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Monday 8th @ 12:01 CET Weekend results have been added and the midweek fixtures corrected. I've also posted a 72% winner over at SportsProfit.com - Jensen (admin) |
Consensus:
Summary of current votes
Cast your vote Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup! |
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› Trends favouring homewin (Publikum Celje) (Trends: 3 Stars: 4)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Olimpija Ljubljana) (Trends: 7 Stars: 8)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 12 Stars: 13)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 6 Stars: 9)
› Publikum Celje home:
4-1-3
12-12
› Publikum Celje form:
2-3-1
10-11
› Home form:
2-1-3
9-12
› Olimpija Ljubljana away:
5-0-3
12-6
› Olimpija Ljubljana form:
2-1-3
6-5
› Away form:
4-0-2
10-4
We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.
› Publikum Celje: Neutral
Form: 2-3-1
(9 points, 1.50 avg)
Last 30 matches: 11-5-14
(38 points, 1.27 avg)
› Olimpija Ljubljana: Neutral
Form: 2-1-3
(7 points, 1.17 avg)
Last 30 matches: 10-4-16
(34 points, 1.13 avg)
› Publikum Celje: Neutral
Home form: 2-1-3
(7 points, 1.17 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 7-2-6
(23 points, 1.53 avg)
› Olimpija Ljubljana: Uptrend
Away form: 4-0-2
(12 points, 2.00 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 5-2-8
(17 points, 1.13 avg)
| Home | Away | All | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | Goals | Matches | Goals | Matches | Goals | |||||||||||||||||
| All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | ||
| 1 | Koper | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 25 | 15 | 35 |
| 2 | Rudar Velenje | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 29 |
| 3 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 16 | 25 |
| 4 | Maribor | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 24 | 23 |
| 5 | Publikum Celje | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 26 | 22 |
| 6 | Domzale | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 9 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 20 |
| 7 | Nafta | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 29 | 19 |
| 8 | Interblock | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 22 | 18 |
| 9 | Drava | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 17 |
| 10 | Gorica | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 28 | 14 |
The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.
› Homewin: 33% (value odds 2.99)
› Awaywin: 54% (value odds 1.87)
› Draw: 13% (value odds 7.68)
› Over: 64% (value odds 1.57)
› Under: 36% (value odds 2.75)
› Publikum Celje: 1.19
› Olimpija Ljubljana: 1.46
› Total: 2.65
› Over: 53%
› Under: 47%
When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.
| › Publikum Celje playing in weekend at home the current season. | [won | 4/ | 6] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Olimpija Ljubljana playing against offensively good teams the current season. | [lost | 6/ | 9] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Olimpija Ljubljana after winning in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 5/ | 7] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Publikum Celje playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 21/ | 33] | [63.64%] | [1*] |
| › Publikum Celje playing against good awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 9/ | 13] | [69.23%] | [1*] |
| › Publikum Celje playing against offensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 10/ | 16] | [62.50%] | [1*] |
| › Olimpija Ljubljana playing against defensively poor teams the current season. | [won | 5/ | 7] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Olimpija Ljubljana playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. | [won | 14/ | 21] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Olimpija Ljubljana playing against hometeams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. | [won | 4/ | 6] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Olimpija Ljubljana playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. | [won | 5/ | 8] | [62.50%] | [1*] |
| › Publikum Celje playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. | [draw | 4/ | 11] | [36.36%] | [1*] |
| › Publikum Celje playing against offensively good teams the current season. | [over | 6/ | 9] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Publikum Celje playing against offensively good awayteams the current season. | [over | 4/ | 6] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Publikum Celje playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. | [over | 5/ | 8] | [62.50%] | [1*] |
| › Publikum Celje playing in weekend at home the current season. | [over | 4/ | 6] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Olimpija Ljubljana playing against hometeams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. | [over | 4/ | 6] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Olimpija Ljubljana playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. | [over | 5/ | 8] | [62.50%] | [1*] |
| › Olimpija Ljubljana playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [over | 35/ | 58] | [60.34%] | [1*] |
| › Olimpija Ljubljana playing in weekend at away the current season. | [over | 4/ | 6] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Olimpija Ljubljana playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. | [over | 30/ | 49] | [61.22%] | [1*] |
| › Olimpija Ljubljana playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 14/ | 21] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Olimpija Ljubljana playing against defensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 8/ | 12] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Olimpija Ljubljana playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 19/ | 27] | [70.37%] | [2*] |
| › Publikum Celje playing against good awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 8/ | 13] | [61.54%] | [1*] |
| › Publikum Celje playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 8/ | 11] | [72.73%] | [2*] |
| › Publikum Celje after losing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. | [under | 6/ | 8] | [75.00%] | [2*] |
| › Olimpija Ljubljana playing against offensively good teams the current season. | [under | 6/ | 9] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Olimpija Ljubljana playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. | [under | 7/ | 11] | [63.64%] | [1*] |
| › Olimpija Ljubljana after winning in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. | [under | 5/ | 7] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.
