Index : Academica vs Vitoria Guimaraes

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 1
› Users favouring awaywin: 1     › Users favouring under 2.5: 1
› Users favouring draw: 1

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Academica - Vitoria Guimaraes (2 - 0):

Liga BetandWin (Portugal)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Academica) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Vitoria Guimaraes) (Trends: 3 Stars: 3)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 17 Stars: 36)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 16 Stars: 21)

› Academica home: 0-2-2 4-8
› Academica form: 0-2-4 6-12
› Home form: 1-3-2 7-9

› Vitoria Guimaraes away: 0-2-2 1-5
› Vitoria Guimaraes form: 1-3-2 7-8
› Away form: 0-3-3 3-8

News:

Academica

2010-08-15 Benfica lose opener to ten-man Academica

Portuguese giants Benfica started their domestic campaign in the worst possible way, losing their home match 1-2 to a ten-man Academica side.

2010-08-15 Champions Benfica off to bad start with Academica defeat (Reuters)

Portuguese Premier League champions Benfica's title defence started in the worst possible fashion when Academica scored a last-minute goal to beat them 2-1 at the Luz Stadium on Sunday.

Vitoria Guimaraes

2010-08-12 Manchester United haalt twintigjarige Portugees

Manchester United heeft zich met het oog op komend seizoen versterkt met Bebé. De twintigjarige voetballer komt over van Vitoria Guimaraes en wordt gezien als een groot talent. Bebé kost Manchester United negen miljoen euro, maar daar doen de Red Devils helemaal niet moeilijk over. Zij zien in ...

2010-08-11 Man United agrees deal for striker Bebe (AP)

Manchester United has announced that Portuguese striker Tiago Manuel Dias Correia -- known as Bebe -- will join from Vitoria Guimaraes if he passes a medical. Man United said Wednesday that terms had been agreed with the 20-year-old Bebe and he was set to move to Old Trafford for an undisclosed fee. He is the second new forward to join United ahead of the new season.

2010-08-05 Moreno makes Foxes move

Leicester have completed the signing of midfielder Moreno from Vitoria Guimaraes for an undisclosed fee.

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Academica: Downtrend
Form: 0-2-4 (2 points, 0.33 avg)
Last 30 matches: 8-9-13 (33 points, 1.10 avg)

› Vitoria Guimaraes: Neutral
Form: 1-3-2 (6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 30 matches: 9-9-12 (36 points, 1.20 avg)

Home/Away

› Academica: Downtrend
Home form: 1-3-2 (6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 6-5-4 (23 points, 1.53 avg)

› Vitoria Guimaraes: Downtrend
Away form: 0-3-3 (3 points, 0.50 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 3-5-7 (14 points, 0.93 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Braga 5 5 0 0 9 1 15 4 3 1 0 6 3 10 9 8 1 0 15 4 25
2 Benfica 4 3 1 0 20 3 10 5 4 0 1 10 4 12 9 7 1 1 30 7 22
3 Porto 5 4 1 0 12 4 13 4 2 1 1 7 3 7 9 6 2 1 19 7 20
4 Sporting 4 2 1 1 5 4 7 4 1 2 1 4 3 5 8 3 3 2 9 7 12
5 Maritimo 4 2 0 2 6 5 6 4 1 2 1 6 5 5 8 3 2 3 12 10 11
6 Rio Ave 4 2 2 0 4 1 8 4 0 3 1 4 5 3 8 2 5 1 8 6 11
7 Nacional 4 2 2 0 6 3 8 4 1 0 3 2 11 3 8 3 2 3 8 14 11
8 Uniao Leiria 4 1 2 1 4 3 5 4 1 2 1 8 5 5 8 2 4 2 12 8 10
9 Belenenses 4 1 1 2 2 5 4 5 0 4 1 3 5 4 9 1 5 3 5 10 8
10 Leixoes 4 2 2 0 6 3 8 4 0 0 4 1 11 0 8 2 2 4 7 14 8
11 Vitoria Guimaraes 4 1 2 1 6 4 5 4 0 2 2 1 5 2 8 1 4 3 7 9 7
12 Pacos Ferreira 4 0 3 1 3 5 3 4 1 1 2 3 5 4 8 1 4 3 6 10 7
13 Olhanense 4 1 1 2 2 5 4 4 0 3 1 3 4 3 8 1 4 3 5 9 7
14 Naval 1 Maio 4 1 1 2 4 6 4 4 1 0 3 2 8 3 8 2 1 5 6 14 7
15 Vitoria Setubal 4 1 1 2 1 5 4 4 1 0 3 2 11 3 8 2 1 5 3 16 7
16 Academica 4 0 2 2 4 8 2 4 0 1 3 3 6 1 8 0 3 5 7 14 3

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 23% (value odds 4.34)

› Awaywin: 27% (value odds 3.65)

› Draw: 50% (value odds 2.02)

› Over: 40% (value odds 2.47)

› Under: 60% (value odds 1.68)

Expected Score:

› Academica: 1.15

› Vitoria Guimaraes: 1.35

› Total: 2.50


› Over: 50%

› Under: 50%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Academica) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring homewin.

