Monday 8th @ 12:01 CET

Weekend results have been added and the midweek fixtures corrected. I've also posted a 72% winner over at SportsProfit.com - Jensen (admin)
Index : Cardiff vs Nottingham Forest

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 1     › Users favouring over 2.5: 1
› Users favouring awaywin: 1     › Users favouring under 2.5: 1
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Cardiff - Nottingham Forest (1 - 1):

Championship League (England)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Cardiff) (Trends: 1 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Nottingham Forest) (Trends: 1 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 5 Stars: 11)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 12 Stars: 19)

› Cardiff home: 2-0-1 7-1
› Cardiff form: 3-1-2 8-5
› Home form: 4-0-2 14-6

› Nottingham Forest away: 0-4-0 3-3
› Nottingham Forest form: 1-3-2 8-10
› Away form: 0-6-0 4-4

News:

Cardiff

2010-01-05 Capaldi returns to Cardiff

Northern Ireland defender Tony Capaldi has returned to Cardiff City after his loan period with Leeds expired.

2010-01-05 Prem duo target Matthews

Peter Ridsdale admits that Man Utd and Arsenal are interested in Cardiff full-back Adam Matthews.

2010-01-03 Cardiff insist club not in danger

Cardiff insist its financial future is not under threat after newspaper reports that the club faces a winding up order.

2010-01-03 Ridsdale rejects Cardiff fears

Cardiff chairman Peter Ridsdale has dismissed reports claiming the club are close to administration.

2010-01-03 Ridsdale - Cardiff can pay

Peter Ridsdale says Cardiff will be able to pay a tax bill and manager Dave Jones will have money.

2010-01-02 Blake wants Pilgrims return

Cardiff youngster Darcy Blake is waiting to be given the green light to clinch a loan return to Plymouth.

2010-01-02 McPhail targets Cardiff return

Cardiff's Stephen McPhail is looking forward to getting back on the pitch after having treatment for cancer.

2009-12-31 Bristol City v Cardiff

Preview followed by live coverage of Saturday's game between Bristol City and Cardiff in the FA Cup.

2009-12-31 Cardiff prepared for Ledley exit

Chairman Peter Ridsdale believes Wales international Joe Ledley will seek a move away from Cardiff City.

2009-12-28 Åtte scoringer i samme nett

Posh – Cardiff 4-4: Peterborough lå under med fire mål i pausen.

Nottingham Forest

2010-01-06 Davies wants Majewski deal

Nottingham Forest boss Billy Davies is hoping to sign midfielder Radoslaw Majewski on a permanent basis.

2010-01-04 Moloney returns to Forest

Nottingham Forest defender Brendan Moloney has returned from his loan spell at city rivals Notts County.

2010-01-02 Forest 0-0 Birmingham: Unbeaten runs continue

Nottingham Forest and Birmingham both kept their unbeaten runs going as the country's two in-form sides could not be separated as they played out a 0-0 draw in the FA Cup third round.

2010-01-02 McLeish hails battling troops

Alex McLeish felt Birmingham coped admirably with the changes forced upon them against Nottingham Forest.

2010-01-01 Nottm Forest v Birmingham

Preview followed by live coverage of Saturday's game between Nottingham Forest and Birmingham in the the FA Cup.

2009-12-31 Shorey sticks with Forest

Nicky Shorey has extended his loan deal at Nottingham Forest for another month.

2009-12-31 Forest extend Shorey loan deal

Nottingham Forest extend the loan spell of Nicky Shorey from Aston Villa until the end of January.

2009-12-29 Forest to open Shorey talks

Nottingham Forest are planning to hold talks with Aston Villa about extending the loan deal of Nicky Shorey.

2009-12-28 Davies delighted with mentality

Billy Davies has praised the attitude of his Nottingham Forest players after they saw off Coventry 2-0.

2009-12-28 Nottm Forest 2-0 Coventry

Nottingham Forest beat Coventry 2-0 to maintain their long unbeaten run in the Championship.

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Cardiff: Neutral
Form: 3-1-2 (10 points, 1.67 avg)
Last 30 matches: 14-8-8 (50 points, 1.67 avg)

› Nottingham Forest: Downtrend
Form: 1-3-2 (6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 30 matches: 11-9-10 (42 points, 1.40 avg)

Home/Away

› Cardiff: Neutral
Home form: 4-0-2 (12 points, 2.00 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 10-2-3 (32 points, 2.13 avg)

