Index : Luton vs Oxford United

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 1     › Users favouring over 2.5: 1
› Users favouring awaywin: 1     › Users favouring under 2.5: 1
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Luton - Oxford United (2 - 1):

Conference (England)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Luton) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Oxford United) (Trends: 5 Stars: 7)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 5 Stars: 9)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 2 Stars: 3)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 16 Stars: 19)

› Luton home: 6-3-4 21-14
› Luton form: 4-1-1 10-4
› Home form: 1-2-3 9-10

› Oxford United away: 8-4-2 22-13
› Oxford United form: 3-2-1 11-5
› Away form: 3-2-1 10-6

News:

Luton

2010-08-31 U's boss swoops for Craddock

Oxford United boss Chris Wilder has completed the signing of striker Tom Craddock from Luton Town for an undisclosed fee.

2010-08-23 Her punkterer lillebror Abdellaoue kampen!

ULLEVAAL (VG Nett) (Vålerenga - Sandefjord 3-0) To scoringer av Luton Shelton (24), og ett av Moas lillebror Mos (22) sørget for at ingen savner Moa i Vålerenga. Foreløpig.

2010-08-17 Kettering 1-3 Luton

Matthew Barnes-Homer scores a hat-trick as Luton overcome nine-man Kettering to go top of Blue Square Bet Premier.

2010-08-17 Five sought over Luton crowd trouble

Five men are still being sought by police on suspicion of being involved in crowd trouble at a Luton Town football match.

Oxford United

2010-08-31 U's boss swoops for Craddock

Oxford United boss Chris Wilder has completed the signing of striker Tom Craddock from Luton Town for an undisclosed fee.

2010-08-31 Payne joins Us on loan

Oxford United have secured the loan signing of Doncaster midfielder Josh Payne on a one-month deal.

2010-08-14 Lowe seals Shakers victory

Ryan Lowe was Bury's hero as he grabbed the winner for the Shakers to set up a 2-1 win over Oxford United at the Kassam Stadium.

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Luton: Uptrend
Form: 4-1-1 (13 points, 2.17 avg)
Last 30 matches: 14-8-8 (50 points, 1.67 avg)

› Oxford United: Neutral
Form: 3-2-1 (11 points, 1.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 20-6-4 (66 points, 2.20 avg)

Home/Away

› Luton: Downtrend
Home form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 6-4-5 (22 points, 1.47 avg)

› Oxford United: Neutral
Away form: 3-2-1 (11 points, 1.83 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 9-4-2 (31 points, 2.07 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Oxford United 13 10 2 1 28 6 32 14 8 4 2 22 13 28 27 18 6 3 50 19 60
2 York 15 11 4 0 30 11 37 14 6 4 4 14 13 22 29 17 8 4 44 24 59
3 Stevenage 15 10 5 0 32 9 35 13 6 4 3 16 11 22 28 16 9 3 48 20 57
4 Mansfield 14 8 4 2 27 11 28 16 7 1 8 21 25 22 30 15 5 10 48 36 50
5 Rushden & Diamonds 14 8 2 4 24 18 26 14 6 5 3 26 11 23 28 14 7 7 50 29 49
6 Luton 13 6 3 4 21 14 21 14 8 4 2 16 11 28 27 14 7 6 37 25 49
7 Kettering 14 4 5 5 17 13 17 15 10 1 4 18 12 31 29 14 6 9 35 25 48
8 AFC Wimbledon 14 7 3 4 25 7 24 14 6 4 4 22 17 22 28 13 7 8 47 24 46
9 Kidderminster 13 9 1 3 23 10 28 15 3 6 6 16 19 15 28 12 7 9 39 29 43
10 Crawley 15 8 3 4 23 18 27 14 4 3 7 11 20 15 29 12 6 11 34 38 42
11 Altrincham 14 4 5 5 19 17 17 13 7 3 3 17 10 24 27 11 8 8 36 27 41
12 Salisbury City 13 5 4 4 15 11 19 15 7 0 8 17 29 21 28 12 4 12 32 40 40
13 Tamworth 15 6 4 5 18 18 22 14 3 7 4 12 13 16 29 9 11 9 30 31 38
14 Wrexham 14 7 3 4 17 11 24 13 3 4 6 11 14 13 27 10 7 10 28 25 37
15 Histon 15 5 7 3 20 16 22 13 4 2 7 14 21 14 28 9 9 10 34 37 36
16 Cambridge United 15 6 2 7 25 16 20 14 2 7 5 17 23 13 29 8 9 12 42 39 33
17 Hayes & Yeading 15 4 5 6 23 27 17 15 4 3 8 17 30 15 30 8 8 14 40 57 32
18 Ebbsfleet United 16 4 4 8 17 23 16 16 4 2 10 15 33 14 32 8 6 18 32 56 30
19 Eastbourne Borough 14 4 5 5 16 17 17 15 2 6 7 11 26 12 29 6 11 12 27 43 29
20 Barrow 14 3 8 3 17 21 17 12 3 2 7 11 20 11 26 6 10 10 28 41 28
21 Forest Green 15 4 4 7 13 20 16 15 2 4 9 16 35 10 30 6 8 16 29 55 26
22 Gateshead 13 4 2 7 13 16 14 15 3 2 10 19 30 11 28 7 4 17 32 46 25
23 Chester 13 3 1 9 13 19 10 15 2 6 7 10 23 12 28 5 7 16 23 42 22
24 Grays Athletic 16 3 3 10 14 33 12 14 0 5 9 13 31 5 30 3 8 19 27 64 17

