Consensus:
Summary of current votes
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› Trends favouring homewin (Millwall) (Trends: 1 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Middlesbrough) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 14 Stars: 24)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 18 Stars: 23)
› Millwall home:
5-6-5
17-18
› Millwall form:
1-2-3
6-13
› Home form:
1-2-3
1-9
› Middlesbrough away:
7-3-4
18-18
› Middlesbrough form:
1-2-3
5-11
› Away form:
2-2-2
8-11
Steve Lomas has expressed thanks to former club St Johnstone after being appointed Millwall boss.
Millwall manager Steve Lomas hopes to keep Republic of Ireland international goalkeeper David Forde at the club.
Steve Lomas insists he will give everything he has to help Millwall succeed after being appointed manager.
Steve Lomas has called on Millwall supporters to back him as he looks to turn their home ground into a lions' den for visiting teams.
New Millwall boss Steve Lomas admits he would welcome the opportunity to add free-agent Simeon Jackson to his ranks.
St Johnstone have opted for Tommy Wright to succeed Steve Lomas as manager following his departure to Millwall.
St Johnstone have appointed Tommy Wright as their new manager following Steve Lomas' departure to Millwall.
Skipper Paul Robinson's testimonial match will see Millwall take on Rayo Vallecano at The Den next month.
Steve Lomas says he is already planning for the new season after accepting the Millwall manager's job offer once he returns from holiday next week.
Steve Lomas has agreed terms to become Millwall manager, the south London club have announced.
Paraguayan striker Javier Acuna has confirmed that he has offers to move to England, with Middlesbrough, Nottingham Forest and Middlesbrough reportedly keen.
Middlesbrough winger Adam Reach is hoping that his involvement with England at the Under-20s World Cup will help to aid his development as he looks to make an impression at the Riverside Stadium.
The agent of Jozsef Varga, a reported Middlesbrough and Watford target, hopes his future can be decided quickly.
Sky Sports understands that Watford are weighing up a move for Middlesbrough target Jozsef Varga of Debrecen.
Middlesbrough are reported to be one of a number of English sides showing an interest in Hungary international midfielder Jozsef Varga.
Middlesbrough have confirmed French Cup winners Bordeaux will be their only home opponents during pre-season.
We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.
› Millwall: Neutral
Form: 1-2-3
(5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 7-9-14
(30 points, 1.00 avg)
› Middlesbrough: Downtrend
Form: 1-2-3
(5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 13-11-6
(50 points, 1.67 avg)
› Millwall: Downtrend
Home form: 1-2-3
(5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 4-6-5
(18 points, 1.20 avg)
› Middlesbrough: Downtrend
Away form: 2-2-2
(8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 8-3-4
(27 points, 1.80 avg)
| Home | Away | All | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | Goals | Matches | Goals | Matches | Goals | |||||||||||||||||
| All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | ||
| 1 | Southampton | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 12 | 41 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 58 | 32 | 59 |
| 2 | West Ham | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 27 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 47 | 31 | 57 |
| 3 | Reading | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 31 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 23 | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 27 | 54 |
| 4 | Cardiff | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 20 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 50 | 39 | 53 |
| 5 | Blackpool | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 31 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 21 | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 52 | 38 | 52 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 36 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 21 | 15 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 27 | 51 |
| 7 | Hull | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 28 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 25 | 50 |
| 8 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 24 | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 35 | 31 | 50 |
| 9 | Brighton | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 21 | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 49 |
| 10 | Leeds | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 22 | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 48 | 48 |
| 11 | Burnley | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 23 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 44 | 37 | 47 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 23 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 30 | 43 |
| 13 | Leicester | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 18 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 42 | 37 | 42 |
| 14 | Barnsley | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 24 | 26 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 16 | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 48 | 42 |
| 15 | Derby | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 26 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 16 | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 41 | 42 |
| 16 | Ipswich | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 23 | 22 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 34 | 18 | 31 | 12 | 4 | 15 | 50 | 57 | 40 |
| 17 | Watford | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 15 | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 36 | 47 | 40 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 25 | 23 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 14 | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 51 | 37 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 11 | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 34 | 35 |
| 20 | Millwall | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 18 | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 10 | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 41 | 31 |
| 21 | Bristol City | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 16 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 29 | 15 | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 49 | 31 |
| 22 | Nottingham Forest | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 13 | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 49 | 28 |
| 23 | Coventry | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 22 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 27 | 3 | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 28 | 46 | 25 |
| 24 | Doncaster | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 15 | 36 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 51 | 24 |
The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.
