Tuesday 9th @ 12:02 CET

Monday's results added. I've also posted a 72% winner over at SportsProfit.com , the game is on at 21:00 today! - Jensen (admin)
Index : Bari vs Livorno

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 1     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 1
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Bari - Livorno (1 - 0):

Serie A (Italy)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Bari) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Livorno) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 16 Stars: 35)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 24 Stars: 40)

› Bari home: 2-2-1 6-2
› Bari form: 2-3-1 4-3
› Home form: 3-2-1 10-3

› Livorno away: 1-1-3 2-7
› Livorno form: 2-1-3 3-5
› Away form: 1-1-4 2-9

News:

Bari

2010-01-06 Serie A Round-Up: Napoli And Bari Start 2010 With A Bang

Napoli and Bari continued their impressive form in Serie A this campaign with comfortable victories while Fiorentina hammered Siena in the Tuscan derby.....

2010-01-06 Il Bari continua a correre Udinese, non basta De Biasi

Il Bari continua a correre Udinese, non basta De BiasiI pugliesi superano 2-0 i friulani dopo una gara ben giocata e vinta con merito. Reti di Meggiorini nel primo tempo e di Barreto nella ripresa. Ventura resta nelle zone alte della classifica, mentre il cambio di allenatore non risolleva i bianconeri

2010-01-06 Bari striker Barreto talks up Inter Milan dream

Bari striker Vitor Barreto claims that he dreams of moving to a top side in the future and that Italian champions Inter Milan are his preferred choice.

2010-01-06 Bari Star Vitor Barreto Dreams Of Joining Inter

The Brazilian says the Nerazzurri colours would look good on him…

2010-01-05 Serie A Preview: Bari - Udinese (Goal.com)

Both teams had their respective last league fixtures of 2009 postponed and would be looking to start the New Year with a bang.....

2010-01-05 Serie A Preview: Bari - Udinese

Both teams had their respective last league fixtures of 2009 postponed and would be looking to start the New Year with a bang.....

2010-01-05 Inter Leading Race For Bari Defender Andrea Ranocchia - Report

The Nerazzurri are in pole position to land the Genoa-owned man.

2009-12-29 Manchester City Set Sights On Bari Centre-Back Leonardo Bonucci - Report

Mancini has urged the Citizens to sign the 22-year-old in January.

2009-12-27 Roma's Alessio Cerci To Join Bari On Loan - Report (Goal.com)

The 22-year-old could see more game time at the Galletti than at the Giallorossi...

2009-12-27 Roma's Alessio Cerci To Join Bari On Loan - Report

The 22-year-old could see more game time at the Galletti than at the Giallorossi...

Livorno

2010-01-06 Inter Have Livorno Star Antonio Candreva On Radar - Agent (Goal.com)

The agent confirms the interest from the Nerazzurri, but denies he has heard anything from Napoli...

2010-01-06 Inter Have Livorno Star Antonio Candreva On Radar - Agent

The agent confirms the interest from the Nerazzurri, but denies he has heard anything from Napoli...

2010-01-06 Lazio 4–1 Livorno: Eagles Flock To Victory

Biancocelesti debutant Sergio Floccari gifted his side a vital three points with a double against relegation rivals Livorno …

2010-01-06 Floccari, debutto col bis Poker laziale al Livorno

Floccari, debutto col bis Poker laziale al Livorno L'attaccante realizza una doppietta (e colpisce una traversa) all'esordio con la maglia biancoceleste e ribalta il vantaggio di Bergvold. Di Rocchi e Kolarov il 4-1 finale

2009-12-27 Livorno Coach Serse Cosmi: Andrea Caracciolo Costs Too Much (Goal.com)

The boss would like to add the Brescia player to his squad, but the price might be too much...

2009-12-27 Livorno Coach Serse Cosmi: Andrea Caracciolo Costs Too Much

The boss would like to add the Brescia player to his squad, but the price might be too much...

2009-12-27 Livorno Need An Extra Striker - Coach Serse Cosmi (Goal.com)

The Amaranato tactician reflected on a difficult year for him.....

