Tuesday 9th @ 12:02 CET

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Index : Nacional vs Vitoria Setubal

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Nacional - Vitoria Setubal (2 - 1):

Liga BetandWin (Portugal)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Nacional) (Trends: 9 Stars: 10)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Vitoria Setubal) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 4 Stars: 5)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 26 Stars: 36)

› Nacional home: 2-2-0 6-3
› Nacional form: 3-1-2 7-10
› Home form: 4-2-0 10-4

› Vitoria Setubal away: 1-0-3 2-11
› Vitoria Setubal form: 2-0-4 3-15
› Away form: 1-1-4 5-15

News:

Nacional

2010-01-07 Sub-20: Paulo Alves promove três estreias

Ricardo Dias (FC Porto), Ruben (Marítimo) e Vítor Bastos (Vizela) são as novidades na lista de convocados de Paulo Alves para o estágio da Selecção Nacional sub-20, que vai decorrer entre os dias 11 e 12, em Rio Maior.

2010-01-06 Rui Costa e Nuno Gomes outra vez juntos em campo

Ex-companheiros no Benfica, na Fiorentina e na Selecção Nacional voltam a unir forças, desta vez na luta contra a pobreza, dia 25, no Estádio da Luz.

2010-01-06 Benfica e Sporting multados

Benfica e Sporting foram multados pela Comissão Disciplinar da Liga em 850 e 1000 euros, respectivamente, na sequência dos jogos da Carlsberg Cup com Nacional e Sp. Braga.

2010-01-05 Thiago Gentil é a aposta ofensiva

Depois do defesa-central Alex Bruno, presidente do Nacional garante o concurso de um "armador" experiente. Thiago Gentil assina hoje por duas épocas e meia.

2010-01-05 Nuno Pinto com micro-rotura

O defesa lateral Nuno Pinto foi reavaliado esta terça-feira à lesão contraída frente ao Benfica. O exame detectou uma micro-rotura na face posterior da coxa direita do esquerdino, de acordo com a nota publicada no site oficial do Nacional.

2010-01-05 Andrés Madrid falha jogo com o Nacional

Uma pancada no pé direito vai afastar Andrés Madrid da próxima jornada da Liga, frente ao Nacional.

2010-01-05 Napoli To Table €5.5 Million Offer For Nacional Star Nicolas Lodeiro - Report (Goal.com)

The Partenopei are planning a January raid to sign the highly-rated midfielder.

2010-01-05 Napoli To Table €5.5 Million Offer For Nacional Star Nicolas Lodeiro - Report

The Partenopei are planning a January raid to sign the highly-rated midfielder.

2010-01-04 Nuno Pinto com estiramento

Substituído ao quarto de hora no jogo com o Benfica, o defesa Nuno Pinto contraiu estiramento na face posterior da coxa direita, pelo que esta segunda-feira, no regresso do plantel do Nacional aos treinos, se limitou a efectuar tratamento.

2010-01-04 Selecção Nacional concentrou-se em Carcavelos

A Selecção Nacional de futsal concentrou-se esta segunda-feira numa unidade hoteleira em Carcavelos, onde vai ficar até ao próximo dia 16 a preparar-se para a participação no Campeonato da Europa, na Hungria, entre 18 e 30. A equipa das quinas está inserida no Grupo D, juntamente com a Espanha e a Bielorrússia.

Vitoria Setubal

2009-11-01 Nacional staat vijfde na overwinning op Setubal

Nacional heeft Vitoria Setubal verslagen. Het werd 2-1 voor de thuisploeg, die daardoor naar de vijfde plaats op de ranglijst stijgt. Nacional kreeg de kansen en scoorde ook doelpunten. Toch kwam het op achterstand, omdat Keyta na elf minuten een penalty binnen wist te werken: 0-1. Vol goede m...

2009-10-25 Vitoria Setubal verrast Leixoes en boekt kleine zege

In de Portugese competitie heeft Vitoria Setubal gewonnen van Leixoes. De laaggeklasseerde thuisploeg versloeg de middenmotor met het kleinste verschil: 1-0. Ladji Keita werd uiteindelijk de matchwinner. De speler van Vitoria Setubal scoorde na 36 minuten spelen het enige doelpunt van de wedstrij...

