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Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw
       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

Adelaide United - Sydney FC (1 - 2):

A-League (Australia)
2011/2012

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Adelaide United) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Sydney FC) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 13 Stars: 24)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 12 Stars: 17)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 5 Stars: 5)

› Adelaide United home: 2-4-5 8-18
› Adelaide United form: 1-2-3 7-11
› Home form: 0-2-4 3-14

› Sydney FC away: 3-4-3 12-13
› Sydney FC form: 2-2-2 10-12
› Away form: 1-2-3 8-11

News:

Adelaide United

2014-04-23 Reds’ Mr Fix-it wins top award

MIDFIELDER Isaias Sanchez was rewarded for a standout debut season at Adelaide United with the Reds’ club champion award on Wednesday night.

2014-04-19 A-League: Central Coast Mariners 1 Adelaide United 0

Central Coast Mariners kept their A-League title defence on track with a narrow 1-0 win over Adelaide United on Saturday.

2014-04-19 Live blog: Central Coast v Adelaide

CENTRAL Coast hosts Adelaide United with a spot in the A-League semi finals up for grabs. Follow our live blog of the action here.

2014-04-18 Adelaide United wants trophy now

ADELAIDE United captain Eugene Galekovic’s says his players desperately want to win this A-League championship now, not next season.

2014-04-17 A-League elimination finals teams

GET all the teams news for the two A-League elimination finals - Melbourne Victory v Sydney FC and Central Coast v Adelaide United.

2014-04-15 Moss: We can expose the Reds

MARINERS boss Phil Moss says Adelaide United has deficiencies worth manipulating in the elimination final at Gosford on Saturday.

2014-04-14 Talented trio miss United training

MARCELOA Carrusca, Bruce Djite and Jordan Elsey missed Adelaide United training on Monday - but Josep Gombau isn’t worried.

2014-04-13 Adelaide youngster on the move

JACOB Melling has become the seventh player to be released during Josep Gombau’s 11 month tenure at Adelaide United.

2014-04-12 ‘Positive spin pointless without a win’

FORMER Adelaide United coach John Kosmina says the Reds wasted golden opportunity in their loss to Newcastle Jets.

2014-04-12 Gombau needs until 2017 with Reds

EXCLUSIVE: Josep Gombau has revealed a bold plan to steer Adelaide United until 2017 in a dramatic boost to the club ahead of an uncertain A-League finals campaign.

Sydney FC

2014-04-23 Farina sacked by Sydney FC

Frank Farina has been sacked as Sydney FC head coach following the club's fifth-place finish in the A-League and early finals exit.

2014-04-23 Sydney FC sacks coach Farina

FRANK Farina has paid the price for another season of underperformance at Sydney FC, sacked less than a day after the club’s awards night.

2014-04-22 Petkovic Sydney FC’s player of the year

HE only joined on the eve of the season, but Sydney FC defender Nikola Petkovic was rewarded by being named the Sky Blues’ player of the year.

2014-04-19 ‘Time for big decisions at Sydney FC’

The moves Sydney FC chief executive Tony Pignata make now will not only shape the direction of the team, but also football in this city.

2014-04-18 Season over, focus shifts to ADP future

WITH the season over for Sydney FC after the loss to Victory, the Sky Blues’ focus turns to the future of marquee Alessandro Del Piero.

2014-04-18 92nd minute drama as Victory prevails

GUI Finkler’s dramatic injury time goal knocks Sydney FC out of the A-League finals and advances Melbourne Victory into the semis.

2014-04-18 Live A-League finals: Victory v Sydney

LIVE: Let the finals begin! Follow the blockbuster A-League final between Melbourne Victory and Sydney FC in our online blog and Match Centre here!

2014-04-17 Boz: Sydney to win biggest game yet

MARK Bosnich breaks down the Big Blue - a game he says is the biggest of the season - and tips Sydney FC to shade Melbourne Victory.

2014-04-17 A-League elimination finals teams

GET all the teams news for the two A-League elimination finals - Melbourne Victory v Sydney FC and Central Coast v Adelaide United.

2014-04-16 Pressure like no other at ‘Bling FC’

THE Sky high expectations at ‘Bling FC’ means the Sydney FC coaching position is one of the most pressurised positions in football.