2009-12-27 Livorno Need An Extra Striker – Coach Serse Cosmi

The Amaranato tactician reflected on a difficult year for him.....

2009-12-23 Livorno Star Antonio Candreva Dreams Of Playing For Roma (Goal.com)

The 22-year-old wants to feature for the Giallorossi, but admits it is unlikely to happen soon...

2009-12-23 Livorno Star Antonio Candreva Dreams Of Playing For Roma

The 22-year-old wants to feature for the Giallorossi, but admits it is unlikely to happen soon...

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Bari: Neutral
Form: 2-3-1 (9 points, 1.50 avg)
Last 30 matches: 13-13-4 (52 points, 1.73 avg)

› Livorno: Neutral
Form: 2-1-3 (7 points, 1.17 avg)
Last 30 matches: 9-10-11 (37 points, 1.23 avg)

Home/Away

› Bari: Neutral
Home form: 3-2-1 (11 points, 1.83 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 8-5-2 (29 points, 1.93 avg)

› Livorno: Downtrend
Away form: 1-1-4 (4 points, 0.67 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 6-4-5 (22 points, 1.47 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Inter Milan 6 5 1 0 15 7 16 5 4 0 1 13 2 12 11 9 1 1 28 9 28
2 Juventus 6 3 2 1 12 6 11 5 3 1 1 8 5 10 11 6 3 2 20 11 21
3 Sampdoria 6 4 2 0 13 4 14 5 2 1 2 5 9 7 11 6 3 2 18 13 21
4 AC Milan 5 3 1 1 5 5 10 6 2 3 1 7 6 9 11 5 4 2 12 11 19
5 Fiorentina 6 4 1 1 7 2 13 5 1 2 2 5 7 5 11 5 3 3 12 9 18
6 Napoli 5 3 2 0 9 5 11 6 2 0 4 8 13 6 11 5 2 4 17 18 17
7 Genoa 5 3 1 1 11 11 10 6 2 1 3 7 9 7 11 5 2 4 18 20 17
8 Parma 5 4 0 1 6 3 12 6 1 2 3 6 11 5 11 5 2 4 12 14 17
9 Cagliari 5 2 0 3 9 9 6 6 3 1 2 5 3 10 11 5 1 5 14 12 16
10 Palermo 6 3 3 0 9 5 12 5 1 1 3 6 9 4 11 4 4 3 15 14 16
11 Bari 5 2 2 1 6 2 8 6 1 4 1 4 5 7 11 3 6 2 10 7 15
12 Chievo 6 1 2 3 8 9 5 5 3 1 1 6 3 10 11 4 3 4 14 12 15
13 Udinese 6 4 1 1 12 8 13 5 0 2 3 3 7 2 11 4 3 4 15 15 15
14 Roma 5 3 0 2 8 7 9 6 1 2 3 10 12 5 11 4 2 5 18 19 14
15 Lazio 6 1 2 3 4 7 5 5 1 3 1 4 5 6 11 2 5 4 8 12 11
16 Atalanta 5 1 2 2 4 4 5 6 1 1 4 5 11 4 11 2 3 6 9 15 9
17 Bologna 5 2 1 2 6 7 7 6 0 2 4 4 10 2 11 2 3 6 10 17 9
18 Livorno 6 1 2 3 2 5 5 5 1 1 3 2 7 4 11 2 3 6 4 12 9
19 Catania 5 1 2 2 6 7 5 6 0 2 4 5 11 2 11 1 4 6 11 18 7
20 Siena 6 0 3 3 3 6 3 5 1 0 4 6 10 3 11 1 3 7 9 16 6

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 25% (value odds 4.07)

› Awaywin: 21% (value odds 4.67)

› Draw: 54% (value odds 1.85)

› Over: 28% (value odds 3.64)

› Under: 73% (value odds 1.38)

Expected Score:

› Bari: 1.02

› Livorno: 0.45

› Total: 1.47


› Over: 30%

› Under: 71%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Bari) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Bari playing against defensively average awayteams the last 3 seasons. [won 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Livorno) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring awaywin.

