.00 | 9.97 | 10.03 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 9.95 | 9.88 | 9.88 | 9.88 | 9.82 | 9.80 | 9.82 | 9.75 | 9.75 | 9.70 | 9.70 | 9.62 | 9.57 | 9.50 | 9.45 | 9.42 | 9.42 | 9.45 |
| Atalanta | 10.00 | 10.03 | 10.05 | 10.08 | 10.03 | 10.03 | 10.05 | 10.05 | 10.00 | 10.03 | 10.03 | 10.03 | 10.03 | 10.03 | 10.03 | 10.10 | 10.05 | 10.00 | 9.95 | 9.97 | 9.95 | 9.95 | 9.97 |
Systems:
Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.
› Point Ratio System: -0.27 (indicates awaywin)› Game Form System: -8 (indicates awaywin)
› Weighted Form System: -7 (indicates awaywin)
› Goal Superiority System: -10 (indicates awaywin) (last 10)
› Goal Superiority System: -4 (indicates awaywin) (last 6)
› Scoring Ability System: -4 (indicates draw) (last 10)
› Scoring Ability System: 0 (indicates draw) (last 6)
› Percentage Win System: 27% (homewin) 39% (draw) 34% (awaywin)
› Defensor System: 0.67 (indicates awaywin)
Stats for hometeam (Novara):
Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 23 3-7-13 20-42 16
› At home: 12 2-5-5 13-21 11
Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 13-10
› At home: 7-5
Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.87 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.08 goals per match
Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.83 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.75 goals per match
Form:
› Overall:
LLLLDW
1-1-4
› Home:
DDLLLD
0-3-3
ELO Rating: 1227.8
Last 10 Matches Overall:
| Feb 12 2012 | away | Inter Milan | 1-0 | won | under |
| Feb 05 2012 | home | Cagliari | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Feb 02 2012 | home | Chievo | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Jan 29 2012 | away | Palermo | 0-2 | lost | under |
| Jan 22 2012 | home | AC Milan | 0-3 | lost | over |
| Jan 15 2012 | away | Cesena | 1-3 | lost | over |
| Jan 08 2012 | home | Fiorentina | 0-3 | lost | over |
| Dec 21 2011 | home | Palermo | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Dec 18 2011 | away | Juventus | 0-2 | lost | under |
| Dec 11 2011 | home | Napoli | 1-1 | draw | under |
Summary: 1-3-6 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.40 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 6-18
Last 10 Matches At Home:
| Feb 05 2012 | home | Cagliari | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Feb 02 2012 | home | Chievo | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Jan 22 2012 | home | AC Milan | 0-3 | lost | over |
| Jan 08 2012 | home | Fiorentina | 0-3 | lost | over |
| Dec 21 2011 | home | Palermo | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Dec 11 2011 | home | Napoli | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Nov 26 2011 | home | Parma | 2-1 | won | over |
| Nov 05 2011 | home | Roma | 0-2 | lost | under |
| Oct 26 2011 | home | Siena | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Oct 16 2011 | home | Bologna | 0-2 | lost | under |
Summary: 1-4-5 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.40 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 7-17
Stats for awayteam (Atalanta):
Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 23 8-9-6 26-27 33
› At away: 11 3-4-4 14-18 13
Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 10-13
› At away: 8-3
Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.13 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.27 goals per match
Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.17 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.64 goals per match
Form:
› Overall:
LLWLDW
2-1-3
› Away:
DDDLWL
1-3-2
ELO Rating: 1435.7
Last 10 Matches Overall:
| Feb 15 2012 | home | Genoa | 1-0 | won | under |
| Feb 12 2012 | home | Lecce | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Feb 05 2012 | away | Palermo | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Jan 29 2012 | away | Cesena | 1-0 | won | under |
| Jan 21 2012 | home | Juventus | 0-2 | lost | under |
| Jan 15 2012 | away | Lazio | 0-2 | lost | under |
| Jan 08 2012 | home | AC Milan | 0-2 | lost | under |
| Dec 21 2011 | home | Cesena | 4-1 | won | over |
| Dec 17 2011 | away | Fiorentina | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Dec 11 2011 | home | Catania | 1-1 | draw | under |
Summary: 3-3-4 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 2.20 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 10-12
Last 10 Matches Away:
| Feb 05 2012 | away | Palermo | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Jan 29 2012 | away | Cesena | 1-0 | won | under |
| Jan 15 2012 | away | Lazio | 0-2 | lost | under |
| Dec 17 2011 | away | Fiorentina | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Dec 04 2011 | away | Chievo | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Nov 20 2011 | away | Siena | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Oct 30 2011 | away | Bologna | 1-3 | lost | over |
| Oct 23 2011 | away | Parma | 2-1 | won | over |
| Oct 01 2011 | away | Roma | 1-3 | lost | over |
| Sep 21 2011 | away | Lecce | 2-1 | won | over |
Summary: 3-3-4 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 2.80 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 12-16
History:
Overall History
| Oct 13 2010 | Novara - Atalanta | 2-0 | homewin | under |
| Mar 07 2011 | Atalanta - Novara | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Sep 25 2011 | Atalanta - Novara | 2-1 | homewin | over |
Summary (overall): 2-1-0 O-U: 1-2 Avg. score: 2.33 Median score: 2.00
Summary (3 years): 2-1-0 O-U: 1-2 Avg. score: 2.33 Median score: 2.00
Trend: Neither team is favoured based on history.
Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.
Home - Away History
| Oct 13 2010 | Novara - Atalanta | 2-0 | homewin | under |
Summary (overall): 1-0-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00
Summary (3 years): 1-0-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00
Trend: Novara is 1-0-0
Trend 3 years: Novara is 1-0-0