Index : Bournemouth vs Notts County

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

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Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Bournemouth - Notts County (2 - 1):

League Two (England)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Bournemouth) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Notts County) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 10 Stars: 18)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 6 Stars: 10)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 10 Stars: 19)

› Bournemouth home: 8-2-4 15-13
› Bournemouth form: 2-1-3 7-8
› Home form: 2-2-2 4-5

› Notts County away: 5-3-4 21-12
› Notts County form: 5-0-1 14-3
› Away form: 3-2-1 11-6

News:

Bournemouth

2010-09-09 Howe rejects Saints boss job

Bournemouth chairman Eddie Mitchell says that Cherries manager Eddie Howe has turned down the chance to take over at south coast neighbours Southampton.

2010-09-08 Pearce quashes Boro talk

Bournemouth captain Jason Pearce has played down speculation linking him with a move to Middlesbrough.

2010-09-06 Pearce hopes Howe stays put

Bournemouth captain Jason Pearce is not surprised to see Eddie Howe linked with the manager's job at Southampton.

2010-09-05 Howe happy to claim point

Bournemouth boss Eddie Howe felt his side stuck to their principles to fight back and draw 2-2 at Huddersfield.

2010-09-05 Clark calls for consistency

Huddersfield manager Lee Clark branded his side "Jekyll and Hyde" following the 2-2 draw with Bournemouth.

2010-09-04 Pugh earns point for Cherries

Marc Pugh scored 11 minutes from time to earn Bournemouth a 2-2 draw against Huddersfield Town at the Galpharm Stadium.

2010-09-01 Clark ready for Cherries clash

Lee Clark says Huddersfield have the strength to fulfil Saturday's clash with Bournemouth despite having three players away.

2010-09-01 Gulls boss hails his players

Torquay boss Paul Buckle felt his side got their rewards for practising penalties as they knocked Bournemouth out of the JPT.

2010-08-29 Howe: We were below par

Eddie Howe was upset with the way Bournemouth spurned a three-goal lead in the 3-3 draw with Notts County.

2010-08-29 Short admits County fortune

Notts County boss Craig Short admitted his team were fortunate to claim a point at Bournemouth in the 3-3 draw.

Notts County

2010-09-06 Short pleased with Davies stay

Notts County manager Craig Short says he is grateful star man Ben Davies is still at the club.

2010-09-06 Town boss to shake things up

Yeovil boss Terry Skiverton has apologised to Town's fans after the 4-0 defeat to Notts County and vowed to shake up the team.

2010-09-06 Short plays down striker move

Notts County boss Craig Short has dismissed reports linking the League One club with a move for Darius Vassell.

2010-09-05 Short rejects Vassell link

Notts County boss Craig Short has dismissed reports linking the club with a move for Darius Vassell.

2010-09-05 Short happy with Magpies

Notts County manager Craig Short was pleased to celebrate Meadow Lane's centenary with a 4-0 win over Yeovil.

2010-09-04 Davies double seals County win

Ben Davies scored a first-half brace as Notts County ran out comfortable 4-0 winners over Yeovil at Meadow Lane.

2010-09-04 League One round-up

Peterborough suffered defeat, Carlisle edged into second while Notts County were emphatic winners.

2010-09-02 Short praises Blues duo

Craig Short insists Birmingham duo Jake Jervis and Luke Hubbins have a big part to play for Notts County.

2010-09-02 Irvine pleased with Owls

Alan Irvine was delighted with the football Sheffield Wednesday played in their 2-1 JPT win over Notts County.

2010-08-31 County bring in Rovers midfielder

Notts County manager Craig Short has signed midfielder Alan Judge from Blackburn Rovers on a loan deal until January.