Trends favouring awaywin (Vitoria Guimaraes) (Trends: 3 Stars: 3)

› Academica playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [lost 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Academica playing in November the last 3 seasons. [lost 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Vitoria Guimaraes playing against defensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [won 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 17 Stars: 36)

› Academica playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 3/ 8] [37.50%] [1*]
› Academica playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 26/ 67] [38.81%] [1*]
› Academica playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 17/ 33] [51.52%] [3*]
› Academica playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 11/ 29] [37.93%] [1*]
› Academica playing against poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 13] [46.15%] [3*]
› Academica playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 12/ 28] [42.86%] [2*]
› Academica playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 9/ 18] [50.00%] [3*]
› Academica playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 16/ 41] [39.02%] [1*]
› Academica playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 12/ 20] [60.00%] [3*]
› Academica playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 8] [50.00%] [3*]
› Vitoria Guimaraes playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [draw 3/ 6] [50.00%] [3*]
› Vitoria Guimaraes playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 10/ 19] [52.63%] [3*]
› Vitoria Guimaraes playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 4/ 8] [50.00%] [3*]
› Vitoria Guimaraes playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 12/ 34] [35.29%] [1*]
› Vitoria Guimaraes playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 12/ 32] [37.50%] [1*]
› Vitoria Guimaraes playing against poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 8/ 13] [61.54%] [3*]
› Vitoria Guimaraes playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 14] [35.71%] [1*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Vitoria Guimaraes playing against defensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 16 Stars: 21)

› Academica playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Academica playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 41/ 67] [61.19%] [1*]
› Academica playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 23/ 33] [69.70%] [1*]
› Academica playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 18/ 29] [62.07%] [1*]
› Academica playing against poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 9/ 13] [69.23%] [1*]
› Academica playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 14/ 18] [77.78%] [2*]
› Academica playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 25/ 41] [60.98%] [1*]
› Academica playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 15/ 20] [75.00%] [2*]
› Academica playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [under 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Vitoria Guimaraes playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Vitoria Guimaraes playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Vitoria Guimaraes playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 41/ 68] [60.29%] [1*]
› Vitoria Guimaraes playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 21/ 34] [61.76%] [1*]
› Vitoria Guimaraes playing in November the last 3 seasons. [under 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Vitoria Guimaraes playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [under 11/ 15] [73.33%] [2*]
› Vitoria Guimaraes playing in midweek at away the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 8] [75.00%] [2*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Academica
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 0.0
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1461.2
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1435.7

› Current ELO Rating: 1394.6

Vitoria Guimaraes
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 0.0
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1480.0
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1476.0

› Current ELO Rating: 1454.9

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Academica 1485.0 1480.4 1461.2 1444.7 1439.1 1435.7 1415.8 1394.6
Vitoria Guimaraes 1500.0 1480.6 1480.0 1497.5 1480.8 1476.0 1460.7 1454.9

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Academica
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 0.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.92
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.90

› Current Power Rating: 9.82

Vitoria Guimaraes
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 0.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.97
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.00

› Current Power Rating: 9.95

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Academica 9.97 9.97 9.92 9.90 9.90 9.90 9.85 9.82
Vitoria Guimaraes 10.00 9.97 9.97 10.05 10.00 10.00 9.95 9.95

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.00 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: 2 (indicates draw)

› Weighted Form System: 8 (indicates homewin)

› Goal Superiority System: -4 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: -5 (indicates awaywin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 2 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: -1 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 25% (homewin) 50% (draw) 25% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.67 (indicates awaywin)

Stats for hometeam (Academica):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 8 0-3-5 7-14 3
› At home: 4 0-2-2 4-8 2

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 3-5
› At home: 1-3

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.88 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.00 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.75 goals per match
› At home: allowing 2.00 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LLDDLL 0-2-4
› Home: DWDLDL 1-3-2

ELO Rating: 1394.6

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 25 2009 away Porto 2-3 lost over
Oct 02 2009 home Maritimo 2-4 lost over
Sep 26 2009 away Rio Ave 0-0 draw under
Sep 20 2009 home Belenenses 1-1 draw under
Sep 13 2009 away Olhanense 1-2 lost over
Aug 30 2009 home Sporting 0-2 lost under
Aug 22 2009 home Pacos Ferreira 1-1 draw under
Aug 15 2009 away Braga 0-1 lost under
May 23 2009 away Vitoria Guimaraes 2-3 lost over
May 16 2009 home Naval 1 Maio 3-1 won over