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 16 Stars: 35)

› Bari playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [draw 3/ 6] [50.00%] [3*]
› Bari playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 6/ 11] [54.55%] [3*]
› Bari playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 36/ 93] [38.71%] [1*]
› Bari playing in weekend the current season. [draw 6/ 9] [66.67%] [3*]
› Bari playing in November the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 9] [55.56%] [3*]
› Bari playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 16/ 31] [51.61%] [3*]
› Livorno playing against average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 8/ 19] [42.11%] [2*]
› Livorno playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 16/ 30] [53.33%] [3*]
› Livorno playing against defensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 10] [40.00%] [2*]
› Livorno playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 18/ 45] [40.00%] [2*]
› Livorno playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 19] [36.84%] [1*]
› Livorno playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 35/ 94] [37.23%] [1*]
› Livorno playing in November the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 9] [44.44%] [2*]
› Livorno playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. [draw 29/ 78] [37.18%] [1*]
› Livorno after playing under 3 or more matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 6] [66.67%] [3*]
› Livorno after winning in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring over.

Trends favouring under (Trends: 24 Stars: 40)

› Bari playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [under 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Bari playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 17/ 28] [60.71%] [1*]
› Bari playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 9/ 11] [81.82%] [3*]
› Bari playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 56/ 93] [60.22%] [1*]
› Bari playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 29/ 46] [63.04%] [1*]
› Bari playing in weekend the current season. [under 7/ 9] [77.78%] [2*]
› Bari playing in November the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Bari playing against average awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 14/ 22] [63.64%] [1*]
› Bari playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [under 23/ 31] [74.19%] [2*]
› Bari after winning in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [under 8/ 12] [66.67%] [1*]
› Livorno playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 9/ 11] [81.82%] [3*]
› Livorno playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 57/ 94] [60.64%] [1*]
› Livorno playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 28/ 46] [60.87%] [1*]
› Livorno playing in weekend the current season. [under 7/ 9] [77.78%] [2*]
› Livorno playing in November the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 9] [77.78%] [2*]
› Livorno playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. [under 47/ 78] [60.26%] [1*]
› Livorno playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. [under 22/ 35] [62.86%] [1*]
› Livorno playing against average teams the last 3 seasons. [under 23/ 35] [65.71%] [1*]
› Livorno playing against average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 14/ 19] [73.68%] [2*]
› Livorno playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [under 20/ 30] [66.67%] [1*]
› Livorno playing against defensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]
› Livorno playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 30/ 45] [66.67%] [1*]
› Livorno after playing under 3 or more matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 6] [100.00%] [4*]
› Livorno after winning in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [under 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Bari
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1495.6
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1489.2
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1511.7

› Current ELO Rating: 1493.9

Livorno
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1480.3
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1420.2
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1409.0

› Current ELO Rating: 1393.6

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Bari 1500.0 1495.6 1495.6 1511.0 1489.3 1489.2 1483.0 1497.1 1511.7 1495.7 1493.9
Livorno 1495.8 1480.3 1475.6 1457.2 1442.1 1420.2 1419.2 1397.6 1409.0 1418.6 1393.6

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Bari
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.05
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.13

› Current Power Rating: 10.07

Livorno
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.95
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.82
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.82

› Current Power Rating: 9.80

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Bari 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.07 10.05 10.05 10.05 10.07 10.13 10.07 10.07
Livorno 10.00 9.95 9.95 9.90 9.85 9.82 9.82 9.80 9.82 9.85 9.80

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.80 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: 0 (indicates draw)

› Weighted Form System: -5 (indicates awaywin)

› Goal Superiority System: 11 (indicates homewin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 3 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 5 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 1 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 50% (homewin) 30% (draw) 20% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: -0.33 (indicates homewin)

Stats for hometeam (Bari):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 11 3-6-2 10-7 15
› At home: 5 2-2-1 6-2 8

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 2-9
› At home: 1-4

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.91 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.20 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 0.64 goals per match
› At home: allowing 0.40 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DDWWLD 2-3-1
› Home: WDWLDW 3-2-1

