Braintree Town vs Kettering | Blue Square Premier

Braintree Town - Kettering (2 - 1):

Blue Square Premier (England)
2011/2012

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Braintree Town) (Trends: 12 Stars: 21)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Kettering) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 3 Stars: 5)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 15 Stars: 27)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)

› Braintree Town home: 8-4-4 29-24
› Braintree Town form: 1-3-2 8-10
› Home form: 3-2-1 8-8

› Kettering away: 3-3-10 12-38
› Kettering form: 2-0-4 6-14
› Away form: 0-0-6 2-25

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Braintree Town: Neutral
Form: 1-3-2 (6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 30 matches: 11-6-13 (39 points, 1.30 avg)

› Kettering: Uptrend
Form: 2-0-4 (6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 30 matches: 6-6-18 (24 points, 0.80 avg)

Home/Away

› Braintree Town: Neutral
Home form: 3-2-1 (11 points, 1.83 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 7-4-4 (25 points, 1.67 avg)

› Kettering: Downtrend
Away form: 0-0-6 (0 points, 0.00 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 3-3-9 (12 points, 0.80 avg)

Table:

		Home							Away							All
		Matches				Goals			Matches				Goals			Matches				Goals
		All	W	D	L	For	Aga	Pts	All	W	D	L	For	Aga	Pts	All	W	D	L	For	Aga	Pts
1	Fleetwood Town	17	10	6	1	39	19	36	16	13	1	2	37	18	40	33	23	7	3	76	37	76
2	Wrexham	17	13	2	2	36	11	41	15	10	3	2	24	9	33	32	23	5	4	60	20	74
3	Luton	17	11	3	3	36	10	36	16	6	8	2	26	18	26	33	17	11	5	62	28	62
4	York	17	9	4	4	38	20	31	16	6	8	2	27	16	26	33	15	12	6	65	36	57
5	Southport	17	7	5	5	25	31	26	16	9	2	5	26	24	29	33	16	7	10	51	55	55
6	Grimsby	16	10	2	4	43	20	32	16	6	4	6	21	25	22	32	16	6	10	64	45	54
7	Kidderminster	17	7	7	3	31	21	28	16	8	2	6	27	24	26	33	15	9	9	58	45	54
8	Gateshead	16	6	7	3	28	23	25	17	9	2	6	25	25	29	33	15	9	9	53	48	54
9	Mansfield	16	8	5	3	33	21	29	16	5	8	3	19	16	23	32	13	13	6	52	37	52
10	Barrow	17	11	4	2	32	13	37	16	4	2	10	20	34	14	33	15	6	12	52	47	51
11	Cambridge United	15	8	4	3	23	10	28	16	5	6	5	17	18	21	31	13	10	8	40	28	49
12	Forest Green	17	6	5	6	23	20	23	16	6	7	3	23	12	25	33	12	12	9	46	32	48
13	Braintree Town	16	8	4	4	29	24	28	17	4	3	10	25	35	15	33	12	7	14	54	59	43
14	Tamworth	15	7	4	4	24	19	25	17	4	4	9	16	31	16	32	11	8	13	40	50	41
15	Ebbsfleet United	16	5	5	6	25	24	20	17	5	5	7	26	33	20	33	10	10	13	51	57	40
16	Darlington	16	7	4	5	16	13	25	18	3	4	11	19	36	13	34	10	8	16	35	49	38
17	Newport County	16	5	4	7	15	16	19	17	3	5	9	25	32	14	33	8	9	16	40	48	33
18	Lincoln	16	5	5	6	20	20	20	17	3	3	11	15	29	12	33	8	8	17	35	49	32
19	Telford	16	6	4	6	15	17	22	16	1	6	9	17	30	9	32	7	10	15	32	47	31
20	Stockport	17	4	6	7	23	26	18	17	1	8	8	15	31	11	34	5	14	15	38	57	29
21	Alfreton Town	16	5	4	7	26	37	19	16	2	3	11	15	31	9	32	7	7	18	41	68	28
22	Kettering	17	4	4	9	21	36	16	16	3	3	10	12	38	12	33	7	7	19	33	74	28
23	Hayes & Yeading	16	4	3	9	21	32	15	17	3	3	11	24	39	12	33	7	6	20	45	71	27
24	Bath City	17	3	4	10	19	29	13	16	0	5	11	11	37	5	33	3	9	21	30	66	18

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 60% (value odds 1.66)

› Awaywin: 12% (value odds 8.33)

› Draw: 28% (value odds 3.61)

› Over: 79% (value odds 1.26)

› Under: 21% (value odds 4.85)

Expected Score:

› Braintree Town: 1.96

› Kettering: 1.23

› Total: 3.19

› Over: 64%

› Under: 36%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Braintree Town) (Trends: 12 Stars: 21)