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 33% (value odds 3.06)

› Awaywin: 37% (value odds 2.70)

› Draw: 30% (value odds 3.31)

› Over: 32% (value odds 3.15)

› Under: 68% (value odds 1.47)

Expected Score:

› Luton: 1.26

› Oxford United: 1.29

› Total: 2.55


› Over: 51%

› Under: 49%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Luton) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring homewin.

Trends favouring awaywin (Oxford United) (Trends: 5 Stars: 7)

› Luton playing against teams with good form the last 6 matches the current season. [lost 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Oxford United playing against teams with good form the last 6 matches the current season. [won 7/ 8] [87.50%] [3*]
› Oxford United playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [won 18/ 27] [66.67%] [1*]
› Oxford United playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [won 14/ 23] [60.87%] [1*]
› Oxford United playing in February the last 3 seasons. [won 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 5 Stars: 9)

› Luton playing against offensively good teams the current season. [draw 3/ 8] [37.50%] [1*]
› Luton playing against offensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 11] [45.45%] [3*]
› Luton playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [draw 14/ 34] [41.18%] [2*]
› Luton after losing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 14] [35.71%] [1*]
› Oxford United after winning in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 15] [40.00%] [2*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 2 Stars: 3)

› Luton after losing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [over 10/ 14] [71.43%] [2*]
› Oxford United playing against teams with good form the last 6 matches the current season. [over 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 16 Stars: 19)

› Luton playing against good teams the current season. [under 8/ 11] [72.73%] [2*]
› Luton playing against good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 13/ 20] [65.00%] [1*]
› Luton playing against defensively good teams the current season. [under 8/ 11] [72.73%] [2*]
› Luton playing against offensively good teams the current season. [under 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Luton playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [under 19/ 28] [67.86%] [1*]
› Luton playing against teams with good form the last 6 matches the current season. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Luton playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 17/ 27] [62.96%] [1*]
› Luton playing in midweek the current season. [under 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Luton playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [under 21/ 34] [61.76%] [1*]
› Luton playing in midweek at home the last 3 seasons. [under 11/ 18] [61.11%] [1*]
› Oxford United playing against defensively good teams the current season. [under 8/ 11] [72.73%] [2*]
› Oxford United playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [under 19/ 31] [61.29%] [1*]
› Oxford United playing against offensively average teams the current season. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Oxford United playing against offensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 15/ 22] [68.18%] [1*]
› Oxford United playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [under 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Oxford United playing against average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 9/ 13] [69.23%] [1*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Luton
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1523.7
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1499.6
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1531.8

› Current ELO Rating: 1512.2

Oxford United
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1609.5
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1604.5
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1572.6

› Current ELO Rating: 1568.5

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
Luton 1500.0 1517.5 1526.9 1538.6 1531.7 1531.1 1547.8 1545.4 1529.3 1537.1 1518.5 1532.6 1512.7 1523.1 1537.2 1550.2 1545.1 1523.7 1533.2 1526.9 1507.5 1499.6 1508.0 1513.7 1531.8 1503.3 1512.2
Oxford United 1510.8 1510.6 1525.2 1542.2 1551.9 1565.8 1555.8 1570.8 1585.5 1596.5 1608.1 1588.5 1595.8 1606.7 1598.6 1606.4 1603.2 1609.5 1588.9 1593.6 1597.2 1604.5 1606.7 1598.8 1572.6 1577.3 1568.5

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Luton
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.12
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.15
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.30

› Current Power Rating: 10.30

Oxford United
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.63
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.65
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.68

› Current Power Rating: 10.78

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
Luton 10.00 10.07 10.10 10.12 10.12 10.12 10.20 10.20 10.15 10.17 10.10 10.12 10.10 10.12 10.15 10.18 10.18 10.12 10.18 10.18 10.15 10.15 10.22 10.25 10.30 10.28 10.30
Oxford United 10.03 10.03 10.05 10.15 10.18 10.20 10.20 10.25 10.30 10.33 10.43 10.40 10.43 10.48 10.48 10.60 10.60 10.63 10.58 10.60 10.63 10.65 10.70 10.70 10.68 10.78 10.78

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: -0.38 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: 10 (indicates homewin)

› Weighted Form System: 25 (indicates homewin)

