Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw
       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

Independiente - Gimnasia LP (1 - 0):

Primera Division (Argentina)
2009 Fall

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Independiente) (Trends: 5 Stars: 9)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Gimnasia LP) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 10 Stars: 21)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 3 Stars: 3)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 15 Stars: 20)

› Independiente home: 3-2-1 10-7
› Independiente form: 3-1-2 9-8
› Home form: 3-2-1 10-7

› Gimnasia LP away: 0-3-2 4-8
› Gimnasia LP form: 1-2-3 6-7
› Away form: 1-3-2 6-9

News:

Independiente

2010-09-02 Independiente Coach Dany Garnero Has Two Games To Save His Job - Report

Garnero needs positive results against Newell's Old Boys and Argentinos Juniors to save his Independiente job...

2010-08-30 Independiente Coach Dany Garnero Brushes Off Fans' Criticism

Dany Garnero has dismissed criticism from Independiente fans.

2010-08-27 Agent Reveals Liverpool Interest In Gary Medel

The player's representative believes 'Pitbull' would be the perfect replacement for Javier Mascherano at Anfield...

2010-08-27 Copa Sudamericana: Santa Fe, Independiente win

Santa Fe clinched their place in the second round of the Copa Sudamericana after a 4-0 win over Venezuela's Lara.

2010-08-22 River Plate win 3-2 as arch-rivals Boca go down (Reuters)

* River beat Independiente 3-2 in their "clasico"

2010-08-22 Independiente Coach Dany Garnero Admits That The Pressure Is Increasing

The Rojos were booed off the pitch by away fans after today's defeat against River left them with just one point...

2010-08-20 Argentina Apertura: Round Three Preview

River take on Independiente and Racing welcome San Lorenzo to El Cilindro in a great weekend of Argentine football...

2010-08-19 PREVIEW-Soccer-River face Independiente without suspended Ortega (Reuters)

Losing Ariel Ortega for Sunday's 'clasico' against Independiente (2015 GMT) could have been a double whammy for River Plate.

2010-08-19 Maxi Velazquez On Verge Of Leaving Independiente

The left-back wants rival Lucas Mareque to leave the club, or he will...

2010-08-16 Argentinos Juniors Coach Pedro Troglio Cannot Wait For Independiente Reunion

The new Bicho tecnico coached Independiente in 2007-08, and admits that it will be a special reunion with the club in tonight's match...

Gimnasia LP

Found no news about Gimnasia LP.

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Independiente: Uptrend
Form: 3-1-2 (10 points, 1.67 avg)
Last 30 matches: 12-4-14 (40 points, 1.33 avg)

› Gimnasia LP: Downtrend
Form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 9-11-10 (38 points, 1.27 avg)

Home/Away

› Independiente: Neutral
Home form: 3-2-1 (11 points, 1.83 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 9-2-4 (29 points, 1.93 avg)

