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Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw
       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

Millwall - Middlesbrough (1 - 3):

Championship League (England)
2011/2012

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Millwall) (Trends: 1 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Middlesbrough) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 14 Stars: 24)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 18 Stars: 23)

› Millwall home: 5-6-5 17-18
› Millwall form: 1-2-3 6-13
› Home form: 1-2-3 1-9

› Middlesbrough away: 7-3-4 18-18
› Middlesbrough form: 1-2-3 5-11
› Away form: 2-2-2 8-11

News:

Millwall

2014-07-25 Millwall snap up Gueye

Millwall have signed former Everton winger Magaye Gueye after he underwent a successful trial with the Championship club.

2014-07-25 Lions sign ex-Everton striker Gueye

Millwall sign striker Magaye Gueye on a free transfer as the former Everton man agrees an initial one-year deal.

2014-07-21 Lowry moves to Orient

Leyton Orient have completed the signing of defender Shane Lowry from Millwall.

2014-07-17 Orient leading Lowry chase

Sky Sports understands that Leyton Orient are leading the chase for former Millwall defender Shane Lowry.

2014-07-16 Millwall confirm Fuller signing

Millwall have signed Ricardo Fuller on a one-year contract after the striker left Blackpool earlier this summer.

2014-07-08 Smith raring to go

AFC Wimbledon's new signing Jack Smith is excited by the prospect of regular football after a "pretty miserable" year at Millwall.

2014-07-06 'Who does he think he is?' - Holloway slams Wilshere & tells him to learn from Van Persie

The Millwall manager is furious at the poor attitude shown by England players at World Cup 2014, with the Arsenal star's reaction to being substituted against Costa Rica telling

Middlesbrough

2014-07-29 Middlesbrough eye Saville move

Sky Sports understands Middlesbrough are lining up a move for Chelsea midfielder George Saville.

2014-07-28 Husband set for Middlesbrough

Sky Sports understands Middlesbrough are poised to sign Doncaster Rovers defender James Husband, subject to a medical.

2014-07-26 Kike on target in Boro win

Summer signing Kike scored his first goal for Middlesbrough on English soil as Boro beat Rochdale 3-1 at Spotland.

2014-07-25 Karanka chasing a right-back

Middlesbrough boss Aitor Karanka has made the acquisition of a new right-back this summer a top priority.

2014-07-25 Spurs appoint Ehiogu as under-21 boss

Tottenham announce that former Aston Villa and Middlesbrough defender Ugo Ehiogu will coach their under-21 side.

2014-07-25 Soccer-Ehiogu appointed Tottenham Under-21 coach

LONDON, July 25 (Reuters) - Former Aston Villa and Middlesbrough defender Ugo Ehiogu has been appointed coach of Tottenham Hotspur's Under-21 side, the Premier League club announced on Friday. Ehiogu, who was capped four times by England, had been working part-time with the club's academy. Earlier in the week, Spurs also named former captain Ledley King in a part-time coaching role with the Under-18 side. (Reporting by Josh Reich; Editing by John O'Brien)

2014-07-24 Omeruo: Boro a wise move

Kenneth Omeruo believes another loan move to Middlesbrough is the best option for him at this stage of his career following talks with Jose Mourinho and Michael Emenalo.

2014-07-22 Karanka confirms Omeruo return

Middlesbrough boss Aitor Karanka has confirmed that Chelsea defender Kenneth Omeruo is returning to the club.

2014-07-21 Omeruo to rejoin Middlesbrough on loan

Nigeria defender Kenneth Omeruo agrees to return for a second loan spell at Middlesbrough from Chelsea.

2014-07-20 Mourinho volta a emprestar Omeruo a Karanka

José Mourinho decidiu renovar o empréstimo do defesa Kenneth Omeruo ao Middlesbrough de Aitor Karanka.