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Adelaide United: Downtrend
Form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 9-9-12 (36 points, 1.20 avg)

› Sydney FC: Neutral
Form: 2-2-2 (8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 30 matches: 11-10-9 (43 points, 1.43 avg)

Home/Away

› Adelaide United: Downtrend
Home form: 0-2-4 (2 points, 0.33 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 4-4-7 (16 points, 1.07 avg)

› Sydney FC: Downtrend
Away form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 5-7-3 (22 points, 1.47 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 CC Mariners 10 5 4 1 14 8 19 10 7 0 3 18 10 21 20 12 4 4 32 18 40
2 Brisbane 10 6 1 3 23 9 19 11 4 4 3 15 13 16 21 10 5 6 38 22 35
3 Wellington Phoenix 12 7 1 4 22 14 22 9 3 2 4 7 10 11 21 10 3 8 29 24 33
4 Perth Glory 9 5 1 3 17 10 16 12 4 3 5 14 17 15 21 9 4 8 31 27 31
5 Melbourne Heart 11 4 3 4 14 13 15 11 4 3 4 16 17 15 22 8 6 8 30 30 30
6 Newcastle Jets 10 6 1 3 18 11 19 11 2 3 6 12 21 9 21 8 4 9 30 32 28
7 Sydney FC 11 4 2 5 16 22 14 10 3 4 3 12 13 13 21 7 6 8 28 35 27
8 Melbourne Victory 12 4 8 0 19 14 20 9 1 2 6 7 17 5 21 5 10 6 26 31 25
9 Adelaide United 12 3 4 5 10 18 13 9 2 4 3 13 18 10 21 5 8 8 23 36 23
10 Gold Coast United 8 2 3 3 8 8 9 13 1 3 9 13 25 6 21 3 6 12 21 33 15

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 27% (value odds 3.64)

› Awaywin: 30% (value odds 3.33)

› Draw: 43% (value odds 2.35)

› Over: 68% (value odds 1.47)

› Under: 32% (value odds 3.12)

Expected Score:

› Adelaide United: 1.30

› Sydney FC: 1.58

› Total: 2.88


› Over: 58%

› Under: 42%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Adelaide United) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring homewin.

Trends favouring awaywin (Sydney FC) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Sydney FC playing against defensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [won 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 13 Stars: 24)

› Adelaide United playing against average teams the current season. [draw 6/ 9] [66.67%] [3*]
› Adelaide United playing against defensively poor teams the current season. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Adelaide United playing against offensively average teams the current season. [draw 4/ 7] [57.14%] [3*]
› Adelaide United playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 8/ 21] [38.10%] [1*]
› Adelaide United playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Adelaide United playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 4/ 8] [50.00%] [3*]
› Adelaide United playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 8/ 20] [40.00%] [2*]
› Adelaide United playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 4/ 11] [36.36%] [1*]
› Adelaide United playing in weekend the current season. [draw 6/ 17] [35.29%] [1*]
› Sydney FC playing against teams with poor form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Sydney FC playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 4/ 10] [40.00%] [2*]
› Sydney FC playing in weekend at away the current season. [draw 3/ 8] [37.50%] [1*]
› Sydney FC playing against poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 13] [38.46%] [1*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 12 Stars: 17)

› Adelaide United playing against defensively poor teams the current season. [over 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Adelaide United playing against defensively average awayteams the last 3 seasons. [over 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Adelaide United playing against offensively average awayteams the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Adelaide United playing in weekend at home the current season. [over 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Sydney FC playing against defensively poor teams the current season. [over 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Sydney FC playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [over 14/ 22] [63.64%] [1*]
› Sydney FC playing against defensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 6/ 8] [75.00%] [2*]
› Sydney FC playing against teams with poor form the last 6 matches the current season. [over 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Sydney FC playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [over 13/ 21] [61.90%] [1*]
› Sydney FC playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [over 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Sydney FC playing in February the last 3 seasons. [over 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Sydney FC after drawing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [over 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 5 Stars: 5)

