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Monday 8th @ 12:01 CET Weekend results have been added and the midweek fixtures corrected. I've also posted a 72% winner over at SportsProfit.com - Jensen (admin) |
Consensus:
Summary of current votes
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› Trends favouring homewin (Bologna) (Trends: 2 Stars: 3)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Palermo) (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 6 Stars: 9)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 2 Stars: 3)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 6 Stars: 7)
› Bologna home:
2-1-2
6-7
› Bologna form:
1-1-4
7-13
› Home form:
3-1-2
9-8
› Palermo away:
1-1-3
6-9
› Palermo form:
3-2-1
9-7
› Away form:
1-2-3
8-11
Man Utd striker Federico Macheda is wanted by Seria side Bologna, even though a move remains doubtful.
The Red Devils starlet has been linked with an Italian return...
It's a New Year relegation six-pointer in Sicily.....
The Rossoblu director ruled out the arrival of Arrigo Sacchi...
The agent of Napoli defender Matteo Contini has played down talk of a move to Bologna.
The head of coaches in Italy is less than impressed with the weekend's stadium closures...
De topper van de zeventiende speeldag in de Serie A tussen Fiorentina en AC Milan, die voorzien was voor vanavond, is afgelast omwille van de sneeuwval en de koude in het noorden van Italië. Ook de wedstrijd tussen Bologna en Atalanta is om ...
Het competitieduel in de Serie A tussen Fiorentina en AC Milan, dat zaterdagavond zou plaatsvinden, is afgelast. De hevige sneeuwval in grote delen van Italië maakt het duel onmogelijk. Ook het duel zondag tussen Bologna en Atalanta is geschrapt. De steden Florence en Bologna hebben grote problemen door de sneeuw. Volgens de Italiaanse voetbalbond waren de risico's voor met name het publiek in de stadions te groot.
Saturday's Serie A match between Bologna and Atalanta has been postponed after heavy snowfalls in many parts of Italy.
The defender admits that Cristiano Doni could be the man to watch...
Clubs are interested but no firm offers yet for Dane...
Palermo president Maurizio Zamparini has dismissed reports linking Simon Kjaer with a move to Man City.
Palermo rule out selling Man City target Simon Kjaer, plus other rumours
Chievo, mancano due rigori Roma beffata: Conti fa falloLa moviola della 18ª giornata di serie A: giusti i tre penalty per il Milan, al Palermo annullato un gol regolare di Cavani. Negato un rigore all'Atalanta, corretta l'espulsione di Caceres in Parma-Juve
Liverani is happy with Palermo's progress...
Pari tra Samp e Palermo Acuti di Cavani e CassanoA Marassi finisce 1-1: tutto nel giro di 60 secondi, con l'uruguaiano ad aprire le marcature e il barese a replicare con un colpo da biliardo. Risultato che non serve a nessuna delle due squadre, comunque
Diego Maradona has reportedly already chosen 14 players for the World Cup squad...
Miccoli says ‘Fantantonio’ is one of his closest friends, but insists he is only focused on conquering Marassi.
Miccoli says ‘Fantantonio’ is one of his closest friends, but insists he is only focused on conquering Marassi.
The boss is wary of some of the teams he has to play over the coming weeks...
We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.
› Bologna: Downtrend
Form: 1-1-4
(4 points, 0.67 avg)
Last 30 matches: 7-6-17
(27 points, 0.90 avg)
› Palermo: Uptrend
Form: 3-2-1
(11 points, 1.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 12-8-10
(44 points, 1.47 avg)
› Bologna: Uptrend
Home form: 3-1-2
(10 points, 1.67 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 6-1-8
(19 points, 1.27 avg)
› Palermo: Neutral
Away form: 1-2-3
(5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 3-4-8
(13 points, 0.87 avg)
| Home | Away | All | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | Goals | Matches | Goals | Matches | Goals | |||||||||||||||||
| All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | ||
| 1 | Inter Milan | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 21 |
| 3 | Sampdoria | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 19 |
| 5 | Fiorentina | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | Napoli | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 17 |
| 7 | Genoa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 17 |
| 8 | Parma | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 10 | Palermo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 16 |
| 11 | Bari | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 12 | Chievo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 15 |
| 13 | Udinese | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
| 14 | Roma | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 14 |
| 15 | Lazio | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Atalanta | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 9 |
| 17 | Bologna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 9 |
| 18 | Livorno | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 9 |
| 19 | Catania | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 7 |
| 20 | Siena | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 6 |
The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.