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Millwall: Neutral
Form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 7-9-14 (30 points, 1.00 avg)

› Middlesbrough: Downtrend
Form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 13-11-6 (50 points, 1.67 avg)

Home/Away

› Millwall: Downtrend
Home form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 4-6-5 (18 points, 1.20 avg)

› Middlesbrough: Downtrend
Away form: 2-2-2 (8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 8-3-4 (27 points, 1.80 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Southampton 17 13 2 2 37 12 41 15 4 6 5 21 20 18 32 17 8 7 58 32 59
2 West Ham 15 9 3 3 25 15 30 15 8 3 4 22 16 27 30 17 6 7 47 31 57
3 Reading 17 9 4 4 24 14 31 14 7 2 5 15 13 23 31 16 6 9 39 27 54
4 Cardiff 15 10 2 3 31 20 32 17 4 9 4 19 19 21 32 14 11 7 50 39 53
5 Blackpool 15 9 4 2 25 11 31 16 5 6 5 27 27 21 31 14 10 7 52 38 52
6 Birmingham City 16 10 6 0 23 6 36 14 4 3 7 24 21 15 30 14 9 7 47 27 51
7 Hull 15 9 1 5 19 13 28 15 6 4 5 12 12 22 30 15 5 10 31 25 50
8 Middlesbrough 16 6 8 2 17 13 26 14 7 3 4 18 18 24 30 13 11 6 35 31 50
9 Brighton & Hove Albion 15 8 4 3 23 14 28 16 6 3 7 13 19 21 31 14 7 10 36 33 49
10 Leeds United 16 8 2 6 25 25 26 16 6 4 6 27 23 22 32 14 6 12 52 48 48
11 Burnley 16 6 5 5 25 16 23 16 8 0 8 19 21 24 32 14 5 13 44 37 47
12 Crystal Palace 15 5 8 2 17 10 23 16 6 2 8 16 20 20 31 11 10 10 33 30 43
13 Leicester City 16 7 4 5 24 18 25 15 4 5 6 18 19 17 31 11 9 11 42 37 42
14 Barnsley 16 8 2 6 28 24 26 15 4 4 7 16 24 16 31 12 6 13 44 48 42
15 Derby County 15 8 2 5 20 15 26 16 4 4 8 13 26 16 31 12 6 13 33 41 42
16 Ipswich Town 15 7 1 7 28 23 22 16 5 3 8 22 34 18 31 12 4 15 50 57 40
17 Watford 16 7 4 5 24 23 25 16 3 6 7 12 24 15 32 10 10 12 36 47 40
18 Peterborough 15 7 2 6 31 25 23 16 3 5 8 19 26 14 31 10 7 14 50 51 37
19 Portsmouth 14 7 3 4 19 11 24 17 2 5 10 14 23 11 31 9 8 14 33 34 35
20 Millwall 16 5 6 5 17 18 21 15 2 4 9 13 23 10 31 7 10 14 30 41 31
21 Bristol City 15 4 4 7 14 20 16 17 4 3 10 13 29 15 32 8 7 17 27 49 31
22 Nottingham Forest 17 4 3 10 14 27 15 14 4 1 9 12 22 13 31 8 4 19 26 49 28
23 Coventry 16 6 4 6 21 19 22 16 0 3 13 7 27 3 32 6 7 19 28 46 25
24 Doncaster Rovers 14 4 5 5 11 15 17 16 2 1 13 15 36 7 30 6 6 18 26 51 24

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 24% (value odds 4.17)

› Awaywin: 31% (value odds 3.20)

› Draw: 45% (value odds 2.23)

› Over: 37% (value odds 2.71)

› Under: 63% (value odds 1.58)

Expected Score:

› Millwall: 1.30

› Middlesbrough: 1.35

› Total: 2.65


› Over: 53%

› Under: 47%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Millwall) (Trends: 1 Stars: 2)

› Millwall after drawing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [won 10/ 14] [71.43%] [2*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Middlesbrough) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Middlesbrough playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [won 17/ 28] [60.71%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 14 Stars: 24)

› Millwall playing against good teams the current season. [draw 6/ 14] [42.86%] [2*]
› Millwall playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 18/ 46] [39.13%] [1*]
› Millwall playing against good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 15] [40.00%] [2*]
› Millwall playing against defensively good teams the current season. [draw 6/ 13] [46.15%] [3*]
› Millwall playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 11/ 25] [44.00%] [2*]
› Millwall playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 8/ 14] [57.14%] [3*]
› Millwall playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 6/ 13] [46.15%] [3*]
› Millwall playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 6/ 16] [37.50%] [1*]
› Millwall playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [draw 11/ 31] [35.48%] [1*]
› Millwall playing in midweek at home the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 17] [35.29%] [1*]
› Middlesbrough playing against poor teams the current season. [draw 3/ 8] [37.50%] [1*]
› Middlesbrough playing against defensively average teams the current season. [draw 5/ 13] [38.46%] [1*]
› Middlesbrough playing against teams with poor form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 4/ 9] [44.44%] [2*]
› Middlesbrough playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 11/ 30] [36.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)