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Bournemouth: Downtrend
Form: 2-1-3 (7 points, 1.17 avg)
Last 30 matches: 17-5-8 (56 points, 1.87 avg)

› Notts County: Uptrend
Form: 5-0-1 (15 points, 2.50 avg)
Last 30 matches: 13-7-10 (46 points, 1.53 avg)

Home/Away

› Bournemouth: Downtrend
Home form: 2-2-2 (8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 9-2-4 (29 points, 1.93 avg)

› Notts County: Uptrend
Away form: 3-2-1 (11 points, 1.83 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 6-3-6 (21 points, 1.40 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Rochdale 13 10 0 3 30 11 30 15 8 4 3 30 15 28 28 18 4 6 60 26 58
2 Bournemouth 14 8 2 4 15 13 26 15 8 3 4 20 17 27 29 16 5 8 35 30 53
3 Bury 13 7 2 4 17 15 23 15 8 4 3 22 20 28 28 15 6 7 39 35 51
4 Shrewsbury 14 6 5 3 21 12 23 15 6 4 5 19 22 22 29 12 9 8 40 34 45
5 Chesterfield 14 11 1 2 29 14 34 12 3 1 8 11 20 10 26 14 2 10 40 34 44
6 Notts County 12 7 4 1 29 9 25 12 5 3 4 21 12 18 24 12 7 5 50 21 43
7 Rotherham 13 6 5 2 18 11 23 12 6 1 5 19 18 19 25 12 6 7 37 29 42
8 Aldershot 14 8 5 1 30 14 29 12 3 3 6 12 20 12 26 11 8 7 42 34 41
9 Dagenham & Redbridge 14 8 2 4 29 18 26 12 3 5 4 10 14 14 26 11 7 8 39 32 40
10 Burton 15 8 3 4 25 18 27 13 3 4 6 17 23 13 28 11 7 10 42 41 40
11 Accrington 11 6 0 5 22 20 18 13 6 3 4 17 15 21 24 12 3 9 39 35 39
12 Morecambe 13 6 4 3 25 15 22 13 3 5 5 19 24 14 26 9 9 8 44 39 36
13 Port Vale 13 4 6 3 17 12 18 13 4 6 3 13 14 18 26 8 12 6 30 26 36
14 Northampton 13 4 6 3 16 15 18 14 5 3 6 21 21 18 27 9 9 9 37 36 36
15 Crewe 14 4 3 7 20 21 15 15 6 2 7 24 26 20 29 10 5 14 44 47 35
16 Bradford 14 3 5 6 15 20 14 13 5 4 4 22 23 19 27 8 9 10 37 43 33
17 Hereford 13 7 4 2 18 13 25 14 1 4 9 12 23 7 27 8 8 11 30 36 32
18 Barnet 14 6 6 2 21 9 24 12 2 1 9 7 24 7 26 8 7 11 28 33 31
19 Lincoln 13 5 3 5 12 15 18 14 3 1 10 8 21 10 27 8 4 15 20 36 28
20 Macclesfield 14 4 4 6 18 21 16 11 2 5 4 8 15 11 25 6 9 10 26 36 27
21 Torquay 14 5 3 6 20 16 18 14 1 5 8 16 25 8 28 6 8 14 36 41 26
22 Cheltenham 12 2 4 6 19 25 10 15 3 7 5 10 18 16 27 5 11 11 29 43 26
23 Grimsby 15 1 6 8 11 24 9 13 2 5 6 9 18 11 28 3 11 14 20 42 20
24 Darlington 11 3 1 7 6 14 10 13 1 1 11 8 35 4 24 4 2 18 14 49 14

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 31% (value odds 3.18)

› Awaywin: 33% (value odds 3.06)

› Draw: 36% (value odds 2.79)

› Over: 40% (value odds 2.53)

› Under: 60% (value odds 1.65)

Expected Score:

› Bournemouth: 0.93

› Notts County: 1.59

› Total: 2.52


› Over: 50%

› Under: 50%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Bournemouth) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring homewin.

Trends favouring awaywin (Notts County) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Notts County playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [won 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 10 Stars: 18)

› Notts County playing against good teams the current season. [draw 4/ 8] [50.00%] [3*]
› Notts County playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 15] [40.00%] [2*]
› Notts County playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 3/ 8] [37.50%] [1*]
› Notts County playing against defensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 8/ 22] [36.36%] [1*]
› Notts County playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 15/ 41] [36.59%] [1*]
› Notts County playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 18] [38.89%] [1*]
› Notts County playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 38/ 108] [35.19%] [1*]
› Notts County playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 24/ 54] [44.44%] [2*]
› Notts County playing in midweek at away the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 14] [50.00%] [3*]
› Notts County playing 2 awaymatches in a row the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 13] [46.15%] [3*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 6 Stars: 10)