› Gimnasia LP: Neutral
Away form: 1-3-2 (6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 3-7-5 (16 points, 1.07 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Banfield 6 5 1 0 11 3 16 6 2 4 0 5 3 10 12 7 5 0 16 6 26
2 Newells 5 4 0 1 7 2 12 7 4 2 1 10 6 14 12 8 2 2 17 8 26
3 Colon 7 5 1 1 17 5 16 5 2 2 1 6 5 8 12 7 3 2 23 10 24
4 Velez 6 4 1 1 9 3 13 6 3 2 1 9 7 11 12 7 3 2 18 10 24
5 Estudiantes 5 4 1 0 9 3 13 7 3 1 3 12 9 10 12 7 2 3 21 12 23
6 San Lorenzo 6 4 2 0 11 6 14 6 2 3 1 9 7 9 12 6 5 1 20 13 23
7 Argentinos 6 3 2 1 7 4 11 6 2 3 1 10 8 9 12 5 5 2 17 12 20
8 Independiente 6 3 2 1 10 7 11 6 3 0 3 10 9 9 12 6 2 4 20 16 20
9 Rosario 7 4 2 1 8 4 14 5 2 0 3 3 4 6 12 6 2 4 11 8 20
10 Boca Juniors 6 3 2 1 13 9 11 6 2 1 3 7 9 7 12 5 3 4 20 18 18
11 Lanus 6 2 1 3 8 7 7 6 2 4 0 7 5 10 12 4 5 3 15 12 17
12 Arsenal Sarandi 7 4 2 1 5 3 14 5 1 0 4 6 12 3 12 5 2 5 11 15 17
13 Gimnasia LP 7 2 1 4 7 8 7 5 0 3 2 4 8 3 12 2 4 6 11 16 10
14 River Plate 6 1 3 2 8 10 6 6 1 1 4 4 8 4 12 2 4 6 12 18 10
15 Godoy Cruz 5 0 3 2 6 9 3 7 2 1 4 6 11 7 12 2 4 6 12 20 10
16 Huracan 6 2 1 3 6 9 7 6 0 2 4 3 10 2 12 2 3 7 9 19 9
17 Atletico Tucuman 5 1 2 2 8 9 5 7 1 1 5 5 14 4 12 2 3 7 13 23 9
18 Racing 6 1 3 2 9 7 6 6 0 2 4 1 7 2 12 1 5 6 10 14 8
19 Chacarita 6 2 1 3 5 7 7 6 0 1 5 5 14 1 12 2 2 8 10 21 8
20 CA Tigre 6 0 2 4 8 12 2 6 1 0 5 5 16 3 12 1 2 9 13 28 5

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 35% (value odds 2.86)

› Awaywin: 32% (value odds 3.13)

› Draw: 33% (value odds 3.03)

› Over: 39% (value odds 2.59)

› Under: 61% (value odds 1.63)

Expected Score:

› Independiente: 1.48

› Gimnasia LP: 1.07

› Total: 2.56


› Over: 51%

› Under: 49%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Independiente) (Trends: 5 Stars: 9)

› Independiente playing against poor teams the current season. [won 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Independiente playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [won 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Independiente playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [won 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Independiente playing against teams with poor form the last 6 matches the current season. [won 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Gimnasia LP playing against good teams the current season. [lost 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Gimnasia LP) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring awaywin.

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 10 Stars: 21)

› Independiente after winning in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Gimnasia LP playing in weekend the current season. [draw 4/ 11] [36.36%] [1*]
› Gimnasia LP playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. [draw 19/ 47] [40.43%] [2*]
› Gimnasia LP playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. [draw 11/ 22] [50.00%] [3*]
› Gimnasia LP playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 19] [36.84%] [1*]
› Gimnasia LP playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 12] [41.67%] [2*]
› Gimnasia LP playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 11/ 27] [40.74%] [2*]
› Gimnasia LP playing against defensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 9/ 13] [69.23%] [3*]
› Gimnasia LP playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 20/ 50] [40.00%] [2*]
› Gimnasia LP playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 12/ 24] [50.00%] [3*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 3 Stars: 3)

› Independiente playing against poor teams the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Independiente playing against teams with poor form the last 6 matches the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Gimnasia LP playing against offensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 15 Stars: 20)

› Independiente playing against defensively average awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Independiente playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]
› Independiente playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 15/ 25] [60.00%] [1*]
› Independiente playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. [under 27/ 45] [60.00%] [1*]
› Independiente playing in weekend at home the last 3 seasons. [under 14/ 22] [63.64%] [1*]
› Independiente after winning in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [under 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Gimnasia LP playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 8/ 12] [66.67%] [1*]
› Gimnasia LP playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 36/ 50] [72.00%] [2*]
› Gimnasia LP playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 16/ 24] [66.67%] [1*]
› Gimnasia LP playing in weekend the current season. [under 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Gimnasia LP playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. [under 34/ 47] [72.34%] [2*]
› Gimnasia LP playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. [under 15/ 22] [68.18%] [1*]
› Gimnasia LP playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. [under 12/ 19] [63.16%] [1*]
› Gimnasia LP playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [under 18/ 27] [66.67%] [1*]
› Gimnasia LP playing against defensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 10/ 13] [76.92%] [2*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Independiente
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1518.3
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1518.5
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1509.5