› Braintree Town playing against defensively poor awayteams the current season.	[won	6/	10]	[60.00%]	[1*]
› Braintree Town playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons.	[won	17/	25]	[68.00%]	[1*]
› Braintree Town playing against poor awayteams the last 3 seasons.	[won	10/	14]	[71.43%]	[2*]
› Braintree Town playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons.	[won	8/	12]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Braintree Town after winning in their last homematch the last 3 seasons.	[won	11/	15]	[73.33%]	[2*]
› Kettering playing against good hometeams the current season.	[lost	7/	7]	[100.00%]	[4*]
› Kettering playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons.	[lost	16/	23]	[69.57%]	[1*]
› Kettering playing against offensively good teams the current season.	[lost	13/	17]	[76.47%]	[2*]
› Kettering playing against offensively good hometeams the current season.	[lost	7/	9]	[77.78%]	[2*]
› Kettering playing against teams with average elo rating the current season.	[lost	19/	31]	[61.29%]	[1*]
› Kettering playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season.	[lost	10/	15]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Kettering after conceeding 2 or more in their last 4 or more awaymatches the last 3 seasons.	[lost	5/	6]	[83.33%]	[3*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Kettering) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring awaywin.

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 3 Stars: 5)

› Braintree Town playing against offensively poor teams the current season.	[draw	4/	10]	[40.00%]	[2*]
› Braintree Town playing in February the last 3 seasons.	[draw	6/	16]	[37.50%]	[1*]
› Kettering playing against defensively poor teams the current season.	[draw	4/	10]	[40.00%]	[2*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 15 Stars: 27)

› Braintree Town playing against poor awayteams the current season.	[over	5/	6]	[83.33%]	[3*]
› Braintree Town playing against defensively poor teams the current season.	[over	8/	11]	[72.73%]	[2*]
› Braintree Town playing against defensively poor awayteams the current season.	[over	7/	10]	[70.00%]	[2*]
› Braintree Town playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons.	[over	23/	37]	[62.16%]	[1*]
› Braintree Town playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons.	[over	15/	25]	[60.00%]	[1*]
› Braintree Town playing against offensively poor teams the current season.	[over	6/	10]	[60.00%]	[1*]
› Braintree Town playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season.	[over	12/	19]	[63.16%]	[1*]
› Braintree Town playing against teams with average elo rating the current season.	[over	20/	31]	[64.52%]	[1*]
› Braintree Town playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season.	[over	10/	15]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Kettering playing against good hometeams the current season.	[over	7/	7]	[100.00%]	[4*]
› Kettering playing against offensively good teams the current season.	[over	15/	17]	[88.24%]	[3*]
› Kettering playing against offensively good hometeams the current season.	[over	7/	9]	[77.78%]	[2*]
› Kettering playing against teams with average elo rating the current season.	[over	21/	31]	[67.74%]	[1*]
› Kettering playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season.	[over	10/	15]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Kettering after conceeding 2 or more in their last 4 or more awaymatches the last 3 seasons.	[over	5/	6]	[83.33%]	[3*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)

› Braintree Town after winning in their last homematch the last 3 seasons.	[under	10/	15]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Kettering playing against hometeams with average form the last 6 matches the current season.	[under	6/	9]	[66.67%]	[1*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Braintree Town
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1409.3
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1396.0
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1370.2

› Current ELO Rating: 1341.5

Kettering
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1273.9
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1197.3
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1181.2

› Current ELO Rating: 1131.1

ELO Trend
Match	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32	33
Braintree Town	1485.0	1506.3	1501.0	1522.0	1506.7	1485.4	1494.9	1507.0	1514.6	1526.8	1551.3	1564.8	1545.5	1529.9	1509.1	1498.0	1482.7	1496.1	1495.5	1474.8	1466.1	1450.9	1433.6	1409.3	1416.4	1398.4	1405.5	1396.0	1385.8	1361.5	1370.2	1363.2	1341.5
Kettering	1510.8	1495.3	1493.7	1473.9	1458.9	1453.7	1433.1	1455.5	1434.2	1418.6	1430.8	1410.6	1387.3	1385.9	1391.8	1404.5	1386.3	1381.8	1357.5	1351.8	1331.8	1307.5	1283.2	1273.9	1265.2	1240.4	1213.0	1197.3	1169.4	1171.9	1181.2	1157.8	1131.1

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Braintree Town
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.93
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.93
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.90

› Current Power Rating: 9.88

Kettering
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.42
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.12
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.10