Summary: 1-3-6 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 12-18

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Oct 02 2009 home Maritimo 2-4 lost over
Sep 20 2009 home Belenenses 1-1 draw under
Aug 30 2009 home Sporting 0-2 lost under
Aug 22 2009 home Pacos Ferreira 1-1 draw under
May 16 2009 home Naval 1 Maio 3-1 won over
May 02 2009 home Sporting 0-0 draw under
Apr 19 2009 home Porto 0-3 lost over
Apr 03 2009 home Belenenses 1-0 won under
Mar 08 2009 home CD Trofense 1-0 won under
Feb 22 2009 home Maritimo 3-1 won over

Summary: 4-3-3 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 12-13

Stats for awayteam (Vitoria Guimaraes):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 8 1-4-3 7-9 7
› At away: 4 0-2-2 1-5 2

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 3-5
› At away: 1-3

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.88 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.25 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.13 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.25 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DWLDLD 1-3-2
› Away: DLDDLL 0-3-3

ELO Rating: 1454.9

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 27 2009 home Sporting 1-1 draw under
Oct 05 2009 away Nacional 0-2 lost under
Sep 28 2009 home Uniao Leiria 2-2 draw over
Sep 18 2009 away Leixoes 1-3 lost over
Sep 11 2009 home Naval 1 Maio 3-0 won over
Aug 29 2009 away Pacos Ferreira 0-0 draw under
Aug 23 2009 home Benfica 0-1 lost under
Aug 17 2009 away Vitoria Setubal 0-0 draw under
May 23 2009 home Academica 3-2 won over
May 16 2009 away Estrela Amadora 0-1 lost under

Summary: 2-4-4 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.20 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 10-12

Last 10 Matches Away:

Oct 05 2009 away Nacional 0-2 lost under
Sep 18 2009 away Leixoes 1-3 lost over
Aug 29 2009 away Pacos Ferreira 0-0 draw under
Aug 17 2009 away Vitoria Setubal 0-0 draw under
May 16 2009 away Estrela Amadora 0-1 lost under
Apr 27 2009 away Leixoes 2-2 draw over
Apr 10 2009 away Pacos Ferreira 1-1 draw under
Mar 14 2009 away Benfica 1-0 won under
Mar 02 2009 away Braga 0-1 lost under
Feb 13 2009 away Nacional 0-3 lost over

Summary: 1-4-5 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 1.80 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 5-13

History:

Overall History

Aug 23 1997 Vitoria Guimaraes - Academica 1-0 homewin under
Jan 25 1998 Academica - Vitoria Guimaraes 2-1 homewin over
Nov 01 1998 Academica - Vitoria Guimaraes 1-1 draw under
Mar 21 1999 Vitoria Guimaraes - Academica 1-1 draw under
Sep 13 2003 Vitoria Guimaraes - Academica 1-2 awaywin over
Feb 08 2004 Academica - Vitoria Guimaraes 1-1 draw under
Sep 05 2004 Vitoria Guimaraes - Academica 2-1 homewin over
Jan 29 2005 Academica - Vitoria Guimaraes 0-2 awaywin under
Nov 07 2005 Academica - Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 homewin under
Mar 19 2006 Vitoria Guimaraes - Academica 1-1 draw under
Dec 03 2007 Vitoria Guimaraes - Academica 2-1 homewin over
Apr 18 2008 Academica - Vitoria Guimaraes 0-0 draw under
Jan 25 2009 Academica - Vitoria Guimaraes 2-1 homewin over
May 23 2009 Vitoria Guimaraes - Academica 3-2 homewin over

Summary (overall): 7-5-2 O-U: 6-8 Avg. score: 2.29 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 3-1-0 O-U: 3-1 Avg. score: 2.75 Median score: 3.00

Trend: Vitoria Guimaraes is 5-5-4

Trend 3 years: Vitoria Guimaraes is 2-1-1

Home - Away History

Jan 25 1998 Academica - Vitoria Guimaraes 2-1 homewin over
Nov 01 1998 Academica - Vitoria Guimaraes 1-1 draw under
Feb 08 2004 Academica - Vitoria Guimaraes 1-1 draw under
Jan 29 2005 Academica - Vitoria Guimaraes 0-2 awaywin under
Nov 07 2005 Academica - Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 homewin under
Apr 18 2008 Academica - Vitoria Guimaraes 0-0 draw under
Jan 25 2009 Academica - Vitoria Guimaraes 2-1 homewin over

Summary (overall): 3-3-1 O-U: 2-5 Avg. score: 1.86 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 1-1-0 O-U: 1-1 Avg. score: 1.50 Median score: 1.50

Trend: Academica is 3-3-1

Trend 3 years: Academica is 1-1-0