Index : Newtown vs Neath Athletic

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 1     › Users favouring over 2.5: 1
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Newtown - Neath Athletic (1 - 0):

Premier League (Wales)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Newtown) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Neath Athletic) (Trends: 4 Stars: 6)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 10 Stars: 22)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)

› Newtown home: 3-1-4 14-16
› Newtown form: 1-1-4 5-12
› Home form: 2-1-3 10-13

› Neath Athletic away: 4-2-3 11-10
› Neath Athletic form: 2-2-2 5-6
› Away form: 2-2-2 5-6

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Newtown: Downtrend
Form: 1-1-4 (4 points, 0.67 avg)
Last 30 matches: 4-5-8 (17 points, 1.00 avg)

› Neath Athletic: Downtrend
Form: 2-2-2 (8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 30 matches: 9-6-3 (33 points, 1.83 avg)

Home/Away

› Newtown: Neutral
Home form: 2-1-3 (7 points, 1.17 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 3-1-4 (10 points, 1.25 avg)

› Neath Athletic: Neutral
Away form: 2-2-2 (8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 4-2-3 (14 points, 1.56 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Llanelli 10 8 1 1 34 10 25 9 6 2 1 15 6 20 19 14 3 2 49 16 45
2 The New Saints 13 10 3 0 37 5 33 7 3 2 2 5 4 11 20 13 5 2 42 9 44
3 Port Talbot 10 7 2 1 18 6 23 9 4 2 3 11 9 14 19 11 4 4 29 15 37
4 Rhyl 10 7 2 1 26 8 23 11 3 4 4 17 18 13 21 10 6 5 43 26 36
5 Aberystwyth 11 5 2 4 19 18 17 10 6 1 3 11 11 19 21 11 3 7 30 29 36
6 Prestatyn Town 11 6 3 2 16 10 21 10 4 2 4 18 21 14 21 10 5 6 34 31 35
7 Bala Town 10 5 3 2 11 11 18 11 5 1 5 13 14 16 21 10 4 7 24 25 34
8 Bangor City 10 6 1 3 23 11 19 10 4 2 4 20 20 14 20 10 3 7 43 31 33
9 Neath Athletic 9 5 4 0 17 10 19 9 4 2 3 11 10 14 18 9 6 3 28 20 33
10 Airbus UK 9 4 3 2 17 9 15 9 3 4 2 15 9 13 18 7 7 4 32 18 28
11 Carmarthen 9 2 3 4 10 12 9 10 5 2 3 16 11 17 19 7 5 7 26 23 26
12 Haverfordwest 10 3 4 3 10 9 13 10 3 2 5 12 15 11 20 6 6 8 22 24 24
13 Connah's Quay 8 3 2 3 8 9 11 10 2 2 6 7 22 8 18 5 4 9 15 31 19
14 Newtown 8 3 1 4 14 16 10 9 1 4 4 11 15 7 17 4 5 8 25 31 17
15 Porthmadog 11 2 3 6 7 16 9 9 1 1 7 5 20 4 20 3 4 13 12 36 13
16 Welshpool 8 1 1 6 6 17 4 12 2 3 7 9 23 9 20 3 4 13 15 40 13
17 Cefn Druids 9 1 2 6 3 9 5 11 0 2 9 7 28 2 20 1 4 15 10 37 7
18 Caersws 9 1 0 8 7 26 3 9 0 2 7 9 27 2 18 1 2 15 16 53 5

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 21% (value odds 4.75)

› Awaywin: 36% (value odds 2.81)

› Draw: 43% (value odds 2.31)

› Over: 47% (value odds 2.11)

› Under: 53% (value odds 1.90)

Expected Score:

› Newtown: 1.17

› Neath Athletic: 1.51

› Total: 2.69


› Over: 54%

› Under: 46%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Newtown) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring homewin.

Trends favouring awaywin (Neath Athletic) (Trends: 4 Stars: 6)

› Newtown playing against good teams the current season. [lost 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]
› Newtown playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. [lost 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]
› Newtown playing against offensively good teams the current season. [lost 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Newtown playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [lost 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 10 Stars: 22)

› Newtown playing against defensively average teams the current season. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Newtown playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Newtown playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Neath Athletic playing against poor teams the current season. [draw 4/ 8] [50.00%] [3*]
› Neath Athletic playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 8] [50.00%] [3*]
› Neath Athletic playing against defensively poor teams the current season. [draw 4/ 9] [44.44%] [2*]
› Neath Athletic playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 9] [44.44%] [2*]
› Neath Athletic playing against offensively good teams the current season. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Neath Athletic playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Neath Athletic playing against teams with poor form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)

› Newtown playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [over 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Newtown playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)

› Neath Athletic playing against poor teams the current season. [under 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Neath Athletic playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Newtown
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1461.2
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1440.3
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1413.7

› Current ELO Rating: 1381.9

Neath Athletic
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1556.5
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1572.5
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1552.5