› Homewin: 25% (value odds 3.94)
› Awaywin: 29% (value odds 3.45)
› Draw: 46% (value odds 2.19)
› Over: 38% (value odds 2.67)
› Under: 63% (value odds 1.60)
› Bologna: 1.33
› Palermo: 1.57
› Total: 2.90
› Over: 58%
› Under: 42%
When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.
| › Bologna playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [won | 15/ | 21] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Palermo after losing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 8/ | 12] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Bologna playing against good teams the current season. | [lost | 4/ | 6] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Bologna playing in weekend the current season. | [lost | 6/ | 9] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Bologna playing against offensively average awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 6/ | 14] | [42.86%] | [2*] |
| › Bologna playing in November the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 4/ | 9] | [44.44%] | [2*] |
| › Palermo playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. | [draw | 4/ | 11] | [36.36%] | [1*] |
| › Palermo playing against poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 5/ | 13] | [38.46%] | [1*] |
| › Palermo playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 6/ | 17] | [35.29%] | [1*] |
| › Palermo playing against defensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 4/ | 9] | [44.44%] | [2*] |
| › Bologna playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 14/ | 21] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Bologna after winning in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. | [over | 8/ | 11] | [72.73%] | [2*] |
| › Bologna playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 24/ | 40] | [60.00%] | [1*] |
| › Palermo playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. | [under | 7/ | 11] | [63.64%] | [1*] |
| › Palermo playing in weekend the current season. | [under | 7/ | 9] | [77.78%] | [2*] |
| › Palermo playing against defensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 6/ | 9] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Palermo playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 13/ | 20] | [65.00%] | [1*] |
| › Palermo after losing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. | [under | 8/ | 12] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.
Bologna
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1495.6
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1471.7
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1416.7
› Current ELO Rating: 1410.9
Palermo
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1495.3
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1470.6
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1504.7
› Current ELO Rating: 1481.6
| Match | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 1495.8 | 1495.6 | 1475.2 | 1459.4 | 1475.5 | 1471.7 | 1451.3 | 1436.1 | 1416.7 | 1426.7 | 1410.9 |
| Palermo | 1510.8 | 1495.3 | 1491.1 | 1476.0 | 1471.1 | 1470.6 | 1482.1 | 1494.4 | 1504.7 | 1486.2 | 1481.6 |
A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.
Bologna
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.97
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.82
› Current Power Rating: 9.82
Palermo
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.97
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.08
› Current Power Rating: 10.03
| Match | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 10.00 | 10.00 | 9.95 | 9.92 | 9.97 | 9.97 | 9.92 | 9.90 | 9.82 | 9.85 | 9.82 |
| Palermo | 10.03 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 9.97 | 9.97 | 9.97 | 10.03 | 10.05 | 10.08 | 10.03 | 10.03 |
Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.
