Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 1     › Users favouring under 2.5: 1
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw
       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

Crystal Palace - Swansea (0 - 1):

Championship League (England)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Crystal Palace) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Swansea) (Trends: 1 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 26 Stars: 54)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 35 Stars: 74)

› Crystal Palace home: 6-4-3 17-14
› Crystal Palace form: 4-1-1 8-4
› Home form: 4-1-1 10-5

› Swansea away: 4-6-3 12-12
› Swansea form: 2-4-0 5-2
› Away form: 2-3-1 8-7

News:

Crystal Palace

2010-09-08 Vaughan makes Palace move

Crystal Palace have sealed the signing of Everton striker James Vaughan on loan for three months.

2010-09-08 Vaughan seals Palace switch

Crystal Palace have completed the signing of Everton striker James Vaughan on a three-month loan deal.

2010-09-08 Palace sign Vaughan on loan deal

Crystal Palace secure the services of Everton striker James Vaughan on a three-month loan deal.

2010-09-08 Everton striker Vaughan joins Palace on loan

Crystal Palace have signed Everton striker James Vaughan on a three-month loan deal.

2010-09-08 Official: Crystal Palace Sign James Vaughan From Everton On Three-Month Loan Deal

George Burley secures deal for youngster...

2010-09-08 Eagles to swoop for Vaughan

George Burley has confirmed Crystal Palace are close to landing Everton striker James Vaughan on loan.

2010-09-06 Ambrose close to return

Crystal Palace boss George Burley is hopeful Darren Ambrose could be back in action in two weeks.

2010-08-31 Gardner seals Palace loan move

Hull City have allowed defender Anthony Gardner to join Championship rivals Crystal Palace on loan.

2010-08-31 Palace to bring in Gardner

Skysports.com understands Hull City defender Anthony Gardner is to join Crystal Palace on loan.

2010-08-28 Burley laments Palace loss

Crystal Palace boss George Burley was disappointed to see his side suffer another Championship defeat.

Swansea

2010-09-08 Long lay-off for Butler

Swansea winger Tom Butler is set to be sidelined until 2011 after undergoing a thigh operation.

2010-09-08 Williams happy at Swansea

Leicester transfer target Ashley Williams insists he is happy at Swansea and hopes to win promotion.

2010-09-04 Rodgers may sign keeper

Swansea manager Brendan Rodgers could sign Yves Ma-Kalambay in an effort to boost his options.

2010-09-04 Arsenal Starlet Henri Lansbury Set For Swansea City Loan Move - Report

Henri Lansbury is apparently set to leave Arsenal on loan next week, with Swansea City emerging as favourites for his signature.

2010-09-02 Agustien naar Swansea City

Kemy Agustien heeft in Swansea City een nieuwe werkgever gevonden. De voormalig jeugdinternational tekent volgende week een contract, mits de medische keuring geen problemen oplevert. Dat maakte de voetbalclub uit Wales donderdag op de website bekend.

2010-09-02 Agustien verkast naar Swansea City

SWANSEA - Kemy Agustien heeft in Swansea City een nieuwe werkgever gevonden. De voormalig jeugdinternational tekent volgende week een contract, mits de medische keuring geen problemen oplevert. Dat maakte de voetbalclub uit Wales vandaag op de ...

2010-09-02 Swans close on Agustien deal

Swansea are optimistic of finalising a deal to sign Dutch midfielder Kemy Agustien within the next week.

2010-09-02 Swansea en transfervrije Agustien lijken tot een akkoord te gaan komen

De kans is groot dat Kemy Agustien volgende week definitief een nieuwe werkgever heeft. De middenvelder, die deze zomer van AZ te horen kreeg dat er geen toekomst meer voor hem was in Alkmaar, is dich...

2010-09-01 Swans look at keeper

Swansea have revealed they have taken goalkeeper Yves Makabu-Makalambay on trial for a week.

2010-08-31 Swans snub Foxes bid

Swansea have confirmed they have rejected a bid from Championship rivals Leicester for Ashley Williams.

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Crystal Palace: Uptrend
Form: 4-1-1 (13 points, 2.17 avg)
Last 30 matches: 11-11-8 (44 points, 1.47 avg)

› Swansea: Neutral
Form: 2-4-0 (10 points, 1.67 avg)
Last 30 matches: 11-12-7 (45 points, 1.50 avg)

Home/Away

› Crystal Palace: Neutral
Home form: 4-1-1 (13 points, 2.17 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 7-5-3 (26 points, 1.73 avg)

