Index : St Albans vs Maidenhead United

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

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Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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St Albans - Maidenhead United (1 - 0):

Conference South (England)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (St Albans) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Maidenhead United) (Trends: 3 Stars: 4)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 4 Stars: 6)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 8 Stars: 9)

› St Albans home: 6-3-6 18-17
› St Albans form: 2-1-3 7-11
› Home form: 3-0-3 7-6

› Maidenhead United away: 4-4-4 15-13
› Maidenhead United form: 2-1-3 7-9
› Away form: 3-1-2 11-7

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› St Albans: Neutral
Form: 2-1-3 (7 points, 1.17 avg)
Last 30 matches: 11-5-14 (38 points, 1.27 avg)

› Maidenhead United: Neutral
Form: 2-1-3 (7 points, 1.17 avg)
Last 30 matches: 8-8-9 (32 points, 1.28 avg)

Home/Away

› St Albans: Neutral
Home form: 3-0-3 (9 points, 1.50 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 6-3-6 (21 points, 1.40 avg)

› Maidenhead United: Uptrend
Away form: 3-1-2 (10 points, 1.67 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 4-4-4 (16 points, 1.33 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Newport County 14 11 3 0 33 7 36 11 7 3 1 16 6 24 25 18 6 1 49 13 60
2 Thurrock 12 8 2 2 26 17 26 12 5 4 3 18 12 19 24 13 6 5 44 29 45
3 Dover Athletic 14 9 1 4 30 16 28 14 4 5 5 16 20 17 28 13 6 9 46 36 45
4 Staines Town 15 6 6 3 24 13 24 13 5 5 3 16 14 20 28 11 11 6 40 27 44
5 Woking 14 6 3 5 14 11 21 12 7 2 3 18 13 23 26 13 5 8 32 24 44
6 Chelmsford City 14 5 5 4 21 19 20 13 8 0 5 16 15 24 27 13 5 9 37 34 44
7 Braintree Town 14 9 3 2 23 10 30 10 2 7 1 10 13 13 24 11 10 3 33 23 43
8 Bromley 14 6 3 5 24 16 21 14 6 3 5 20 23 21 28 12 6 10 44 39 42
9 Bath City 13 5 6 2 19 14 21 13 5 3 5 24 19 18 26 10 9 7 43 33 39
10 Welling United 13 6 2 5 16 14 20 14 5 4 5 20 20 19 27 11 6 10 36 34 39
11 Eastleigh 11 5 2 4 22 11 17 13 5 4 4 22 19 19 24 10 6 8 44 30 36
12 Havant & Waterlooville 12 4 6 2 17 16 18 12 5 3 4 13 14 18 24 9 9 6 30 30 36
13 St Albans 15 6 3 6 18 17 21 12 4 2 6 13 21 14 27 10 5 12 31 38 35
14 Basingstoke Town 13 4 3 6 14 20 15 14 6 2 6 17 23 20 27 10 5 12 31 43 35
15 Bishop's Stortford 13 4 3 6 10 18 15 14 5 4 5 24 22 19 27 9 7 11 34 40 34
16 Maidenhead United 13 4 4 5 17 17 16 12 4 4 4 15 13 16 25 8 8 9 32 30 32
17 Dorchester Town 14 4 7 3 23 17 19 13 3 0 10 11 32 9 27 7 7 13 34 49 28
18 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 3 5 14 17 9 13 4 3 6 15 22 15 23 6 6 11 29 39 24
19 Worcester City 11 4 3 4 17 11 15 15 1 4 10 12 25 7 26 5 7 14 29 36 22
20 Lewes 12 4 5 3 17 15 17 15 0 5 10 12 29 5 27 4 10 13 29 44 22
21 Weston-super-Mare 12 4 1 7 18 21 13 13 0 3 10 12 30 3 25 4 4 17 30 51 16
22 Weymouth 12 3 0 9 12 34 9 13 1 4 8 11 24 7 25 4 4 17 23 58 16

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 27% (value odds 3.69)

› Awaywin: 37% (value odds 2.68)

› Draw: 36% (value odds 2.81)

› Over: 35% (value odds 2.86)

› Under: 65% (value odds 1.54)

Expected Score:

› St Albans: 1.24

› Maidenhead United: 1.35

› Total: 2.58


› Over: 52%

› Under: 48%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (St Albans) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring homewin.

Trends favouring awaywin (Maidenhead United) (Trends: 3 Stars: 4)

› St Albans playing against good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [lost 10/ 16] [62.50%] [1*]
› St Albans playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [lost 8/ 11] [72.73%] [2*]
› St Albans after winning in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [lost 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 4 Stars: 6)

› St Albans playing against offensively average awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 19] [36.84%] [1*]
› Maidenhead United playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Maidenhead United playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Maidenhead United playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 5/ 14] [35.71%] [1*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› St Albans playing against average teams the last 3 seasons. [over 15/ 25] [60.00%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 8 Stars: 9)

› St Albans playing against good awayteams the current season. [under 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› St Albans playing against good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 10/ 16] [62.50%] [1*]
› St Albans playing against defensively average teams the current season. [under 9/ 13] [69.23%] [1*]
› St Albans playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› St Albans playing against offensively average awayteams the current season. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› St Albans playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [under 11/ 15] [73.33%] [2*]
› St Albans playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [under 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› St Albans playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [under 9/ 15] [60.00%] [1*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

St Albans
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1406.6
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1406.1
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1386.2

