Index : Publikum Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 1     › Users favouring under 2.5: 1
› Users favouring draw: 0

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Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana (1 - 1):

Prva Liga (Slovenia)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Publikum Celje) (Trends: 3 Stars: 4)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Olimpija Ljubljana) (Trends: 7 Stars: 8)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 12 Stars: 13)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 6 Stars: 9)

› Publikum Celje home: 4-1-3 12-12
› Publikum Celje form: 2-3-1 10-11
› Home form: 2-1-3 9-12

› Olimpija Ljubljana away: 5-0-3 12-6
› Olimpija Ljubljana form: 2-1-3 6-5
› Away form: 4-0-2 10-4

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Publikum Celje: Neutral
Form: 2-3-1 (9 points, 1.50 avg)
Last 30 matches: 11-5-14 (38 points, 1.27 avg)

› Olimpija Ljubljana: Neutral
Form: 2-1-3 (7 points, 1.17 avg)
Last 30 matches: 10-4-16 (34 points, 1.13 avg)

Home/Away

› Publikum Celje: Neutral
Home form: 2-1-3 (7 points, 1.17 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 7-2-6 (23 points, 1.53 avg)

› Olimpija Ljubljana: Uptrend
Away form: 4-0-2 (12 points, 2.00 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 5-2-8 (17 points, 1.13 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Koper 8 4 3 1 12 9 15 8 6 2 0 13 6 20 16 10 5 1 25 15 35
2 Rudar Velenje 8 5 1 2 13 10 16 8 4 1 3 14 11 13 16 9 2 5 27 21 29
3 Olimpija Ljubljana 8 3 1 4 11 10 10 8 5 0 3 12 6 15 16 8 1 7 23 16 25
4 Maribor 8 2 2 4 11 13 8 8 5 0 3 16 11 15 16 7 2 7 27 24 23
5 Publikum Celje 8 4 1 3 12 12 13 8 2 3 3 11 14 9 16 6 4 6 23 26 22
6 Domzale 8 3 2 3 11 13 11 8 2 3 3 11 15 9 16 5 5 6 22 28 20
7 Nafta 8 4 2 2 17 13 14 8 1 2 5 8 16 5 16 5 4 7 25 29 19
8 Interblock 8 3 2 3 9 8 11 8 2 1 5 11 14 7 16 5 3 8 20 22 18
9 Drava 8 2 2 4 7 12 8 8 2 3 3 11 11 9 16 4 5 7 18 23 17
10 Gorica 8 1 2 5 12 17 5 8 2 3 3 10 11 9 16 3 5 8 22 28 14

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 33% (value odds 2.99)

› Awaywin: 54% (value odds 1.87)

› Draw: 13% (value odds 7.68)

› Over: 64% (value odds 1.57)

› Under: 36% (value odds 2.75)

Expected Score:

› Publikum Celje: 1.19

› Olimpija Ljubljana: 1.46

› Total: 2.65


› Over: 53%

› Under: 47%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Publikum Celje) (Trends: 3 Stars: 4)

› Publikum Celje playing in weekend at home the current season. [won 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Olimpija Ljubljana playing against offensively good teams the current season. [lost 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Olimpija Ljubljana after winning in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [lost 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Olimpija Ljubljana) (Trends: 7 Stars: 8)

› Publikum Celje playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. [lost 21/ 33] [63.64%] [1*]
› Publikum Celje playing against good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [lost 9/ 13] [69.23%] [1*]
› Publikum Celje playing against offensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [lost 10/ 16] [62.50%] [1*]
› Olimpija Ljubljana playing against defensively poor teams the current season. [won 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Olimpija Ljubljana playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [won 14/ 21] [66.67%] [1*]
› Olimpija Ljubljana playing against hometeams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [won 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Olimpija Ljubljana playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [won 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Publikum Celje playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 4/ 11] [36.36%] [1*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 12 Stars: 13)