› Goal Superiority System: -2 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 0 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: -1 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: -1 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 30% (homewin) 26% (draw) 44% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: -0.17 (indicates draw)

Stats for hometeam (Luton):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 27 14-7-6 37-25 49
› At home: 13 6-3-4 21-14 21

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 10-17
› At home: 7-6

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.37 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.62 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 0.93 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.08 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DWWWLW 4-1-1
› Home: DLDLWL 1-2-3

ELO Rating: 1512.2

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 away Barrow 1-0 won under
Jan 30 2010 home Ebbsfleet United 2-3 lost over
Jan 27 2010 away Histon 2-0 won under
Jan 23 2010 away Gateshead 1-0 won under
Dec 28 2009 home Eastbourne Borough 4-1 won over
Dec 05 2009 away Chester 0-0 draw under
Dec 02 2009 home Kettering 0-1 lost under
Nov 21 2009 home Cambridge United 2-2 draw over
Nov 14 2009 away Grays Athletic 2-0 won under
Oct 31 2009 home Rushden & Diamonds 0-2 lost under

Summary: 5-2-3 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 2.30 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 14-9

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Jan 30 2010 home Ebbsfleet United 2-3 lost over
Dec 28 2009 home Eastbourne Borough 4-1 won over
Dec 02 2009 home Kettering 0-1 lost under
Nov 21 2009 home Cambridge United 2-2 draw over
Oct 31 2009 home Rushden & Diamonds 0-2 lost under
Oct 20 2009 home York 1-1 draw under
Oct 03 2009 home Tamworth 2-1 won over
Sep 29 2009 home Stevenage 0-1 lost under
Sep 12 2009 home Barrow 1-0 won under
Sep 01 2009 home Crawley 3-0 won over

Summary: 4-2-4 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.70 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 15-12

Stats for awayteam (Oxford United):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 27 18-6-3 50-19 60
› At away: 14 8-4-2 22-13 28

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 12-15
› At away: 5-9

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.85 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.57 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 0.70 goals per match
› At away: allowing 0.93 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WWDLWD 3-2-1
› Away: DLWWDW 3-2-1

ELO Rating: 1568.5

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 home Kidderminster 0-0 draw under
Jan 23 2010 away Grays Athletic 4-0 won over
Jan 16 2010 home Tamworth 0-1 lost under
Dec 28 2009 away Salisbury City 1-1 draw under
Dec 05 2009 home Ebbsfleet United 4-2 won over
Dec 01 2009 away Crawley 2-1 won over
Nov 24 2009 away Forest Green 1-0 won under
Nov 21 2009 home Barrow 1-0 won under
Nov 14 2009 away Kidderminster 1-3 lost over
Oct 31 2009 home Altrincham 1-0 won under

Summary: 6-2-2 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.30 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 15-8

Last 10 Matches Away:

Jan 23 2010 away Grays Athletic 4-0 won over
Dec 28 2009 away Salisbury City 1-1 draw under
Dec 01 2009 away Crawley 2-1 won over
Nov 24 2009 away Forest Green 1-0 won under
Nov 14 2009 away Kidderminster 1-3 lost over
Oct 17 2009 away York 1-1 draw under
Oct 03 2009 away Barrow 1-1 draw under
Sep 26 2009 away Gateshead 1-0 won under
Sep 22 2009 away Mansfield 1-2 lost over
Sep 12 2009 away Wrexham 1-0 won under

Summary: 5-3-2 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.30 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 14-9

History:

Overall History

Oct 23 1993 Oxford United - Luton 0-1 awaywin under
Feb 05 1994 Luton - Oxford United 3-0 homewin over
Sep 25 1999 Luton - Oxford United 4-2 homewin over
Oct 23 1999 Oxford United - Luton 0-1 awaywin under
Oct 17 2000 Oxford United - Luton 0-0 draw under
Apr 10 2001 Luton - Oxford United 1-1 draw under
Sep 08 2001 Luton - Oxford United 1-1 draw under
Dec 26 2001 Oxford United - Luton 1-2 awaywin over
Sep 08 2009 Oxford United - Luton 2-0 homewin under

Summary (overall): 3-3-3 O-U: 3-6 Avg. score: 2.22 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 1-0-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00

Trend: Luton is 5-3-1

Trend 3 years: Oxford United is 1-0-0

Home - Away History

Feb 05 1994 Luton - Oxford United 3-0 homewin over
Sep 25 1999 Luton - Oxford United 4-2 homewin over
Apr 10 2001 Luton - Oxford United 1-1 draw under
Sep 08 2001 Luton - Oxford United 1-1 draw under

Summary (overall): 2-2-0 O-U: 2-2 Avg. score: 3.25 Median score: 2.50

Summary (3 years): 0-0-0 O-U: 0-0 Avg. score: 0 Median score: 0.00

Trend: Luton is 2-2-0

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.