Index : Hayes & Yeading vs Grays Athletic

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Hayes & Yeading - Grays Athletic (4 - 0):

Conference (England)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Hayes & Yeading) (Trends: 6 Stars: 8)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Grays Athletic) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 11 Stars: 19)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 16 Stars: 19)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 6 Stars: 11)

› Hayes & Yeading home: 4-5-6 23-27
› Hayes & Yeading form: 1-1-4 10-19
› Home form: 3-1-2 11-13

› Grays Athletic away: 0-5-9 13-31
› Grays Athletic form: 0-0-6 4-19
› Away form: 0-2-4 5-13

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Hayes & Yeading: Downtrend
Form: 1-1-4 (4 points, 0.67 avg)
Last 30 matches: 8-8-14 (32 points, 1.07 avg)

› Grays Athletic: Downtrend
Form: 0-0-6 (0 points, 0.00 avg)
Last 30 matches: 3-8-19 (17 points, 0.57 avg)

Home/Away

› Hayes & Yeading: Uptrend
Home form: 3-1-2 (10 points, 1.67 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 4-5-6 (17 points, 1.13 avg)

› Grays Athletic: Neutral
Away form: 0-2-4 (2 points, 0.33 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 0-5-10 (5 points, 0.33 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Oxford United 13 10 2 1 28 6 32 14 8 4 2 22 13 28 27 18 6 3 50 19 60
2 York 15 11 4 0 30 11 37 14 6 4 4 14 13 22 29 17 8 4 44 24 59
3 Stevenage 15 10 5 0 32 9 35 13 6 4 3 16 11 22 28 16 9 3 48 20 57
4 Mansfield 14 8 4 2 27 11 28 16 7 1 8 21 25 22 30 15 5 10 48 36 50
5 Rushden & Diamonds 14 8 2 4 24 18 26 14 6 5 3 26 11 23 28 14 7 7 50 29 49
6 Luton 13 6 3 4 21 14 21 14 8 4 2 16 11 28 27 14 7 6 37 25 49
7 Kettering 14 4 5 5 17 13 17 15 10 1 4 18 12 31 29 14 6 9 35 25 48
8 AFC Wimbledon 14 7 3 4 25 7 24 14 6 4 4 22 17 22 28 13 7 8 47 24 46
9 Kidderminster 13 9 1 3 23 10 28 15 3 6 6 16 19 15 28 12 7 9 39 29 43
10 Crawley 15 8 3 4 23 18 27 14 4 3 7 11 20 15 29 12 6 11 34 38 42
11 Altrincham 14 4 5 5 19 17 17 13 7 3 3 17 10 24 27 11 8 8 36 27 41
12 Salisbury City 13 5 4 4 15 11 19 15 7 0 8 17 29 21 28 12 4 12 32 40 40
13 Tamworth 15 6 4 5 18 18 22 14 3 7 4 12 13 16 29 9 11 9 30 31 38
14 Wrexham 14 7 3 4 17 11 24 13 3 4 6 11 14 13 27 10 7 10 28 25 37
15 Histon 15 5 7 3 20 16 22 13 4 2 7 14 21 14 28 9 9 10 34 37 36
16 Cambridge United 15 6 2 7 25 16 20 14 2 7 5 17 23 13 29 8 9 12 42 39 33
17 Hayes & Yeading 15 4 5 6 23 27 17 15 4 3 8 17 30 15 30 8 8 14 40 57 32
18 Ebbsfleet United 16 4 4 8 17 23 16 16 4 2 10 15 33 14 32 8 6 18 32 56 30
19 Eastbourne Borough 14 4 5 5 16 17 17 15 2 6 7 11 26 12 29 6 11 12 27 43 29
20 Barrow 14 3 8 3 17 21 17 12 3 2 7 11 20 11 26 6 10 10 28 41 28
21 Forest Green 15 4 4 7 13 20 16 15 2 4 9 16 35 10 30 6 8 16 29 55 26
22 Gateshead 13 4 2 7 13 16 14 15 3 2 10 19 30 11 28 7 4 17 32 46 25
23 Chester 13 3 1 9 13 19 10 15 2 6 7 10 23 12 28 5 7 16 23 42 22
24 Grays Athletic 16 3 3 10 14 33 12 14 0 5 9 13 31 5 30 3 8 19 27 64 17

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 41% (value odds 2.45)

› Awaywin: 5% (value odds 22.00)

› Draw: 55% (value odds 1.83)

› Over: 68% (value odds 1.48)