› Current ELO Rating: 1369.9

Maidenhead United
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1463.0
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1441.0
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1423.3

› Current ELO Rating: 1420.0

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
St Albans 1485.0 1500.9 1511.4 1493.7 1488.7 1473.7 1454.0 1438.9 1417.6 1409.4 1430.2 1443.5 1419.1 1424.3 1422.5 1432.2 1424.9 1406.6 1420.8 1399.8 1410.2 1406.1 1430.3 1409.6 1386.2 1364.5 1369.9
Maidenhead United 1495.8 1480.3 1463.1 1458.8 1455.7 1433.8 1430.8 1408.3 1424.3 1418.6 1433.1 1447.8 1469.1 1494.1 1485.8 1463.0 1447.3 1446.1 1456.3 1441.0 1432.3 1412.1 1423.3 1401.0 1420.0

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

St Albans
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.85
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.93
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.85

› Current Power Rating: 9.82

Maidenhead United
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.17
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.07
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.02

› Current Power Rating: 10.05

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
St Albans 9.93 9.98 10.00 9.98 9.98 9.93 9.90 9.85 9.80 9.80 9.85 9.88 9.85 9.88 9.88 9.90 9.90 9.85 9.90 9.88 9.93 9.93 10.00 9.97 9.85 9.80 9.82
Maidenhead United 10.00 9.97 9.92 9.92 9.92 9.87 9.87 9.82 9.87 9.87 9.90 10.00 10.12 10.20 10.20 10.17 10.07 10.07 10.10 10.07 10.07 10.00 10.02 9.95 10.05

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.07 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: -13 (indicates awaywin)

› Weighted Form System: -28 (indicates awaywin)

› Goal Superiority System: 3 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: -2 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: -1 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 0 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 37% (homewin) 27% (draw) 37% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.33 (indicates awaywin)

Stats for hometeam (St Albans):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 27 10-5-12 31-38 35
› At home: 15 6-3-6 18-17 21

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 11-16
› At home: 6-9

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.15 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.20 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.41 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.13 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DWLLLW 2-1-3
› Home: WLWLLW 3-0-3

ELO Rating: 1369.9

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 home Weston-super-Mare 2-1 won over
Jan 30 2010 home Bath City 0-2 lost under
Jan 23 2010 away Newport County 0-5 lost over
Dec 28 2009 home Welling United 1-2 lost over
Dec 26 2009 away Maidenhead United 3-0 won over
Dec 19 2009 away Dover Athletic 1-1 draw under
Dec 12 2009 home Bromley 2-0 won under
Dec 05 2009 home Chelmsford City 0-1 lost under
Dec 01 2009 home Basingstoke Town 2-0 won under
Nov 28 2009 away Bromley 0-2 lost under

Summary: 4-1-5 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 11-14

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Feb 06 2010 home Weston-super-Mare 2-1 won over
Jan 30 2010 home Bath City 0-2 lost under
Dec 28 2009 home Welling United 1-2 lost over
Dec 12 2009 home Bromley 2-0 won under
Dec 05 2009 home Chelmsford City 0-1 lost under
Dec 01 2009 home Basingstoke Town 2-0 won under
Nov 14 2009 home Braintree Town 1-1 draw under
Oct 31 2009 home Weymouth 2-1 won over
Oct 17 2009 home Newport County 0-1 lost under
Sep 12 2009 home Havant & Waterlooville 1-1 draw under

Summary: 4-2-4 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 2.10 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 11-10

Stats for awayteam (Maidenhead United):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 25 8-8-9 32-30 32
› At away: 12 4-4-4 15-13 16

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 12-13
› At away: 5-7

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.28 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.25 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.20 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.08 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LDLWLW 2-1-3
› Away: WWLDLW 3-1-2

ELO Rating: 1420.0

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 home Bishop's Stortford 4-0 won over
Jan 23 2010 home Eastleigh 0-3 lost over
Jan 16 2010 away Bromley 2-1 won over
Dec 26 2009 home St Albans 0-3 lost over
Dec 05 2009 home Lewes 1-1 draw under
Nov 28 2009 away Havant & Waterlooville 0-1 lost under
Nov 14 2009 home Basingstoke Town 3-2 won over
Nov 07 2009 away Chelmsford City 1-1 draw under
Oct 31 2009 away Hampton & Richmond 0-4 lost over
Oct 27 2009 home Dorchester Town 1-2 lost over

Summary: 3-2-5 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 12-18

Last 10 Matches Away:

Jan 16 2010 away Bromley 2-1 won over
Nov 28 2009 away Havant & Waterlooville 0-1 lost under
Nov 07 2009 away Chelmsford City 1-1 draw under
Oct 31 2009 away Hampton & Richmond 0-4 lost over
Oct 17 2009 away Eastleigh 3-0 won over
Oct 10 2009 away Weymouth 5-0 won over
Sep 19 2009 away Lewes 2-1 won over
Sep 12 2009 away Woking 1-1 draw under
Aug 31 2009 away Staines Town 1-1 draw under
Aug 22 2009 away Basingstoke Town 0-0 draw under

Summary: 4-4-2 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 15-10

History:

Overall History

Dec 26 2009 Maidenhead United - St Albans 0-3 awaywin over

Summary (overall): 0-0-1 O-U: 1-0 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 0-0-1 O-U: 1-0 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.00

Trend: St Albans is 1-0-0

Trend 3 years: St Albans is 1-0-0

Home - Away History

No previous history registered for these teams.