2009-10-03 Zevende overwinning koploper Braga is een feit

Sporting Braga blijft maar winnen. Tegen Vitoria Setubal scoorde de koploper in de Portugese competitie twee keer. Dat was genoeg voor de drie punten. Paulo César maakte na zestig minuten de eerste goal van de wedstrijd. Op voorhand viel te verwachten dat de thuisclub zou gaan winnen. Zij had im...

2009-10-03 Portugal: Seven in a row for Sporting Braga

Sporting Braga won their seventh league match in a row to keep their perfect record in the Portuguese competition. Vitoria Setubal failed to end Braga's impressive streak.

2009-09-26 Naval en Pacos Ferreira boeken eerste zege

Associacao Naval en Pacos Ferreira hebben hun eerste overwinning van het seizoen te pakken. Beide Portugese ploegen boekten een kleine zege en gingen er met de drie punten vandoor. Manuel Jose maakte het enige doelpunt in de wedstrijd tussen Vitoria Setubal en Pacos Ferreira. Hij vond na acht min...

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Nacional: Neutral
Form: 3-1-2 (10 points, 1.67 avg)
Last 30 matches: 14-7-9 (49 points, 1.63 avg)

› Vitoria Setubal: Neutral
Form: 2-0-4 (6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 30 matches: 7-5-18 (26 points, 0.87 avg)

Home/Away

› Nacional: Neutral
Home form: 4-2-0 (14 points, 2.33 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 8-6-1 (30 points, 2.00 avg)

› Vitoria Setubal: Neutral
Away form: 1-1-4 (4 points, 0.67 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 2-4-9 (10 points, 0.67 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Benfica 4 3 1 0 20 3 10 4 4 0 0 10 2 12 8 7 1 0 30 5 22
2 Braga 4 4 0 0 7 1 12 4 3 1 0 6 3 10 8 7 1 0 13 4 22
3 Porto 5 4 1 0 12 4 13 4 2 1 1 7 3 7 9 6 2 1 19 7 20
4 Sporting 4 2 1 1 5 4 7 4 1 2 1 4 3 5 8 3 3 2 9 7 12
5 Maritimo 4 2 0 2 6 5 6 4 1 2 1 6 5 5 8 3 2 3 12 10 11
6 Rio Ave 4 2 2 0 4 1 8 4 0 3 1 4 5 3 8 2 5 1 8 6 11
7 Nacional 4 2 2 0 6 3 8 4 1 0 3 2 11 3 8 3 2 3 8 14 11
8 Uniao Leiria 4 1 2 1 4 3 5 4 1 2 1 8 5 5 8 2 4 2 12 8 10
9 Belenenses 4 1 1 2 2 5 4 5 0 4 1 3 5 4 9 1 5 3 5 10 8
10 Leixoes 4 2 2 0 6 3 8 4 0 0 4 1 11 0 8 2 2 4 7 14 8
11 Vitoria Guimaraes 4 1 2 1 6 4 5 4 0 2 2 1 5 2 8 1 4 3 7 9 7
12 Pacos Ferreira 4 0 3 1 3 5 3 4 1 1 2 3 5 4 8 1 4 3 6 10 7
13 Olhanense 4 1 1 2 2 5 4 4 0 3 1 3 4 3 8 1 4 3 5 9 7
14 Naval 1 Maio 4 1 1 2 4 6 4 4 1 0 3 2 8 3 8 2 1 5 6 14 7
15 Vitoria Setubal 4 1 1 2 1 5 4 4 1 0 3 2 11 3 8 2 1 5 3 16 7
16 Academica 4 0 2 2 4 8 2 4 0 1 3 3 6 1 8 0 3 5 7 14 3

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 41% (value odds 2.44)

› Awaywin: 19% (value odds 5.32)

› Draw: 40% (value odds 2.49)

› Over: 22% (value odds 4.64)

› Under: 78% (value odds 1.27)