› Point Ratio System: 0.60 (indicates awaywin)
Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 11 2-3-6 10-17 9
› At home: 5 2-1-2 6-7 7
Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 5-6
› At home: 2-3
Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.91 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.20 goals per match
Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.55 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.40 goals per match
Form:
› Overall:
DLLLWL
1-1-4
› Home:
WDLWLW
3-1-2
ELO Rating: 1410.9
Last 10 Matches Overall:
| Nov 01 2009 | away | Roma | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Oct 28 2009 | home | Siena | 2-1 | won | over |
| Oct 24 2009 | away | Sampdoria | 1-4 | lost | over |
| Oct 18 2009 | away | Napoli | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Oct 04 2009 | home | Genoa | 1-3 | lost | over |
| Sep 27 2009 | away | Juventus | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Sep 23 2009 | home | Livorno | 2-0 | won | under |
| Sep 20 2009 | away | AC Milan | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Sep 13 2009 | home | Chievo | 0-2 | lost | under |
| Aug 29 2009 | away | Bari | 0-0 | draw | under |
Summary: 2-2-6 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 9-16
Last 10 Matches At Home:
| Oct 28 2009 | home | Siena | 2-1 | won | over |
| Oct 04 2009 | home | Genoa | 1-3 | lost | over |
| Sep 23 2009 | home | Livorno | 2-0 | won | under |
| Sep 13 2009 | home | Chievo | 0-2 | lost | under |
| Aug 22 2009 | home | Fiorentina | 1-1 | draw | under |
| May 31 2009 | home | Catania | 3-1 | won | over |
| May 17 2009 | home | Lecce | 2-1 | won | over |
| May 02 2009 | home | Reggina | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Apr 26 2009 | home | Genoa | 2-0 | won | under |
| Apr 11 2009 | home | Siena | 1-4 | lost | over |
Summary: 5-1-4 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 15-15
Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 11 4-4-3 15-14 16
› At away: 5 1-1-3 6-9 4
Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 4-7
› At away: 2-3
Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.36 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.20 goals per match
Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.27 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.80 goals per match
Form:
› Overall:
DWWWLD
3-2-1
› Away:
DLLDWL
1-2-3
ELO Rating: 1481.6
Last 10 Matches Overall:
| Nov 01 2009 | home | Genoa | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Oct 29 2009 | away | Inter Milan | 3-5 | lost | over |
| Oct 25 2009 | home | Udinese | 1-0 | won | under |
| Oct 18 2009 | away | Livorno | 2-1 | won | over |
| Oct 04 2009 | home | Juventus | 2-0 | won | under |
| Sep 27 2009 | away | Lazio | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Sep 23 2009 | home | Roma | 3-3 | draw | over |
| Sep 20 2009 | away | Parma | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Sep 13 2009 | home | Bari | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Aug 30 2009 | away | Fiorentina | 0-1 | lost | under |
Summary: 3-4-3 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 13-13
Last 10 Matches Away:
| Oct 29 2009 | away | Inter Milan | 3-5 | lost | over |
| Oct 18 2009 | away | Livorno | 2-1 | won | over |
| Sep 27 2009 | away | Lazio | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Sep 20 2009 | away | Parma | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Aug 30 2009 | away | Fiorentina | 0-1 | lost | under |
| May 24 2009 | away | Atalanta | 2-2 | draw | over |
| May 10 2009 | away | Siena | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Apr 26 2009 | away | AC Milan | 0-3 | lost | over |
| Apr 11 2009 | away | Inter Milan | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Mar 22 2009 | away | Chievo | 0-1 | lost | under |
Summary: 1-3-6 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.80 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 10-18
| Oct 03 2004 | Palermo - Bologna | 1-0 | homewin | under |
| Feb 13 2005 | Bologna - Palermo | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Nov 23 2008 | Bologna - Palermo | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Apr 19 2009 | Palermo - Bologna | 4-1 | homewin | over |
Summary (overall): 2-2-0 O-U: 1-3 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.00
Summary (3 years): 1-1-0 O-U: 1-1 Avg. score: 3.50 Median score: 3.50
Trend: Palermo is 2-2-0
Trend 3 years: Palermo is 1-1-0
| Feb 13 2005 | Bologna - Palermo | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Nov 23 2008 | Bologna - Palermo | 1-1 | draw | under |
Summary (overall): 0-2-0 O-U: 0-2 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00
Summary (3 years): 0-1-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00
Trend: Neither team is favoured based on history.
Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.