Monday 8th @ 12:01 CET

Weekend results have been added and the midweek fixtures corrected. I've also posted a 72% winner over at SportsProfit.com - Jensen (admin)

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw
       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

Bologna - Palermo (3 - 1):

Serie A (Italy)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Bologna) (Trends: 2 Stars: 3)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Palermo) (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 6 Stars: 9)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 2 Stars: 3)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 6 Stars: 7)

› Bologna home: 2-1-2 6-7
› Bologna form: 1-1-4 7-13
› Home form: 3-1-2 9-8

› Palermo away: 1-1-3 6-9
› Palermo form: 3-2-1 9-7
› Away form: 1-2-3 8-11

News:

Bologna

2010-01-07 Bologna seek Macheda switch

Man Utd striker Federico Macheda is wanted by Seria side Bologna, even though a move remains doubtful.

2010-01-07 Manchester United Striker Federico Macheda Being Chased By Bologna - Report

The Red Devils starlet has been linked with an Italian return...

2010-01-05 Serie A Preview: Catania - Bologna (Goal.com)

It's a New Year relegation six-pointer in Sicily.....

2010-01-02 We Are Not A Supermarket – Bologna General Director Luca Baraldi

The Rossoblu director ruled out the arrival of Arrigo Sacchi...

2010-01-01 Contini linked with Bologna

The agent of Napoli defender Matteo Contini has played down talk of a move to Bologna.

2009-12-21 Head Of Italian Coaches Association Renzo Ulivieri: Stadiums Need Fixing

The head of coaches in Italy is less than impressed with the weekend's stadium closures...

2009-12-19 Fiorentina - AC Milan afgelast door sneeuwval en koude

De topper van de zeventiende speeldag in de Serie A tussen Fiorentina en AC Milan, die voorzien was voor vanavond, is afgelast omwille van de sneeuwval en de koude in het noorden van Italië. Ook de wedstrijd tussen Bologna en Atalanta is om ...

2009-12-19 Fiorentina - AC Milan afgelast

Het competitieduel in de Serie A tussen Fiorentina en AC Milan, dat zaterdagavond zou plaatsvinden, is afgelast. De hevige sneeuwval in grote delen van Italië maakt het duel onmogelijk. Ook het duel zondag tussen Bologna en Atalanta is geschrapt. De steden Florence en Bologna hebben grote problemen door de sneeuw. Volgens de Italiaanse voetbalbond waren de risico's voor met name het publiek in de stadions te groot.

2009-12-19 Bologna v Atalanta postponed due to snow (Reuters)

Saturday's Serie A match between Bologna and Atalanta has been postponed after heavy snowfalls in many parts of Italy.

2009-12-17 Cristian Zenoni Warns Bologna Over Former Side Atalanta (Goal.com)

The defender admits that Cristiano Doni could be the man to watch...

Palermo

2010-01-07 Palermo President Maurizio Zamparini: Manchester City Target Simon Kjaer Will Stay Here Until June

Clubs are interested but no firm offers yet for Dane...

2010-01-07 Palermo deny Kjaer move

Palermo president Maurizio Zamparini has dismissed reports linking Simon Kjaer with a move to Man City.

2010-01-07 Thursday's gossip column

Palermo rule out selling Man City target Simon Kjaer, plus other rumours

2010-01-07 Chievo, mancano due rigori Roma beffata: Conti fa fallo

Chievo, mancano due rigori Roma beffata: Conti fa falloLa moviola della 18ª giornata di serie A: giusti i tre penalty per il Milan, al Palermo annullato un gol regolare di Cavani. Negato un rigore all'Atalanta, corretta l'espulsione di Caceres in Parma-Juve

2010-01-06 Palermo Midfielder Fabio Liverani Delighted With Sampdoria Draw

Liverani is happy with Palermo's progress...

2010-01-06 Pari tra Samp e Palermo Acuti di Cavani e Cassano

Pari tra Samp e Palermo Acuti di Cavani e CassanoA Marassi finisce 1-1: tutto nel giro di 60 secondi, con l'uruguaiano ad aprire le marcature e il barese a replicare con un colpo da biliardo. Risultato che non serve a nessuna delle due squadre, comunque

2010-01-06 World Cup 2010: Maradona Has Already Decided 14 Places In Argentina Squad - Report

Diego Maradona has reportedly already chosen 14 players for the World Cup squad...

2010-01-06 Palermo Ace Fabrizio Miccoli Relishing Duel With Sampdoria Star Antonio Cassano (Goal.com)

Miccoli says ‘Fantantonio’ is one of his closest friends, but insists he is only focused on conquering Marassi.

2010-01-06 Palermo Ace Fabrizio Miccoli Relishing Duel With Sampdoria Star Antonio Cassano

Miccoli says ‘Fantantonio’ is one of his closest friends, but insists he is only focused on conquering Marassi.