› Homewin: 24% (value odds 4.17)
› Awaywin: 31% (value odds 3.20)
› Draw: 45% (value odds 2.23)
› Over: 37% (value odds 2.71)
› Under: 63% (value odds 1.58)
› Millwall: 1.30
› Middlesbrough: 1.35
› Total: 2.65
› Over: 53%
› Under: 47%
When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.
| › Millwall after drawing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. | [won | 10/ | 14] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Middlesbrough playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. | [won | 17/ | 28] | [60.71%] | [1*] |
| › Millwall playing against good teams the current season. | [draw | 6/ | 14] | [42.86%] | [2*] |
| › Millwall playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 18/ | 46] | [39.13%] | [1*] |
| › Millwall playing against good awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 6/ | 15] | [40.00%] | [2*] |
| › Millwall playing against defensively good teams the current season. | [draw | 6/ | 13] | [46.15%] | [3*] |
| › Millwall playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 11/ | 25] | [44.00%] | [2*] |
| › Millwall playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 8/ | 14] | [57.14%] | [3*] |
| › Millwall playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. | [draw | 6/ | 13] | [46.15%] | [3*] |
| › Millwall playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. | [draw | 6/ | 16] | [37.50%] | [1*] |
| › Millwall playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 11/ | 31] | [35.48%] | [1*] |
| › Millwall playing in midweek at home the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 6/ | 17] | [35.29%] | [1*] |
| › Middlesbrough playing against poor teams the current season. | [draw | 3/ | 8] | [37.50%] | [1*] |
| › Middlesbrough playing against defensively average teams the current season. | [draw | 5/ | 13] | [38.46%] | [1*] |
| › Middlesbrough playing against teams with poor form the last 6 matches the current season. | [draw | 4/ | 9] | [44.44%] | [2*] |
| › Middlesbrough playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. | [draw | 11/ | 30] | [36.67%] | [1*] |
| › Middlesbrough playing against poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 13/ | 21] | [61.90%] | [1*] |
| › Middlesbrough playing in midweek at away the last 3 seasons. | [over | 13/ | 19] | [68.42%] | [1*] |
| › Millwall playing against good teams the current season. | [under | 9/ | 14] | [64.29%] | [1*] |
| › Millwall playing against defensively good teams the current season. | [under | 8/ | 13] | [61.54%] | [1*] |
| › Millwall playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 16/ | 25] | [64.00%] | [1*] |
| › Millwall playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 10/ | 14] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Millwall playing against offensively poor teams the current season. | [under | 10/ | 16] | [62.50%] | [1*] |
| › Millwall playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 32/ | 52] | [61.54%] | [1*] |
| › Millwall playing against offensively average awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 15/ | 22] | [68.18%] | [1*] |
| › Millwall playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. | [under | 10/ | 13] | [76.92%] | [2*] |
| › Millwall playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. | [under | 10/ | 16] | [62.50%] | [1*] |
| › Millwall playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. | [under | 19/ | 31] | [61.29%] | [1*] |
| › Millwall playing in midweek at home the last 3 seasons. | [under | 13/ | 17] | [76.47%] | [2*] |
| › Millwall playing in February at home the last 3 seasons. | [under | 5/ | 7] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Middlesbrough playing against defensively average teams the current season. | [under | 8/ | 13] | [61.54%] | [1*] |
| › Middlesbrough playing against offensively poor teams the current season. | [under | 10/ | 14] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Middlesbrough playing against teams with poor form the last 6 matches the current season. | [under | 6/ | 9] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Middlesbrough playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. | [under | 19/ | 30] | [63.33%] | [1*] |
| › Middlesbrough playing in February at away the last 3 seasons. | [under | 4/ | 6] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Middlesbrough after drawing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. | [under | 7/ | 11] | [63.64%] | [1*] |
The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.