› Current Power Rating: 8.97

Power Rating Trend
Match	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32	33
Braintree Town	9.97	10.10	10.10	10.15	10.10	10.07	10.10	10.12	10.15	10.18	10.28	10.33	10.30	10.20	10.18	10.18	10.15	10.20	10.20	10.10	10.10	10.08	10.00	9.93	9.95	9.90	9.93	9.93	9.93	9.88	9.90	9.90	9.88
Kettering	10.03	10.00	10.00	9.90	9.83	9.83	9.80	9.85	9.80	9.78	9.80	9.75	9.72	9.72	9.75	9.78	9.72	9.72	9.70	9.70	9.67	9.60	9.42	9.42	9.42	9.30	9.17	9.12	9.05	9.07	9.10	9.03	8.97

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 1.00 (indicates draw)

› Game Form System: -5 (indicates awaywin)

› Weighted Form System: -10 (indicates awaywin)

› Goal Superiority System: 13 (indicates homewin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 6 (indicates homewin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 6 (indicates homewin) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 2 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 56% (homewin) 22% (draw) 22% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: -0.67 (indicates homewin)

Stats for hometeam (Braintree Town):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 33 12-7-14 54-59 43
› At home: 16 8-4-4 29-24 28

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 21-12
› At home: 11-5

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.64 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.81 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.79 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.50 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DDLWDL 1-3-2
› Home: DLWWDW 3-2-1

ELO Rating: 1341.5

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 18 2012	away	Telford	0-1	lost	under
Feb 14 2012	away	Lincoln	3-3	draw	over
Jan 28 2012	home	Barrow	1-0	won	under
Jan 24 2012	away	Fleetwood Town	1-3	lost	over
Jan 21 2012	home	Stockport	2-2	draw	over
Jan 07 2012	away	Bath City	1-1	draw	under
Jan 01 2012	home	Cambridge United	3-2	won	over
Dec 26 2011	away	Cambridge United	0-2	lost	under
Dec 17 2011	home	Telford	2-1	won	over
Dec 06 2011	home	Hayes & Yeading	0-3	lost	over

Summary: 3-3-4 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 3.10 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 13-18

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Jan 28 2012	home	Barrow	1-0	won	under
Jan 21 2012	home	Stockport	2-2	draw	over
Jan 01 2012	home	Cambridge United	3-2	won	over
Dec 17 2011	home	Telford	2-1	won	over
Dec 06 2011	home	Hayes & Yeading	0-3	lost	over
Nov 26 2011	home	Wrexham	0-0	draw	under
Nov 19 2011	home	Forest Green	1-5	lost	over
Oct 22 2011	home	Darlington	3-1	won	over
Oct 15 2011	home	Bath City	3-3	draw	over
Oct 01 2011	home	Fleetwood Town	1-2	lost	over

Summary: 4-3-3 O-U: 8-2 Avg. score: 3.50 Median score: 4.00 Goals: 16-19

Stats for awayteam (Kettering):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 33 7-7-19 33-74 28
› At away: 16 3-3-10 12-38 12

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 21-12
› At away: 10-6

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.00 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.75 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 2.24 goals per match
› At away: allowing 2.38 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LLWWLL 2-0-4
› Away: LLLLLL 0-0-6

ELO Rating: 1131.1

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 21 2012	home	Forest Green	1-3	lost	over
Feb 18 2012	away	Barrow	0-3	lost	over
Jan 28 2012	home	Lincoln	1-0	won	under
Jan 24 2012	home	Gateshead	2-1	won	over
Jan 21 2012	away	Wrexham	1-4	lost	over
Jan 07 2012	away	Telford	1-3	lost	over
Jan 01 2012	home	Luton	0-5	lost	over
Dec 26 2011	away	Luton	0-5	lost	over
Dec 17 2011	home	Bath City	1-1	draw	under
Dec 06 2011	home	Darlington	0-0	draw	under

Summary: 2-2-6 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 3.20 Median score: 4.00 Goals: 7-25

Last 10 Matches Away:

Feb 18 2012	away	Barrow	0-3	lost	over
Jan 21 2012	away	Wrexham	1-4	lost	over
Jan 07 2012	away	Telford	1-3	lost	over
Dec 26 2011	away	Luton	0-5	lost	over
Dec 03 2011	away	York	0-7	lost	over
Nov 29 2011	away	Fleetwood Town	0-3	lost	over
Nov 18 2011	away	Tamworth	2-2	draw	over
Oct 18 2011	away	Newport County	1-3	lost	over
Oct 15 2011	away	Forest Green	1-0	won	under
Oct 08 2011	away	Alfreton Town	1-1	draw	under

Summary: 1-2-7 O-U: 8-2 Avg. score: 3.80 Median score: 4.00 Goals: 7-31

History:

Overall History

Oct 11 2011

Kettering - Braintree Town

2-1

homewin

over

Summary (overall): 1-0-0 O-U: 1-0 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 1-0-0 O-U: 1-0 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.00

Trend: Kettering is 1-0-0

Trend 3 years: Kettering is 1-0-0

Home - Away History

No previous history registered for these teams.

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