› Notts County playing against good teams the current season. [over 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Notts County playing against good hometeams the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Notts County playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 10/ 15] [66.67%] [1*]
› Notts County playing against defensively average hometeams the current season. [over 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Notts County playing against hometeams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [over 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Notts County playing 2 awaymatches in a row the last 3 seasons. [over 8/ 13] [61.54%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 10 Stars: 19)

› Bournemouth playing against offensively good awayteams the current season. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Bournemouth playing against teams with good form the last 6 matches the current season. [under 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Bournemouth playing against good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 12/ 20] [60.00%] [1*]
› Bournemouth playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 35/ 57] [61.40%] [1*]
› Bournemouth playing in February the last 3 seasons. [under 8/ 12] [66.67%] [1*]
› Bournemouth playing in February at home the last 3 seasons. [under 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Bournemouth playing 2 homematches in a row the last 3 seasons. [under 10/ 13] [76.92%] [2*]
› Notts County playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 14/ 18] [77.78%] [2*]
› Notts County playing in February the last 3 seasons. [under 8/ 10] [80.00%] [3*]
› Notts County after playing under 2 matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [under 9/ 9] [100.00%] [4*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Bournemouth
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1545.5
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1518.3
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1493.9

› Current ELO Rating: 1504.1

Notts County
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1548.5
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1528.9
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1543.0

› Current ELO Rating: 1554.3

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
Bournemouth 1526.2 1536.4 1545.9 1529.1 1539.9 1552.6 1565.5 1577.3 1585.0 1563.8 1559.5 1537.6 1549.7 1556.8 1536.4 1533.8 1543.7 1539.2 1536.1 1545.5 1529.0 1537.1 1542.6 1518.3 1498.1 1482.6 1493.9 1514.8 1504.1
Notts County 1521.6 1548.0 1530.7 1548.2 1531.5 1526.7 1542.7 1524.6 1538.4 1557.5 1553.6 1544.2 1544.2 1554.0 1548.5 1546.2 1539.6 1524.4 1528.9 1545.2 1522.9 1543.0 1551.1 1554.3

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Bournemouth
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.23
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.10
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.08

› Current Power Rating: 10.13

Notts County
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.47
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.55
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.65

› Current Power Rating: 10.72

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
Bournemouth 10.07 10.10 10.12 10.07 10.10 10.12 10.18 10.23 10.25 10.23 10.23 10.20 10.23 10.28 10.18 10.18 10.20 10.20 10.20 10.23 10.10 10.13 10.15 10.10 10.08 10.05 10.08 10.13 10.13
Notts County 10.12 10.22 10.20 10.27 10.25 10.25 10.32 10.30 10.35 10.42 10.42 10.42 10.42 10.47 10.47 10.47 10.47 10.45 10.55 10.60 10.57 10.65 10.70 10.72

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.36 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: -3 (indicates awaywin)

› Weighted Form System: -11 (indicates awaywin)

› Goal Superiority System: -13 (indicates awaywin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: -12 (indicates awaywin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: -8 (indicates awaywin) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: -7 (indicates awaywin) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 45% (homewin) 20% (draw) 35% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.83 (indicates awaywin)

Stats for hometeam (Bournemouth):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 29 16-5-8 35-30 53
› At home: 14 8-2-4 15-13 26

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 14-15
› At home: 6-8

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.21 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.07 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.03 goals per match
› At home: allowing 0.93 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LLLWWD 2-1-3
› Home: DWWLLD 2-2-2

ELO Rating: 1504.1

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 home Cheltenham 0-0 draw under
Feb 02 2010 away Rotherham 3-1 won over
Jan 30 2010 away Crewe 2-1 won over
Jan 23 2010 away Aldershot 1-2 lost over
Jan 16 2010 home Bury 1-2 lost over
Jan 02 2010 home Northampton 0-2 lost under
Dec 28 2009 home Torquay 2-1 won over
Dec 26 2009 away Cheltenham 1-0 won under
Dec 12 2009 away Morecambe 0-5 lost over
Dec 05 2009 home Shrewsbury 1-0 won under

Summary: 5-1-4 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 11-14

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Feb 06 2010 home Cheltenham 0-0 draw under
Jan 16 2010 home Bury 1-2 lost over
Jan 02 2010 home Northampton 0-2 lost under
Dec 28 2009 home Torquay 2-1 won over
Dec 05 2009 home Shrewsbury 1-0 won under
Nov 24 2009 home Dagenham & Redbridge 0-0 draw under
Oct 31 2009 home Rochdale 0-4 lost over
Oct 24 2009 home Grimsby 3-1 won over
Oct 10 2009 home Chesterfield 1-2 lost over
Sep 26 2009 home Burton 1-0 won under