› Current ELO Rating: 1521.0

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Newtown 1500.0 1480.4 1480.4 1494.5 1478.0 1455.6 1451.4 1461.2 1445.1 1461.0 1457.6 1440.3 1422.9 1402.6 1413.7 1407.7 1381.9
Neath Athletic 1495.8 1480.3 1476.1 1501.4 1510.9 1524.3 1534.9 1544.1 1556.5 1555.8 1567.3 1560.6 1572.5 1565.9 1549.8 1552.5 1539.4 1521.0

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Newtown
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.97
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.97
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.90

› Current Power Rating: 9.85

Neath Athletic
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.20
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.25
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.23

› Current Power Rating: 10.20

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Newtown 10.00 9.97 9.97 10.03 10.00 9.95 9.95 9.97 9.95 10.02 10.02 9.97 9.92 9.85 9.90 9.90 9.85
Neath Athletic 10.00 9.95 9.95 10.02 10.05 10.10 10.12 10.15 10.20 10.20 10.23 10.23 10.25 10.25 10.20 10.23 10.23 10.20

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: -0.31 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: 1 (indicates draw)

› Weighted Form System: 3 (indicates draw)

› Goal Superiority System: -6 (indicates awaywin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: -6 (indicates awaywin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 2 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 0 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 35% (homewin) 17% (draw) 47% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 1.00 (indicates awaywin)

Stats for hometeam (Newtown):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 17 4-5-8 25-31 17
› At home: 8 3-1-4 14-16 10

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 9-8
› At home: 5-3

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.47 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.75 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.82 goals per match
› At home: allowing 2.00 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LLLWDL 1-1-4
› Home: LWWLDL 2-1-3

ELO Rating: 1381.9

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 home Llanelli 0-2 lost under
Jan 30 2010 home Carmarthen 0-0 draw under
Jan 22 2010 away Cefn Druids 2-0 won under
Dec 12 2009 home Bangor City 2-5 lost over
Dec 05 2009 away Connah's Quay 1-3 lost over
Nov 21 2009 away Airbus UK 0-2 lost under
Nov 06 2009 away Prestatyn Town 1-1 draw under
Oct 24 2009 home Welshpool 4-1 won over
Oct 16 2009 away Aberystwyth 1-2 lost over
Oct 10 2009 home Haverfordwest 2-1 won over

Summary: 3-2-5 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 13-17

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Feb 06 2010 home Llanelli 0-2 lost under
Jan 30 2010 home Carmarthen 0-0 draw under
Dec 12 2009 home Bangor City 2-5 lost over
Oct 24 2009 home Welshpool 4-1 won over
Oct 10 2009 home Haverfordwest 2-1 won over
Sep 19 2009 home Rhyl 2-4 lost over
Sep 05 2009 home Cefn Druids 4-2 won over
Aug 22 2009 home Bala Town 0-1 lost under
-

Summary: 3-1-4 O-U: 5-3 Avg. score: 3.75 Median score: 0.00 Goals: 14-16

Stats for awayteam (Neath Athletic):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 18 9-6-3 28-20 33
› At away: 9 4-2-3 11-10 14

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 8-10
› At away: 4-5

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.56 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.22 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.11 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.11 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WDLWDL 2-2-2
› Away: DWDWLL 2-2-2

ELO Rating: 1521.0

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 away Bala Town 0-1 lost under
Jan 30 2010 home Cefn Druids 1-1 draw under
Jan 23 2010 home Porthmadog 3-2 won over
Dec 27 2009 away Port Talbot 0-2 lost under
Dec 13 2009 home Airbus UK 0-0 draw under
Dec 04 2009 away Carmarthen 1-0 won under
Nov 21 2009 away Welshpool 0-0 draw under
Nov 06 2009 away Haverfordwest 2-1 won over
Oct 24 2009 away The New Saints 2-2 draw over
Oct 17 2009 home Rhyl 2-0 won under

Summary: 4-4-2 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 11-9

Last 10 Matches Away:

Feb 06 2010 away Bala Town 0-1 lost under
Dec 27 2009 away Port Talbot 0-2 lost under
Dec 04 2009 away Carmarthen 1-0 won under
Nov 21 2009 away Welshpool 0-0 draw under
Nov 06 2009 away Haverfordwest 2-1 won over
Oct 24 2009 away The New Saints 2-2 draw over
Sep 26 2009 away Cefn Druids 1-0 won under
Sep 05 2009 away Porthmadog 4-1 won over
Aug 22 2009 away Bangor City 1-3 lost over
-

Summary: 4-2-3 O-U: 4-5 Avg. score: 2.33 Median score: 0.00 Goals: 11-10

History:

Overall History

Aug 28 2009 Neath Athletic - Newtown 1-1 draw under

Summary (overall): 0-1-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 0-1-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00

Trend: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Home - Away History

No previous history registered for these teams.