2010-01-05 Palermo Coach Delio Rossi: January Will Be A Delicate Month For Us

The boss is wary of some of the teams he has to play over the coming weeks...

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Bologna: Downtrend
Form: 1-1-4 (4 points, 0.67 avg)
Last 30 matches: 7-6-17 (27 points, 0.90 avg)

› Palermo: Uptrend
Form: 3-2-1 (11 points, 1.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 12-8-10 (44 points, 1.47 avg)

Home/Away

› Bologna: Uptrend
Home form: 3-1-2 (10 points, 1.67 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 6-1-8 (19 points, 1.27 avg)

› Palermo: Neutral
Away form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 3-4-8 (13 points, 0.87 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Inter Milan 6 5 1 0 15 7 16 5 4 0 1 13 2 12 11 9 1 1 28 9 28
2 Juventus 6 3 2 1 12 6 11 5 3 1 1 8 5 10 11 6 3 2 20 11 21
3 Sampdoria 6 4 2 0 13 4 14 5 2 1 2 5 9 7 11 6 3 2 18 13 21
4 AC Milan 5 3 1 1 5 5 10 6 2 3 1 7 6 9 11 5 4 2 12 11 19
5 Fiorentina 6 4 1 1 7 2 13 5 1 2 2 5 7 5 11 5 3 3 12 9 18
6 Napoli 5 3 2 0 9 5 11 6 2 0 4 8 13 6 11 5 2 4 17 18 17
7 Genoa 5 3 1 1 11 11 10 6 2 1 3 7 9 7 11 5 2 4 18 20 17
8 Parma 5 4 0 1 6 3 12 6 1 2 3 6 11 5 11 5 2 4 12 14 17
9 Cagliari 5 2 0 3 9 9 6 6 3 1 2 5 3 10 11 5 1 5 14 12 16
10 Palermo 6 3 3 0 9 5 12 5 1 1 3 6 9 4 11 4 4 3 15 14 16
11 Bari 5 2 2 1 6 2 8 6 1 4 1 4 5 7 11 3 6 2 10 7 15
12 Chievo 6 1 2 3 8 9 5 5 3 1 1 6 3 10 11 4 3 4 14 12 15
13 Udinese 6 4 1 1 12 8 13 5 0 2 3 3 7 2 11 4 3 4 15 15 15
14 Roma 5 3 0 2 8 7 9 6 1 2 3 10 12 5 11 4 2 5 18 19 14
15 Lazio 6 1 2 3 4 7 5 5 1 3 1 4 5 6 11 2 5 4 8 12 11
16 Atalanta 5 1 2 2 4 4 5 6 1 1 4 5 11 4 11 2 3 6 9 15 9
17 Bologna 5 2 1 2 6 7 7 6 0 2 4 4 10 2 11 2 3 6 10 17 9
18 Livorno 6 1 2 3 2 5 5 5 1 1 3 2 7 4 11 2 3 6 4 12 9
19 Catania 5 1 2 2 6 7 5 6 0 2 4 5 11 2 11 1 4 6 11 18 7
20 Siena 6 0 3 3 3 6 3 5 1 0 4 6 10 3 11 1 3 7 9 16 6

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 25% (value odds 3.94)

› Awaywin: 29% (value odds 3.45)

› Draw: 46% (value odds 2.19)

› Over: 38% (value odds 2.67)

› Under: 63% (value odds 1.60)

Expected Score:

› Bologna: 1.33

› Palermo: 1.57

› Total: 2.90


› Over: 58%

› Under: 42%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Bologna) (Trends: 2 Stars: 3)

› Bologna playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [won 15/ 21] [71.43%] [2*]
› Palermo after losing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [lost 8/ 12] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Palermo) (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)

› Bologna playing against good teams the current season. [lost 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Bologna playing in weekend the current season. [lost 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 6 Stars: 9)

› Bologna playing against offensively average awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 14] [42.86%] [2*]
› Bologna playing in November the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 9] [44.44%] [2*]
› Palermo playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 4/ 11] [36.36%] [1*]
› Palermo playing against poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 13] [38.46%] [1*]
› Palermo playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 17] [35.29%] [1*]
› Palermo playing against defensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 9] [44.44%] [2*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 2 Stars: 3)

› Bologna playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [over 14/ 21] [66.67%] [1*]
› Bologna after winning in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [over 8/ 11] [72.73%] [2*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 6 Stars: 7)

› Bologna playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [under 24/ 40] [60.00%] [1*]
› Palermo playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Palermo playing in weekend the current season. [under 7/ 9] [77.78%] [2*]
› Palermo playing against defensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Palermo playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 13/ 20] [65.00%] [1*]
› Palermo after losing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [under 8/ 12] [66.67%] [1*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Bologna
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1495.6
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1471.7
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1416.7

› Current ELO Rating: 1410.9

Palermo
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1495.3
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1470.6
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1504.7

