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Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw
       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

Nea Salamis - Ethnikos Achna (1 - 0):

1 Division (Cyprus)
2011/2012

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Nea Salamis) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Ethnikos Achna) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 16 Stars: 37)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 19 Stars: 43)

› Nea Salamis home: 3-3-4 11-14
› Nea Salamis form: 1-2-3 10-17
› Home form: 2-2-2 8-8

› Ethnikos Achna away: 1-5-4 4-9
› Ethnikos Achna form: 2-2-2 5-5
› Away form: 1-3-2 3-5

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Nea Salamis: Downtrend
Form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 6-6-8 (24 points, 1.20 avg)

› Ethnikos Achna: Uptrend
Form: 2-2-2 (8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 30 matches: 5-6-9 (21 points, 1.05 avg)

Home/Away

› Nea Salamis: Neutral
Home form: 2-2-2 (8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 3-3-4 (12 points, 1.20 avg)

› Ethnikos Achna: Uptrend
Away form: 1-3-2 (6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 1-5-4 (8 points, 0.80 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 AEL 10 6 3 1 9 5 21 10 7 2 1 15 2 23 20 13 5 2 24 7 44
2 Omonia Nicosia 10 7 1 2 19 7 22 10 6 3 1 16 5 21 20 13 4 3 35 12 43
3 APOEL 10 7 2 1 15 4 23 10 6 2 2 16 5 20 20 13 4 3 31 9 43
4 Anorthosis 10 4 3 3 9 6 15 10 7 2 1 13 3 23 20 11 5 4 22 9 38
5 Apollon 10 7 0 3 17 11 21 10 3 2 5 8 14 11 20 10 2 8 25 25 32
6 AEK 10 5 4 1 16 6 19 10 3 3 4 10 10 12 20 8 7 5 26 16 31
7 Alki 10 6 0 4 17 12 18 10 2 3 5 8 18 9 20 8 3 9 25 30 27
8 Nea Salamis 10 3 3 4 11 14 12 10 3 3 4 15 22 12 20 6 6 8 26 36 24
9 Olympiakos 10 1 5 4 8 13 8 10 4 3 3 12 12 15 20 5 8 7 20 25 23
10 Aris 10 4 3 3 12 8 15 10 1 3 6 8 16 6 20 5 6 9 20 24 21
11 Ethnikos Achna 10 4 1 5 9 9 13 10 1 5 4 4 9 8 20 5 6 9 13 18 21
12 Enosis 9 3 2 4 6 9 11 10 3 1 6 6 9 10 19 6 3 10 12 18 21
13 Anagennisi 10 1 3 6 8 15 6 10 0 2 8 5 21 2 20 1 5 14 13 36 8
14 Ermis 10 1 4 5 8 18 7 9 0 0 9 1 18 0 19 1 4 14 9 36 7

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 19% (value odds 5.40)

› Awaywin: 19% (value odds 5.40)

› Draw: 63% (value odds 1.59)

› Over: 27% (value odds 3.75)

› Under: 73% (value odds 1.36)

Expected Score:

› Nea Salamis: 1.12

› Ethnikos Achna: 1.37

› Total: 2.49


› Over: 50%

› Under: 50%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Nea Salamis) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring homewin.

Trends favouring awaywin (Ethnikos Achna) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring awaywin.

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 16 Stars: 37)

› Nea Salamis playing against defensively good teams the current season. [draw 4/ 10] [40.00%] [2*]
› Nea Salamis playing against defensively good awayteams the current season. [draw 3/ 6] [50.00%] [3*]
› Nea Salamis playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 10] [40.00%] [2*]
› Nea Salamis playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 3/ 6] [50.00%] [3*]
› Nea Salamis playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [draw 4/ 11] [36.36%] [1*]
› Nea Salamis playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 11] [36.36%] [1*]
› Nea Salamis playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 4/ 9] [44.44%] [2*]
› Nea Salamis playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 3/ 6] [50.00%] [3*]
› Ethnikos Achna playing against offensively poor hometeams the current season. [draw 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Ethnikos Achna playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Ethnikos Achna playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 5/ 10] [50.00%] [3*]
› Ethnikos Achna playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 10] [50.00%] [3*]
› Ethnikos Achna playing in weekend the current season. [draw 6/ 17] [35.29%] [1*]
› Ethnikos Achna playing in weekend at away the current season. [draw 5/ 10] [50.00%] [3*]
› Ethnikos Achna playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 17] [35.29%] [1*]
› Ethnikos Achna playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 10] [50.00%] [3*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring over.

Trends favouring under (Trends: 19 Stars: 43)

› Nea Salamis playing against defensively good teams the current season. [under 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Nea Salamis playing against defensively good awayteams the current season. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Nea Salamis playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Nea Salamis playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Nea Salamis playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [under 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Nea Salamis playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [under 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Nea Salamis playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Ethnikos Achna playing against offensively average teams the current season. [under 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Ethnikos Achna playing against offensively poor hometeams the current season. [under 6/ 6] [100.00%] [4*]
› Ethnikos Achna playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Ethnikos Achna playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 6] [100.00%] [4*]
› Ethnikos Achna playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 15/ 20] [75.00%] [2*]
› Ethnikos Achna playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [under 8/ 10] [80.00%] [3*]
› Ethnikos Achna playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 15/ 20] [75.00%] [2*]
› Ethnikos Achna playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 8/ 10] [80.00%] [3*]
› Ethnikos Achna playing in weekend the current season. [under 12/ 17] [70.59%] [2*]
› Ethnikos Achna playing in weekend at away the current season. [under 8/ 10] [80.00%] [3*]
› Ethnikos Achna playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. [under 12/ 17] [70.59%] [2*]
› Ethnikos Achna playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. [under 8/ 10] [80.00%] [3*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Nea Salamis
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1471.7
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1422.3
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1410.8