Expected Score:

› Nacional: 1.98

› Vitoria Setubal: 0.85

› Total: 2.83


› Over: 57%

› Under: 43%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Nacional) (Trends: 9 Stars: 10)

› Nacional playing against poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [won 10/ 15] [66.67%] [1*]
› Nacional playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [won 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Nacional playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [won 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [lost 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing in weekend the current season. [lost 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 10/ 15] [66.67%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against defensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal after playing under 4 or more matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [lost 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal after losing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [lost 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Vitoria Setubal) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Vitoria Setubal playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [won 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 4 Stars: 5)

› Nacional playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 20] [35.00%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against offensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 9] [44.44%] [2*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 13/ 34] [38.24%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. [draw 12/ 31] [38.71%] [1*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Vitoria Setubal playing against average teams the last 3 seasons. [over 8/ 12] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 26 Stars: 36)

› Nacional playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Nacional playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 43/ 68] [63.24%] [1*]
› Nacional playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 22/ 34] [64.71%] [1*]
› Nacional playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 18/ 29] [62.07%] [1*]
› Nacional playing against poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 10/ 15] [66.67%] [1*]
› Nacional playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Nacional playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Nacional playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 29/ 43] [67.44%] [1*]
› Nacional playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 15/ 20] [75.00%] [2*]
› Nacional playing in November the last 3 seasons. [under 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Nacional playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. [under 31/ 51] [60.78%] [1*]
› Nacional playing in weekend at home the last 3 seasons. [under 18/ 30] [60.00%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 6/ 8] [75.00%] [2*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 43/ 68] [63.24%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 22/ 34] [64.71%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing in weekend the current season. [under 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing in November the last 3 seasons. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. [under 36/ 55] [65.45%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. [under 22/ 31] [70.97%] [2*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 9/ 15] [60.00%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against defensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 30/ 43] [69.77%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against offensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal after playing under 4 or more matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [under 8/ 8] [100.00%] [4*]
› Vitoria Setubal after losing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [under 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Nacional
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 0.0
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1475.8
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1484.8

› Current ELO Rating: 1480.2

Vitoria Setubal
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 0.0
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1464.3
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1439.5

› Current ELO Rating: 1428.0

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Nacional 1495.8 1480.6 1475.8 1459.4 1469.0 1484.8 1499.5 1480.2
Vitoria Setubal 1495.8 1480.6 1464.3 1444.1 1459.1 1439.5 1418.9 1428.0

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Nacional
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 0.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.93
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.95

› Current Power Rating: 9.85

Vitoria Setubal
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 0.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.80
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.70

› Current Power Rating: 9.67

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Nacional 10.00 9.93 9.93 9.88 9.90 9.95 9.98 9.85
Vitoria Setubal 10.00 9.97 9.80 9.70 9.72 9.70 9.65 9.67

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 1.25 (indicates homewin)

› Game Form System: -2 (indicates draw)

› Weighted Form System: 2 (indicates draw)

› Goal Superiority System: 7 (indicates homewin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 9 (indicates homewin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 5 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 4 (indicates homewin) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 63% (homewin) 25% (draw) 13% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: -0.83 (indicates homewin)

Stats for hometeam (Nacional):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 8 3-2-3 8-14 11
› At home: 4 2-2-0 6-3 8

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 3-5
› At home: 1-3

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.00 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.50 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.75 goals per match
› At home: allowing 0.75 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DLWWWL 3-1-2
› Home: WWDDWW 4-2-0

ELO Rating: 1480.2

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 26 2009 away Benfica 1-6 lost over
Oct 12 2009 away Belenenses 1-0 won under
Oct 05 2009 home Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0 won under
Sep 20 2009 home Maritimo 2-1 won over
Sep 12 2009 away Rio Ave 0-2 lost under
Aug 31 2009 home Olhanense 1-1 draw under
Aug 23 2009 away Porto 0-3 lost over
Aug 15 2009 home Sporting 1-1 draw under
May 24 2009 away Sporting 1-3 lost over
May 17 2009 home Pacos Ferreira 1-0 won under