› Publikum Celje playing against offensively good teams the current season. [over 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Publikum Celje playing against offensively good awayteams the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Publikum Celje playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [over 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Publikum Celje playing in weekend at home the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Olimpija Ljubljana playing against hometeams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Olimpija Ljubljana playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [over 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Olimpija Ljubljana playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 35/ 58] [60.34%] [1*]
› Olimpija Ljubljana playing in weekend at away the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Olimpija Ljubljana playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. [over 30/ 49] [61.22%] [1*]
› Olimpija Ljubljana playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [over 14/ 21] [66.67%] [1*]
› Olimpija Ljubljana playing against defensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 8/ 12] [66.67%] [1*]
› Olimpija Ljubljana playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [over 19/ 27] [70.37%] [2*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 6 Stars: 9)

› Publikum Celje playing against good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 8/ 13] [61.54%] [1*]
› Publikum Celje playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 8/ 11] [72.73%] [2*]
› Publikum Celje after losing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 8] [75.00%] [2*]
› Olimpija Ljubljana playing against offensively good teams the current season. [under 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Olimpija Ljubljana playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [under 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Olimpija Ljubljana after winning in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [under 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Publikum Celje
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1519.8
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1452.4
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1477.3

› Current ELO Rating: 1455.8

Olimpija Ljubljana
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1469.3
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1513.5
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1494.9

› Current ELO Rating: 1486.9

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Publikum Celje 1485.0 1485.0 1495.6 1510.4 1526.0 1509.8 1519.8 1502.6 1480.4 1457.8 1452.4 1467.3 1482.0 1477.3 1456.4 1455.8
Olimpija Ljubljana 1480.8 1494.3 1473.9 1458.7 1473.5 1487.6 1469.3 1482.7 1507.5 1522.3 1513.5 1535.6 1513.8 1494.9 1507.9 1486.9

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Publikum Celje
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.05
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.95
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.03

› Current Power Rating: 9.93

Olimpija Ljubljana
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.15
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.17

› Current Power Rating: 10.17

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Publikum Celje 9.97 9.97 10.00 10.03 10.08 10.03 10.05 10.00 9.97 9.95 9.95 9.97 10.03 10.03 9.93 9.93
Olimpija Ljubljana 9.95 9.97 9.95 9.92 9.97 10.03 10.00 10.05 10.13 10.15 10.15 10.22 10.20 10.17 10.20 10.17

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: -0.25 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: -5 (indicates awaywin)

› Weighted Form System: -20 (indicates awaywin)

› Goal Superiority System: -10 (indicates awaywin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: -2 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 1 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 4 (indicates homewin) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 44% (homewin) 6% (draw) 50% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 1.00 (indicates awaywin)

Stats for hometeam (Publikum Celje):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 16 6-4-6 23-26 22
› At home: 8 4-1-3 12-12 13

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 9-7
› At home: 5-3

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.44 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.50 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.63 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.50 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DWWDLD 2-3-1
› Home: WLLDWL 2-1-3

ELO Rating: 1455.8

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 31 2009 away Maribor 3-3 draw over
Oct 28 2009 home Rudar Velenje 0-4 lost over
Oct 24 2009 away Gorica 1-1 draw under
Oct 17 2009 home Interblock 3-1 won over
Oct 04 2009 away Drava 1-0 won under
Sep 26 2009 home Nafta 2-2 draw over
Sep 23 2009 home Koper 0-1 lost under
Sep 19 2009 home Domzale 2-3 lost over
Sep 12 2009 away Olimpija Ljubljana 2-4 lost over
Aug 29 2009 home Maribor 2-1 won over

Summary: 3-3-4 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 3.60 Median score: 4.00 Goals: 16-20

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Oct 28 2009 home Rudar Velenje 0-4 lost over
Oct 17 2009 home Interblock 3-1 won over
Sep 26 2009 home Nafta 2-2 draw over
Sep 23 2009 home Koper 0-1 lost under
Sep 19 2009 home Domzale 2-3 lost over
Aug 29 2009 home Maribor 2-1 won over
Aug 15 2009 home Gorica 2-0 won under
Aug 01 2009 home Drava 1-0 won under
May 23 2009 home Koper 1-2 lost over
May 16 2009 home Gorica 1-2 lost over

Summary: 4-1-5 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 14-16

Stats for awayteam (Olimpija Ljubljana):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 16 8-1-7 23-16 25
› At away: 8 5-0-3 12-6 15

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 8-8
› At away: 5-3

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.44 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.50 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.00 goals per match
› At away: allowing 0.75 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DWLLWL 2-1-3
› Away: LWWWLW 4-0-2