Publikum Celje
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1519.8
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1452.4
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1477.3
› Current ELO Rating: 1455.8
Olimpija Ljubljana
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1469.3
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1513.5
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1494.9
› Current ELO Rating: 1486.9
| Match | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Publikum Celje | 1485.0 | 1485.0 | 1495.6 | 1510.4 | 1526.0 | 1509.8 | 1519.8 | 1502.6 | 1480.4 | 1457.8 | 1452.4 | 1467.3 | 1482.0 | 1477.3 | 1456.4 | 1455.8 |
| Olimpija Ljubljana | 1480.8 | 1494.3 | 1473.9 | 1458.7 | 1473.5 | 1487.6 | 1469.3 | 1482.7 | 1507.5 | 1522.3 | 1513.5 | 1535.6 | 1513.8 | 1494.9 | 1507.9 | 1486.9 |
A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.
Publikum Celje
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.05
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.95
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.03
› Current Power Rating: 9.93
Olimpija Ljubljana
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.15
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.17
› Current Power Rating: 10.17
| Match | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Publikum Celje | 9.97 | 9.97 | 10.00 | 10.03 | 10.08 | 10.03 | 10.05 | 10.00 | 9.97 | 9.95 | 9.95 | 9.97 | 10.03 | 10.03 | 9.93 | 9.93 |
| Olimpija Ljubljana | 9.95 | 9.97 | 9.95 | 9.92 | 9.97 | 10.03 | 10.00 | 10.05 | 10.13 | 10.15 | 10.15 | 10.22 | 10.20 | 10.17 | 10.20 | 10.17 |
Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.
› Point Ratio System: -0.25 (indicates awaywin)
Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 16 6-4-6 23-26 22
› At home: 8 4-1-3 12-12 13
Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 9-7
› At home: 5-3
Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.44 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.50 goals per match
Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.63 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.50 goals per match
Form:
› Overall:
DWWDLD
2-3-1
› Home:
WLLDWL
2-1-3
ELO Rating: 1455.8
Last 10 Matches Overall:
| Oct 31 2009 | away | Maribor | 3-3 | draw | over |
| Oct 28 2009 | home | Rudar Velenje | 0-4 | lost | over |
| Oct 24 2009 | away | Gorica | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Oct 17 2009 | home | Interblock | 3-1 | won | over |
| Oct 04 2009 | away | Drava | 1-0 | won | under |
| Sep 26 2009 | home | Nafta | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Sep 23 2009 | home | Koper | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Sep 19 2009 | home | Domzale | 2-3 | lost | over |
| Sep 12 2009 | away | Olimpija Ljubljana | 2-4 | lost | over |
| Aug 29 2009 | home | Maribor | 2-1 | won | over |
Summary: 3-3-4 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 3.60 Median score: 4.00 Goals: 16-20
Last 10 Matches At Home:
| Oct 28 2009 | home | Rudar Velenje | 0-4 | lost | over |
| Oct 17 2009 | home | Interblock | 3-1 | won | over |
| Sep 26 2009 | home | Nafta | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Sep 23 2009 | home | Koper | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Sep 19 2009 | home | Domzale | 2-3 | lost | over |
| Aug 29 2009 | home | Maribor | 2-1 | won | over |
| Aug 15 2009 | home | Gorica | 2-0 | won | under |
| Aug 01 2009 | home | Drava | 1-0 | won | under |
| May 23 2009 | home | Koper | 1-2 | lost | over |
| May 16 2009 | home | Gorica | 1-2 | lost | over |
Summary: 4-1-5 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 14-16
Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 16 8-1-7 23-16 25
› At away: 8 5-0-3 12-6 15
Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 8-8
› At away: 5-3
Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.44 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.50 goals per match
Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.00 goals per match
› At away: allowing 0.75 goals per match
Form:
› Overall:
DWLLWL
2-1-3
› Away:
LWWWLW
4-0-2
ELO Rating: 1486.9
Last 10 Matches Overall:
| Oct 31 2009 | home | Koper | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Oct 28 2009 | away | Domzale | 2-1 | won | over |
| Oct 24 2009 | away | Nafta | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Oct 17 2009 | home | Maribor | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Oct 03 2009 | away | Rudar Velenje | 3-0 | won | over |
| Sep 27 2009 | home | Gorica | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Sep 23 2009 | away | Interblock | 1-0 | won | under |
| Sep 20 2009 | away | Drava | 3-0 | won | over |
| Sep 12 2009 | home | Publikum Celje | 4-2 | won | over |
| Aug 29 2009 | away | Koper | 1-2 | lost | over |
Summary: 5-1-4 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.40 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 15-9
Last 10 Matches Away:
| Oct 28 2009 | away | Domzale | 2-1 | won | over |
| Oct 24 2009 | away | Nafta | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Oct 03 2009 | away | Rudar Velenje | 3-0 | won | over |
