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Adelaide United - Sydney FC (1 - 2):
2011/2012
Vital Stats and Trends Summary:
› Trends favouring homewin (Adelaide United) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Sydney FC) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 13 Stars: 24)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 12 Stars: 17)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 5 Stars: 5)
› Adelaide United home:
2-4-5
8-18
› Adelaide United form:
1-2-3
7-11
› Home form:
0-2-4
3-14
› Sydney FC away:
3-4-3
12-13
› Sydney FC form:
2-2-2
10-12
› Away form:
1-2-3
8-11
News:
Adelaide United
Sydney FC
2013-06-06 Antonis set for Parma switch
Sydney FC have accepted an offer from Parma to sign Australian starlet Terry Antonis.
2013-06-05 Antonis's Parma move confirmed
Terry Antonis is finally free to join Parma FC after his A-League side Sydney FC accepted the Italian club's transfer payment structure.
2013-05-28 Carle pumped for Sydney return
Nicky Carle is determined to prove his worth at Sydney FC when he returns to the club next season after a year in the UAE.
2013-05-23 Mariners lose Bojic, maybe Sainsbury
Central Coast Mariners' squad is already starting to break-up, with Pedj Bojic likely to join Sydney FC and Trent Sainsbury flying to Basel.
Team Status:
We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.
Overall
› Adelaide United: Downtrend
Form: 1-2-3
(5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 9-9-12
(36 points, 1.20 avg)
› Sydney FC: Neutral
Form: 2-2-2
(8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 30 matches: 11-10-9
(43 points, 1.43 avg)
Home/Away
› Adelaide United: Downtrend
Home form: 0-2-4
(2 points, 0.33 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 4-4-7
(16 points, 1.07 avg)
› Sydney FC: Downtrend
Away form: 1-2-3
(5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 5-7-3
(22 points, 1.47 avg)
Table:
| Home | Away | All | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | Goals | Matches | Goals | Matches | Goals | |||||||||||||||||
| All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | ||
| 1 | CC Mariners | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 21 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Brisbane | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 9 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 22 | 35 |
| 3 | Wellington Phoenix | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 24 | 33 |
| 4 | Perth Glory | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 15 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 31 |
| 5 | Melbourne Heart | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 30 |
| 6 | Newcastle Jets | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 32 | 28 |
| 7 | Sydney FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 35 | 27 |
| 8 | Melbourne Victory | 12 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 19 | 14 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 5 | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 26 | 31 | 25 |
| 9 | Adelaide United | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 10 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 36 | 23 |
| 10 | Gold Coast United | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 6 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 33 | 15 |
Simulator:
The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.
› Homewin: 27% (value odds 3.64)
› Awaywin: 30% (value odds 3.33)
› Draw: 43% (value odds 2.35)
› Over: 68% (value odds 1.47)
› Under: 32% (value odds 3.12)
Expected Score:
› Adelaide United: 1.30
› Sydney FC: 1.58
› Total: 2.88
› Over: 58%
› Under: 42%
Team Trends:
When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.
