“Rumors of my death have been greatly exaggerated” - Mark Twain

It’s an incredibly exciting week for PreMatches. We are happy to announce that PreMatches is under new management and effective immediately the operations will resume as usual.

Since its inception, PreMatches has been focused on analysing tens of thousands of soccer games every year and little about this will change. We are still PreMatches; we still post soccer analysis. Moving forward, we will be bringing our technology, tools, and team to PreMatches. We are simply bringing more to the table: more to the community and, importantly, more fresh content and better analysis. In upcoming months you can expect to see lots of new content and refresh of the design.

We would like to thank our customers and partners for all of their support!



Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw
       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

Millwall - Middlesbrough (1 - 3):

Championship League (England)
2011/2012

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Millwall) (Trends: 1 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Middlesbrough) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 14 Stars: 24)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 18 Stars: 23)

› Millwall home: 5-6-5 17-18
› Millwall form: 1-2-3 6-13
› Home form: 1-2-3 1-9

› Middlesbrough away: 7-3-4 18-18
› Middlesbrough form: 1-2-3 5-11
› Away form: 2-2-2 8-11

News:

Millwall

2014-04-18 Middlesboro v Millwall preview

Middlesbrough head coach Aitor Karanka faces more defensive problems ahead of the Sky Bet Championship clash with Millwall.

2014-04-15 Upson ruled out for the season

Millwall midfielder Ed Upson has been ruled out for the rest of the season but Richard Chaplow is closing in on a return to action.

2014-04-14 Lions eye non-league ace

Sky Sports understands Millwall are set to make a decision on non-league striker Connor Calcutt, who has been training with the club this month.

2014-04-12 Sannino angry at late goal

Watford boss Giuseppe Sannino was not surprised to see his team concede another late goal after Millwall snatched a 2-2 draw at The Den.

2014-04-12 Millwall claim last-gasp point

Martyn Woolford struck deep into stoppage time to earn relegation-threatened Millwall a 2-2 draw against Watford at The Den.

2014-04-11 Millwall v Watford preview

Millwall are without Ed Upson for Saturday's Sky Bet Championship clash with Watford at The Den.

2014-04-08 Win was deserved - Holloway

Ian Holloway insisted his Millwall side were good value for their shock 1-0 victory at FA Cup semi-finalists Wigan.

2014-04-08 Millwall hit Wigan's hopes

Carlos Edwards grabbed the only goal midway through the first half as relegation-threatened Millwall beat promotion-chasing Wigan 1-0 in the Sky Bet Championship.

2014-04-07 Wigan v Millwall preview

Wigan welcome Jean Beausejour back from suspension for Tuesday's Sky Bet Championship clash with Millwall at the DW Stadium.

2014-04-05 Holloway reveals secret of win

Ian Holloway revealed that a rare Millwall away win was inspired by a heavy defeat on the training ground this week.

Middlesbrough

2014-04-18 Middlesboro v Millwall preview

Middlesbrough head coach Aitor Karanka faces more defensive problems ahead of the Sky Bet Championship clash with Millwall.

2014-04-17 Griekse doelman getuigt over impact crisis: Spelers vielen flauw van de honger

Doelman Dimitrios Konstantopoulos is gelukkig dat hij sinds dit jaar voor het Engelse Middlesbrough uitkomt. De voorbije seizoenen speelde de ...

2014-04-17 Graham targets play-offs

Middlesbrough striker Danny Graham is hoping his side can cap their recent impressive run by forcing their way into the play-offs.

2014-04-17 Tomlin targets play-offs

Middlesbrough striker Lee Tomlin is hoping his side can cap their recent impressive run by forcing their way into the play-offs.

2014-04-16 Smallwood eyes Boro return

Richie Smallwood is hoping he can return to Middlesbrough in the summer and push for a first-team spot.

2014-04-16 Boro's Kamara has hernia op

Middlesbrough striker Kei Kamara has undergone a successful hernia operation and could be back in action before the end of the season.

2014-04-15 Dimi targets new Boro deal

Middlesbrough goalkeeper Dimi Konstantopoulos has set his heart on a new contract after establishing himself as Aitor Karanka's number one.

2014-04-14 Boro eye Dimi deal

Middlesbrough are set to open talks with Greek goalkeeper Dimi Konstantopoulos over a new contract.

2014-04-12 Championship Wrap: Burnley slip up as Brighton go sixth

Burnley lost to Middlesbrough to all but hand the Championship title to Leicester City, while Brighton and Hove Albion moved up to sixth.