› Swansea: Neutral
Away form: 2-3-1 (9 points, 1.50 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 5-6-4 (21 points, 1.40 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Newcastle 15 11 4 0 30 7 37 13 6 4 3 18 10 22 28 17 8 3 48 17 59
2 West Bromwich 14 8 2 4 29 15 26 15 8 6 1 30 16 30 29 16 8 5 59 31 56
3 Nottingham Forest 15 11 1 3 33 13 34 14 4 9 1 13 9 21 29 15 10 4 46 22 55
4 Cardiff 13 6 3 4 22 11 21 15 7 3 5 31 24 24 28 13 6 9 53 35 45
5 Swansea 15 7 6 2 13 8 27 13 4 6 3 12 12 18 28 11 12 5 25 20 45
6 Crystal Palace 13 6 4 3 17 14 22 15 5 6 4 16 16 21 28 11 10 7 33 30 43
7 Leicester 14 7 4 3 18 12 25 13 4 5 4 13 16 17 27 11 9 7 31 28 42
8 Sheffield United 15 7 6 2 24 15 27 14 4 3 7 17 25 15 29 11 9 9 41 40 42
9 Blackpool 15 7 4 4 28 17 25 14 3 6 5 18 21 15 29 10 10 9 46 38 40
10 Barnsley 15 6 4 5 19 21 22 13 5 2 6 18 20 17 28 11 6 11 37 41 39
11 Middlesbrough 14 4 4 6 12 15 16 15 6 4 5 28 18 22 29 10 8 11 40 33 38
12 Bristol City 15 6 7 2 22 20 25 13 2 6 5 12 18 12 28 8 13 7 34 38 37
13 Watford 13 6 4 3 24 16 22 15 3 4 8 15 27 13 28 9 8 11 39 43 35
14 Preston 13 5 5 3 18 14 20 15 4 3 8 14 25 15 28 9 8 11 32 39 35
15 Queens Park Rangers 13 4 6 3 24 19 18 15 4 4 7 16 26 16 28 8 10 10 40 45 34
16 Coventry 14 5 6 3 19 18 21 15 3 4 8 14 23 13 29 8 10 11 33 41 34
17 Doncaster 14 6 5 3 20 16 23 13 2 4 7 14 20 10 27 8 9 10 34 36 33
18 Derby 14 7 1 6 20 22 22 15 2 5 8 10 19 11 29 9 6 14 30 41 33
19 Scunthorpe 14 6 3 5 20 19 21 14 3 3 8 14 29 12 28 9 6 13 34 48 33
20 Sheffield Wednesday 14 5 3 6 21 23 18 15 3 4 8 13 24 13 29 8 7 14 34 47 31
21 Ipswich 15 4 9 2 17 16 21 13 1 6 6 15 24 9 28 5 15 8 32 40 30
22 Reading 13 2 6 5 10 16 12 15 5 2 8 20 29 17 28 7 8 13 30 45 29
23 Plymouth 14 4 2 8 13 17 14 13 3 1 9 10 21 10 27 7 3 17 23 38 24
24 Peterborough 15 4 5 6 24 26 17 14 0 4 10 9 25 4 29 4 9 16 33 51 21

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 43% (value odds 2.30)

› Awaywin: 13% (value odds 7.61)

› Draw: 43% (value odds 2.30)

› Over: 24% (value odds 4.11)

› Under: 76% (value odds 1.32)

Expected Score:

› Crystal Palace: 0.97

› Swansea: 0.88

› Total: 1.85


› Over: 37%

› Under: 63%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Crystal Palace) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring homewin.

Trends favouring awaywin (Swansea) (Trends: 1 Stars: 2)

› Swansea playing in February the last 3 seasons. [won 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 26 Stars: 54)

› Crystal Palace playing against good teams the current season. [draw 3/ 8] [37.50%] [1*]
› Crystal Palace playing against good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 13] [46.15%] [3*]
› Crystal Palace playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [draw 6/ 13] [46.15%] [3*]
› Crystal Palace playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 8/ 21] [38.10%] [1*]
› Crystal Palace playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 4/ 10] [40.00%] [2*]
› Crystal Palace playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 10/ 28] [35.71%] [1*]
› Crystal Palace playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 21/ 58] [36.21%] [1*]
› Crystal Palace playing in midweek the current season. [draw 4/ 8] [50.00%] [3*]
› Crystal Palace playing in midweek at home the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 14] [42.86%] [2*]
› Crystal Palace playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 10/ 24] [41.67%] [2*]
› Crystal Palace playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 8/ 21] [38.10%] [1*]
› Crystal Palace after winning in their last 2 homematches the last 3 seasons. [draw 3/ 6] [50.00%] [3*]
› Swansea playing against defensively average hometeams the current season. [draw 4/ 7] [57.14%] [3*]
› Swansea playing against defensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 13/ 32] [40.62%] [2*]
› Swansea playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [draw 6/ 14] [42.86%] [2*]
› Swansea playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 27/ 66] [40.91%] [2*]
› Swansea playing against offensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 18] [38.89%] [1*]
› Swansea playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 12/ 28] [42.86%] [2*]
› Swansea playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 6/ 13] [46.15%] [3*]
› Swansea playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 42/ 116] [36.21%] [1*]
› Swansea playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 22/ 57] [38.60%] [1*]
› Swansea playing in midweek the current season. [draw 5/ 7] [71.43%] [3*]
› Swansea playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [draw 15/ 33] [45.45%] [3*]
› Swansea playing in midweek at away the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 15] [40.00%] [2*]
› Swansea after playing under 4 or more matches in a row the current season. [draw 6/ 9] [66.67%] [3*]
› Swansea after playing under 4 or more matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 12] [58.33%] [3*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring over.

