Monday 8th @ 12:01 CET

Weekend results have been added and the midweek fixtures corrected. I've also posted a 72% winner over at SportsProfit.com - Jensen (admin)
Index : Interblock vs Rudar Velenje

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

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Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Interblock - Rudar Velenje (3 - 1):

Prva Liga (Slovenia)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Interblock) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Rudar Velenje) (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 1 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 6 Stars: 7)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 8 Stars: 14)

› Interblock home: 3-2-3 9-8
› Interblock form: 1-1-4 7-11
› Home form: 3-1-2 8-6

› Rudar Velenje away: 4-1-3 14-11
› Rudar Velenje form: 2-1-3 8-10
› Away form: 3-0-3 11-9

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Interblock: Downtrend
Form: 1-1-4 (4 points, 0.67 avg)
Last 30 matches: 11-4-15 (37 points, 1.23 avg)

› Rudar Velenje: Downtrend
Form: 2-1-3 (7 points, 1.17 avg)
Last 30 matches: 16-5-9 (53 points, 1.77 avg)

Home/Away

› Interblock: Neutral
Home form: 3-1-2 (10 points, 1.67 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 7-2-6 (23 points, 1.53 avg)

› Rudar Velenje: Neutral
Away form: 3-0-3 (9 points, 1.50 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 8-1-6 (25 points, 1.67 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Koper 8 4 3 1 12 9 15 8 6 2 0 13 6 20 16 10 5 1 25 15 35
2 Rudar Velenje 8 5 1 2 13 10 16 8 4 1 3 14 11 13 16 9 2 5 27 21 29
3 Olimpija Ljubljana 8 3 1 4 11 10 10 8 5 0 3 12 6 15 16 8 1 7 23 16 25
4 Maribor 8 2 2 4 11 13 8 8 5 0 3 16 11 15 16 7 2 7 27 24 23
5 Publikum Celje 8 4 1 3 12 12 13 8 2 3 3 11 14 9 16 6 4 6 23 26 22
6 Domzale 8 3 2 3 11 13 11 8 2 3 3 11 15 9 16 5 5 6 22 28 20
7 Nafta 8 4 2 2 17 13 14 8 1 2 5 8 16 5 16 5 4 7 25 29 19
8 Interblock 8 3 2 3 9 8 11 8 2 1 5 11 14 7 16 5 3 8 20 22 18
9 Drava 8 2 2 4 7 12 8 8 2 3 3 11 11 9 16 4 5 7 18 23 17
10 Gorica 8 1 2 5 12 17 5 8 2 3 3 10 11 9 16 3 5 8 22 28 14

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 30% (value odds 3.29)

› Awaywin: 56% (value odds 1.78)

› Draw: 13% (value odds 7.46)

› Over: 55% (value odds 1.83)

› Under: 45% (value odds 2.21)

Expected Score:

› Interblock: 1.33

› Rudar Velenje: 1.48

› Total: 2.81


› Over: 56%

› Under: 44%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Interblock) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Rudar Velenje playing against defensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 17/ 28] [60.71%] [1*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Rudar Velenje) (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)

› Interblock playing against offensively good teams the current season. [lost 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Interblock playing against good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [lost 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 1 Stars: 2)

› Interblock playing in November the last 3 seasons. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 6 Stars: 7)

› Interblock playing against offensively good teams the current season. [over 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Interblock playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [over 8/ 12] [66.67%] [1*]
› Interblock playing in weekend the current season. [over 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Interblock playing in weekend at home the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Interblock playing against defensively average awayteams the last 3 seasons. [over 10/ 13] [76.92%] [2*]
› Rudar Velenje playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [over 18/ 26] [69.23%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 8 Stars: 14)

› Interblock playing in November the last 3 seasons. [under 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Rudar Velenje playing in weekend at away the current season. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Rudar Velenje playing in November the last 3 seasons. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Rudar Velenje playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. [under 22/ 36] [61.11%] [1*]
› Rudar Velenje playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 12/ 20] [60.00%] [1*]
› Rudar Velenje playing against poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Rudar Velenje playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Rudar Velenje after winning in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 8] [75.00%] [2*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Interblock
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1509.5
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1465.5
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1436.4

› Current ELO Rating: 1413.8

Rudar Velenje
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1548.8
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1568.7
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1521.1

› Current ELO Rating: 1521.3

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Interblock 1522.5 1517.3 1501.6 1482.2 1480.8 1495.1 1509.5 1492.8 1502.7 1483.3 1465.5 1442.3 1426.2 1436.4 1431.9 1413.8
Rudar Velenje 1516.2 1525.6 1539.3 1554.0 1553.9 1568.4 1548.8 1558.1 1572.8 1551.6 1568.7 1547.4 1527.3 1521.1 1545.7 1521.3

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Interblock
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.08
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.03
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.97

› Current Power Rating: 9.95

Rudar Velenje
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.20
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.25
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.13

› Current Power Rating: 10.15

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Interblock 10.05 10.05 10.03 10.00 10.00 10.03 10.08 10.05 10.08 10.05 10.03 10.00 9.95 9.97 9.97 9.95
Rudar Velenje 10.05 10.08 10.10 10.18 10.18 10.23 10.20 10.23 10.28 10.20 10.25 10.18 10.13 10.13 10.23 10.15