Trends favouring homewin (Adelaide United) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
Trends favouring awaywin (Sydney FC) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
| › Sydney FC playing against defensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [won | 5/ | 8] | [62.50%] | [1*] |
Trends favouring draw (Trends: 13 Stars: 24)
| › Adelaide United playing against average teams the current season. | [draw | 6/ | 9] | [66.67%] | [3*] |
| › Adelaide United playing against defensively poor teams the current season. | [draw | 3/ | 7] | [42.86%] | [2*] |
| › Adelaide United playing against offensively average teams the current season. | [draw | 4/ | 7] | [57.14%] | [3*] |
| › Adelaide United playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 8/ | 21] | [38.10%] | [1*] |
| › Adelaide United playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. | [draw | 3/ | 7] | [42.86%] | [2*] |
| › Adelaide United playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. | [draw | 4/ | 8] | [50.00%] | [3*] |
| › Adelaide United playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. | [draw | 8/ | 20] | [40.00%] | [2*] |
| › Adelaide United playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. | [draw | 4/ | 11] | [36.36%] | [1*] |
| › Adelaide United playing in weekend the current season. | [draw | 6/ | 17] | [35.29%] | [1*] |
| › Sydney FC playing against teams with poor form the last 6 matches the current season. | [draw | 3/ | 7] | [42.86%] | [2*] |
| › Sydney FC playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. | [draw | 4/ | 10] | [40.00%] | [2*] |
| › Sydney FC playing in weekend at away the current season. | [draw | 3/ | 8] | [37.50%] | [1*] |
| › Sydney FC playing against poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 5/ | 13] | [38.46%] | [1*] |
Trends favouring over (Trends: 12 Stars: 17)
| › Adelaide United playing against defensively poor teams the current season. | [over | 5/ | 7] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Adelaide United playing against defensively average awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 9/ | 14] | [64.29%] | [1*] |
| › Adelaide United playing against offensively average awayteams the current season. | [over | 4/ | 6] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Adelaide United playing in weekend at home the current season. | [over | 6/ | 10] | [60.00%] | [1*] |
| › Sydney FC playing against defensively poor teams the current season. | [over | 6/ | 7] | [85.71%] | [3*] |
| › Sydney FC playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 14/ | 22] | [63.64%] | [1*] |
| › Sydney FC playing against defensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 6/ | 8] | [75.00%] | [2*] |
| › Sydney FC playing against teams with poor form the last 6 matches the current season. | [over | 5/ | 7] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Sydney FC playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. | [over | 13/ | 21] | [61.90%] | [1*] |
| › Sydney FC playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. | [over | 6/ | 10] | [60.00%] | [1*] |
| › Sydney FC playing in February the last 3 seasons. | [over | 5/ | 8] | [62.50%] | [1*] |
| › Sydney FC after drawing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. | [over | 5/ | 8] | [62.50%] | [1*] |
Trends favouring under (Trends: 5 Stars: 5)
| › Adelaide United playing against average teams the current season. | [under | 6/ | 9] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Adelaide United playing against average awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 13/ | 21] | [61.90%] | [1*] |
| › Adelaide United playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 13/ | 21] | [61.90%] | [1*] |
| › Sydney FC playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 16/ | 26] | [61.54%] | [1*] |
| › Sydney FC playing against poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 8/ | 13] | [61.54%] | [1*] |
ELO Ratings:
The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.
Adelaide United
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1415.2
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1418.0
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1370.3
› Current ELO Rating: 1361.5
Sydney FC
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1495.3
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1419.2
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1423.9
› Current ELO Rating: 1411.6
| Match | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide United | 1485.0 | 1495.4 | 1475.6 | 1457.5 | 1453.2 | 1463.0 | 1462.7 | 1458.4 | 1437.2 | 1435.7 | 1415.2 | 1411.5 | 1425.8 | 1419.0 | 1418.0 | 1396.2 | 1391.7 | 1370.3 | 1346.5 | 1361.5 | |
| Sydney FC | 1500.0 | 1480.4 | 1494.7 | 1493.4 | 1504.2 | 1519.1 | 1498.5 | 1481.5 | 1492.3 | 1488.8 | 1502.6 | 1495.3 | 1475.1 | 1459.9 | 1436.5 | 1419.2 | 1414.5 | 1424.1 | 1423.9 | 1403.8 | 1411.6 |
Power Ratings:
A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.
Adelaide United
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.68
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.73
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.63
› Current Power Rating: 9.63
Sydney FC
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.05
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.85
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.88
› Current Power Rating: 9.83
| Match | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide United | 9.97 | 10.00 | 9.97 | 9.82 | 9.82 | 9.85 | 9.85 | 9.85 | 9.75 | 9.75 | 9.68 | 9.68 | 9.73 | 9.73 | 9.73 | 9.70 | 9.70 | 9.63 | 9.60 | 9.63 | |
| Sydney FC | 10.00 | 9.95 | 9.97 | 9.97 | 10.00 | 10.03 | 10.00 | 9.97 | 10.03 | 10.03 | 10.05 | 10.05 | 9.95 | 9.90 | 9.88 | 9.85 | 9.85 | 9.88 | 9.88 | 9.80 | 9.83 |
Systems:
Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.