› Nottingham Forest: Neutral
Away form: 0-6-0 (6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 3-7-5 (16 points, 1.07 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Newcastle 7 5 2 0 11 3 17 7 3 1 3 10 6 10 14 8 3 3 21 9 27
2 Leicester 7 4 2 1 9 5 14 8 3 4 1 9 7 13 15 7 6 2 18 12 27
3 Cardiff 7 4 1 2 16 5 13 7 4 1 2 14 10 13 14 8 2 4 30 15 26
4 West Bromwich 7 4 1 2 12 6 13 7 3 3 1 12 7 12 14 7 4 3 24 13 25
5 Middlesbrough 7 3 1 3 7 8 10 7 4 2 1 15 7 14 14 7 3 4 22 15 24
6 Bristol City 7 5 2 0 11 4 17 7 1 4 2 6 9 7 14 6 6 2 17 13 24
7 Queens Park Rangers 7 3 3 1 17 8 12 7 3 2 2 9 7 11 14 6 5 3 26 15 23
8 Blackpool 7 5 2 0 13 2 17 7 1 3 3 6 11 6 14 6 5 3 19 13 23
9 Nottingham Forest 7 4 0 3 9 8 12 7 2 5 0 7 5 11 14 6 5 3 16 13 23
10 Preston 7 3 3 1 12 8 12 7 3 2 2 10 11 11 14 6 5 3 22 19 23
11 Watford 7 2 3 2 13 14 9 7 3 3 1 9 7 12 14 5 6 3 22 21 21
12 Swansea 7 2 4 1 5 5 10 7 2 3 2 4 5 9 14 4 7 3 9 10 19
13 Sheffield United 7 2 4 1 15 13 10 7 2 1 4 8 12 7 14 4 5 5 23 25 17
14 Crystal Palace 7 2 3 2 7 9 9 6 2 2 2 6 6 8 13 4 5 4 13 15 17
15 Coventry 7 2 4 1 9 8 10 7 2 1 4 7 12 7 14 4 5 5 16 20 17
16 Scunthorpe 7 4 1 2 13 10 13 7 1 1 5 6 16 4 14 5 2 7 19 26 17
17 Sheffield Wednesday 7 3 2 2 14 9 11 7 1 2 4 7 13 5 14 4 4 6 21 22 16
18 Doncaster 7 2 4 1 9 6 10 7 0 4 3 6 11 4 14 2 8 4 15 17 14
19 Derby 7 4 0 3 12 10 12 7 0 2 5 5 15 2 14 4 2 8 17 25 14
20 Barnsley 7 2 1 4 8 13 7 7 2 1 4 8 12 7 14 4 2 8 16 25 14
21 Peterborough 7 2 2 3 12 11 8 7 0 3 4 5 12 3 14 2 5 7 17 23 11
22 Reading 7 0 3 4 2 8 3 7 2 1 4 9 15 7 14 2 4 8 11 23 10
23 Plymouth 7 1 2 4 6 11 5 7 1 1 5 7 15 4 14 2 3 9 13 26 9
24 Ipswich 7 0 5 2 5 11 5 7 0 3 4 10 16 3 14 0 8 6 15 27 8

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 43% (value odds 2.31)

› Awaywin: 13% (value odds 7.78)

› Draw: 44% (value odds 2.28)

› Over: 34% (value odds 2.90)

› Under: 66% (value odds 1.53)

Expected Score:

› Cardiff: 1.52

› Nottingham Forest: 0.81

› Total: 2.33


› Over: 47%

› Under: 53%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Cardiff) (Trends: 1 Stars: 2)

› Cardiff playing against average awayteams the last 3 seasons. [won 22/ 30] [73.33%] [2*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Nottingham Forest) (Trends: 1 Stars: 2)

› Nottingham Forest after playing under 2 matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [won 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 5 Stars: 11)

› Cardiff playing in November the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 10] [40.00%] [2*]
› Nottingham Forest playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 4/ 7] [57.14%] [3*]
› Nottingham Forest playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 19/ 48] [39.58%] [1*]
› Nottingham Forest playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 13/ 28] [46.43%] [3*]
› Nottingham Forest playing in November the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 9] [44.44%] [2*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)

› Cardiff playing in November the last 3 seasons. [over 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Cardiff after losing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [over 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 12 Stars: 19)

› Cardiff playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 14/ 21] [66.67%] [1*]
› Cardiff playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 12/ 19] [63.16%] [1*]
› Cardiff playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 30/ 50] [60.00%] [1*]
› Nottingham Forest playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Nottingham Forest playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 29/ 48] [60.42%] [1*]
› Nottingham Forest playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. [under 22/ 32] [68.75%] [1*]
› Nottingham Forest playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 11/ 17] [64.71%] [1*]
› Nottingham Forest playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [under 24/ 28] [85.71%] [3*]
› Nottingham Forest playing against defensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 9/ 12] [75.00%] [2*]
› Nottingham Forest playing in November the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Nottingham Forest playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. [under 21/ 35] [60.00%] [1*]
› Nottingham Forest after playing under 2 matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 7] [100.00%] [4*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Cardiff
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 0.0
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1519.4
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1539.3

› Current ELO Rating: 1532.5

Nottingham Forest
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 0.0
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1480.6
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1469.7

› Current ELO Rating: 1465.4

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Cardiff 1520.2 1519.4 1540.3 1557.9 1539.3 1519.3 1532.5
Nottingham Forest 1500.0 1480.6 1461.4 1460.6 1469.7 1467.6 1465.4

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Cardiff
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 0.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.10
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.17

› Current Power Rating: 10.17

Nottingham Forest
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 0.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.97
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.95