2014-04-12 Ref decisions disappoint Dyche

Burnley boss Sean Dyche could not fault his side for their efforts but he was less complimentary about the referee as the Clarets' hopes of automatic promotion to the Premier League suffered a setback with a 1-0 defeat against Middlesbrough.

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Millwall: Neutral
Form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 7-9-14 (30 points, 1.00 avg)

› Middlesbrough: Downtrend
Form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 13-11-6 (50 points, 1.67 avg)

Home/Away

› Millwall: Downtrend
Home form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 4-6-5 (18 points, 1.20 avg)

› Middlesbrough: Downtrend
Away form: 2-2-2 (8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 8-3-4 (27 points, 1.80 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Southampton 17 13 2 2 37 12 41 15 4 6 5 21 20 18 32 17 8 7 58 32 59
2 West Ham 15 9 3 3 25 15 30 15 8 3 4 22 16 27 30 17 6 7 47 31 57
3 Reading 17 9 4 4 24 14 31 14 7 2 5 15 13 23 31 16 6 9 39 27 54
4 Cardiff 15 10 2 3 31 20 32 17 4 9 4 19 19 21 32 14 11 7 50 39 53
5 Blackpool 15 9 4 2 25 11 31 16 5 6 5 27 27 21 31 14 10 7 52 38 52
6 Birmingham 16 10 6 0 23 6 36 14 4 3 7 24 21 15 30 14 9 7 47 27 51
7 Hull 15 9 1 5 19 13 28 15 6 4 5 12 12 22 30 15 5 10 31 25 50
8 Middlesbrough 16 6 8 2 17 13 26 14 7 3 4 18 18 24 30 13 11 6 35 31 50
9 Brighton 15 8 4 3 23 14 28 16 6 3 7 13 19 21 31 14 7 10 36 33 49
10 Leeds 16 8 2 6 25 25 26 16 6 4 6 27 23 22 32 14 6 12 52 48 48
11 Burnley 16 6 5 5 25 16 23 16 8 0 8 19 21 24 32 14 5 13 44 37 47
12 Crystal Palace 15 5 8 2 17 10 23 16 6 2 8 16 20 20 31 11 10 10 33 30 43
13 Leicester 16 7 4 5 24 18 25 15 4 5 6 18 19 17 31 11 9 11 42 37 42
14 Barnsley 16 8 2 6 28 24 26 15 4 4 7 16 24 16 31 12 6 13 44 48 42
15 Derby 15 8 2 5 20 15 26 16 4 4 8 13 26 16 31 12 6 13 33 41 42
16 Ipswich 15 7 1 7 28 23 22 16 5 3 8 22 34 18 31 12 4 15 50 57 40
17 Watford 16 7 4 5 24 23 25 16 3 6 7 12 24 15 32 10 10 12 36 47 40
18 Peterborough 15 7 2 6 31 25 23 16 3 5 8 19 26 14 31 10 7 14 50 51 37
19 Portsmouth 14 7 3 4 19 11 24 17 2 5 10 14 23 11 31 9 8 14 33 34 35
20 Millwall 16 5 6 5 17 18 21 15 2 4 9 13 23 10 31 7 10 14 30 41 31
21 Bristol City 15 4 4 7 14 20 16 17 4 3 10 13 29 15 32 8 7 17 27 49 31
22 Nottingham Forest 17 4 3 10 14 27 15 14 4 1 9 12 22 13 31 8 4 19 26 49 28
23 Coventry 16 6 4 6 21 19 22 16 0 3 13 7 27 3 32 6 7 19 28 46 25
24 Doncaster 14 4 5 5 11 15 17 16 2 1 13 15 36 7 30 6 6 18 26 51 24

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 24% (value odds 4.17)

› Awaywin: 31% (value odds 3.20)

› Draw: 45% (value odds 2.23)

› Over: 37% (value odds 2.71)

› Under: 63% (value odds 1.58)

Expected Score:

› Millwall: 1.30

› Middlesbrough: 1.35

› Total: 2.65


› Over: 53%

› Under: 47%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Millwall) (Trends: 1 Stars: 2)

› Millwall after drawing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [won 10/ 14] [71.43%] [2*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Middlesbrough) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Middlesbrough playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [won 17/ 28] [60.71%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 14 Stars: 24)

