Index : Albion Rovers vs Livingston

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Albion Rovers - Livingston (0 - 2):

Third Division (Scotland)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Albion Rovers) (Trends: 3 Stars: 4)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Livingston) (Trends: 4 Stars: 8)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 2 Stars: 4)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 8 Stars: 9)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 10 Stars: 14)

› Albion Rovers home: 3-4-2 8-5
› Albion Rovers form: 0-3-3 4-9
› Home form: 1-3-2 4-3

› Livingston away: 5-2-3 19-10
› Livingston form: 3-2-1 11-5
› Away form: 4-2-0 15-5

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Albion Rovers: Downtrend
Form: 0-3-3 (3 points, 0.50 avg)
Last 30 matches: 5-12-13 (27 points, 0.90 avg)

› Livingston: Neutral
Form: 3-2-1 (11 points, 1.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 15-7-8 (52 points, 1.73 avg)

Home/Away

› Albion Rovers: Neutral
Home form: 1-3-2 (6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 3-6-6 (15 points, 1.00 avg)

› Livingston: Uptrend
Away form: 4-2-0 (14 points, 2.33 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 6-5-4 (23 points, 1.53 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 East Stirlingshire 10 7 2 1 16 9 23 9 6 0 3 11 11 18 19 13 2 4 27 20 41
2 Livingston 9 7 1 1 18 6 22 10 5 2 3 19 10 17 19 12 3 4 37 16 39
3 Berwick 11 7 1 3 12 6 22 9 3 2 4 19 16 11 20 10 3 7 31 22 33
4 Forfar 8 3 4 1 17 12 13 10 5 2 3 12 9 17 18 8 6 4 29 21 30
5 Queens Park 11 4 2 5 15 19 14 10 3 2 5 8 12 11 21 7 4 10 23 31 25
6 Albion Rovers 9 3 4 2 8 5 13 9 2 4 3 7 10 10 18 5 8 5 15 15 23
7 Stranraer 10 3 3 4 11 14 12 10 3 2 5 14 17 11 20 6 5 9 25 31 23
8 Annan Athletic 7 4 1 2 7 4 13 10 1 4 5 8 13 7 17 5 5 7 15 17 20
9 Elgin 9 1 2 6 10 23 5 9 3 4 2 15 11 13 18 4 6 8 25 34 18
10 Montrose 11 0 4 7 9 21 4 9 1 2 6 6 14 5 20 1 6 13 15 35 9

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 21% (value odds 4.85)

› Awaywin: 51% (value odds 1.97)

› Draw: 29% (value odds 3.50)

› Over: 40% (value odds 2.52)

› Under: 60% (value odds 1.66)

Expected Score:

› Albion Rovers: 0.85

› Livingston: 1.45

› Total: 2.29


› Over: 46%

› Under: 54%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Albion Rovers) (Trends: 3 Stars: 4)

› Livingston playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [lost 19/ 28] [67.86%] [1*]
› Livingston playing against defensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 12/ 16] [75.00%] [2*]
› Livingston playing in February the last 3 seasons. [lost 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Livingston) (Trends: 4 Stars: 8)

› Albion Rovers playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. [lost 26/ 43] [60.47%] [1*]
› Livingston playing against average teams the current season. [won 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Livingston playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [won 7/ 8] [87.50%] [3*]
› Livingston playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [won 12/ 19] [63.16%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 2 Stars: 4)

› Albion Rovers playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 8/ 18] [44.44%] [2*]
› Albion Rovers playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 4/ 9] [44.44%] [2*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 8 Stars: 9)

› Albion Rovers after losing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [over 8/ 13] [61.54%] [1*]
› Livingston playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [over 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Livingston playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 30/ 46] [65.22%] [1*]
› Livingston playing against average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 10/ 15] [66.67%] [1*]
› Livingston playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [over 32/ 51] [62.75%] [1*]
› Livingston playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 20/ 28] [71.43%] [2*]
› Livingston playing in February the last 3 seasons. [over 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Livingston after scoring 2 or more in their last 2 matches the last 3 seasons. [over 8/ 12] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 10 Stars: 14)

› Albion Rovers playing against good teams the current season. [under 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Albion Rovers playing against defensively good awayteams the current season. [under 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Albion Rovers playing against offensively good teams the current season. [under 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Albion Rovers playing against teams with good form the last 6 matches the current season. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Albion Rovers playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 14/ 18] [77.78%] [2*]
› Albion Rovers playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [under 7/ 9] [77.78%] [2*]
› Albion Rovers playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [under 8/ 12] [66.67%] [1*]
› Livingston playing against average teams the current season. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Livingston playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [under 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Livingston playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Albion Rovers
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1559.3
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1501.7
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1475.8

› Current ELO Rating: 1437.4

Livingston
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1534.6
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1591.0
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1569.5

› Current ELO Rating: 1575.2

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Albion Rovers 1500.0 1510.4 1520.8 1517.5 1513.0 1510.5 1523.3 1541.4 1559.3 1535.7 1519.0 1508.7 1501.7 1483.5 1482.7 1475.8 1455.4 1437.4
Livingston 1515.9 1500.1 1484.6 1495.0 1520.1 1529.2 1513.7 1528.0 1540.4 1534.6 1548.2 1570.0 1579.0 1591.0 1599.7 1576.8 1569.5 1577.7 1575.2