› Point Ratio System: -0.39 (indicates awaywin)› Game Form System: -2 (indicates draw)
› Weighted Form System: 1 (indicates draw)
› Goal Superiority System: 4 (indicates draw) (last 10)
› Goal Superiority System: -2 (indicates draw) (last 6)
› Scoring Ability System: -1 (indicates draw) (last 10)
› Scoring Ability System: -3 (indicates draw) (last 6)
› Percentage Win System: 24% (homewin) 38% (draw) 38% (awaywin)
› Defensor System: -0.17 (indicates draw)
Stats for hometeam (Adelaide United):
Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 20 4-8-8 21-36 20
› At home: 11 2-4-5 8-18 10
Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 11-9
› At home: 6-5
Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.05 goals per match
› At home: scoring 0.73 goals per match
Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.80 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.64 goals per match
Form:
› Overall:
DLDLLW
1-2-3
› Home:
LLDDLL
0-2-4
ELO Rating: 1361.5
Last 10 Matches Overall:
| Feb 12 2012 | away | Gold Coast United | 2-1 | won | over |
| Feb 03 2012 | home | Wellington Phoenix | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Jan 29 2012 | home | Perth Glory | 0-3 | lost | over |
| Jan 24 2012 | home | Newcastle Jets | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Jan 21 2012 | away | CC Mariners | 2-3 | lost | over |
| Jan 13 2012 | away | Melbourne Victory | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Jan 07 2012 | home | Brisbane | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Jan 04 2012 | away | Melbourne Heart | 3-1 | won | over |
| Dec 22 2011 | away | Sydney FC | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Dec 16 2011 | home | Gold Coast United | 0-3 | lost | over |
Summary: 2-4-4 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 3.10 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 13-18
Last 10 Matches At Home:
| Feb 03 2012 | home | Wellington Phoenix | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Jan 29 2012 | home | Perth Glory | 0-3 | lost | over |
| Jan 24 2012 | home | Newcastle Jets | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Jan 07 2012 | home | Brisbane | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Dec 16 2011 | home | Gold Coast United | 0-3 | lost | over |
| Dec 02 2011 | home | CC Mariners | 0-4 | lost | over |
| Nov 25 2011 | home | Newcastle Jets | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Nov 11 2011 | home | Gold Coast United | 2-1 | won | over |
| Nov 04 2011 | home | Melbourne Heart | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Oct 22 2011 | home | Sydney FC | 1-2 | lost | over |
Summary: 1-4-5 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 7-18
Stats for awayteam (Sydney FC):
Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 21 7-6-8 28-35 27
› At away: 10 3-4-3 12-13 13
Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 13-8
› At away: 6-4
Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.33 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.20 goals per match
Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.67 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.30 goals per match
Form:
› Overall:
LDWDLW
2-2-2
› Away:
LDWLLD
1-2-3
ELO Rating: 1411.6
Last 10 Matches Overall:
| Feb 11 2012 | home | Perth Glory | 2-1 | won | over |
| Feb 05 2012 | home | Newcastle Jets | 2-5 | lost | over |
| Jan 26 2012 | away | Melbourne Victory | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Jan 22 2012 | home | Gold Coast United | 2-1 | won | over |
| Jan 18 2012 | home | Perth Glory | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Jan 14 2012 | away | Brisbane | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Jan 08 2012 | home | CC Mariners | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Jan 04 2012 | away | Wellington Phoenix | 2-4 | lost | over |