› Under: 32% (value odds 3.10)

Expected Score:

› Hayes & Yeading: 2.15

› Grays Athletic: 1.64

› Total: 3.79


› Over: 76%

› Under: 24%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Hayes & Yeading) (Trends: 6 Stars: 8)

› Grays Athletic playing against offensively average teams the current season. [lost 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Grays Athletic playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [lost 19/ 30] [63.33%] [1*]
› Grays Athletic playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [lost 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Grays Athletic after conceeding 2 or more in their last 4 or more matches the current season. [lost 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Grays Athletic after conceeding 2 or more in their last 4 or more matches the last 3 seasons. [lost 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Grays Athletic playing in February the last 3 seasons. [lost 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Grays Athletic) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring awaywin.

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 11 Stars: 19)

› Hayes & Yeading playing against poor teams the current season. [draw 4/ 9] [44.44%] [2*]
› Hayes & Yeading playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 9] [44.44%] [2*]
› Hayes & Yeading playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [draw 5/ 13] [38.46%] [1*]
› Hayes & Yeading playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 13] [38.46%] [1*]
› Grays Athletic playing against defensively poor teams the current season. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Grays Athletic playing against hometeams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 4/ 8] [50.00%] [3*]
› Grays Athletic playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 5/ 14] [35.71%] [1*]
› Grays Athletic playing in February the last 3 seasons. [draw 3/ 8] [37.50%] [1*]
› Grays Athletic playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [draw 18/ 44] [40.91%] [2*]
› Grays Athletic playing in midweek at away the last 3 seasons. [draw 10/ 20] [50.00%] [3*]
› Grays Athletic after conceeding 2 or more in their last 2 awaymatches the last 3 seasons. [draw 3/ 8] [37.50%] [1*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 16 Stars: 19)

› Hayes & Yeading playing against defensively poor awayteams the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Hayes & Yeading playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Hayes & Yeading playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [over 18/ 30] [60.00%] [1*]
› Hayes & Yeading playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [over 9/ 15] [60.00%] [1*]
› Hayes & Yeading playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 18/ 30] [60.00%] [1*]
› Hayes & Yeading playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 9/ 15] [60.00%] [1*]
› Hayes & Yeading playing in midweek the current season. [over 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Hayes & Yeading playing in midweek at home the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Hayes & Yeading playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [over 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Hayes & Yeading playing in midweek at home the last 3 seasons. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Grays Athletic playing against poor teams the current season. [over 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]
› Grays Athletic playing against defensively poor teams the current season. [over 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Grays Athletic playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [over 18/ 30] [60.00%] [1*]
› Grays Athletic playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [over 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Grays Athletic after conceeding 2 or more in their last 4 or more matches the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Grays Athletic after conceeding 2 or more in their last 4 or more matches the last 3 seasons. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 6 Stars: 11)

› Grays Athletic playing in midweek the current season. [under 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Grays Athletic playing in February the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 8] [75.00%] [2*]
› Grays Athletic playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [under 27/ 44] [61.36%] [1*]
› Grays Athletic playing against poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 13/ 21] [61.90%] [1*]
› Grays Athletic playing against offensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 13/ 13] [100.00%] [4*]
› Grays Athletic after conceeding 2 or more in their last 2 awaymatches the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 8] [75.00%] [2*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Hayes & Yeading
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1361.7
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1353.0
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1285.7

› Current ELO Rating: 1253.7

Grays Athletic
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1247.5
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1199.4
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1125.4

› Current ELO Rating: 1071.1

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Hayes & Yeading 1485.0 1480.4 1459.6 1443.8 1438.1 1453.0 1432.9 1429.8 1422.5 1403.1 1386.5 1366.6 1342.0 1336.0 1312.4 1320.6 1335.1 1351.7 1359.8 1367.5 1361.7 1360.7 1339.9 1347.6 1353.0 1329.6 1309.1 1285.7 1260.0 1253.7
Grays Athletic 1498.9 1483.8 1494.4 1474.4 1473.1 1452.6 1444.8 1428.1 1409.7 1388.0 1380.9 1363.9 1372.3 1367.1 1343.4 1325.0 1317.8 1295.9 1269.9 1252.5 1247.5 1252.5 1227.0 1216.9 1199.4 1174.3 1154.0 1125.4 1099.6 1071.1

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Hayes & Yeading
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.87
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.82
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.70

› Current Power Rating: 9.57

Grays Athletic
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.45
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.42
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.22