ELO Rating: 1486.9

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 31 2009 home Koper 0-1 lost under
Oct 28 2009 away Domzale 2-1 won over
Oct 24 2009 away Nafta 0-1 lost under
Oct 17 2009 home Maribor 0-1 lost under
Oct 03 2009 away Rudar Velenje 3-0 won over
Sep 27 2009 home Gorica 1-1 draw under
Sep 23 2009 away Interblock 1-0 won under
Sep 20 2009 away Drava 3-0 won over
Sep 12 2009 home Publikum Celje 4-2 won over
Aug 29 2009 away Koper 1-2 lost over

Summary: 5-1-4 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.40 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 15-9

Last 10 Matches Away:

Oct 28 2009 away Domzale 2-1 won over
Oct 24 2009 away Nafta 0-1 lost under
Oct 03 2009 away Rudar Velenje 3-0 won over
Sep 23 2009 away Interblock 1-0 won under
Sep 20 2009 away Drava 3-0 won over
Aug 29 2009 away Koper 1-2 lost over
Aug 08 2009 away Maribor 0-1 lost under
Jul 26 2009 away Gorica 2-1 won over
May 28 2005 away Publikum Celje 1-2 lost over
May 21 2005 away Domzale 0-3 lost over

Summary: 5-0-5 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 2.40 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 13-11

History:

Overall History

Sep 02 1995 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 draw under
Nov 11 1995 Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje 3-0 homewin over
Mar 31 1996 Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje 3-0 homewin over
May 26 1996 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 3-1 homewin over
Sep 15 1996 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 homewin under
Nov 24 1996 Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje 2-1 homewin over
Apr 13 1997 Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje 2-2 draw over
May 28 1997 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 2-5 awaywin over
Aug 03 1997 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 2-0 homewin under
Oct 15 1997 Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje 1-1 draw under
Mar 01 1998 Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje 2-0 homewin under
May 06 1998 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 5-2 homewin over
Aug 16 1998 Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje 3-0 homewin over
Nov 15 1998 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 0-2 awaywin under
May 30 1999 Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje 2-3 awaywin over
Aug 29 1999 Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje 3-0 homewin over
Nov 03 1999 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 3-0 homewin over
Apr 05 2000 Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje 2-2 draw over
Jul 23 2000 Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje 3-1 homewin over
Oct 15 2000 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 4-1 homewin over
May 12 2001 Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje 4-0 homewin over
Aug 12 2001 Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje 1-0 homewin under
Nov 04 2001 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 2-0 homewin under
Apr 28 2002 Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje 1-0 homewin under
Aug 30 2002 Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje 1-0 homewin under
Dec 01 2002 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 draw under
Jun 01 2003 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 1-3 awaywin over
Aug 02 2003 Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje 2-2 draw over
Nov 02 2003 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 1-2 awaywin over
May 01 2005 Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje 0-6 awaywin over
May 28 2005 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 homewin over
Sep 12 2009 Olimpija Ljubljana - Publikum Celje 4-2 homewin over

Summary (overall): 20-6-6 O-U: 21-11 Avg. score: 3.25 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 1-0-0 O-U: 1-0 Avg. score: 6.00 Median score: 6.00

Trend: Olimpija Ljubljana is 16-6-10

Trend 3 years: Olimpija Ljubljana is 1-0-0

Home - Away History

Sep 02 1995 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 draw under
May 26 1996 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 3-1 homewin over
Sep 15 1996 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 homewin under
May 28 1997 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 2-5 awaywin over
Aug 03 1997 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 2-0 homewin under
May 06 1998 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 5-2 homewin over
Nov 15 1998 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 0-2 awaywin under
Nov 03 1999 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 3-0 homewin over
Oct 15 2000 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 4-1 homewin over
Nov 04 2001 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 2-0 homewin under
Dec 01 2002 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 draw under
Jun 01 2003 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 1-3 awaywin over
Nov 02 2003 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 1-2 awaywin over
May 28 2005 Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 homewin over

Summary (overall): 8-2-4 O-U: 8-6 Avg. score: 3.21 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 0-0-0 O-U: 0-0 Avg. score: 0 Median score: 0.00

Trend: Publikum Celje is 8-2-4

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.