Index : Hereford vs Darlington

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Hereford - Darlington (2 - 1):

League Two (England)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Hereford) (Trends: 6 Stars: 16)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Darlington) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 4 Stars: 9)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 11 Stars: 21)

› Hereford home: 3-3-1 10-8
› Hereford form: 2-2-2 6-8
› Home form: 3-2-1 9-7

› Darlington away: 0-1-6 3-15
› Darlington form: 1-1-4 3-10
› Away form: 0-1-5 2-12

News:

Hereford

2010-08-31 Bulls boss makes double swoop

Hereford United manager Simon Davey has swooped to complete the double signing of Amadou Rabihou and Dominic Werling.

2010-08-29 Moore lauds Millers spirit

Manager Ronnie Moore was pleased with Rotherham after they withstood heavy pressure to beat Hereford 1-0.

2010-08-28 Bad Bulls beaten by Millers

Hereford were made to pay for their wastefulness in front of goal as Rotherham claimed a 1-0 victory at Edgar Street.

2010-08-24 Sheridan wants consistency

Chesterfield boss John Sheridan wants consistency from his side following Saturday's 4-0 win over Hereford.

2010-08-22 Sheridan happy with Spireites

Chesterfield boss John Sheridan praised his team's performance and also the referee after beating Hereford 4-0.

2010-08-21 Bulls downed by Whitaker

Midfielder Danny Whitaker bagged a hat-trick as Chesterfield ripped Hereford apart 4-0 at the b2net Stadium.

2010-08-18 Tribunal settles Pugh fee

A tribunal has decided that Hereford should receive £60,000 for Marc Pugh following his summer move to Bournemouth.

2010-08-14 Spoils shared at Edgar Street

Hereford and Gillingham could not be separated after an entertaining battle which ended goalless at Edgar Street.

2010-08-07 Davey urges Bulls caution

Hereford manager Simon Davey urged caution after his hastily-assembled side claimed a 1-0 win at Crewe.

2010-08-07 Kovacs goal enough for Bulls

Janos Kovacs scored on his Hereford United debut as Simon Davey's new-look side claimed a 1-0 win at Crewe Alexandra.

Darlington

2010-09-01 Shakers look at trialists

Darlington striker Curtis Main has been named in Bury's line-up to face Retford United in a friendly on Wednesday evening.

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Hereford: Uptrend
Form: 2-2-2 (8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 30 matches: 5-7-18 (22 points, 0.73 avg)

› Darlington: Neutral
Form: 1-1-4 (4 points, 0.67 avg)
Last 30 matches: 7-5-18 (26 points, 0.87 avg)

Home/Away

› Hereford: Uptrend
Home form: 3-2-1 (11 points, 1.83 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 4-3-8 (15 points, 1.00 avg)

› Darlington: Downtrend
Away form: 0-1-5 (1 points, 0.17 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 4-2-9 (14 points, 0.93 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Bournemouth 7 6 0 1 11 4 18 7 4 1 2 9 5 13 14 10 1 3 20 9 31
2 Dagenham & Redbridge 7 6 1 0 20 6 19 7 2 3 2 7 10 9 14 8 4 2 27 16 28
3 Rochdale 7 5 0 2 13 6 15 7 3 2 2 11 8 11 14 8 2 4 24 14 26
4 Notts County 7 5 2 0 21 6 17 7 2 2 3 10 6 8 14 7 4 3 31 12 25
5 Rotherham 7 4 3 0 10 3 15 7 3 1 3 11 11 10 14 7 4 3 21 14 25
6 Barnet 7 5 2 0 15 4 17 7 2 1 4 6 10 7 14 7 3 4 21 14 24
7 Shrewsbury 7 4 1 2 13 6 13 7 3 2 2 11 12 11 14 7 3 4 24 18 24
8 Chesterfield 7 6 1 0 17 7 19 7 1 1 5 5 13 4 14 7 2 5 22 20 23
9 Bury 7 2 1 4 6 10 7 7 5 1 1 12 9 16 14 7 2 5 18 19 23
10 Aldershot 7 4 2 1 19 10 14 7 2 1 4 6 9 7 14 6 3 5 25 19 21
11 Burton 7 4 1 2 12 8 13 7 2 2 3 9 12 8 14 6 3 5 21 20 21
12 Bradford 7 3 2 2 9 6 11 7 2 3 2 12 16 9 14 5 5 4 21 22 20
13 Port Vale 7 2 4 1 9 5 10 7 2 3 2 7 9 9 14 4 7 3 16 14 19
14 Accrington 7 4 0 3 13 11 12 7 2 1 4 7 10 7 14 6 1 7 20 21 19
15 Northampton 7 3 2 2 10 8 11 7 2 1 4 13 16 7 14 5 3 6 23 24 18
16 Macclesfield 7 2 2 3 8 12 8 7 2 2 3 6 10 8 14 4 4 6 14 22 16
17 Lincoln 7 3 1 3 5 7 10 7 2 0 5 4 10 6 14 5 1 8 9 17 16
18 Crewe 7 2 0 5 10 13 6 7 3 0 4 11 12 9 14 5 0 9 21 25 15
19 Hereford 7 3 3 1 10 8 12 7 0 3 4 6 12 3 14 3 6 5 16 20 15
20 Cheltenham 7 1 3 3 11 13 6 7 2 3 2 6 11 9 14 3 6 5 17 24 15
21 Morecambe 7 2 4 1 12 11 10 7 0 4 3 7 15 4 14 2 8 4 19 26 14
22 Torquay 7 1 3 3 7 9 6 7 1 2 4 9 13 5 14 2 5 7 16 22 11
23 Grimsby 7 1 1 5 5 13 4 7 2 0 5 7 15 6 14 3 1 10 12 28 10
24 Darlington 7 1 1 5 3 9 4 7 0 1 6 3 15 1 14 1 2 11 6 24 5

