Index : Nacional vs Vitoria Setubal

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

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Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Nacional - Vitoria Setubal (2 - 1):

Liga BetandWin (Portugal)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Nacional) (Trends: 9 Stars: 10)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Vitoria Setubal) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 4 Stars: 5)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 26 Stars: 36)

› Nacional home: 2-2-0 6-3
› Nacional form: 3-1-2 7-10
› Home form: 4-2-0 10-4

› Vitoria Setubal away: 1-0-3 2-11
› Vitoria Setubal form: 2-0-4 3-15
› Away form: 1-1-4 5-15

News:

Nacional

2010-09-03 Pecnik sem limitações, mas sob vigilância médica

No último treino do Nacional desta semana, uma boa notícia para o técnico Predrag Jokanovic: o médio Pecnik voltou a trabalhar sem limitações.

2010-09-03 Selecção joga com fumos negros frente ao Chipre em honra de José Torres

O futebol português está de luto com a morte de José Torres. E a Selecção Nacional não está, naturalmente, indiferente. Por isso, os jogadores vão envergar fumos negros nas camisolas frente ao Chipre.

2010-09-03 Morreu José Torres

Faleceu José Torres, antiga glória da Selecção Nacional e do Benfica, na madrugada desta sexta-feira vítima de doença prolongada.

2010-09-02 «Ninguém sabe quem vai ser o treinador» – Jesualdo

Jesualdo Ferreira lamenta a polémica em torno de Carlos Queiroz e avisa que a Selecção Nacional poderá ser a principal prejudicada pela indefinição em torno do seu líder.

2010-09-02 Carvalho surpreendido pela renúncia de Simão e Paulo Ferreira

Deco abandonou a equipa das Quinas após o Mundial, mas Simão e Paulo Ferreira comunicaram a decisão de renunciar à Selecção Nacional esta semana. Ricardo Carvalho revelou ter ficado surpreendido quando soube da notícia.

2010-09-02 «Somos obrigados a dar o nosso melhor» - Ricardo Carvalho

Ricardo Carvalho, «capitão» da Selecção Nacional devido à ausência, por lesão, de Cristiano Ronaldo, assumiu, na antevisão da partida com o Chipre, que a vontade do gurpo é de começar a qualificação para o Euro-2012 com um triunfo.

2010-09-02 «Carlos Queiroz ainda é o seleccionador nacional» - Agostinho Oliveira

Agostinho Oliveira vai comandar a Selecção Nacional frente a Chipre e Portugal mas fez questão de frisar, em conferência de imprensa, que o seleccionador nacional continua a ser Carlos Queiroz, com quem admitiu, aliás, ter conversado sobre a convocatória.

2010-09-01 Quaresma falha treino por motivos pessoais

Ricardo Quaresma foi dispensado do treino da Selecção Nacional realizado, na manhã desta quarta-feira, no Estádio 1.º de Maio, em Braga.

2010-09-01 Eduardo e o “caso” Queiroz: «Tem de nos passar ao lado»

O guarda-redes da Selecção Nacional diz que a polémica em torno de Carlos Queiroz «tem de passar ao lado» dos jogadores. Eduardo lembra que o grupo é agora liderado por Agostinho Oliveira e vai ser sob a sua orientação que Portugal terá de vencer os jogos com Chipre e Noruega.

2010-09-01 Alex Bruno acabou por ser inscrito

No fecho do mercado de transferências, o Nacional inscreveu Alex Bruno, defesa brasileiro que está afastado da competição desde Fevereiro, em virtude de uma lesão na zona lombar.

Vitoria Setubal

2010-08-28 Benfica finally win in Portugal

After losing their first two games of the season, Benfica finally recovered with a 3-0 win over Vitoria Setubal in the Portuguese league.

2010-08-19 Gommans moet kiezen tussen MVV, Vitoria Setubal en Beveren

MVV blijkt niet de enige kandidaat te zijn om Harrie Gommans in te lijven. De transfervrije aanvaller staat ook in de belangstelling van de Portugese club Vitoria Setubal en het Belgische Waasland Bev...

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Nacional: Neutral
Form: 3-1-2 (10 points, 1.67 avg)
Last 30 matches: 14-7-9 (49 points, 1.63 avg)

› Vitoria Setubal: Neutral
Form: 2-0-4 (6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 30 matches: 7-5-18 (26 points, 0.87 avg)

Home/Away

› Nacional: Neutral
Home form: 4-2-0 (14 points, 2.33 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 8-6-1 (30 points, 2.00 avg)