ELO Rating: 1493.9

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Nov 01 2009 away Sampdoria 0-0 draw under
Oct 28 2009 away Parma 0-2 lost under
Oct 25 2009 home Lazio 2-0 won under
Oct 18 2009 away Chievo 2-1 won over
Oct 03 2009 home Catania 0-0 draw under
Sep 27 2009 away AC Milan 0-0 draw under
Sep 23 2009 home Cagliari 0-1 lost under
Sep 20 2009 home Atalanta 4-1 won over
Sep 13 2009 away Palermo 1-1 draw under
Aug 29 2009 home Bologna 0-0 draw under

Summary: 3-5-2 O-U: 2-8 Avg. score: 1.50 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 9-6

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Oct 25 2009 home Lazio 2-0 won under
Oct 03 2009 home Catania 0-0 draw under
Sep 23 2009 home Cagliari 0-1 lost under
Sep 20 2009 home Atalanta 4-1 won over
Aug 29 2009 home Bologna 0-0 draw under
May 30 2009 home Treviso 4-1 won over
May 16 2009 home Modena 4-1 won over
May 04 2009 home Empoli 0-0 draw under
Apr 18 2009 home Rimini 3-0 won over
Apr 04 2009 home Parma 0-2 lost under

Summary: 5-3-2 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.30 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 17-6

Stats for awayteam (Livorno):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 11 2-3-6 4-12 9
› At away: 5 1-1-3 2-7 4

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 2-9
› At away: 1-4

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.36 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.40 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.09 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.40 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LDLWWL 2-1-3
› Away: LLLLDW 1-1-4

ELO Rating: 1393.6

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Nov 01 2009 home Inter Milan 0-2 lost under
Oct 28 2009 home Atalanta 1-0 won under
Oct 25 2009 away Roma 1-0 won under
Oct 18 2009 home Palermo 1-2 lost over
Oct 04 2009 away Siena 0-0 draw under
Sep 26 2009 home Fiorentina 0-1 lost under
Sep 23 2009 away Bologna 0-2 lost under
Sep 19 2009 away Juventus 0-2 lost under
Sep 12 2009 home AC Milan 0-0 draw under
Aug 30 2009 away Napoli 1-3 lost over

Summary: 2-2-6 O-U: 2-8 Avg. score: 1.60 Median score: 1.00 Goals: 4-12

Last 10 Matches Away:

Oct 25 2009 away Roma 1-0 won under
Oct 04 2009 away Siena 0-0 draw under
Sep 23 2009 away Bologna 0-2 lost under
Sep 19 2009 away Juventus 0-2 lost under
Aug 30 2009 away Napoli 1-3 lost over
Jun 07 2009 away Grosseto 0-2 lost under
May 30 2009 away Ascoli 3-2 won over
May 16 2009 away Sassuolo 3-2 won over
May 02 2009 away Salernitana 2-0 won under
Apr 21 2009 away Treviso 4-0 won over

Summary: 5-1-4 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.70 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 14-13

History:

Overall History

Dec 22 2002 Bari - Livorno 0-3 awaywin over
May 24 2003 Livorno - Bari 2-2 draw over
Oct 15 2003 Livorno - Bari 1-1 draw under
Mar 14 2004 Bari - Livorno 3-2 homewin over
Sep 23 2008 Bari - Livorno 0-0 draw under
Feb 17 2009 Livorno - Bari 1-1 draw under

Summary (overall): 1-4-1 O-U: 3-3 Avg. score: 2.67 Median score: 2.50

Summary (3 years): 0-2-0 O-U: 0-2 Avg. score: 1.00 Median score: 1.00

Trend: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Home - Away History

Dec 22 2002 Bari - Livorno 0-3 awaywin over
Mar 14 2004 Bari - Livorno 3-2 homewin over
Sep 23 2008 Bari - Livorno 0-0 draw under

Summary (overall): 1-1-1 O-U: 2-1 Avg. score: 2.67 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 0-1-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 0.00 Median score: 0.00

Trend: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.