Trends favouring under (Trends: 35 Stars: 74)

› Crystal Palace playing against good teams the current season. [under 8/ 8] [100.00%] [4*]
› Crystal Palace playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. [under 26/ 36] [72.22%] [2*]
› Crystal Palace playing against good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 12/ 13] [92.31%] [4*]
› Crystal Palace playing against defensively good teams the current season. [under 6/ 6] [100.00%] [4*]
› Crystal Palace playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [under 17/ 24] [70.83%] [2*]
› Crystal Palace playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 15/ 21] [71.43%] [2*]
› Crystal Palace playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [under 10/ 13] [76.92%] [2*]
› Crystal Palace playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 39/ 57] [68.42%] [1*]
› Crystal Palace playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 16/ 21] [76.19%] [2*]
› Crystal Palace playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [under 14/ 20] [70.00%] [2*]
› Crystal Palace playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [under 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Crystal Palace playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 20/ 28] [71.43%] [2*]
› Crystal Palace playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [under 8/ 13] [61.54%] [1*]
› Crystal Palace playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 75/ 118] [63.56%] [1*]
› Crystal Palace playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 36/ 58] [62.07%] [1*]
› Crystal Palace playing in midweek the current season. [under 6/ 8] [75.00%] [2*]
› Crystal Palace playing in February the last 3 seasons. [under 8/ 10] [80.00%] [3*]
› Crystal Palace playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [under 24/ 37] [64.86%] [1*]
› Crystal Palace playing in midweek at home the last 3 seasons. [under 10/ 14] [71.43%] [2*]
› Crystal Palace after scoring 2 or more in their last 2 matches the last 3 seasons. [under 8/ 11] [72.73%] [2*]
› Swansea playing against defensively good teams the current season. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Swansea playing against defensively average hometeams the current season. [under 7/ 7] [100.00%] [4*]
› Swansea playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [under 19/ 30] [63.33%] [1*]
› Swansea playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [under 12/ 14] [85.71%] [3*]
› Swansea playing against offensively average hometeams the current season. [under 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Swansea playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 42/ 66] [63.64%] [1*]
› Swansea playing against offensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 11/ 18] [61.11%] [1*]
› Swansea playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 22/ 28] [78.57%] [2*]
› Swansea playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [under 10/ 13] [76.92%] [2*]
› Swansea playing in midweek the current season. [under 7/ 7] [100.00%] [4*]
› Swansea playing in February the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Swansea playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [under 21/ 33] [63.64%] [1*]
› Swansea playing in midweek at away the last 3 seasons. [under 10/ 15] [66.67%] [1*]
› Swansea after playing under 4 or more matches in a row the current season. [under 9/ 9] [100.00%] [4*]
› Swansea after playing under 4 or more matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [under 12/ 12] [100.00%] [4*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Crystal Palace
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1466.7
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1470.5
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1457.7

› Current ELO Rating: 1473.5

Swansea
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1473.2
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1467.7
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1471.2

› Current ELO Rating: 1475.5

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
Crystal Palace 1495.8 1480.6 1503.1 1482.9 1481.1 1460.3 1470.6 1480.6 1476.0 1492.7 1490.7 1475.7 1470.5 1468.7 1466.5 1475.8 1472.7 1489.4 1466.7 1483.7 1466.9 1460.0 1470.5 1470.3 1476.9 1457.7 1462.1 1473.5
Swansea 1485.0 1465.4 1460.6 1472.6 1467.4 1449.7 1443.1 1442.0 1449.5 1449.1 1461.7 1457.5 1468.5 1462.3 1483.1 1491.4 1498.4 1480.5 1473.2 1478.4 1457.5 1472.9 1467.7 1463.4 1473.3 1471.2 1462.8 1475.5

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Crystal Palace
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.97
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.03
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.00

› Current Power Rating: 10.08

Swansea
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.05
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.08