› Vitoria Setubal: Neutral
Away form: 1-1-4 (4 points, 0.67 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 2-4-9 (10 points, 0.67 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Benfica 4 3 1 0 20 3 10 4 4 0 0 10 2 12 8 7 1 0 30 5 22
2 Braga 4 4 0 0 7 1 12 4 3 1 0 6 3 10 8 7 1 0 13 4 22
3 Porto 5 4 1 0 12 4 13 4 2 1 1 7 3 7 9 6 2 1 19 7 20
4 Sporting 4 2 1 1 5 4 7 4 1 2 1 4 3 5 8 3 3 2 9 7 12
5 Maritimo 4 2 0 2 6 5 6 4 1 2 1 6 5 5 8 3 2 3 12 10 11
6 Rio Ave 4 2 2 0 4 1 8 4 0 3 1 4 5 3 8 2 5 1 8 6 11
7 Nacional 4 2 2 0 6 3 8 4 1 0 3 2 11 3 8 3 2 3 8 14 11
8 Uniao Leiria 4 1 2 1 4 3 5 4 1 2 1 8 5 5 8 2 4 2 12 8 10
9 Belenenses 4 1 1 2 2 5 4 5 0 4 1 3 5 4 9 1 5 3 5 10 8
10 Leixoes 4 2 2 0 6 3 8 4 0 0 4 1 11 0 8 2 2 4 7 14 8
11 Vitoria Guimaraes 4 1 2 1 6 4 5 4 0 2 2 1 5 2 8 1 4 3 7 9 7
12 Pacos Ferreira 4 0 3 1 3 5 3 4 1 1 2 3 5 4 8 1 4 3 6 10 7
13 Olhanense 4 1 1 2 2 5 4 4 0 3 1 3 4 3 8 1 4 3 5 9 7
14 Naval 1 Maio 4 1 1 2 4 6 4 4 1 0 3 2 8 3 8 2 1 5 6 14 7
15 Vitoria Setubal 4 1 1 2 1 5 4 4 1 0 3 2 11 3 8 2 1 5 3 16 7
16 Academica 4 0 2 2 4 8 2 4 0 1 3 3 6 1 8 0 3 5 7 14 3

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 41% (value odds 2.44)

› Awaywin: 19% (value odds 5.32)

› Draw: 40% (value odds 2.49)

› Over: 22% (value odds 4.64)

› Under: 78% (value odds 1.27)

Expected Score:

› Nacional: 1.98

› Vitoria Setubal: 0.85

› Total: 2.83


› Over: 57%

› Under: 43%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Nacional) (Trends: 9 Stars: 10)

› Nacional playing against poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [won 10/ 15] [66.67%] [1*]
› Nacional playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [won 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Nacional playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [won 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [lost 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing in weekend the current season. [lost 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 10/ 15] [66.67%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against defensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal after playing under 4 or more matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [lost 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal after losing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [lost 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Vitoria Setubal) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Vitoria Setubal playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [won 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 4 Stars: 5)

› Nacional playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 20] [35.00%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against offensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 9] [44.44%] [2*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 13/ 34] [38.24%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. [draw 12/ 31] [38.71%] [1*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Vitoria Setubal playing against average teams the last 3 seasons. [over 8/ 12] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 26 Stars: 36)

› Nacional playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Nacional playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 43/ 68] [63.24%] [1*]
› Nacional playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 22/ 34] [64.71%] [1*]
› Nacional playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 18/ 29] [62.07%] [1*]
› Nacional playing against poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 10/ 15] [66.67%] [1*]
› Nacional playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Nacional playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Nacional playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 29/ 43] [67.44%] [1*]
› Nacional playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 15/ 20] [75.00%] [2*]
› Nacional playing in November the last 3 seasons. [under 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Nacional playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. [under 31/ 51] [60.78%] [1*]
› Nacional playing in weekend at home the last 3 seasons. [under 18/ 30] [60.00%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 6/ 8] [75.00%] [2*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 43/ 68] [63.24%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 22/ 34] [64.71%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing in weekend the current season. [under 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing in November the last 3 seasons. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. [under 36/ 55] [65.45%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. [under 22/ 31] [70.97%] [2*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 9/ 15] [60.00%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against defensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 30/ 43] [69.77%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal playing against offensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Vitoria Setubal after playing under 4 or more matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [under 8/ 8] [100.00%] [4*]
› Vitoria Setubal after losing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [under 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Nacional
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 0.0
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1475.8
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1484.8

› Current ELO Rating: 1480.2

Vitoria Setubal
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 0.0
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1464.3
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1439.5

› Current ELO Rating: 1428.0

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Nacional 1495.8 1480.6 1475.8 1459.4 1469.0 1484.8 1499.5 1480.2
Vitoria Setubal 1495.8 1480.6 1464.3 1444.1 1459.1 1439.5 1418.9 1428.0

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Nacional
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 0.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.93
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.95

› Current Power Rating: 9.85

Vitoria Setubal
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 0.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.80
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.70

› Current Power Rating: 9.67

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Nacional 10.00 9.93 9.93 9.88 9.90 9.95 9.98 9.85
Vitoria Setubal 10.00 9.97 9.80 9.70 9.72 9.70 9.65 9.67

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 1.25 (indicates homewin)

› Game Form System: -2 (indicates draw)

› Weighted Form System: 2 (indicates draw)

› Goal Superiority System: 7 (indicates homewin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 9 (indicates homewin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 5 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 4 (indicates homewin) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 63% (homewin) 25% (draw) 13% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: -0.83 (indicates homewin)