› Millwall playing against good teams the current season. [draw 6/ 14] [42.86%] [2*]
› Millwall playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 18/ 46] [39.13%] [1*]
› Millwall playing against good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 15] [40.00%] [2*]
› Millwall playing against defensively good teams the current season. [draw 6/ 13] [46.15%] [3*]
› Millwall playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 11/ 25] [44.00%] [2*]
› Millwall playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 8/ 14] [57.14%] [3*]
› Millwall playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 6/ 13] [46.15%] [3*]
› Millwall playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 6/ 16] [37.50%] [1*]
› Millwall playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [draw 11/ 31] [35.48%] [1*]
› Millwall playing in midweek at home the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 17] [35.29%] [1*]
› Middlesbrough playing against poor teams the current season. [draw 3/ 8] [37.50%] [1*]
› Middlesbrough playing against defensively average teams the current season. [draw 5/ 13] [38.46%] [1*]
› Middlesbrough playing against teams with poor form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 4/ 9] [44.44%] [2*]
› Middlesbrough playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 11/ 30] [36.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)

› Middlesbrough playing against poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 13/ 21] [61.90%] [1*]
› Middlesbrough playing in midweek at away the last 3 seasons. [over 13/ 19] [68.42%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 18 Stars: 23)

› Millwall playing against good teams the current season. [under 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Millwall playing against defensively good teams the current season. [under 8/ 13] [61.54%] [1*]
› Millwall playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [under 16/ 25] [64.00%] [1*]
› Millwall playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 10/ 14] [71.43%] [2*]
› Millwall playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [under 10/ 16] [62.50%] [1*]
› Millwall playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 32/ 52] [61.54%] [1*]
› Millwall playing against offensively average awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 15/ 22] [68.18%] [1*]
› Millwall playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [under 10/ 13] [76.92%] [2*]
› Millwall playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [under 10/ 16] [62.50%] [1*]
› Millwall playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [under 19/ 31] [61.29%] [1*]
› Millwall playing in midweek at home the last 3 seasons. [under 13/ 17] [76.47%] [2*]
› Millwall playing in February at home the last 3 seasons. [under 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Middlesbrough playing against defensively average teams the current season. [under 8/ 13] [61.54%] [1*]
› Middlesbrough playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [under 10/ 14] [71.43%] [2*]
› Middlesbrough playing against teams with poor form the last 6 matches the current season. [under 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Middlesbrough playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 19/ 30] [63.33%] [1*]
› Middlesbrough playing in February at away the last 3 seasons. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Middlesbrough after drawing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Millwall
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1366.9
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1312.0
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1285.3

› Current ELO Rating: 1269.5

Middlesbrough
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1524.7
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1520.8
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1471.0

› Current ELO Rating: 1467.3

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
Millwall 1500.0 1515.9 1511.0 1494.1 1489.0 1473.6 1466.6 1449.1 1433.8 1413.5 1407.9 1400.3 1419.4 1433.5 1449.6 1432.9 1410.1 1407.6 1414.1 1395.4 1385.8 1366.9 1375.8 1354.2 1336.0 1312.0 1328.1 1308.6 1285.3 1276.6 1269.5
Middlesbrough 1495.8 1510.3 1530.9 1545.0 1537.2 1556.5 1569.1 1561.7 1554.8 1551.2 1542.3 1521.2 1536.6 1520.4 1531.6 1538.1 1532.3 1528.2 1507.0 1515.4 1524.7 1538.5 1547.5 1538.4 1520.8 1498.0 1472.4 1471.0 1464.3 1467.3

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Millwall
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.92
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.75
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.72

› Current Power Rating: 9.72

Middlesbrough
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.20
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.18
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.08

› Current Power Rating: 10.10

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
Millwall 10.00 10.05 10.05 10.03 10.03 9.95 9.95 9.88 9.85 9.83 9.83 9.83 9.90 9.97 10.05 10.02 10.00 10.00 10.02 9.97 9.97 9.92 9.95 9.92 9.90 9.75 9.80 9.75 9.72 9.72 9.72
Middlesbrough 10.00 10.03 10.08 10.13 10.13 10.18 10.20 10.20 10.20 10.20 10.20 10.15 10.20 10.13 10.18 10.20 10.20 10.20 10.15 10.18 10.20 10.23 10.25 10.25 10.18 10.13 10.08 10.08 10.08 10.10

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: -0.40 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: -5 (indicates awaywin)

› Weighted Form System: -10 (indicates awaywin)

› Goal Superiority System: -7 (indicates awaywin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: -1 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: -4 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 1 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 30% (homewin) 29% (draw) 41% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.33 (indicates awaywin)