| Dec 29 2011 | home | Melbourne Heart | 0-4 | lost | over |
| Dec 22 2011 | home | Adelaide United | 2-2 | draw | over |
Summary: 2-3-5 O-U: 8-2 Avg. score: 3.70 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 14-23
Last 10 Matches Away:
| Jan 26 2012 | away | Melbourne Victory | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Jan 14 2012 | away | Brisbane | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Jan 04 2012 | away | Wellington Phoenix | 2-4 | lost | over |
| Dec 17 2011 | away | Newcastle Jets | 2-1 | won | over |
| Dec 11 2011 | away | Gold Coast United | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Nov 27 2011 | away | Wellington Phoenix | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Nov 12 2011 | away | Perth Glory | 1-0 | won | under |
| Oct 29 2011 | away | Melbourne Heart | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Oct 22 2011 | away | Adelaide United | 2-1 | won | over |
| Oct 08 2011 | away | Melbourne Victory | 0-0 | draw | under |
Summary: 3-4-3 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 12-13
History:
Overall History
| Oct 09 2005 | Sydney FC - Adelaide United | 2-1 | homewin | over |
| Nov 27 2005 | Adelaide United - Sydney FC | 3-2 | homewin | over |
| Feb 03 2006 | Sydney FC - Adelaide United | 2-1 | homewin | over |
| Oct 02 2006 | Adelaide United - Sydney FC | 1-4 | awaywin | over |
| Nov 19 2006 | Sydney FC - Adelaide United | 2-1 | homewin | over |
| Jan 14 2007 | Adelaide United - Sydney FC | 1-0 | homewin | under |
| Sep 01 2007 | Sydney FC - Adelaide United | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Oct 20 2007 | Sydney FC - Adelaide United | 0-1 | awaywin | under |
| Dec 28 2007 | Adelaide United - Sydney FC | 1-3 | awaywin | over |
| Sep 20 2008 | Sydney FC - Adelaide United | 3-0 | homewin | over |
| Nov 22 2008 | Adelaide United - Sydney FC | 2-0 | homewin | under |
| Jan 03 2009 | Adelaide United - Sydney FC | 2-0 | homewin | under |
| Aug 16 2009 | Sydney FC - Adelaide United | 1-0 | homewin | under |
| Oct 16 2009 | Adelaide United - Sydney FC | 2-1 | homewin | over |
| Dec 27 2009 | Sydney FC - Adelaide United | 1-0 | homewin | under |
| Sep 04 2010 | Sydney FC - Adelaide United | 1-3 | awaywin | over |
| Oct 04 2010 | Sydney FC - Adelaide United | 1-2 | awaywin | over |
| Dec 29 2010 | Adelaide United - Sydney FC | 2-0 | homewin | under |
| Oct 22 2011 | Adelaide United - Sydney FC | 1-2 | awaywin | over |
| Dec 22 2011 | Sydney FC - Adelaide United | 2-2 | draw | over |
Summary (overall): 12-2-6 O-U: 13-7 Avg. score: 2.85 Median score: 3.00
Summary (3 years): 4-1-3 O-U: 5-3 Avg. score: 2.62 Median score: 3.00
Trend: Neither team is favoured based on history.
Trend 3 years: Adelaide United is 4-1-3
Home - Away History
| Nov 27 2005 | Adelaide United - Sydney FC | 3-2 | homewin | over |
| Oct 02 2006 | Adelaide United - Sydney FC | 1-4 | awaywin | over |
| Jan 14 2007 | Adelaide United - Sydney FC | 1-0 | homewin | under |
| Dec 28 2007 | Adelaide United - Sydney FC | 1-3 | awaywin | over |
| Nov 22 2008 | Adelaide United - Sydney FC | 2-0 | homewin | under |
| Jan 03 2009 | Adelaide United - Sydney FC | 2-0 | homewin | under |
| Oct 16 2009 | Adelaide United - Sydney FC | 2-1 | homewin | over |
| Dec 29 2010 | Adelaide United - Sydney FC | 2-0 | homewin | under |
| Oct 22 2011 | Adelaide United - Sydney FC | 1-2 | awaywin | over |
Summary (overall): 6-0-3 O-U: 5-4 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.00
Summary (3 years): 2-0-1 O-U: 2-1 Avg. score: 2.67 Median score: 3.00
Trend: Adelaide United is 6-0-3
Trend 3 years: Adelaide United is 2-0-1