› Current ELO Rating: 1500.2

Gimnasia LP
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1442.4
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1469.6
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1431.2

› Current ELO Rating: 1399.0

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Independiente 1480.8 1503.0 1518.3 1502.5 1497.0 1511.0 1518.5 1535.9 1526.4 1509.5 1518.4 1500.2
Gimnasia LP 1480.8 1464.0 1442.4 1440.8 1455.8 1455.7 1469.6 1468.1 1446.4 1431.2 1407.8 1399.0

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Independiente
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.08
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.10
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.10

› Current Power Rating: 10.10

Gimnasia LP
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.85
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.95
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.90

› Current Power Rating: 9.88

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Independiente 9.97 10.03 10.08 10.05 10.05 10.08 10.10 10.15 10.15 10.10 10.13 10.10
Gimnasia LP 9.95 9.88 9.85 9.85 9.90 9.90 9.95 9.95 9.93 9.90 9.88 9.88

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 1.23 (indicates homewin)

› Game Form System: -2 (indicates draw)

› Weighted Form System: 2 (indicates draw)

› Goal Superiority System: 3 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 2 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 5 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 3 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 45% (homewin) 47% (draw) 8% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.17 (indicates draw)

Stats for hometeam (Independiente):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 12 6-2-4 20-16 20
› At home: 6 3-2-1 10-7 11

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 7-5
› At home: 3-3

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.67 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.67 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.33 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.17 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WWDLWL 3-1-2
› Home: LWDWDW 3-2-1

ELO Rating: 1500.2

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Nov 01 2009 away Arsenal Sarandi 0-1 lost under
Oct 28 2009 home Colon 3-2 won over
Oct 23 2009 away Rosario 0-2 lost under
Oct 18 2009 home Chacarita 1-1 draw under
Oct 12 2009 away River Plate 3-1 won over
Oct 02 2009 home CA Tigre 2-1 won over
Sep 27 2009 away Racing 2-1 won over
Sep 19 2009 home Velez 2-2 draw over
Sep 13 2009 away Estudiantes 1-2 lost over
Sep 03 2009 home Godoy Cruz 2-0 won under

Summary: 5-2-3 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 2.90 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 16-13

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Oct 28 2009 home Colon 3-2 won over
Oct 18 2009 home Chacarita 1-1 draw under
Oct 02 2009 home CA Tigre 2-1 won over
Sep 19 2009 home Velez 2-2 draw over
Sep 03 2009 home Godoy Cruz 2-0 won under
Aug 22 2009 home Newells 0-1 lost under
Jun 20 2009 home San Lorenzo 0-1 lost under
May 30 2009 home Rosario 3-1 won over
May 17 2009 home Estudiantes LP 1-5 lost over
May 02 2009 home CA Tigre 4-1 won over

Summary: 5-2-3 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 3.30 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 18-15

Stats for awayteam (Gimnasia LP):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 12 2-4-6 11-16 10
› At away: 5 0-3-2 4-8 3

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 4-8
› At away: 2-3

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.92 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.80 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.33 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.60 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WDLLLD 1-2-3
› Away: WLDDDL 1-3-2

ELO Rating: 1399.0

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 31 2009 home San Lorenzo 2-2 draw over
Oct 28 2009 home Banfield 0-1 lost under
Oct 25 2009 away Arsenal Sarandi 0-1 lost under
Oct 17 2009 home Colon 1-2 lost over
Oct 09 2009 away Rosario 1-1 draw under
Oct 04 2009 home Chacarita 2-0 won under
Sep 27 2009 away River Plate 2-2 draw over
Sep 19 2009 home CA Tigre 2-0 won under
Sep 11 2009 away Racing 1-1 draw under
Sep 04 2009 home Velez 0-1 lost under