› Current Power Rating: 9.07

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Hayes & Yeading 9.97 9.97 9.95 9.92 9.92 9.95 9.92 9.92 9.92 9.87 9.82 9.77 9.75 9.75 9.65 9.72 9.77 9.82 9.85 9.87 9.87 9.87 9.75 9.80 9.82 9.75 9.72 9.70 9.57 9.57
Grays Athletic 10.00 9.97 10.00 9.95 9.95 9.90 9.90 9.85 9.82 9.75 9.75 9.72 9.77 9.77 9.65 9.62 9.62 9.57 9.52 9.45 9.45 9.47 9.45 9.45 9.42 9.40 9.32 9.22 9.15 9.07

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.78 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: -6 (indicates awaywin)

› Weighted Form System: -12 (indicates awaywin)

› Goal Superiority System: 3 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 6 (indicates homewin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 9 (indicates homewin) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 6 (indicates homewin) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 45% (homewin) 35% (draw) 20% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.00 (indicates draw)

Stats for hometeam (Hayes & Yeading):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 30 8-8-14 40-57 32
› At home: 15 4-5-6 23-27 17

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 18-12
› At home: 9-6

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.33 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.53 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.90 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.80 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WLLLLD 1-1-4
› Home: WDWWLL 3-1-2

ELO Rating: 1253.7

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 away Histon 3-3 draw over
Jan 30 2010 home Rushden & Diamonds 1-6 lost over
Jan 26 2010 home Forest Green 2-3 lost over
Jan 23 2010 away Altrincham 2-3 lost over
Jan 16 2010 away York 1-4 lost over
Jan 01 2010 home AFC Wimbledon 1-0 won under
Dec 28 2009 home Ebbsfleet United 4-2 won over
Dec 26 2009 away AFC Wimbledon 0-5 lost over
Dec 05 2009 away Barrow 1-1 draw under
Dec 01 2009 home Eastbourne Borough 1-1 draw under

Summary: 2-3-5 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 4.40 Median score: 5.00 Goals: 16-28

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Jan 30 2010 home Rushden & Diamonds 1-6 lost over
Jan 26 2010 home Forest Green 2-3 lost over
Jan 01 2010 home AFC Wimbledon 1-0 won under
Dec 28 2009 home Ebbsfleet United 4-2 won over
Dec 01 2009 home Eastbourne Borough 1-1 draw under
Nov 21 2009 home Crawley 2-1 won over
Oct 17 2009 home Cambridge United 3-0 won over
Oct 03 2009 home Chester 0-0 draw under
Sep 29 2009 home Kettering 1-2 lost over
Sep 19 2009 home Histon 0-2 lost under

Summary: 4-2-4 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 3.20 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 15-17

Stats for awayteam (Grays Athletic):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 30 3-8-19 27-64 17
› At away: 14 0-5-9 13-31 5

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 18-12
› At away: 9-5

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.90 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.93 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 2.13 goals per match
› At away: allowing 2.21 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LLLLLL 0-0-6
› Away: LLDDLL 0-2-4

ELO Rating: 1071.1

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 home Rushden & Diamonds 0-3 lost over
Jan 26 2010 away Kidderminster 1-4 lost over
Jan 23 2010 home Oxford United 0-4 lost over
Jan 01 2010 home Ebbsfleet United 0-3 lost over
Dec 28 2009 home Crawley 2-3 lost over
Dec 26 2009 away Ebbsfleet United 1-2 lost over
Dec 05 2009 away Mansfield 0-0 draw under
Dec 01 2009 home Histon 0-1 lost under
Nov 28 2009 home Tamworth 1-0 won under
Nov 24 2009 away Barrow 2-2 draw over

Summary: 1-2-7 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 2.90 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 7-22

Last 10 Matches Away:

Jan 26 2010 away Kidderminster 1-4 lost over
Dec 26 2009 away Ebbsfleet United 1-2 lost over
Dec 05 2009 away Mansfield 0-0 draw under
Nov 24 2009 away Barrow 2-2 draw over
Nov 21 2009 away Gateshead 0-3 lost over
Oct 17 2009 away Wrexham 1-2 lost over
Oct 10 2009 away Oxford United 0-5 lost over
Sep 26 2009 away Forest Green 1-2 lost over
Sep 22 2009 away Stevenage 1-1 draw under
Sep 12 2009 away Rushden & Diamonds 4-5 lost over

Summary: 0-3-7 O-U: 8-2 Avg. score: 3.70 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 11-26

History:

Overall History

No previous history registered for these teams.

Home - Away History

No previous history registered for these teams.