› Current ELO Rating: 1481.6

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Bologna 1495.8 1495.6 1475.2 1459.4 1475.5 1471.7 1451.3 1436.1 1416.7 1426.7 1410.9
Palermo 1510.8 1495.3 1491.1 1476.0 1471.1 1470.6 1482.1 1494.4 1504.7 1486.2 1481.6

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Bologna
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.97
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.82

› Current Power Rating: 9.82

Palermo
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.97
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.08

› Current Power Rating: 10.03

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Bologna 10.00 10.00 9.95 9.92 9.97 9.97 9.92 9.90 9.82 9.85 9.82
Palermo 10.03 10.00 10.00 9.97 9.97 9.97 10.03 10.05 10.08 10.03 10.03

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.60 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: -6 (indicates awaywin)

› Weighted Form System: -3 (indicates draw)

› Goal Superiority System: -7 (indicates awaywin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: -8 (indicates awaywin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: -4 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: -2 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 50% (homewin) 20% (draw) 30% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 1.00 (indicates awaywin)

Stats for hometeam (Bologna):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 11 2-3-6 10-17 9
› At home: 5 2-1-2 6-7 7

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 5-6
› At home: 2-3

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.91 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.20 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.55 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.40 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DLLLWL 1-1-4
› Home: WDLWLW 3-1-2

ELO Rating: 1410.9

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Nov 01 2009 away Roma 1-2 lost over
Oct 28 2009 home Siena 2-1 won over
Oct 24 2009 away Sampdoria 1-4 lost over
Oct 18 2009 away Napoli 1-2 lost over
Oct 04 2009 home Genoa 1-3 lost over
Sep 27 2009 away Juventus 1-1 draw under
Sep 23 2009 home Livorno 2-0 won under
Sep 20 2009 away AC Milan 0-1 lost under
Sep 13 2009 home Chievo 0-2 lost under
Aug 29 2009 away Bari 0-0 draw under

Summary: 2-2-6 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 9-16

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Oct 28 2009 home Siena 2-1 won over
Oct 04 2009 home Genoa 1-3 lost over
Sep 23 2009 home Livorno 2-0 won under
Sep 13 2009 home Chievo 0-2 lost under
Aug 22 2009 home Fiorentina 1-1 draw under
May 31 2009 home Catania 3-1 won over
May 17 2009 home Lecce 2-1 won over
May 02 2009 home Reggina 1-2 lost over
Apr 26 2009 home Genoa 2-0 won under
Apr 11 2009 home Siena 1-4 lost over

Summary: 5-1-4 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 15-15

Stats for awayteam (Palermo):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 11 4-4-3 15-14 16
› At away: 5 1-1-3 6-9 4

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 4-7
› At away: 2-3

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.36 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.20 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.27 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.80 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DWWWLD 3-2-1
› Away: DLLDWL 1-2-3

ELO Rating: 1481.6

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Nov 01 2009 home Genoa 0-0 draw under
Oct 29 2009 away Inter Milan 3-5 lost over
Oct 25 2009 home Udinese 1-0 won under
Oct 18 2009 away Livorno 2-1 won over
Oct 04 2009 home Juventus 2-0 won under
Sep 27 2009 away Lazio 1-1 draw under
Sep 23 2009 home Roma 3-3 draw over
Sep 20 2009 away Parma 0-1 lost under
Sep 13 2009 home Bari 1-1 draw under
Aug 30 2009 away Fiorentina 0-1 lost under

Summary: 3-4-3 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 13-13

Last 10 Matches Away:

Oct 29 2009 away Inter Milan 3-5 lost over
Oct 18 2009 away Livorno 2-1 won over
Sep 27 2009 away Lazio 1-1 draw under
Sep 20 2009 away Parma 0-1 lost under
Aug 30 2009 away Fiorentina 0-1 lost under
May 24 2009 away Atalanta 2-2 draw over
May 10 2009 away Siena 0-1 lost under
Apr 26 2009 away AC Milan 0-3 lost over
Apr 11 2009 away Inter Milan 2-2 draw over
Mar 22 2009 away Chievo 0-1 lost under

Summary: 1-3-6 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.80 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 10-18

History:

Overall History

Oct 03 2004 Palermo - Bologna 1-0 homewin under
Feb 13 2005 Bologna - Palermo 1-1 draw under
Nov 23 2008 Bologna - Palermo 1-1 draw under
Apr 19 2009 Palermo - Bologna 4-1 homewin over

Summary (overall): 2-2-0 O-U: 1-3 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 1-1-0 O-U: 1-1 Avg. score: 3.50 Median score: 3.50

Trend: Palermo is 2-2-0

Trend 3 years: Palermo is 1-1-0

Home - Away History

Feb 13 2005 Bologna - Palermo 1-1 draw under
Nov 23 2008 Bologna - Palermo 1-1 draw under

Summary (overall): 0-2-0 O-U: 0-2 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 0-1-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00

Trend: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.