Millwall
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1366.9
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1312.0
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1285.3
› Current ELO Rating: 1269.5
Middlesbrough
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1524.7
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1520.8
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1471.0
› Current ELO Rating: 1467.3
| Match | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 1500.0 | 1515.9 | 1511.0 | 1494.1 | 1489.0 | 1473.6 | 1466.6 | 1449.1 | 1433.8 | 1413.5 | 1407.9 | 1400.3 | 1419.4 | 1433.5 | 1449.6 | 1432.9 | 1410.1 | 1407.6 | 1414.1 | 1395.4 | 1385.8 | 1366.9 | 1375.8 | 1354.2 | 1336.0 | 1312.0 | 1328.1 | 1308.6 | 1285.3 | 1276.6 | 1269.5 |
| Middlesbrough | 1495.8 | 1510.3 | 1530.9 | 1545.0 | 1537.2 | 1556.5 | 1569.1 | 1561.7 | 1554.8 | 1551.2 | 1542.3 | 1521.2 | 1536.6 | 1520.4 | 1531.6 | 1538.1 | 1532.3 | 1528.2 | 1507.0 | 1515.4 | 1524.7 | 1538.5 | 1547.5 | 1538.4 | 1520.8 | 1498.0 | 1472.4 | 1471.0 | 1464.3 | 1467.3 |
A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.
Millwall
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.92
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.75
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.72
› Current Power Rating: 9.72
Middlesbrough
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.20
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.18
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.08
› Current Power Rating: 10.10
| Match | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 10.00 | 10.05 | 10.05 | 10.03 | 10.03 | 9.95 | 9.95 | 9.88 | 9.85 | 9.83 | 9.83 | 9.83 | 9.90 | 9.97 | 10.05 | 10.02 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 10.02 | 9.97 | 9.97 | 9.92 | 9.95 | 9.92 | 9.90 | 9.75 | 9.80 | 9.75 | 9.72 | 9.72 | 9.72 |
| Middlesbrough | 10.00 | 10.03 | 10.08 | 10.13 | 10.13 | 10.18 | 10.20 | 10.20 | 10.20 | 10.20 | 10.20 | 10.15 | 10.20 | 10.13 | 10.18 | 10.20 | 10.20 | 10.20 | 10.15 | 10.18 | 10.20 | 10.23 | 10.25 | 10.25 | 10.18 | 10.13 | 10.08 | 10.08 | 10.08 | 10.10 |
Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.