› Current ELO Rating: 1388.0

Ethnikos Achna
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1389.7
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1386.6
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1389.6

› Current ELO Rating: 1344.3

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Nea Salamis 1480.8 1479.3 1490.1 1503.9 1498.9 1513.3 1492.6 1473.7 1481.4 1476.9 1471.7 1450.6 1464.4 1445.2 1422.3 1416.5 1428.2 1410.8 1405.7 1388.0
Ethnikos Achna 1480.8 1480.6 1475.0 1458.2 1438.4 1422.6 1399.0 1406.4 1402.7 1377.4 1389.7 1406.2 1399.4 1378.7 1386.6 1383.2 1389.7 1389.6 1367.8 1344.3

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Nea Salamis
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.98
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.85
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.78

› Current Power Rating: 9.75

Ethnikos Achna
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.82
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.90
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.92

› Current Power Rating: 9.87

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Nea Salamis 9.93 9.93 9.95 9.98 9.98 10.00 9.98 9.95 9.98 9.98 9.98 9.95 9.98 9.93 9.85 9.85 9.93 9.78 9.78 9.75
Ethnikos Achna 9.97 9.97 9.97 9.95 9.92 9.87 9.80 9.82 9.82 9.80 9.82 9.92 9.92 9.87 9.90 9.90 9.92 9.92 9.90 9.87

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.40 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: -1 (indicates draw)

› Weighted Form System: -5 (indicates awaywin)

› Goal Superiority System: -12 (indicates awaywin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: -7 (indicates awaywin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 5 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 5 (indicates homewin) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 35% (homewin) 40% (draw) 25% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 2.00 (indicates awaywin)

Stats for hometeam (Nea Salamis):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 20 6-6-8 26-36 24
› At home: 10 3-3-4 11-14 12

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 11-9
› At home: 4-6

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.30 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.10 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.80 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.40 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LDWLDL 1-2-3
› Home: WDLLWD 2-2-2

ELO Rating: 1388.0

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 11 2012 away Apollon 2-3 lost over
Feb 05 2012 home Olympiakos 1-1 draw under
Jan 29 2012 away AEK 0-6 lost over
Jan 22 2012 home Anagennisi 5-2 won over
Jan 15 2012 away Ermis 2-2 draw over
Jan 07 2012 home Anorthosis 0-3 lost over
Dec 16 2011 away AEL 0-2 lost under
Dec 11 2011 away Aris 3-2 won over
Dec 04 2011 home Alki 0-1 lost under
Nov 28 2011 away Omonia Nicosia 2-2 draw over

Summary: 2-3-5 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 3.90 Median score: 4.00 Goals: 15-24

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Feb 05 2012 home Olympiakos 1-1 draw under
Jan 22 2012 home Anagennisi 5-2 won over
Jan 07 2012 home Anorthosis 0-3 lost over
Dec 04 2011 home Alki 0-1 lost under
Nov 20 2011 home Enosis 1-1 draw under
Nov 06 2011 home APOEL 1-0 won under
Oct 23 2011 home Apollon 1-2 lost over
Oct 03 2011 home AEK 1-1 draw under
Sep 18 2011 home Ermis 1-0 won under
Aug 27 2011 home AEL 0-3 lost over

Summary: 3-3-4 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 0.00 Goals: 11-14

Stats for awayteam (Ethnikos Achna):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 20 5-6-9 13-18 21
› At away: 10 1-5-4 4-9 8

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 5-15
› At away: 2-8

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.65 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.40 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 0.90 goals per match
› At away: allowing 0.90 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WDWDLL 2-2-2
› Away: WDLDDL 1-3-2

ELO Rating: 1344.3

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 10 2012 away APOEL 1-2 lost over
Feb 04 2012 home Apollon 0-1 lost under
Jan 28 2012 away Olympiakos 1-1 draw under
Jan 23 2012 home AEK 1-0 won under
Jan 14 2012 away Anagennisi 0-0 draw under
Jan 07 2012 home Ermis 2-1 won over
Dec 16 2011 away Anorthosis 0-2 lost under
Dec 10 2011 away AEL 0-0 draw under
Dec 04 2011 home Aris 4-0 won over
Nov 27 2011 away Alki 1-0 won under

Summary: 4-3-3 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 1.70 Median score: 1.00 Goals: 10-7

Last 10 Matches Away:

Feb 10 2012 away APOEL 1-2 lost over
Jan 28 2012 away Olympiakos 1-1 draw under
Jan 14 2012 away Anagennisi 0-0 draw under
Dec 16 2011 away Anorthosis 0-2 lost under
Dec 10 2011 away AEL 0-0 draw under
Nov 27 2011 away Alki 1-0 won under
Nov 05 2011 away Enosis 0-0 draw under
Oct 15 2011 away Apollon 0-2 lost under
Sep 24 2011 away AEK 1-2 lost over
Sep 10 2011 away Ermis 0-0 draw under

Summary: 1-5-4 O-U: 2-8 Avg. score: 1.30 Median score: 0.00 Goals: 4-9

History:

Overall History

Oct 31 2011 Ethnikos Achna - Nea Salamis 1-0 homewin under

Summary (overall): 1-0-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 1.00 Median score: 1.00

Summary (3 years): 1-0-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 1.00 Median score: 1.00

Trend: Ethnikos Achna is 1-0-0

Trend 3 years: Ethnikos Achna is 1-0-0

Home - Away History

No previous history registered for these teams.