Index : Xamax vs Aarau

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 1     › Users favouring over 2.5: 1
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Xamax - Aarau (3 - 3):

Super League (Switzerland)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Xamax) (Trends: 9 Stars: 19)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Aarau) (Trends: 1 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 10 Stars: 16)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 16 Stars: 28)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Xamax home: 4-2-1 18-9
› Xamax form: 4-1-1 14-6
› Home form: 3-2-1 15-9

› Aarau away: 0-1-5 3-16
› Aarau form: 0-1-5 3-16
› Away form: 0-1-5 3-16

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Xamax: Uptrend
Form: 4-1-1 (13 points, 2.17 avg)
Last 30 matches: 13-6-11 (45 points, 1.50 avg)

› Aarau: Downtrend
Form: 0-1-5 (1 points, 0.17 avg)
Last 30 matches: 6-6-18 (24 points, 0.80 avg)

Home/Away

› Xamax: Neutral
Home form: 3-2-1 (11 points, 1.83 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 9-2-4 (29 points, 1.93 avg)

› Aarau: Downtrend
Away form: 0-1-5 (1 points, 0.17 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 1-3-11 (6 points, 0.40 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Young Boys 6 5 1 0 17 4 16 8 6 0 2 21 12 18 14 11 1 2 38 16 34
2 Xamax 7 4 2 1 18 9 14 7 3 2 2 12 7 11 14 7 4 3 30 16 25
3 Basel 6 3 2 1 14 5 11 8 4 2 2 17 16 14 14 7 4 3 31 21 25
4 Luzern 7 4 0 3 15 12 12 7 2 3 2 9 12 9 14 6 3 5 24 24 21
5 Zürich 7 4 1 2 18 11 13 7 1 3 3 10 15 6 14 5 4 5 28 26 19
6 Sion 7 3 2 2 14 11 11 7 2 2 3 8 14 8 14 5 4 5 22 25 19
7 Grasshoppers 7 4 1 2 14 9 13 7 1 1 5 7 12 4 14 5 2 7 21 21 17
8 St Gallen 8 3 3 2 10 9 12 6 1 1 4 7 14 4 14 4 4 6 17 23 16
9 Bellinzona 7 2 2 3 12 16 8 7 1 1 5 8 19 4 14 3 3 8 20 35 12
10 Aarau 8 1 2 5 5 16 5 6 0 1 5 3 16 1 14 1 3 10 8 32 6

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 53% (value odds 1.90)

› Awaywin: 14% (value odds 7.11)

› Draw: 33% (value odds 3.00)

› Over: 72% (value odds 1.39)

› Under: 28% (value odds 3.57)

Expected Score:

› Xamax: 2.56

› Aarau: 0.82

› Total: 3.38


› Over: 68%

› Under: 32%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Xamax) (Trends: 9 Stars: 19)

› Aarau playing against good teams the current season. [lost 6/ 6] [100.00%] [4*]
› Aarau playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. [lost 21/ 34] [61.76%] [1*]
› Aarau playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 12/ 17] [70.59%] [2*]
› Aarau playing against defensively average teams the current season. [lost 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Aarau playing against offensively good teams the current season. [lost 9/ 13] [69.23%] [1*]
› Aarau playing against offensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 18/ 29] [62.07%] [1*]
› Aarau playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [lost 10/ 14] [71.43%] [2*]
› Aarau playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [lost 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Aarau playing in weekend the current season. [lost 9/ 12] [75.00%] [2*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Aarau) (Trends: 1 Stars: 2)

› Xamax playing in November the last 3 seasons. [lost 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 10 Stars: 16)

› Xamax playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 10/ 25] [40.00%] [2*]
› Xamax playing against poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 16] [43.75%] [2*]
› Xamax playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 11/ 31] [35.48%] [1*]
› Xamax playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 9/ 21] [42.86%] [2*]
› Xamax playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 16] [43.75%] [2*]
› Xamax playing 2 homematches in a row the last 3 seasons. [draw 3/ 8] [37.50%] [1*]
› Aarau playing against defensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 14] [42.86%] [2*]
› Aarau playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 14/ 40] [35.00%] [1*]
› Aarau playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. [draw 12/ 34] [35.29%] [1*]
› Aarau after conceeding 2 or more in their last 2 awaymatches the last 3 seasons. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 16 Stars: 28)

› Xamax playing against defensively poor teams the current season. [over 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Xamax playing against defensively poor awayteams the current season. [over 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Xamax playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [over 17/ 26] [65.38%] [1*]
› Xamax playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [over 10/ 14] [71.43%] [2*]
› Xamax playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [over 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Xamax playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 27/ 41] [65.85%] [1*]
› Xamax playing in weekend the current season. [over 8/ 11] [72.73%] [2*]
› Xamax playing in weekend at home the last 3 seasons. [over 26/ 37] [70.27%] [2*]
› Xamax after drawing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [over 6/ 8] [75.00%] [2*]
› Aarau playing against good teams the current season. [over 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Aarau playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. [over 21/ 34] [61.76%] [1*]
› Aarau playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 12/ 17] [70.59%] [2*]
› Aarau playing against defensively average teams the current season. [over 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Aarau playing against offensively good teams the current season. [over 8/ 13] [61.54%] [1*]
› Aarau playing against offensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 18/ 29] [62.07%] [1*]
› Aarau playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Aarau playing against defensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Xamax
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1480.6
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1535.6
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1570.9