› Middlesbrough playing against poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 13/ 21] [61.90%] [1*]
› Middlesbrough playing in midweek at away the last 3 seasons. [over 13/ 19] [68.42%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 18 Stars: 23)

› Millwall playing against good teams the current season. [under 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Millwall playing against defensively good teams the current season. [under 8/ 13] [61.54%] [1*]
› Millwall playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [under 16/ 25] [64.00%] [1*]
› Millwall playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 10/ 14] [71.43%] [2*]
› Millwall playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [under 10/ 16] [62.50%] [1*]
› Millwall playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 32/ 52] [61.54%] [1*]
› Millwall playing against offensively average awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 15/ 22] [68.18%] [1*]
› Millwall playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [under 10/ 13] [76.92%] [2*]
› Millwall playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [under 10/ 16] [62.50%] [1*]
› Millwall playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [under 19/ 31] [61.29%] [1*]
› Millwall playing in midweek at home the last 3 seasons. [under 13/ 17] [76.47%] [2*]
› Millwall playing in February at home the last 3 seasons. [under 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Middlesbrough playing against defensively average teams the current season. [under 8/ 13] [61.54%] [1*]
› Middlesbrough playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [under 10/ 14] [71.43%] [2*]
› Middlesbrough playing against teams with poor form the last 6 matches the current season. [under 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Middlesbrough playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 19/ 30] [63.33%] [1*]
› Middlesbrough playing in February at away the last 3 seasons. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Middlesbrough after drawing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Millwall
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1366.9
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1312.0
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1285.3

› Current ELO Rating: 1269.5

Middlesbrough
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1524.7
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1520.8
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1471.0

› Current ELO Rating: 1467.3

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
Millwall 1500.0 1515.9 1511.0 1494.1 1489.0 1473.6 1466.6 1449.1 1433.8 1413.5 1407.9 1400.3 1419.4 1433.5 1449.6 1432.9 1410.1 1407.6 1414.1 1395.4 1385.8 1366.9 1375.8 1354.2 1336.0 1312.0 1328.1 1308.6 1285.3 1276.6 1269.5
Middlesbrough 1495.8 1510.3 1530.9 1545.0 1537.2 1556.5 1569.1 1561.7 1554.8 1551.2 1542.3 1521.2 1536.6 1520.4 1531.6 1538.1 1532.3 1528.2 1507.0 1515.4 1524.7 1538.5 1547.5 1538.4 1520.8 1498.0 1472.4 1471.0 1464.3 1467.3

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Millwall
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.92
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.75
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.72

› Current Power Rating: 9.72

Middlesbrough
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.20
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.18
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.08

› Current Power Rating: 10.10

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
Millwall 10.00 10.05 10.05 10.03 10.03 9.95 9.95 9.88 9.85 9.83 9.83 9.83 9.90 9.97 10.05 10.02 10.00 10.00 10.02 9.97 9.97 9.92 9.95 9.92 9.90 9.75 9.80 9.75 9.72 9.72 9.72
Middlesbrough 10.00 10.03 10.08 10.13 10.13 10.18 10.20 10.20 10.20 10.20 10.20 10.15 10.20 10.13 10.18 10.20 10.20 10.20 10.15 10.18 10.20 10.23 10.25 10.25 10.18 10.13 10.08 10.08 10.08 10.10

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: -0.40 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: -5 (indicates awaywin)

› Weighted Form System: -10 (indicates awaywin)

› Goal Superiority System: -7 (indicates awaywin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: -1 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: -4 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 1 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 30% (homewin) 29% (draw) 41% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.33 (indicates awaywin)

Stats for hometeam (Millwall):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 31 7-10-14 30-41 31
› At home: 16 5-6-5 17-18 21

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 14-17
› At home: 6-10

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.97 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.06 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.32 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.12 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LWLLDD 1-2-3
› Home: DWLLLD 1-2-3