› Point Ratio System: -0.40 (indicates awaywin)
Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 31 7-10-14 30-41 31
› At home: 16 5-6-5 17-18 21
Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 14-17
› At home: 6-10
Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.97 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.06 goals per match
Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.32 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.12 goals per match
Form:
› Overall:
LWLLDD
1-2-3
› Home:
DWLLLD
1-2-3
ELO Rating: 1269.5
Last 10 Matches Overall:
| Feb 14 2012 | away | Brighton | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Feb 11 2012 | home | Derby | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Feb 04 2012 | away | West Ham | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Jan 31 2012 | home | Watford | 0-2 | lost | under |
| Jan 21 2012 | away | Barnsley | 3-1 | won | over |
| Jan 14 2012 | home | Birmingham | 0-6 | lost | over |
| Jan 03 2012 | away | Bristol City | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Dec 31 2011 | home | Crystal Palace | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Dec 26 2011 | home | Portsmouth | 1-0 | won | under |
| Dec 17 2011 | away | Hull | 0-2 | lost | under |
Summary: 2-2-6 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.40 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 7-17
Last 10 Matches At Home:
| Feb 11 2012 | home | Derby | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Jan 31 2012 | home | Watford | 0-2 | lost | under |
| Jan 14 2012 | home | Birmingham | 0-6 | lost | over |
| Dec 31 2011 | home | Crystal Palace | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Dec 26 2011 | home | Portsmouth | 1-0 | won | under |
| Dec 10 2011 | home | Cardiff | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Nov 29 2011 | home | Doncaster | 3-2 | won | over |
| Nov 20 2011 | home | Bristol City | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Nov 01 2011 | home | Coventry | 3-0 | won | over |
| Oct 29 2011 | home | Ipswich | 4-1 | won | over |
Summary: 4-2-4 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 12-14
Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 30 13-11-6 35-31 50
› At away: 14 7-3-4 18-18 24
Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 11-19
› At away: 7-7
Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.17 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.29 goals per match
Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.03 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.29 goals per match
Form:
› Overall:
LLLDDW
1-2-3
› Away:
DWWLLD
2-2-2
ELO Rating: 1467.3
Last 10 Matches Overall:
| Feb 14 2012 | home | Nottingham Forest | 2-1 | won | over |
| Feb 04 2012 | home | Crystal Palace | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Feb 01 2012 | away | Leicester | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Jan 21 2012 | away | Coventry | 1-3 | lost | over |
| Jan 14 2012 | home | Burnley | 0-2 | lost | under |
| Jan 02 2012 | away | Blackpool | 0-3 | lost | over |
| Dec 31 2011 | home | Peterborough | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Dec 26 2011 | home | Hull | 1-0 | won | under |
| Dec 17 2011 | away | Cardiff | 3-2 | won | over |
| Dec 10 2011 | home | Brighton | 1-0 | won | under |
Summary: 4-3-3 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 11-14
Last 10 Matches Away:
| Feb 01 2012 | away | Leicester | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Jan 21 2012 | away | Coventry | 1-3 | lost | over |
| Jan 02 2012 | away | Blackpool | 0-3 | lost | over |
| Dec 17 2011 | away | Cardiff | 3-2 | won | over |
| Dec 03 2011 | away | Bristol City | 1-0 | won | under |
| Nov 26 2011 | away | Peterborough | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Nov 01 2011 | away | Doncaster | 3-1 | won | over |
| Oct 29 2011 | away | Southampton | 0-3 | lost | over |
| Oct 18 2011 | away | Nottingham Forest | 0-2 | lost | under |
| Oct 01 2011 | away | Reading | 0-0 | draw | under |
Summary: 3-3-4 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 2.80 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 11-17
| Oct 24 1993 | Millwall - Middlesbrough | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Feb 06 1994 | Middlesbrough - Millwall | 4-2 | homewin | over |
| Oct 01 1994 | Middlesbrough - Millwall | 3-0 | homewin | over |
| Feb 26 1995 | Millwall - Middlesbrough | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Nov 20 2010 | Middlesbrough - Millwall | 0-1 | awaywin | under |
| Feb 19 2011 | Millwall - Middlesbrough | 2-3 | awaywin | over |
| Oct 15 2011 | Middlesbrough - Millwall | 1-1 | draw | under |
Summary (overall): 2-3-2 O-U: 3-4 Avg. score: 2.71 Median score: 2.00
Summary (3 years): 0-1-2 O-U: 1-2 Avg. score: 2.67 Median score: 2.00
Trend: Middlesbrough is 3-3-1
Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.
| Oct 24 1993 | Millwall - Middlesbrough | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Feb 26 1995 | Millwall - Middlesbrough | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Feb 19 2011 | Millwall - Middlesbrough | 2-3 | awaywin | over |
Summary (overall): 0-2-1 O-U: 1-2 Avg. score: 2.33 Median score: 2.00
Summary (3 years): 0-0-1 O-U: 1-0 Avg. score: 5.00 Median score: 5.00
Trend: Middlesbrough is 1-2-0
Trend 3 years: Middlesbrough is 1-0-0