Index : Telford vs Gainsborough Trinity

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

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Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Telford - Gainsborough Trinity (2 - 2):

Conference North (England)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Telford) (Trends: 9 Stars: 18)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Gainsborough Trinity) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 3 Stars: 7)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 4 Stars: 6)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 7 Stars: 9)

› Telford home: 4-4-3 12-11
› Telford form: 2-0-4 7-12
› Home form: 3-1-2 6-5

› Gainsborough Trinity away: 2-4-6 15-22
› Gainsborough Trinity form: 0-3-3 5-11
› Away form: 0-2-4 4-11

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Telford: Neutral
Form: 2-0-4 (6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 30 matches: 10-6-14 (36 points, 1.20 avg)

› Gainsborough Trinity: Downtrend
Form: 0-3-3 (3 points, 0.50 avg)
Last 30 matches: 4-7-13 (19 points, 0.79 avg)

Home/Away

› Telford: Neutral
Home form: 3-1-2 (10 points, 1.67 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 6-5-4 (23 points, 1.53 avg)

› Gainsborough Trinity: Downtrend
Away form: 0-2-4 (2 points, 0.33 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 2-4-6 (10 points, 0.83 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Fleetwood Town 16 12 4 0 49 17 40 12 6 2 4 17 14 20 28 18 6 4 66 31 60
2 Southport 14 11 2 1 41 14 35 12 6 4 2 21 15 22 26 17 6 3 62 29 57
3 Hinckley United 12 7 4 1 23 9 25 14 5 5 4 21 24 20 26 12 9 5 44 33 45
4 Eastwood Town 13 8 3 2 20 14 27 13 5 3 5 25 25 18 26 13 6 7 45 39 45
5 Alfreton Town 12 7 3 2 25 15 24 13 4 4 5 21 18 16 25 11 7 7 46 33 40
6 Droylsden 12 8 1 3 33 14 25 11 3 5 3 20 19 14 23 11 6 6 53 33 39
7 Northwich 10 6 1 3 20 15 19 12 5 5 2 18 16 20 22 11 6 5 38 31 39
8 Farsley Celtic 13 8 0 5 23 18 24 11 4 2 5 18 22 14 24 12 2 10 41 40 38
9 Corby Town 12 3 5 4 19 22 14 10 7 0 3 20 16 21 22 10 5 7 39 38 35
10 Stalybridge Celtic 10 4 4 2 18 14 16 9 5 2 2 21 14 17 19 9 6 4 39 28 33
11 Ilkeston Town 9 5 3 1 16 9 18 14 3 6 5 12 12 15 23 8 9 6 28 21 33
12 Telford 11 4 4 3 12 11 16 13 5 1 7 14 22 16 24 9 5 10 26 33 32
13 Workington 12 4 5 3 10 9 17 10 4 2 4 10 12 14 22 8 7 7 20 21 31
14 Stafford Rangers 14 4 5 5 21 22 17 14 4 2 8 25 34 14 28 8 7 13 46 56 31
15 Redditch United 13 5 3 5 20 17 18 14 3 1 10 20 37 10 27 8 4 15 40 54 28
16 Blyth Spartans 11 6 1 4 23 17 19 12 1 5 6 18 27 8 23 7 6 10 41 44 27
17 Gloucester City 13 4 0 9 18 25 12 13 4 3 6 16 19 15 26 8 3 15 34 44 27
18 Solihull Moors 14 2 4 8 15 21 10 12 4 1 7 11 20 13 26 6 5 15 26 41 23
19 Hyde United 11 3 5 3 14 20 14 10 1 3 6 5 16 6 21 4 8 9 19 36 20
20 Gainsborough Trinity 12 2 3 7 12 23 9 12 2 4 6 15 22 10 24 4 7 13 27 45 19
21 Harrogate Town 10 4 1 5 14 16 13 14 0 3 11 10 30 3 24 4 4 16 24 46 16
22 Vauxhall Motors 13 2 6 5 16 26 12 12 0 4 8 10 28 4 25 2 10 13 26 54 16