Stats for hometeam (Nacional):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 8 3-2-3 8-14 11
› At home: 4 2-2-0 6-3 8

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 3-5
› At home: 1-3

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.00 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.50 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.75 goals per match
› At home: allowing 0.75 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DLWWWL 3-1-2
› Home: WWDDWW 4-2-0

ELO Rating: 1480.2

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 26 2009 away Benfica 1-6 lost over
Oct 12 2009 away Belenenses 1-0 won under
Oct 05 2009 home Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0 won under
Sep 20 2009 home Maritimo 2-1 won over
Sep 12 2009 away Rio Ave 0-2 lost under
Aug 31 2009 home Olhanense 1-1 draw under
Aug 23 2009 away Porto 0-3 lost over
Aug 15 2009 home Sporting 1-1 draw under
May 24 2009 away Sporting 1-3 lost over
May 17 2009 home Pacos Ferreira 1-0 won under

Summary: 4-2-4 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.70 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 10-17

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Oct 05 2009 home Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0 won under
Sep 20 2009 home Maritimo 2-1 won over
Aug 31 2009 home Olhanense 1-1 draw under
Aug 15 2009 home Sporting 1-1 draw under
May 17 2009 home Pacos Ferreira 1-0 won under
May 02 2009 home Benfica 3-1 won over
Apr 18 2009 home Braga 1-1 draw under
Mar 16 2009 home Maritimo 1-1 draw under
Feb 28 2009 home Academica 3-1 won over
Feb 13 2009 home Vitoria Guimaraes 3-0 won over

Summary: 6-4-0 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 18-7

Stats for awayteam (Vitoria Setubal):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 8 2-1-5 3-16 7
› At away: 4 1-0-3 2-11 3

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 2-6
› At away: 1-3

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.38 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.50 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 2.00 goals per match
› At away: allowing 2.75 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LLWLLW 2-0-4
› Away: LDLLWL 1-1-4

ELO Rating: 1428.0

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 25 2009 home Leixoes 1-0 won under
Oct 03 2009 away Braga 0-2 lost under
Sep 26 2009 home Pacos Ferreira 0-1 lost under
Sep 20 2009 away Naval 1 Maio 1-0 won under
Sep 13 2009 home Uniao Leiria 0-4 lost over
Aug 31 2009 away Benfica 1-8 lost over
Aug 23 2009 away Rio Ave 0-1 lost under
Aug 17 2009 home Vitoria Guimaraes 0-0 draw under
May 23 2009 away Naval 1 Maio 2-2 draw over
May 16 2009 home Leixoes 0-1 lost under

Summary: 2-2-6 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 2.40 Median score: 1.00 Goals: 5-19

Last 10 Matches Away:

Oct 03 2009 away Braga 0-2 lost under
Sep 20 2009 away Naval 1 Maio 1-0 won under
Aug 31 2009 away Benfica 1-8 lost over
Aug 23 2009 away Rio Ave 0-1 lost under
May 23 2009 away Naval 1 Maio 2-2 draw over
May 09 2009 away Sporting 1-2 lost over
Apr 26 2009 away Porto 0-2 lost under
Apr 11 2009 away Belenenses 1-2 lost over
Mar 15 2009 away CD Trofense 1-0 won under
Mar 01 2009 away Maritimo 1-5 lost over

Summary: 2-1-7 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 3.20 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 8-24

History:

Overall History

Oct 27 2002 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 1-1 draw under
Mar 16 2003 Vitoria Setubal - Nacional 2-2 draw over
Nov 13 2004 Vitoria Setubal - Nacional 1-0 homewin under
Apr 03 2005 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 1-3 awaywin over
Jan 06 2006 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 2-2 draw over
May 06 2006 Vitoria Setubal - Nacional 1-1 draw under
Sep 24 2006 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 1-0 homewin under
Feb 25 2007 Vitoria Setubal - Nacional 1-1 draw under
Aug 27 2007 Vitoria Setubal - Nacional 1-1 draw under
Jan 27 2008 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 0-0 draw under
Oct 26 2008 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 1-0 homewin under
Mar 09 2009 Vitoria Setubal - Nacional 2-0 homewin under

Summary (overall): 4-7-1 O-U: 3-9 Avg. score: 2.08 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 2-3-0 O-U: 0-5 Avg. score: 1.40 Median score: 2.00

Trend: Vitoria Setubal is 3-7-2

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Home - Away History

Oct 27 2002 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 1-1 draw under
Apr 03 2005 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 1-3 awaywin over
Jan 06 2006 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 2-2 draw over
Sep 24 2006 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 1-0 homewin under
Jan 27 2008 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 0-0 draw under
Oct 26 2008 Nacional - Vitoria Setubal 1-0 homewin under

Summary (overall): 2-3-1 O-U: 2-4 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 1.50

Summary (3 years): 1-1-0 O-U: 0-2 Avg. score: 0.50 Median score: 0.50

Trend: Nacional is 2-3-1

Trend 3 years: Nacional is 1-1-0