ELO Rating: 1269.5

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 14 2012 away Brighton 2-2 draw over
Feb 11 2012 home Derby 0-0 draw under
Feb 04 2012 away West Ham 1-2 lost over
Jan 31 2012 home Watford 0-2 lost under
Jan 21 2012 away Barnsley 3-1 won over
Jan 14 2012 home Birmingham 0-6 lost over
Jan 03 2012 away Bristol City 0-1 lost under
Dec 31 2011 home Crystal Palace 0-1 lost under
Dec 26 2011 home Portsmouth 1-0 won under
Dec 17 2011 away Hull 0-2 lost under

Summary: 2-2-6 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.40 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 7-17

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Feb 11 2012 home Derby 0-0 draw under
Jan 31 2012 home Watford 0-2 lost under
Jan 14 2012 home Birmingham 0-6 lost over
Dec 31 2011 home Crystal Palace 0-1 lost under
Dec 26 2011 home Portsmouth 1-0 won under
Dec 10 2011 home Cardiff 0-0 draw under
Nov 29 2011 home Doncaster 3-2 won over
Nov 20 2011 home Bristol City 1-2 lost over
Nov 01 2011 home Coventry 3-0 won over
Oct 29 2011 home Ipswich 4-1 won over

Summary: 4-2-4 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 12-14

Stats for awayteam (Middlesbrough):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 30 13-11-6 35-31 50
› At away: 14 7-3-4 18-18 24

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 11-19
› At away: 7-7

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.17 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.29 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.03 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.29 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LLLDDW 1-2-3
› Away: DWWLLD 2-2-2

ELO Rating: 1467.3

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 14 2012 home Nottingham Forest 2-1 won over
Feb 04 2012 home Crystal Palace 0-0 draw under
Feb 01 2012 away Leicester 2-2 draw over
Jan 21 2012 away Coventry 1-3 lost over
Jan 14 2012 home Burnley 0-2 lost under
Jan 02 2012 away Blackpool 0-3 lost over
Dec 31 2011 home Peterborough 1-1 draw under
Dec 26 2011 home Hull 1-0 won under
Dec 17 2011 away Cardiff 3-2 won over
Dec 10 2011 home Brighton 1-0 won under

Summary: 4-3-3 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 11-14

Last 10 Matches Away:

Feb 01 2012 away Leicester 2-2 draw over
Jan 21 2012 away Coventry 1-3 lost over
Jan 02 2012 away Blackpool 0-3 lost over
Dec 17 2011 away Cardiff 3-2 won over
Dec 03 2011 away Bristol City 1-0 won under
Nov 26 2011 away Peterborough 1-1 draw under
Nov 01 2011 away Doncaster 3-1 won over
Oct 29 2011 away Southampton 0-3 lost over
Oct 18 2011 away Nottingham Forest 0-2 lost under
Oct 01 2011 away Reading 0-0 draw under

Summary: 3-3-4 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 2.80 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 11-17

History:

Overall History

Oct 24 1993 Millwall - Middlesbrough 1-1 draw under
Feb 06 1994 Middlesbrough - Millwall 4-2 homewin over
Oct 01 1994 Middlesbrough - Millwall 3-0 homewin over
Feb 26 1995 Millwall - Middlesbrough 0-0 draw under
Nov 20 2010 Middlesbrough - Millwall 0-1 awaywin under
Feb 19 2011 Millwall - Middlesbrough 2-3 awaywin over
Oct 15 2011 Middlesbrough - Millwall 1-1 draw under

Summary (overall): 2-3-2 O-U: 3-4 Avg. score: 2.71 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 0-1-2 O-U: 1-2 Avg. score: 2.67 Median score: 2.00

Trend: Middlesbrough is 3-3-1

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Home - Away History

Oct 24 1993 Millwall - Middlesbrough 1-1 draw under
Feb 26 1995 Millwall - Middlesbrough 0-0 draw under
Feb 19 2011 Millwall - Middlesbrough 2-3 awaywin over

Summary (overall): 0-2-1 O-U: 1-2 Avg. score: 2.33 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 0-0-1 O-U: 1-0 Avg. score: 5.00 Median score: 5.00

Trend: Middlesbrough is 1-2-0

Trend 3 years: Middlesbrough is 1-0-0