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: -0.25 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: -7 (indicates awaywin)

› Weighted Form System: -25 (indicates awaywin)

› Goal Superiority System: 0 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: -2 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: -2 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: -1 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 38% (homewin) 19% (draw) 44% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.17 (indicates draw)

Stats for hometeam (Interblock):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 16 5-3-8 20-22 18
› At home: 8 3-2-3 9-8 11

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 9-7
› At home: 4-4

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.25 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.13 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.38 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.00 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LLLWDL 1-1-4
› Home: WWLLWD 3-1-2

ELO Rating: 1413.8

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 31 2009 away Gorica 3-4 lost over
Oct 28 2009 home Nafta 1-1 draw under
Oct 24 2009 home Drava 2-1 won over
Oct 17 2009 away Publikum Celje 1-3 lost over
Oct 03 2009 home Koper 0-1 lost under
Sep 27 2009 away Domzale 0-1 lost under
Sep 23 2009 home Olimpija Ljubljana 0-1 lost under
Sep 19 2009 home Maribor 2-1 won over
Sep 12 2009 away Rudar Velenje 1-2 lost over
Aug 29 2009 home Gorica 3-1 won over

Summary: 3-1-6 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 2.90 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 13-16

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Oct 28 2009 home Nafta 1-1 draw under
Oct 24 2009 home Drava 2-1 won over
Oct 03 2009 home Koper 0-1 lost under
Sep 23 2009 home Olimpija Ljubljana 0-1 lost under
Sep 19 2009 home Maribor 2-1 won over
Aug 29 2009 home Gorica 3-1 won over
Aug 09 2009 home Publikum Celje 1-2 lost over
Jul 25 2009 home Domzale 0-0 draw under
May 20 2009 home Publikum Celje 2-0 won under
May 11 2009 home Domzale 0-2 lost under

Summary: 4-2-4 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.10 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 11-10

Stats for awayteam (Rudar Velenje):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 16 9-2-5 27-21 29
› At away: 8 4-1-3 14-11 13

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 9-7
› At away: 4-4

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.69 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.75 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.31 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.38 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WLLDWL 2-1-3
› Away: LWLWLW 3-0-3

ELO Rating: 1521.3

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 31 2009 home Drava 0-3 lost over
Oct 28 2009 away Publikum Celje 4-0 won over
Oct 24 2009 home Koper 2-2 draw over
Oct 17 2009 away Domzale 0-2 lost under
Oct 03 2009 home Olimpija Ljubljana 0-3 lost over
Sep 27 2009 away Maribor 2-0 won under
Sep 23 2009 away Nafta 2-5 lost over
Sep 19 2009 away Gorica 3-1 won over
Sep 12 2009 home Interblock 2-1 won over
Aug 30 2009 away Drava 0-1 lost under

Summary: 4-1-5 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 3.30 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 15-18

Last 10 Matches Away:

Oct 28 2009 away Publikum Celje 4-0 won over
Oct 17 2009 away Domzale 0-2 lost under
Sep 27 2009 away Maribor 2-0 won under
Sep 23 2009 away Nafta 2-5 lost over
Sep 19 2009 away Gorica 3-1 won over
Aug 30 2009 away Drava 0-1 lost under
Aug 15 2009 away Koper 2-2 draw over
Jul 31 2009 away Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 won under
May 23 2009 away Nafta 1-0 won under
May 17 2009 away Drava 0-2 lost under

Summary: 5-1-4 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.80 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 15-13

History:

Overall History

Jul 13 2002 Rudar Velenje - Interblock 3-0 homewin over
Oct 20 2002 Interblock - Rudar Velenje 3-1 homewin over
Apr 26 2003 Interblock - Rudar Velenje 2-1 homewin over
Aug 09 2008 Rudar Velenje - Interblock 2-0 homewin under
Oct 18 2008 Interblock - Rudar Velenje 2-1 homewin over
Feb 28 2009 Rudar Velenje - Interblock 2-1 homewin over
May 02 2009 Interblock - Rudar Velenje 0-1 awaywin under
Sep 12 2009 Rudar Velenje - Interblock 2-1 homewin over

Summary (overall): 7-0-1 O-U: 6-2 Avg. score: 2.75 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 4-0-1 O-U: 3-2 Avg. score: 2.40 Median score: 3.00

Trend: Rudar Velenje is 5-0-3

Trend 3 years: Rudar Velenje is 4-0-1

Home - Away History

Oct 20 2002 Interblock - Rudar Velenje 3-1 homewin over
Apr 26 2003 Interblock - Rudar Velenje 2-1 homewin over
Oct 18 2008 Interblock - Rudar Velenje 2-1 homewin over
May 02 2009 Interblock - Rudar Velenje 0-1 awaywin under

Summary (overall): 3-0-1 O-U: 3-1 Avg. score: 2.75 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 1-0-1 O-U: 1-1 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00

Trend: Interblock is 3-0-1

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.