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 57% (value odds 1.74)

› Awaywin: 11% (value odds 8.83)

› Draw: 31% (value odds 3.19)

› Over: 43% (value odds 2.31)

› Under: 57% (value odds 1.76)

Expected Score:

› Telford: 1.48

› Gainsborough Trinity: 1.27

› Total: 2.75


› Over: 55%

› Under: 45%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Telford) (Trends: 9 Stars: 18)

› Telford playing against poor teams the current season. [won 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Telford playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [won 11/ 18] [61.11%] [1*]
› Telford playing in February the last 3 seasons. [won 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Gainsborough Trinity playing against defensively average teams the current season. [lost 8/ 10] [80.00%] [3*]
› Gainsborough Trinity playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [lost 8/ 10] [80.00%] [3*]
› Gainsborough Trinity playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [lost 8/ 12] [66.67%] [1*]
› Gainsborough Trinity playing against hometeams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [lost 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Gainsborough Trinity playing in midweek the current season. [lost 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Gainsborough Trinity playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [lost 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Gainsborough Trinity) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring awaywin.

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 3 Stars: 7)

› Telford playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 4/ 11] [36.36%] [1*]
› Gainsborough Trinity playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [draw 4/ 8] [50.00%] [3*]
› Gainsborough Trinity playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 8] [50.00%] [3*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 4 Stars: 6)

› Telford playing in February the last 3 seasons. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Gainsborough Trinity playing against defensively average teams the current season. [over 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]
› Gainsborough Trinity playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [over 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]
› Gainsborough Trinity playing against hometeams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 7 Stars: 9)

› Telford playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 20/ 33] [60.61%] [1*]
› Telford playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 12/ 18] [66.67%] [1*]
› Telford playing against offensively average awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 10/ 15] [66.67%] [1*]
› Telford playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [under 25/ 38] [65.79%] [1*]
› Telford playing in midweek at home the last 3 seasons. [under 13/ 20] [65.00%] [1*]
› Gainsborough Trinity playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [under 6/ 8] [75.00%] [2*]
› Gainsborough Trinity playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 8] [75.00%] [2*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Telford
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1470.4
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1439.7
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1406.6

› Current ELO Rating: 1401.4

Gainsborough Trinity
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1359.8
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1326.4
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1294.6

› Current ELO Rating: 1260.3

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Telford 1495.8 1519.8 1504.4 1499.7 1513.7 1508.9 1521.6 1530.0 1508.8 1492.9 1490.9 1469.3 1447.8 1458.4 1470.4 1455.4 1468.0 1460.3 1439.7 1445.9 1426.5 1406.6 1383.8 1401.4
Gainsborough Trinity 1500.0 1480.0 1494.2 1477.8 1457.7 1441.3 1418.7 1432.5 1458.2 1436.0 1414.2 1409.1 1404.5 1380.7 1359.8 1369.0 1348.6 1343.1 1326.4 1322.4 1314.8 1294.6 1270.6 1260.3

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Telford
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.95
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.88
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.80

› Current Power Rating: 9.82

Gainsborough Trinity
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.72
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.67
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.62

› Current Power Rating: 9.55

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Telford 10.00 10.07 10.02 10.02 10.05 10.05 10.07 10.10 10.07 9.97 9.97 9.95 9.90 9.92 9.95 9.90 9.95 9.95 9.88 9.90 9.85 9.80 9.72 9.82
Gainsborough Trinity 10.00 9.97 10.03 10.00 9.97 9.90 9.83 9.85 9.93 9.88 9.80 9.80 9.80 9.75 9.72 9.75 9.70 9.70 9.67 9.67 9.67 9.62 9.55 9.55

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.62 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: -2 (indicates draw)

› Weighted Form System: 4 (indicates draw)