› Current Power Rating: 10.13

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
Crystal Palace 10.00 9.97 10.03 9.97 9.97 9.88 9.90 9.93 9.93 10.00 10.00 9.95 9.95 9.95 9.95 9.97 9.97 10.05 9.97 10.03 9.97 9.97 10.03 10.03 10.05 10.00 10.05 10.08
Swansea 9.97 9.90 9.90 9.93 9.93 9.88 9.88 9.88 9.90 9.90 9.95 9.95 9.98 9.98 10.03 10.05 10.08 10.00 10.00 10.03 10.00 10.05 10.05 10.05 10.08 10.08 10.08 10.13

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.31 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: 9 (indicates homewin)

› Weighted Form System: 22 (indicates homewin)

› Goal Superiority System: -4 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 1 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 3 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 3 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 35% (homewin) 38% (draw) 27% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.33 (indicates awaywin)

Stats for hometeam (Crystal Palace):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 28 11-10-7 33-30 43
› At home: 13 6-4-3 17-14 22

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 8-20
› At home: 5-8

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.18 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.31 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.07 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.08 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WDWLWW 4-1-1
› Home: WWLDWW 4-1-1

ELO Rating: 1473.5

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 away Scunthorpe 2-1 won over
Jan 30 2010 home Peterborough 2-0 won under
Jan 27 2010 away Newcastle 0-2 lost under
Jan 16 2010 away Plymouth 1-0 won under
Dec 28 2009 away Swansea 0-0 draw under
Dec 26 2009 home Ipswich 3-1 won over
Dec 19 2009 home Barnsley 1-1 draw under
Dec 12 2009 away Sheffield United 0-2 lost under
Dec 08 2009 away Reading 4-2 won over
Dec 05 2009 home Doncaster 0-3 lost over

Summary: 5-2-3 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 13-12

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Jan 30 2010 home Peterborough 2-0 won under
Dec 26 2009 home Ipswich 3-1 won over
Dec 19 2009 home Barnsley 1-1 draw under
Dec 05 2009 home Doncaster 0-3 lost over
Nov 28 2009 home Watford 3-0 won over
Nov 07 2009 home Middlesbrough 1-0 won under
Oct 24 2009 home Nottingham Forest 1-1 draw under
Oct 03 2009 home Blackpool 4-1 won over
Sep 29 2009 home Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 draw under
Sep 19 2009 home Derby 1-0 won under

Summary: 6-3-1 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.30 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 16-7

Stats for awayteam (Swansea):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 28 11-12-5 25-20 45
› At away: 13 4-6-3 12-12 18

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 6-22
› At away: 3-10

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.89 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.92 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 0.71 goals per match
› At away: allowing 0.92 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DDWDDW 2-4-0
› Away: WLDWDD 2-3-1

ELO Rating: 1475.5

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 home Preston 2-0 won under
Jan 26 2010 home Coventry 0-0 draw under
Jan 23 2010 away Middlesbrough 1-1 draw under
Jan 16 2010 home Leicester 1-0 won under
Dec 28 2009 home Crystal Palace 0-0 draw under
Dec 26 2009 away Reading 1-1 draw under
Dec 19 2009 away Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 won under
Dec 12 2009 home Nottingham Forest 0-1 lost under
Dec 08 2009 home Plymouth 1-0 won under
Dec 05 2009 away Peterborough 2-2 draw over

Summary: 4-5-1 O-U: 1-9 Avg. score: 1.50 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 10-5

Last 10 Matches Away:

Jan 23 2010 away Middlesbrough 1-1 draw under
Dec 26 2009 away Reading 1-1 draw under
Dec 19 2009 away Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 won under
Dec 05 2009 away Peterborough 2-2 draw over
Nov 28 2009 away Newcastle 0-3 lost over
Oct 31 2009 away Scunthorpe 2-0 won under
Oct 20 2009 away West Bromwich 1-0 won under
Oct 17 2009 away Ipswich 1-1 draw under
Sep 29 2009 away Doncaster 0-0 draw under
Sep 19 2009 away Barnsley 0-0 draw under

Summary: 3-6-1 O-U: 2-8 Avg. score: 1.80 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 10-8

History:

Overall History

Sep 13 2008 Crystal Palace - Swansea 2-0 homewin under
Mar 14 2009 Swansea - Crystal Palace 1-3 awaywin over
Dec 28 2009 Swansea - Crystal Palace 0-0 draw under

Summary (overall): 1-1-1 O-U: 1-2 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 1-1-1 O-U: 1-2 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00

Trend: Crystal Palace is 2-1-0

Trend 3 years: Crystal Palace is 2-1-0

Home - Away History

Sep 13 2008 Crystal Palace - Swansea 2-0 homewin under

Summary (overall): 1-0-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 1-0-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00

Trend: Crystal Palace is 1-0-0

Trend 3 years: Crystal Palace is 1-0-0