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 48% (value odds 2.06)

› Awaywin: 24% (value odds 4.24)

› Draw: 28% (value odds 3.58)

› Over: 30% (value odds 3.29)

› Under: 70% (value odds 1.44)

Expected Score:

› Hereford: 1.56

› Darlington: 0.85

› Total: 2.41


› Over: 48%

› Under: 52%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Hereford) (Trends: 6 Stars: 16)

› Darlington playing against defensively average teams the current season. [lost 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Darlington playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [lost 7/ 8] [87.50%] [3*]
› Darlington playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [lost 11/ 14] [78.57%] [2*]
› Darlington playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [lost 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Darlington playing in weekend the current season. [lost 9/ 12] [75.00%] [2*]
› Darlington playing in weekend at away the current season. [lost 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Darlington) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring awaywin.

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 4 Stars: 9)

› Hereford playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 6/ 14] [42.86%] [2*]
› Hereford playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Hereford playing in weekend the current season. [draw 6/ 12] [50.00%] [3*]
› Hereford playing in October the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 15] [40.00%] [2*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)

› Darlington playing against defensively average teams the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Darlington playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [over 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 11 Stars: 21)

› Hereford playing in weekend the current season. [under 8/ 12] [66.67%] [1*]
› Hereford playing in October the last 3 seasons. [under 13/ 15] [86.67%] [3*]
› Hereford playing in October at home the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 7] [100.00%] [4*]
› Hereford playing in weekend at home the last 3 seasons. [under 27/ 42] [64.29%] [1*]
› Hereford playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 31/ 50] [62.00%] [1*]
› Hereford after playing under 2 homematches in a row the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 6] [100.00%] [4*]
› Hereford after winning in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [under 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Darlington playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Darlington playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 30/ 49] [61.22%] [1*]
› Darlington playing against average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 10/ 15] [66.67%] [1*]
› Darlington playing against defensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 13/ 16] [81.25%] [3*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Hereford
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1453.8
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1431.4
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1423.9

› Current ELO Rating: 1415.4

Darlington
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1421.3
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1357.7
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1286.7

› Current ELO Rating: 1267.0

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Hereford 1500.0 1495.4 1476.2 1459.2 1453.8 1451.3 1434.9 1449.2 1431.4 1437.1 1429.0 1423.9 1431.9 1415.4
Darlington 1485.0 1465.6 1444.8 1428.3 1421.3 1403.8 1386.5 1361.5 1357.7 1332.9 1310.4 1286.7 1290.3 1267.0

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Hereford
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.92
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.88
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.90

› Current Power Rating: 9.90

Darlington
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.87
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.72
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.60

› Current Power Rating: 9.55

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Hereford 10.00 10.00 9.95 9.92 9.92 9.92 9.90 9.95 9.88 9.90 9.90 9.90 9.93 9.90
Darlington 9.95 9.92 9.90 9.87 9.87 9.80 9.77 9.72 9.72 9.67 9.65 9.60 9.62 9.55

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 1.57 (indicates homewin)

› Game Form System: -3 (indicates awaywin)

› Weighted Form System: -4 (indicates draw)

› Goal Superiority System: 12 (indicates homewin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 5 (indicates homewin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 7 (indicates homewin) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 3 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 64% (homewin) 29% (draw) 7% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: -0.33 (indicates homewin)

Stats for hometeam (Hereford):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 14 3-6-5 16-20 15
› At home: 7 3-3-1 10-8 12

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 6-8
› At home: 3-4

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.14 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.43 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.43 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.14 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LWDDWL 2-2-2
› Home: LDWWDW 3-2-1