| Sep 23 2009 | away | Interblock | 1-0 | won | under |
| Sep 20 2009 | away | Drava | 3-0 | won | over |
| Aug 29 2009 | away | Koper | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Aug 08 2009 | away | Maribor | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Jul 26 2009 | away | Gorica | 2-1 | won | over |
| May 28 2005 | away | Publikum Celje | 1-2 | lost | over |
| May 21 2005 | away | Domzale | 0-3 | lost | over |
Summary: 5-0-5 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 2.40 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 13-11
| Sep 02 1995 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Nov 11 1995 | Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje | 3-0 | homewin | over |
| Mar 31 1996 | Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje | 3-0 | homewin | over |
| May 26 1996 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 3-1 | homewin | over |
| Sep 15 1996 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 1-0 | homewin | under |
| Nov 24 1996 | Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje | 2-1 | homewin | over |
| Apr 13 1997 | Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje | 2-2 | draw | over |
| May 28 1997 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 2-5 | awaywin | over |
| Aug 03 1997 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 2-0 | homewin | under |
| Oct 15 1997 | Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Mar 01 1998 | Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje | 2-0 | homewin | under |
| May 06 1998 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 5-2 | homewin | over |
| Aug 16 1998 | Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje | 3-0 | homewin | over |
| Nov 15 1998 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 0-2 | awaywin | under |
| May 30 1999 | Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje | 2-3 | awaywin | over |
| Aug 29 1999 | Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje | 3-0 | homewin | over |
| Nov 03 1999 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 3-0 | homewin | over |
| Apr 05 2000 | Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Jul 23 2000 | Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje | 3-1 | homewin | over |
| Oct 15 2000 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 4-1 | homewin | over |
| May 12 2001 | Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje | 4-0 | homewin | over |
| Aug 12 2001 | Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje | 1-0 | homewin | under |
| Nov 04 2001 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 2-0 | homewin | under |
| Apr 28 2002 | Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje | 1-0 | homewin | under |
| Aug 30 2002 | Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje | 1-0 | homewin | under |
| Dec 01 2002 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Jun 01 2003 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 1-3 | awaywin | over |
| Aug 02 2003 | Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje | 2-2 | draw | over |
| Nov 02 2003 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 1-2 | awaywin | over |
| May 01 2005 | Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje | 0-6 | awaywin | over |
| May 28 2005 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 2-1 | homewin | over |
| Sep 12 2009 | Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje | 4-2 | homewin | over |
Summary (overall): 20-6-6 O-U: 21-11 Avg. score: 3.25 Median score: 3.00
Summary (3 years): 1-0-0 O-U: 1-0 Avg. score: 6.00 Median score: 6.00
Trend: Olimpija Ljubljana is 16-6-10
Trend 3 years: Olimpija Ljubljana is 1-0-0
| Sep 02 1995 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 1-1 | draw | under |
| May 26 1996 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 3-1 | homewin | over |
| Sep 15 1996 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 1-0 | homewin | under |
| May 28 1997 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 2-5 | awaywin | over |
| Aug 03 1997 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 2-0 | homewin | under |
| May 06 1998 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 5-2 | homewin | over |
| Nov 15 1998 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 0-2 | awaywin | under |
| Nov 03 1999 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 3-0 | homewin | over |
| Oct 15 2000 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 4-1 | homewin | over |
| Nov 04 2001 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 2-0 | homewin | under |
| Dec 01 2002 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Jun 01 2003 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 1-3 | awaywin | over |
| Nov 02 2003 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 1-2 | awaywin | over |
| May 28 2005 | Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | 2-1 | homewin | over |
Summary (overall): 8-2-4 O-U: 8-6 Avg. score: 3.21 Median score: 3.00
Summary (3 years): 0-0-0 O-U: 0-0 Avg. score: 0 Median score: 0.00
Trend: Publikum Celje is 8-2-4
Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.