› Current Power Rating: 9.95

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Cardiff 10.10 10.10 10.15 10.22 10.17 10.15 10.17
Nottingham Forest 10.00 9.97 9.92 9.92 9.95 9.95 9.95

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 1.00 (indicates draw)

› Game Form System: 5 (indicates homewin)

› Weighted Form System: 16 (indicates homewin)

› Goal Superiority System: 2 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 5 (indicates homewin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 1 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 0 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 33% (homewin) 50% (draw) 17% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: -0.83 (indicates homewin)

Stats for hometeam (Cardiff):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 7 4-1-2 12-5 13
› At home: 3 2-0-1 7-1 6

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 3-4
› At home: 2-1

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.71 goals per match
› At home: scoring 2.33 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 0.71 goals per match
› At home: allowing 0.33 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DWWLLW 3-1-2
› Home: WWLWWL 4-0-2

ELO Rating: 1532.5

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Sep 16 2009 away Reading 1-0 won under
Sep 13 2009 home Newcastle 0-1 lost under
Aug 29 2009 away Doncaster 0-2 lost under
Aug 23 2009 home Bristol City 3-0 won over
Aug 18 2009 away Plymouth 3-1 won over
Aug 15 2009 away Blackpool 1-1 draw under
Aug 08 2009 home Scunthorpe 4-0 won over
May 03 2009 away Sheffield Wednesday 0-1 lost under
Apr 25 2009 home Ipswich 0-3 lost over
Apr 21 2009 away Charlton 2-2 draw over

Summary: 4-2-4 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 14-11

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Sep 13 2009 home Newcastle 0-1 lost under
Aug 23 2009 home Bristol City 3-0 won over
Aug 08 2009 home Scunthorpe 4-0 won over
Apr 25 2009 home Ipswich 0-3 lost over
Apr 13 2009 home Burnley 3-1 won over
Apr 08 2009 home Derby 4-1 won over
Apr 05 2009 home Swansea 2-2 draw over
Mar 22 2009 home Sheffield United 0-3 lost over
Mar 18 2009 home Watford 2-1 won over
Mar 07 2009 home Doncaster 3-0 won over

Summary: 6-1-3 O-U: 9-1 Avg. score: 3.30 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 21-12

Stats for awayteam (Nottingham Forest):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 7 1-4-2 8-10 7
› At away: 4 0-4-0 3-3 4

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 2-5
› At away: 0-4

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.14 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.75 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.43 goals per match
› At away: allowing 0.75 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LLDWDD 1-3-2
› Away: DDDDDD 0-6-0

ELO Rating: 1465.4

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Sep 15 2009 away Ipswich 1-1 draw under
Sep 12 2009 away Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 draw under
Aug 29 2009 home Derby 3-2 won over
Aug 22 2009 away Queens Park Rangers 1-1 draw under
Aug 18 2009 home Watford 2-4 lost over
Aug 15 2009 home West Bromwich 0-1 lost under
Aug 08 2009 away Reading 0-0 draw under
May 03 2009 home Southampton 3-1 won over
Apr 25 2009 away Blackpool 1-1 draw under
Apr 18 2009 home Coventry 1-0 won under

Summary: 3-5-2 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 13-12

Last 10 Matches Away:

Sep 15 2009 away Ipswich 1-1 draw under
Sep 12 2009 away Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 draw under
Aug 22 2009 away Queens Park Rangers 1-1 draw under
Aug 08 2009 away Reading 0-0 draw under
Apr 25 2009 away Blackpool 1-1 draw under
Apr 13 2009 away Sheffield United 0-0 draw under
Apr 04 2009 away Barnsley 1-1 draw under
Mar 14 2009 away Burnley 0-5 lost over
Mar 10 2009 away Watford 1-2 lost over
Feb 28 2009 away Reading 1-0 won under

Summary: 1-7-2 O-U: 2-8 Avg. score: 1.90 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 7-12

History:

Overall History

Aug 23 2003 Nottingham Forest - Cardiff 1-2 awaywin over
Jan 31 2004 Cardiff - Nottingham Forest 0-0 draw under
Sep 11 2004 Nottingham Forest - Cardiff 0-0 draw under
Jan 03 2005 Cardiff - Nottingham Forest 3-0 homewin over
Oct 25 2008 Nottingham Forest - Cardiff 0-1 awaywin under
Jan 31 2009 Cardiff - Nottingham Forest 2-0 homewin under

Summary (overall): 2-2-2 O-U: 2-4 Avg. score: 1.50 Median score: 1.50

Summary (3 years): 1-0-1 O-U: 0-2 Avg. score: 1.50 Median score: 1.50

Trend: Cardiff is 4-2-0

Trend 3 years: Cardiff is 2-0-0

Home - Away History

Jan 31 2004 Cardiff - Nottingham Forest 0-0 draw under
Jan 03 2005 Cardiff - Nottingham Forest 3-0 homewin over
Jan 31 2009 Cardiff - Nottingham Forest 2-0 homewin under

Summary (overall): 2-1-0 O-U: 1-2 Avg. score: 1.67 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 1-0-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00

Trend: Cardiff is 2-1-0

Trend 3 years: Cardiff is 1-0-0