› Adelaide United playing against average teams the current season. [under 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Adelaide United playing against average awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 13/ 21] [61.90%] [1*]
› Adelaide United playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [under 13/ 21] [61.90%] [1*]
› Sydney FC playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 16/ 26] [61.54%] [1*]
› Sydney FC playing against poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 8/ 13] [61.54%] [1*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Adelaide United
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1415.2
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1418.0
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1370.3

› Current ELO Rating: 1361.5

Sydney FC
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1495.3
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1419.2
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1423.9

› Current ELO Rating: 1411.6

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Adelaide United 1485.0 1495.4 1475.6 1457.5 1453.2 1463.0 1462.7 1458.4 1437.2 1435.7 1415.2 1411.5 1425.8 1419.0 1418.0 1396.2 1391.7 1370.3 1346.5 1361.5
Sydney FC 1500.0 1480.4 1494.7 1493.4 1504.2 1519.1 1498.5 1481.5 1492.3 1488.8 1502.6 1495.3 1475.1 1459.9 1436.5 1419.2 1414.5 1424.1 1423.9 1403.8 1411.6

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Adelaide United
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.68
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.73
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.63

› Current Power Rating: 9.63

Sydney FC
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.05
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.85
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.88

› Current Power Rating: 9.83

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Adelaide United 9.97 10.00 9.97 9.82 9.82 9.85 9.85 9.85 9.75 9.75 9.68 9.68 9.73 9.73 9.73 9.70 9.70 9.63 9.60 9.63
Sydney FC 10.00 9.95 9.97 9.97 10.00 10.03 10.00 9.97 10.03 10.03 10.05 10.05 9.95 9.90 9.88 9.85 9.85 9.88 9.88 9.80 9.83

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: -0.39 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: -2 (indicates draw)

› Weighted Form System: 1 (indicates draw)

› Goal Superiority System: 4 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: -2 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: -1 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: -3 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 24% (homewin) 38% (draw) 38% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: -0.17 (indicates draw)

Stats for hometeam (Adelaide United):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 20 4-8-8 21-36 20
› At home: 11 2-4-5 8-18 10

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 11-9
› At home: 6-5

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.05 goals per match
› At home: scoring 0.73 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.80 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.64 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DLDLLW 1-2-3
› Home: LLDDLL 0-2-4

ELO Rating: 1361.5

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 12 2012 away Gold Coast United 2-1 won over
Feb 03 2012 home Wellington Phoenix 1-2 lost over
Jan 29 2012 home Perth Glory 0-3 lost over
Jan 24 2012 home Newcastle Jets 1-1 draw under
Jan 21 2012 away CC Mariners 2-3 lost over
Jan 13 2012 away Melbourne Victory 1-1 draw under
Jan 07 2012 home Brisbane 1-1 draw under
Jan 04 2012 away Melbourne Heart 3-1 won over
Dec 22 2011 away Sydney FC 2-2 draw over
Dec 16 2011 home Gold Coast United 0-3 lost over

Summary: 2-4-4 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 3.10 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 13-18

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Feb 03 2012 home Wellington Phoenix 1-2 lost over
Jan 29 2012 home Perth Glory 0-3 lost over
Jan 24 2012 home Newcastle Jets 1-1 draw under
Jan 07 2012 home Brisbane 1-1 draw under
Dec 16 2011 home Gold Coast United 0-3 lost over
Dec 02 2011 home CC Mariners 0-4 lost over
Nov 25 2011 home Newcastle Jets 0-0 draw under
Nov 11 2011 home Gold Coast United 2-1 won over
Nov 04 2011 home Melbourne Heart 1-1 draw under
Oct 22 2011 home Sydney FC 1-2 lost over

Summary: 1-4-5 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 7-18

Stats for awayteam (Sydney FC):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 21 7-6-8 28-35 27
› At away: 10 3-4-3 12-13 13

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 13-8
› At away: 6-4

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.33 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.20 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.67 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.30 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LDWDLW 2-2-2
› Away: LDWLLD 1-2-3