Summary: 2-4-4 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 2.20 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 11-11

Last 10 Matches Away:

Oct 25 2009 away Arsenal Sarandi 0-1 lost under
Oct 09 2009 away Rosario 1-1 draw under
Sep 27 2009 away River Plate 2-2 draw over
Sep 11 2009 away Racing 1-1 draw under
Aug 29 2009 away Estudiantes 0-3 lost over
Jun 21 2009 away Boca Juniors 2-1 won over
Jun 12 2009 away Colon 0-2 lost under
May 24 2009 away San Martin 1-0 won under
May 09 2009 away Arsenal Sarandi 0-0 draw under
Apr 24 2009 away Banfield 1-3 lost over

Summary: 2-4-4 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.20 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 8-14

History:

Overall History

Oct 03 1999 Gimnasia LP - Independiente 2-0 homewin under
Apr 12 2000 Independiente - Gimnasia LP 2-0 homewin under
Dec 02 2000 Gimnasia LP - Independiente 3-2 homewin over
May 25 2001 Independiente - Gimnasia LP 0-1 awaywin under
Sep 22 2001 Independiente - Gimnasia LP 3-2 homewin over
Mar 17 2002 Gimnasia LP - Independiente 2-1 homewin over
Aug 04 2002 Gimnasia LP - Independiente 1-1 draw under
Feb 21 2003 Independiente - Gimnasia LP 0-3 awaywin over
Oct 18 2003 Independiente - Gimnasia LP 0-1 awaywin under
Apr 16 2004 Gimnasia LP - Independiente 1-1 draw under
Sep 22 2004 Gimnasia LP - Independiente 2-1 homewin over
Apr 02 2005 Independiente - Gimnasia LP 2-0 homewin under
Sep 07 2005 Gimnasia LP - Independiente 3-0 homewin over
Feb 18 2006 Independiente - Gimnasia LP 0-1 awaywin under
Oct 01 2006 Independiente - Gimnasia LP 3-0 homewin over
Apr 08 2007 Gimnasia LP - Independiente 4-1 homewin over
Sep 01 2007 Gimnasia LP - Independiente 1-0 homewin under
Mar 15 2008 Independiente - Gimnasia LP 3-1 homewin over
Aug 31 2008 Independiente - Gimnasia LP 1-1 draw under
Feb 27 2009 Gimnasia LP - Independiente 2-0 homewin under

Summary (overall): 13-3-4 O-U: 9-11 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 4-1-0 O-U: 2-3 Avg. score: 2.80 Median score: 2.00

Trend: Gimnasia LP is 12-3-5

Trend 3 years: Gimnasia LP is 3-1-1

Home - Away History

Apr 12 2000 Independiente - Gimnasia LP 2-0 homewin under
May 25 2001 Independiente - Gimnasia LP 0-1 awaywin under
Sep 22 2001 Independiente - Gimnasia LP 3-2 homewin over
Feb 21 2003 Independiente - Gimnasia LP 0-3 awaywin over
Oct 18 2003 Independiente - Gimnasia LP 0-1 awaywin under
Apr 02 2005 Independiente - Gimnasia LP 2-0 homewin under
Feb 18 2006 Independiente - Gimnasia LP 0-1 awaywin under
Oct 01 2006 Independiente - Gimnasia LP 3-0 homewin over
Mar 15 2008 Independiente - Gimnasia LP 3-1 homewin over
Aug 31 2008 Independiente - Gimnasia LP 1-1 draw under

Summary (overall): 5-1-4 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.40 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 1-1-0 O-U: 1-1 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.00

Trend: Independiente is 5-1-4

Trend 3 years: Independiente is 1-1-0