Summary: 4-2-4 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.70 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 10-17

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Oct 05 2009 home Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0 won under
Sep 20 2009 home Maritimo 2-1 won over
Aug 31 2009 home Olhanense 1-1 draw under
Aug 15 2009 home Sporting 1-1 draw under
May 17 2009 home Pacos Ferreira 1-0 won under
May 02 2009 home Benfica 3-1 won over
Apr 18 2009 home Braga 1-1 draw under
Mar 16 2009 home Maritimo 1-1 draw under
Feb 28 2009 home Academica 3-1 won over
Feb 13 2009 home Vitoria Guimaraes 3-0 won over

Summary: 6-4-0 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 18-7

Stats for awayteam (Vitoria Setubal):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 8 2-1-5 3-16 7
› At away: 4 1-0-3 2-11 3

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 2-6
› At away: 1-3

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.38 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.50 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 2.00 goals per match
› At away: allowing 2.75 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LLWLLW 2-0-4
› Away: LDLLWL 1-1-4

ELO Rating: 1428.0

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 25 2009 home Leixoes 1-0 won under
Oct 03 2009 away Braga 0-2 lost under
Sep 26 2009 home Pacos Ferreira 0-1 lost under
Sep 20 2009 away Naval 1 Maio 1-0 won under
Sep 13 2009 home Uniao Leiria 0-4 lost over
Aug 31 2009 away Benfica 1-8 lost over
Aug 23 2009 away Rio Ave 0-1 lost under
Aug 17 2009 home Vitoria Guimaraes 0-0 draw under
May 23 2009 away Naval 1 Maio 2-2 draw over
May 16 2009 home Leixoes 0-1 lost under

Summary: 2-2-6 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 2.40 Median score: 1.00 Goals: 5-19

Last 10 Matches Away:

Oct 03 2009 away Braga 0-2 lost under
Sep 20 2009 away Naval 1 Maio 1-0 won under
Aug 31 2009 away Benfica 1-8 lost over
Aug 23 2009 away Rio Ave 0-1 lost under
May 23 2009 away Naval 1 Maio 2-2 draw over
May 09 2009 away Sporting 1-2 lost over
Apr 26 2009 away Porto 0-2 lost under
Apr 11 2009 away Belenenses 1-2 lost over
Mar 15 2009 away CD Trofense 1-0 won under
Mar 01 2009 away Maritimo 1-5 lost over

Summary: 2-1-7 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 3.20 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 8-24

History:

Overall History

Oct 27 2002 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 1-1 draw under
Mar 16 2003 Vitoria Setubal - Nacional 2-2 draw over
Nov 13 2004 Vitoria Setubal - Nacional 1-0 homewin under
Apr 03 2005 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 1-3 awaywin over
Jan 06 2006 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 2-2 draw over
May 06 2006 Vitoria Setubal - Nacional 1-1 draw under
Sep 24 2006 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 1-0 homewin under
Feb 25 2007 Vitoria Setubal - Nacional 1-1 draw under
Aug 27 2007 Vitoria Setubal - Nacional 1-1 draw under
Jan 27 2008 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 0-0 draw under
Oct 26 2008 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 1-0 homewin under
Mar 09 2009 Vitoria Setubal - Nacional 2-0 homewin under

Summary (overall): 4-7-1 O-U: 3-9 Avg. score: 2.08 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 2-3-0 O-U: 0-5 Avg. score: 1.40 Median score: 2.00

Trend: Vitoria Setubal is 3-7-2

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Home - Away History

Oct 27 2002 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 1-1 draw under
Apr 03 2005 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 1-3 awaywin over
Jan 06 2006 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 2-2 draw over
Sep 24 2006 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 1-0 homewin under
Jan 27 2008 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 0-0 draw under
Oct 26 2008 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 1-0 homewin under

Summary (overall): 2-3-1 O-U: 2-4 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 1.50

Summary (3 years): 1-1-0 O-U: 0-2 Avg. score: 0.50 Median score: 0.50

Trend: Nacional is 2-3-1

Trend 3 years: Nacional is 1-1-0