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Albion Rovers
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.20
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.12
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.07

› Current Power Rating: 10.00

Livingston
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.15
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.43
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.47

› Current Power Rating: 10.53

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Albion Rovers 10.00 10.03 10.05 10.05 10.05 10.05 10.08 10.15 10.20 10.18 10.12 10.12 10.12 10.07 10.07 10.07 10.05 10.00
Livingston 10.05 10.03 10.00 10.03 10.10 10.12 10.07 10.10 10.15 10.15 10.22 10.35 10.38 10.43 10.50 10.47 10.47 10.53 10.53

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: -0.26 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: -3 (indicates awaywin)

› Weighted Form System: -11 (indicates awaywin)

› Goal Superiority System: -21 (indicates awaywin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: -11 (indicates awaywin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: -17 (indicates awaywin) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: -7 (indicates awaywin) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 32% (homewin) 32% (draw) 36% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.67 (indicates awaywin)

Stats for hometeam (Albion Rovers):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 18 5-8-5 15-15 23
› At home: 9 3-4-2 8-5 13

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 4-14
› At home: 2-7

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.83 goals per match
› At home: scoring 0.89 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 0.83 goals per match
› At home: allowing 0.56 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DLDDLL 0-3-3
› Home: WLDDDL 1-3-2

ELO Rating: 1437.4

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 away Elgin 1-3 lost over
Jan 23 2010 home Forfar 0-1 lost under
Dec 12 2009 home Elgin 1-1 draw under
Dec 05 2009 away Forfar 2-2 draw over
Nov 24 2009 away Livingston 0-2 lost under
Nov 21 2009 home Annan Athletic 0-0 draw under
Nov 07 2009 home Montrose 0-0 draw under
Oct 31 2009 away Berwick 0-2 lost under
Oct 17 2009 home Queens Park 0-1 lost under
Oct 10 2009 away Elgin 2-0 won under

Summary: 1-4-5 O-U: 2-8 Avg. score: 1.80 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 6-12

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Jan 23 2010 home Forfar 0-1 lost under
Dec 12 2009 home Elgin 1-1 draw under
Nov 21 2009 home Annan Athletic 0-0 draw under
Nov 07 2009 home Montrose 0-0 draw under
Oct 17 2009 home Queens Park 0-1 lost under
Oct 03 2009 home East Stirlingshire 3-0 won over
Sep 19 2009 home Forfar 1-1 draw under
Aug 29 2009 home Livingston 1-0 won under
Aug 15 2009 home Berwick 2-1 won over
May 02 2009 home East Stirlingshire 0-2 lost under

Summary: 3-4-3 O-U: 2-8 Avg. score: 1.50 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 8-7

Stats for awayteam (Livingston):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 19 12-3-4 37-16 39
› At away: 10 5-2-3 19-10 17

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 10-9
› At away: 6-4

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.95 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.90 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 0.84 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.00 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WWLDWD 3-2-1
› Away: WWWWDD 4-2-0

ELO Rating: 1575.2

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 away Forfar 2-2 draw over
Feb 02 2010 home Queens Park 2-0 won under
Jan 23 2010 away Stranraer 1-1 draw under
Dec 12 2009 home Forfar 1-2 lost over
Dec 05 2009 home Stranraer 3-0 won over
Nov 24 2009 home Albion Rovers 2-0 won under
Nov 21 2009 away Queens Park 2-1 won over
Nov 07 2009 away Elgin 6-1 won over
Oct 31 2009 away Montrose 3-0 won over
Oct 17 2009 home Berwick 1-1 draw under

Summary: 6-3-1 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 3.10 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 23-8

Last 10 Matches Away:

Feb 06 2010 away Forfar 2-2 draw over
Jan 23 2010 away Stranraer 1-1 draw under
Nov 21 2009 away Queens Park 2-1 won over
Nov 07 2009 away Elgin 6-1 won over
Oct 31 2009 away Montrose 3-0 won over
Oct 10 2009 away Forfar 1-0 won under
Sep 30 2009 away East Stirlingshire 1-3 lost over
Sep 19 2009 away Stranraer 3-0 won over
Aug 29 2009 away Albion Rovers 0-1 lost under
Aug 22 2009 away Berwick 0-1 lost under

Summary: 5-2-3 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 2.90 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 19-10

History:

Overall History

Aug 29 2009 Albion Rovers - Livingston 1-0 homewin under
Nov 24 2009 Livingston - Albion Rovers 2-0 homewin under

Summary (overall): 2-0-0 O-U: 0-2 Avg. score: 1.50 Median score: 1.50

Summary (3 years): 2-0-0 O-U: 0-2 Avg. score: 1.50 Median score: 1.50

Trend: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Home - Away History

Aug 29 2009 Albion Rovers - Livingston 1-0 homewin under

Summary (overall): 1-0-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 1.00 Median score: 1.00

Summary (3 years): 1-0-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 1.00 Median score: 1.00

Trend: Albion Rovers is 1-0-0

Trend 3 years: Albion Rovers is 1-0-0