ELO Rating: 1415.4

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 24 2009 away Bradford 0-1 lost under
Oct 17 2009 home Chesterfield 1-0 won under
Oct 10 2009 away Rotherham 1-1 draw under
Oct 03 2009 home Dagenham & Redbridge 1-1 draw under
Sep 29 2009 home Bournemouth 2-1 won over
Sep 26 2009 away Rochdale 1-4 lost over
Sep 19 2009 home Accrington 2-0 won under
Sep 12 2009 away Grimsby 0-1 lost under
Sep 05 2009 away Aldershot 2-2 draw over
Aug 29 2009 home Port Vale 2-2 draw over

Summary: 3-4-3 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 12-13

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Oct 17 2009 home Chesterfield 1-0 won under
Oct 03 2009 home Dagenham & Redbridge 1-1 draw under
Sep 29 2009 home Bournemouth 2-1 won over
Sep 19 2009 home Accrington 2-0 won under
Aug 29 2009 home Port Vale 2-2 draw over
Aug 18 2009 home Bury 1-3 lost over
Aug 15 2009 home Cheltenham 1-1 draw under
May 02 2009 home Milton Keynes 0-1 lost under
Apr 18 2009 home Colchester 0-2 lost under
Apr 11 2009 home Leicester 1-3 lost over

Summary: 3-3-4 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 11-14

Stats for awayteam (Darlington):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 14 1-2-11 6-24 5
› At away: 7 0-1-6 3-15 1

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 5-9
› At away: 4-3

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.43 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.43 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.71 goals per match
› At away: allowing 2.14 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DLLLWL 1-1-4
› Away: LLLDLL 0-1-5

ELO Rating: 1267.0

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 24 2009 away Barnet 0-3 lost over
Oct 17 2009 home Shrewsbury 2-1 won over
Oct 10 2009 away Dagenham & Redbridge 0-2 lost under
Oct 03 2009 home Macclesfield 0-1 lost under
Sep 29 2009 home Rochdale 0-2 lost under
Sep 26 2009 away Grimsby 1-1 draw under
Sep 19 2009 home Bournemouth 0-2 lost under
Sep 11 2009 away Accrington 1-2 lost over
Sep 05 2009 away Lincoln 0-3 lost over
Aug 29 2009 home Cheltenham 1-1 draw under

Summary: 1-2-7 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.30 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 5-18

Last 10 Matches Away:

Oct 24 2009 away Barnet 0-3 lost over
Oct 10 2009 away Dagenham & Redbridge 0-2 lost under
Sep 26 2009 away Grimsby 1-1 draw under
Sep 11 2009 away Accrington 1-2 lost over
Sep 05 2009 away Lincoln 0-3 lost over
Aug 22 2009 away Port Vale 0-1 lost under
Aug 08 2009 away Aldershot 1-3 lost over
May 02 2009 away Chester 2-1 won over
Apr 18 2009 away Rochdale 2-0 won under
Apr 11 2009 away Chesterfield 0-0 draw under

Summary: 2-2-6 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.30 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 7-16

History:

Overall History

Jan 08 1994 Hereford - Darlington 1-1 draw under
Feb 12 1994 Darlington - Hereford 1-3 awaywin over
Oct 22 1994 Darlington - Hereford 3-1 homewin over
Jan 07 1995 Hereford - Darlington 0-0 draw under
Mar 23 1996 Hereford - Darlington 0-1 awaywin under
Apr 23 1996 Darlington - Hereford 1-0 homewin under
Sep 14 1996 Darlington - Hereford 1-0 homewin under
Feb 04 1997 Hereford - Darlington 1-1 draw under
Oct 14 2006 Hereford - Darlington 1-1 draw under
Mar 17 2007 Darlington - Hereford 1-0 homewin under
Nov 03 2007 Hereford - Darlington 5-1 homewin over
Apr 12 2008 Darlington - Hereford 0-1 awaywin under

Summary (overall): 5-4-3 O-U: 3-9 Avg. score: 2.08 Median score: 1.50

Summary (3 years): 2-0-1 O-U: 1-2 Avg. score: 2.67 Median score: 1.00

Trend: Darlington is 5-4-3

Trend 3 years: Hereford is 2-0-1

Home - Away History

Jan 08 1994 Hereford - Darlington 1-1 draw under
Jan 07 1995 Hereford - Darlington 0-0 draw under
Mar 23 1996 Hereford - Darlington 0-1 awaywin under
Feb 04 1997 Hereford - Darlington 1-1 draw under
Oct 14 2006 Hereford - Darlington 1-1 draw under
Nov 03 2007 Hereford - Darlington 5-1 homewin over

Summary (overall): 1-4-1 O-U: 1-5 Avg. score: 2.17 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 1-0-0 O-U: 1-0 Avg. score: 6.00 Median score: 6.00

Trend: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Trend 3 years: Hereford is 1-0-0