› Goal Superiority System: 4 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 1 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 4 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 2 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 43% (homewin) 35% (draw) 22% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.17 (indicates draw)

Stats for hometeam (Telford):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 24 9-5-10 26-33 32
› At home: 11 4-4-3 12-11 16

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 12-12
› At home: 5-6

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.08 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.09 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.38 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.00 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LWLLLW 2-0-4
› Home: LLWWDW 3-1-2

ELO Rating: 1401.4

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 away Droylsden 5-1 won over
Jan 23 2010 away Southport 0-3 lost over
Jan 19 2010 away Stafford Rangers 0-2 lost under
Dec 28 2009 away Hinckley United 0-2 lost under
Dec 26 2009 home Stafford Rangers 2-1 won over
Dec 15 2009 away Redditch United 0-3 lost over
Dec 05 2009 home Fleetwood Town 0-0 draw under
Dec 01 2009 home Alfreton Town 2-0 won under
Nov 28 2009 away Farsley Celtic 1-3 lost over
Nov 03 2009 away Solihull Moors 1-0 won under

Summary: 4-1-5 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 11-15

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Dec 26 2009 home Stafford Rangers 2-1 won over
Dec 05 2009 home Fleetwood Town 0-0 draw under
Dec 01 2009 home Alfreton Town 2-0 won under
Oct 31 2009 home Workington 1-0 won under
Oct 17 2009 home Southport 0-2 lost under
Oct 03 2009 home Droylsden 1-2 lost over
Sep 08 2009 home Northwich 1-2 lost over
Sep 05 2009 home Harrogate Town 2-1 won over
Aug 29 2009 home Ilkeston Town 0-0 draw under
Aug 18 2009 home Hinckley United 2-2 draw over

Summary: 4-3-3 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.10 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 11-10

Stats for awayteam (Gainsborough Trinity):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 24 4-7-13 27-45 19
› At away: 12 2-4-6 15-22 10

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 13-11
› At away: 7-5

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.12 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.25 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.88 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.83 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LDDLLD 0-3-3
› Away: LLLDDL 0-2-4

ELO Rating: 1260.3

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 home Ilkeston Town 0-0 draw under
Jan 23 2010 away Droylsden 1-4 lost over
Jan 16 2010 home Stafford Rangers 1-3 lost over
Dec 26 2009 away Corby Town 2-2 draw over
Dec 05 2009 away Workington 1-1 draw under
Nov 28 2009 away Gloucester City 0-1 lost under
Nov 14 2009 home Harrogate Town 1-1 draw under
Nov 02 2009 away Hinckley United 0-2 lost under
Oct 31 2009 home Gloucester City 1-0 won under
Oct 27 2009 away Alfreton Town 0-1 lost under

Summary: 1-4-5 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 2.20 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 7-15

Last 10 Matches Away:

Jan 23 2010 away Droylsden 1-4 lost over
Dec 26 2009 away Corby Town 2-2 draw over
Dec 05 2009 away Workington 1-1 draw under
Nov 28 2009 away Gloucester City 0-1 lost under
Nov 02 2009 away Hinckley United 0-2 lost under
Oct 27 2009 away Alfreton Town 0-1 lost under
Oct 03 2009 away Fleetwood Town 2-2 draw over
Sep 08 2009 away Redditch United 3-0 won over
Sep 05 2009 away Solihull Moors 1-0 won under
Aug 29 2009 away Farsley Celtic 1-4 lost over

Summary: 2-3-5 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.80 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 11-17

History:

Overall History

Aug 22 2009 Gainsborough Trinity - Telford 0-1 awaywin under

Summary (overall): 0-0-1 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 1.00 Median score: 1.00

Summary (3 years): 0-0-1 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 1.00 Median score: 1.00

Trend: Telford is 1-0-0

Trend 3 years: Telford is 1-0-0

Home - Away History

No previous history registered for these teams.