Stats for hometeam (Millwall):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 31 7-10-14 30-41 31
› At home: 16 5-6-5 17-18 21

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 14-17
› At home: 6-10

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.97 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.06 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.32 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.12 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LWLLDD 1-2-3
› Home: DWLLLD 1-2-3

ELO Rating: 1269.5

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 14 2012 away Brighton 2-2 draw over
Feb 11 2012 home Derby 0-0 draw under
Feb 04 2012 away West Ham 1-2 lost over
Jan 31 2012 home Watford 0-2 lost under
Jan 21 2012 away Barnsley 3-1 won over
Jan 14 2012 home Birmingham 0-6 lost over
Jan 03 2012 away Bristol City 0-1 lost under
Dec 31 2011 home Crystal Palace 0-1 lost under
Dec 26 2011 home Portsmouth 1-0 won under
Dec 17 2011 away Hull 0-2 lost under

Summary: 2-2-6 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.40 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 7-17

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Feb 11 2012 home Derby 0-0 draw under
Jan 31 2012 home Watford 0-2 lost under
Jan 14 2012 home Birmingham 0-6 lost over
Dec 31 2011 home Crystal Palace 0-1 lost under
Dec 26 2011 home Portsmouth 1-0 won under
Dec 10 2011 home Cardiff 0-0 draw under
Nov 29 2011 home Doncaster 3-2 won over
Nov 20 2011 home Bristol City 1-2 lost over
Nov 01 2011 home Coventry 3-0 won over
Oct 29 2011 home Ipswich 4-1 won over

Summary: 4-2-4 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 12-14

Stats for awayteam (Middlesbrough):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 30 13-11-6 35-31 50
› At away: 14 7-3-4 18-18 24

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 11-19
› At away: 7-7

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.17 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.29 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.03 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.29 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LLLDDW 1-2-3
› Away: DWWLLD 2-2-2

ELO Rating: 1467.3

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 14 2012 home Nottingham Forest 2-1 won over
Feb 04 2012 home Crystal Palace 0-0 draw under
Feb 01 2012 away Leicester 2-2 draw over
Jan 21 2012 away Coventry 1-3 lost over
Jan 14 2012 home Burnley 0-2 lost under
Jan 02 2012 away Blackpool 0-3 lost over
Dec 31 2011 home Peterborough 1-1 draw under
Dec 26 2011 home Hull 1-0 won under
Dec 17 2011 away Cardiff 3-2 won over
Dec 10 2011 home Brighton 1-0 won under

Summary: 4-3-3 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 11-14

Last 10 Matches Away:

Feb 01 2012 away Leicester 2-2 draw over
Jan 21 2012 away Coventry 1-3 lost over
Jan 02 2012 away Blackpool 0-3 lost over
Dec 17 2011 away Cardiff 3-2 won over
Dec 03 2011 away Bristol City 1-0 won under
Nov 26 2011 away Peterborough 1-1 draw under
Nov 01 2011 away Doncaster 3-1 won over
Oct 29 2011 away Southampton 0-3 lost over
Oct 18 2011 away Nottingham Forest 0-2 lost under
Oct 01 2011 away Reading 0-0 draw under

Summary: 3-3-4 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 2.80 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 11-17

History:

Overall History

Oct 24 1993 Millwall - Middlesbrough 1-1 draw under
Feb 06 1994 Middlesbrough - Millwall 4-2 homewin over
Oct 01 1994 Middlesbrough - Millwall 3-0 homewin over
Feb 26 1995 Millwall - Middlesbrough 0-0 draw under
Nov 20 2010 Middlesbrough - Millwall 0-1 awaywin under
Feb 19 2011 Millwall - Middlesbrough 2-3 awaywin over
Oct 15 2011 Middlesbrough - Millwall 1-1 draw under

Summary (overall): 2-3-2 O-U: 3-4 Avg. score: 2.71 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 0-1-2 O-U: 1-2 Avg. score: 2.67 Median score: 2.00

Trend: Middlesbrough is 3-3-1

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Home - Away History

Oct 24 1993 Millwall - Middlesbrough 1-1 draw under
Feb 26 1995 Millwall - Middlesbrough 0-0 draw under
Feb 19 2011 Millwall - Middlesbrough 2-3 awaywin over

Summary (overall): 0-2-1 O-U: 1-2 Avg. score: 2.33 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 0-0-1 O-U: 1-0 Avg. score: 5.00 Median score: 5.00

Trend: Middlesbrough is 1-2-0

Trend 3 years: Middlesbrough is 1-0-0