› Current ELO Rating: 1544.6

Aarau
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1457.5
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1389.5
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1325.4

› Current ELO Rating: 1294.2

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Xamax 1500.0 1517.6 1516.8 1496.1 1480.6 1506.8 1501.7 1521.6 1535.6 1547.3 1560.2 1570.9 1551.3 1544.6
Aarau 1510.8 1494.7 1474.9 1459.3 1457.5 1437.4 1419.4 1411.9 1389.5 1373.1 1349.7 1325.4 1303.9 1294.2

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Xamax
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.22
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.37

› Current Power Rating: 10.35

Aarau
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.85
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.68
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.43

› Current Power Rating: 9.40

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Xamax 10.00 10.07 10.07 10.02 10.00 10.10 10.10 10.15 10.22 10.30 10.32 10.37 10.35 10.35
Aarau 10.03 10.00 9.93 9.85 9.85 9.75 9.73 9.73 9.68 9.58 9.53 9.43 9.40 9.40

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 1.83 (indicates homewin)

› Game Form System: 8 (indicates homewin)

› Weighted Form System: 14 (indicates homewin)

› Goal Superiority System: 31 (indicates homewin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 21 (indicates homewin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 19 (indicates homewin) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 11 (indicates homewin) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 70% (homewin) 23% (draw) 7% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: -1.67 (indicates homewin)

Stats for hometeam (Xamax):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 14 7-4-3 30-16 25
› At home: 7 4-2-1 18-9 14

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 10-4
› At home: 6-1

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 2.14 goals per match
› At home: scoring 2.57 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.14 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.29 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WWWWLD 4-1-1
› Home: LDWWWD 3-2-1

ELO Rating: 1544.6

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 29 2009 home Luzern 1-1 draw under
Oct 25 2009 away Sion 0-1 lost under
Oct 03 2009 home St Gallen 4-2 won over
Sep 27 2009 away Zürich 2-1 won over
Sep 24 2009 home Bellinzona 4-1 won over
Sep 13 2009 home Young Boys 3-0 won over
Aug 31 2009 away Grasshoppers 3-1 won over
Aug 23 2009 home Basel 2-2 draw over
Aug 16 2009 away Aarau 4-0 won over
Aug 09 2009 away Luzern 1-2 lost over

Summary: 6-2-2 O-U: 8-2 Avg. score: 3.50 Median score: 4.00 Goals: 24-11

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Oct 29 2009 home Luzern 1-1 draw under
Oct 03 2009 home St Gallen 4-2 won over
Sep 24 2009 home Bellinzona 4-1 won over
Sep 13 2009 home Young Boys 3-0 won over
Aug 23 2009 home Basel 2-2 draw over
Aug 01 2009 home Sion 1-3 lost over
Jul 18 2009 home Zürich 3-0 won over
May 24 2009 home Aarau 3-1 won over
May 13 2009 home Bellinzona 1-0 won under
May 03 2009 home Zürich 0-1 lost under

Summary: 6-2-2 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 3.30 Median score: 4.00 Goals: 22-11

Stats for awayteam (Aarau):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 14 1-3-10 8-32 6
› At away: 6 0-1-5 3-16 1

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 8-6
› At away: 4-2

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.57 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.50 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 2.29 goals per match
› At away: allowing 2.67 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LLLLLD 0-1-5
› Away: LLDLLL 0-1-5

ELO Rating: 1294.2

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 28 2009 home Sion 0-0 draw under
Oct 24 2009 home Bellinzona 1-2 lost over
Oct 04 2009 away Young Boys 0-4 lost over
Sep 26 2009 home Basel 0-2 lost under
Sep 23 2009 away Grasshoppers 0-4 lost over
Sep 13 2009 home Luzern 2-4 lost over
Aug 29 2009 home Zürich 1-1 draw under
Aug 22 2009 away St Gallen 0-1 lost under
Aug 16 2009 home Xamax 0-4 lost over
Aug 08 2009 away Sion 1-1 draw under

Summary: 0-3-7 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.80 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 5-23

Last 10 Matches Away:

Oct 04 2009 away Young Boys 0-4 lost over
Sep 23 2009 away Grasshoppers 0-4 lost over
Aug 22 2009 away St Gallen 0-1 lost under
Aug 08 2009 away Sion 1-1 draw under
Aug 01 2009 away Bellinzona 1-4 lost over
Jul 19 2009 away Basel 1-2 lost over
May 24 2009 away Xamax 1-3 lost over
May 13 2009 away Grasshoppers 1-1 draw under
May 02 2009 away Luzern 0-4 lost over
Apr 25 2009 away Sion 0-2 lost under

Summary: 0-2-8 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 3.10 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 5-26

History:

Overall History

Sep 03 1994 Xamax - Aarau 1-1 draw under
Nov 09 1994 Aarau - Xamax 2-2 draw over
Apr 12 1995 Aarau - Xamax 1-1 draw under
May 13 1995 Xamax - Aarau 3-0 homewin over
Sep 08 1995 Xamax - Aarau 3-2 homewin over
Nov 26 1995 Aarau - Xamax 2-2 draw over
Apr 08 1996 Aarau - Xamax 3-2 homewin over
Apr 21 1996 Xamax - Aarau 3-1 homewin over
Jul 31 1996 Xamax - Aarau 2-0 homewin under
Oct 13 1996 Aarau - Xamax 1-1 draw under
Apr 19 1997 Xamax - Aarau 2-1 homewin over
Apr 24 1997 Aarau - Xamax 2-3 awaywin over
Aug 09 1997 Xamax - Aarau 3-0 homewin over
Nov 09 1997 Aarau - Xamax 2-2 draw over
Jul 25 1998 Xamax - Aarau 0-0 draw under
Oct 18 1998 Aarau - Xamax 0-2 awaywin under
Jul 07 1999 Xamax - Aarau 1-1 draw under
Sep 18 1999 Aarau - Xamax 4-1 homewin over
Aug 26 2000 Xamax - Aarau 1-5 awaywin over
Nov 19 2000 Aarau - Xamax 2-0 homewin under
Aug 25 2001 Xamax - Aarau 0-0 draw under
Nov 24 2001 Aarau - Xamax 1-2 awaywin over
Jul 20 2002 Aarau - Xamax 2-0 homewin under
Oct 05 2002 Xamax - Aarau 3-1 homewin over
Aug 22 2003 Xamax - Aarau 0-1 awaywin under
Nov 02 2003 Aarau - Xamax 1-1 draw under
Apr 04 2004 Xamax - Aarau 4-1 homewin over
Apr 08 2004 Aarau - Xamax 2-0 homewin under
Jul 31 2004 Xamax - Aarau 2-1 homewin over
Oct 16 2004 Aarau - Xamax 0-0 draw under
Feb 20 2005 Aarau - Xamax 1-2 awaywin over
May 14 2005 Xamax - Aarau 0-0 draw under
Aug 06 2005 Aarau - Xamax 2-0 homewin under
Oct 30 2005 Xamax - Aarau 2-0 homewin under
Mar 29 2006 Aarau - Xamax 3-1 homewin over
Apr 30 2006 Xamax - Aarau 2-0 homewin under
Aug 25 2007 Xamax - Aarau 2-1 homewin over
Nov 11 2007 Aarau - Xamax 3-2 homewin over
Mar 09 2008 Xamax - Aarau 1-2 awaywin over
Apr 17 2008 Aarau - Xamax 2-2 draw over
Aug 02 2008 Xamax - Aarau 0-0 draw under
Nov 02 2008 Aarau - Xamax 2-1 homewin over
Feb 14 2009 Aarau - Xamax 0-0 draw under
May 24 2009 Xamax - Aarau 3-1 homewin over
Aug 16 2009 Aarau - Xamax 0-4 awaywin over

Summary (overall): 22-15-8 O-U: 25-20 Avg. score: 2.80 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 4-3-2 O-U: 7-2 Avg. score: 2.89 Median score: 3.00

Trend: Xamax is 18-15-12

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Home - Away History

Sep 03 1994 Xamax - Aarau 1-1 draw under
May 13 1995 Xamax - Aarau 3-0 homewin over
Sep 08 1995 Xamax - Aarau 3-2 homewin over
Apr 21 1996 Xamax - Aarau 3-1 homewin over
Jul 31 1996 Xamax - Aarau 2-0 homewin under
Apr 19 1997 Xamax - Aarau 2-1 homewin over
Aug 09 1997 Xamax - Aarau 3-0 homewin over
Jul 25 1998 Xamax - Aarau 0-0 draw under
Jul 07 1999 Xamax - Aarau 1-1 draw under
Aug 26 2000 Xamax - Aarau 1-5 awaywin over
Aug 25 2001 Xamax - Aarau 0-0 draw under
Oct 05 2002 Xamax - Aarau 3-1 homewin over
Aug 22 2003 Xamax - Aarau 0-1 awaywin under
Apr 04 2004 Xamax - Aarau 4-1 homewin over
Jul 31 2004 Xamax - Aarau 2-1 homewin over
May 14 2005 Xamax - Aarau 0-0 draw under
Oct 30 2005 Xamax - Aarau 2-0 homewin under
Apr 30 2006 Xamax - Aarau 2-0 homewin under
Aug 25 2007 Xamax - Aarau 2-1 homewin over
Mar 09 2008 Xamax - Aarau 1-2 awaywin over
Aug 02 2008 Xamax - Aarau 0-0 draw under
May 24 2009 Xamax - Aarau 3-1 homewin over

Summary (overall): 13-6-3 O-U: 12-10 Avg. score: 2.59 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 2-1-1 O-U: 3-1 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 3.00

Trend: Xamax is 13-6-3

Trend 3 years: Xamax is 2-1-1