Summary: 4-2-4 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.10 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 9-12

Stats for awayteam (Notts County):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 24 12-7-5 50-21 43
› At away: 12 5-3-4 21-12 18

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 14-10
› At away: 7-5

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 2.08 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.75 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 0.88 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.00 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WWLWWW 5-0-1
› Away: DDLWWW 3-2-1

ELO Rating: 1554.3

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 away Grimsby 1-0 won under
Jan 30 2010 home Barnet 2-0 won under
Dec 28 2009 away Burton 4-1 won over
Dec 12 2009 home Accrington 1-2 lost over
Dec 05 2009 away Hereford 2-0 won under
Dec 01 2009 home Darlington 4-0 won over
Nov 24 2009 away Rochdale 1-2 lost over
Nov 21 2009 home Aldershot 0-0 draw under
Nov 14 2009 away Bury 3-3 draw over
Oct 31 2009 home Shrewsbury 1-1 draw under

Summary: 5-3-2 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.80 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 19-9

Last 10 Matches Away:

Feb 06 2010 away Grimsby 1-0 won under
Dec 28 2009 away Burton 4-1 won over
Dec 05 2009 away Hereford 2-0 won under
Nov 24 2009 away Rochdale 1-2 lost over
Nov 14 2009 away Bury 3-3 draw over
Oct 17 2009 away Rotherham 0-0 draw under
Oct 03 2009 away Cheltenham 1-1 draw under
Sep 29 2009 away Lincoln 3-0 won over
Sep 19 2009 away Morecambe 1-2 lost over
Aug 29 2009 away Barnet 0-1 lost under

Summary: 4-3-3 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 16-10

History:

Overall History

Sep 09 1995 Notts County - Bournemouth 2-0 homewin under
Feb 27 1996 Bournemouth - Notts County 0-2 awaywin under
Sep 21 1996 Bournemouth - Notts County 0-1 awaywin under
Feb 04 1997 Notts County - Bournemouth 0-2 awaywin under
Aug 15 1998 Notts County - Bournemouth 1-2 awaywin over
Jan 16 1999 Bournemouth - Notts County 2-0 homewin under
Dec 11 1999 Notts County - Bournemouth 5-1 homewin over
Jan 08 2000 Bournemouth - Notts County 1-1 draw under
Oct 24 2000 Bournemouth - Notts County 0-1 awaywin under
Apr 14 2001 Notts County - Bournemouth 0-2 awaywin under
Oct 27 2001 Bournemouth - Notts County 4-2 homewin over
Mar 30 2002 Notts County - Bournemouth 2-0 homewin under
Oct 11 2003 Notts County - Bournemouth 0-1 awaywin under
Feb 14 2004 Bournemouth - Notts County 1-0 homewin under
Sep 06 2008 Notts County - Bournemouth 1-1 draw under
Mar 21 2009 Bournemouth - Notts County 0-1 awaywin under

Summary (overall): 6-2-8 O-U: 3-13 Avg. score: 2.25 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 0-1-1 O-U: 0-2 Avg. score: 1.50 Median score: 1.50

Trend: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Trend 3 years: Notts County is 1-1-0

Home - Away History

Feb 27 1996 Bournemouth - Notts County 0-2 awaywin under
Sep 21 1996 Bournemouth - Notts County 0-1 awaywin under
Jan 16 1999 Bournemouth - Notts County 2-0 homewin under
Jan 08 2000 Bournemouth - Notts County 1-1 draw under
Oct 24 2000 Bournemouth - Notts County 0-1 awaywin under
Oct 27 2001 Bournemouth - Notts County 4-2 homewin over
Feb 14 2004 Bournemouth - Notts County 1-0 homewin under
Mar 21 2009 Bournemouth - Notts County 0-1 awaywin under

Summary (overall): 3-1-4 O-U: 1-7 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 1.50

Summary (3 years): 0-0-1 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 1.00 Median score: 1.00

Trend: Notts County is 4-1-3

Trend 3 years: Notts County is 1-0-0