ELO Rating: 1411.6

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 11 2012 home Perth Glory 2-1 won over
Feb 05 2012 home Newcastle Jets 2-5 lost over
Jan 26 2012 away Melbourne Victory 2-2 draw over
Jan 22 2012 home Gold Coast United 2-1 won over
Jan 18 2012 home Perth Glory 1-1 draw under
Jan 14 2012 away Brisbane 1-2 lost over
Jan 08 2012 home CC Mariners 0-1 lost under
Jan 04 2012 away Wellington Phoenix 2-4 lost over
Dec 29 2011 home Melbourne Heart 0-4 lost over
Dec 22 2011 home Adelaide United 2-2 draw over

Summary: 2-3-5 O-U: 8-2 Avg. score: 3.70 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 14-23

Last 10 Matches Away:

Jan 26 2012 away Melbourne Victory 2-2 draw over
Jan 14 2012 away Brisbane 1-2 lost over
Jan 04 2012 away Wellington Phoenix 2-4 lost over
Dec 17 2011 away Newcastle Jets 2-1 won over
Dec 11 2011 away Gold Coast United 0-0 draw under
Nov 27 2011 away Wellington Phoenix 1-2 lost over
Nov 12 2011 away Perth Glory 1-0 won under
Oct 29 2011 away Melbourne Heart 1-1 draw under
Oct 22 2011 away Adelaide United 2-1 won over
Oct 08 2011 away Melbourne Victory 0-0 draw under

Summary: 3-4-3 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 12-13

History:

Overall History

Oct 09 2005 Sydney FC - Adelaide United 2-1 homewin over
Nov 27 2005 Adelaide United - Sydney FC 3-2 homewin over
Feb 03 2006 Sydney FC - Adelaide United 2-1 homewin over
Oct 02 2006 Adelaide United - Sydney FC 1-4 awaywin over
Nov 19 2006 Sydney FC - Adelaide United 2-1 homewin over
Jan 14 2007 Adelaide United - Sydney FC 1-0 homewin under
Sep 01 2007 Sydney FC - Adelaide United 2-2 draw over
Oct 20 2007 Sydney FC - Adelaide United 0-1 awaywin under
Dec 28 2007 Adelaide United - Sydney FC 1-3 awaywin over
Sep 20 2008 Sydney FC - Adelaide United 3-0 homewin over
Nov 22 2008 Adelaide United - Sydney FC 2-0 homewin under
Jan 03 2009 Adelaide United - Sydney FC 2-0 homewin under
Aug 16 2009 Sydney FC - Adelaide United 1-0 homewin under
Oct 16 2009 Adelaide United - Sydney FC 2-1 homewin over
Dec 27 2009 Sydney FC - Adelaide United 1-0 homewin under
Sep 04 2010 Sydney FC - Adelaide United 1-3 awaywin over
Oct 04 2010 Sydney FC - Adelaide United 1-2 awaywin over
Dec 29 2010 Adelaide United - Sydney FC 2-0 homewin under
Oct 22 2011 Adelaide United - Sydney FC 1-2 awaywin over
Dec 22 2011 Sydney FC - Adelaide United 2-2 draw over

Summary (overall): 12-2-6 O-U: 13-7 Avg. score: 2.85 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 4-1-3 O-U: 5-3 Avg. score: 2.62 Median score: 3.00

Trend: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Trend 3 years: Adelaide United is 4-1-3

Home - Away History

Nov 27 2005 Adelaide United - Sydney FC 3-2 homewin over
Oct 02 2006 Adelaide United - Sydney FC 1-4 awaywin over
Jan 14 2007 Adelaide United - Sydney FC 1-0 homewin under
Dec 28 2007 Adelaide United - Sydney FC 1-3 awaywin over
Nov 22 2008 Adelaide United - Sydney FC 2-0 homewin under
Jan 03 2009 Adelaide United - Sydney FC 2-0 homewin under
Oct 16 2009 Adelaide United - Sydney FC 2-1 homewin over
Dec 29 2010 Adelaide United - Sydney FC 2-0 homewin under
Oct 22 2011 Adelaide United - Sydney FC 1-2 awaywin over

Summary (overall): 6-0-3 O-U: 5-4 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 2-0-1 O-U: 2-1 Avg. score: 2.67 Median score: 3.00

Trend: Adelaide United is 6-0-3

Trend 3 years: Adelaide United is 2-0-1