Tuesday 9th @ 12:02 CET

Monday's results added. I've also posted a 72% winner over at SportsProfit.com , the game is on at 21:00 today! - Jensen (admin)
Index : Ipswich vs Derby

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Ipswich - Derby (1 - 0):

Championship League (England)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Ipswich) (Trends: 7 Stars: 11)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Derby) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 12 Stars: 26)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 8 Stars: 14)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 7 Stars: 10)

› Ipswich home: 0-5-2 5-11
› Ipswich form: 0-4-2 7-12
› Home form: 0-4-2 5-11

› Derby away: 0-2-5 5-15
› Derby form: 2-1-3 7-12
› Away form: 0-2-4 3-12

News:

Ipswich

2010-01-07 Bees bag Ipswich defender

Brentford have snapped up Tommy Smith on a month's loan after seeing Pim Balkestein return to Ipswich.

2010-01-06 Priskin has point to prove

Tamas Priskin claims reports suggesting he is set for an imminent exit from Ipswich are wide of the mark.

2010-01-05 Keeper hopes for Town deal

Ipswich Town's Arran Lee-Barrett is hoping to resolve his future over the next week.

2010-01-04 Millwall bring Trotter back

Millwall have signed Ipswich Town midfielder Liam Trotter on loan for the second time in his career.

2010-01-04 Keane to loan out duo

Ipswich Town boss Roy Keane is keen to send Tommy Smith and Liam Trotter out on loan.

2010-01-03 Keane eyes Giovani swoop

Ipswich Town boss Roy Keane says he wants to re-sign Tottenham midfielder Giovani dos Santos on loan.

2010-01-01 Town tie down John

Ipswich have extended Stern John's loan deal from Crystal Palace until the end of January.

2009-12-31 Keane shocked by Stead ban

Ipswich boss Roy Keane admits he was stunned at the FA's decision to extend Jon Stead's ban to four games.

2009-12-30 Balkestein back with Ipswich

Ipswich defender Pim Balkestein has been recalled from his loan spell at League One side Brentford.

2009-12-28 Stead praised after double

Ipswich boss Roy Keane was full of praise after Jon Stead bagged a brace in Monday's 3-0 win over QPR.

Derby

2010-01-07 Rams recruit Bolton defender Hunt

Derby County complete the signing of Bolton Wanderers right-back Nicky Hunt on a month-long loan deal.

2010-01-07 Hunt makes Rams move

Derby have completed the signing of defender Nicky Hunt on a month's loan from Bolton.

2010-01-07 Rams in hunt for Trotters ace

Derby boss Nigel Clough has confirmed he is hoping to sign Bolton defender Nicky Hunt.

2010-01-06 ADO Den Haag wil Danny Buijs niet laten gaan

Danny Buijs staat in de belangstelling van het Engelse Derby County. De middenvelder van ADO Den Haag zou zelf ook wel oren hebben naar een overstap. De Hagenezen willen hem echter niet kwijt. "Ik zou gek zijn als ik Danny Buijs zou laten gaan", zegt trainer Raymond Atteveld tegenover Voetbal...

2010-01-05 Rams extend Johnson's stay

Derby defender Jermaine Johnson has extended his contract at Pride Park.

2010-01-05 Johnson hopes for impact

On-loan Derby midfielder Lee Johnson is hoping to make an impact at Pride Park after moving from Bristol City.

2010-01-04 Derby day tonic for Evans

Jonny Evans insists Manchester United will atone for Sunday's FA Cup embarrassment in midweek.

2010-01-04 Clough still keen on Vaughan

Nigel Clough has revealed he is still extremely interested in bringing James Vaughan back to Derby.

2010-01-04 Stanley offer duo new deals

Accrington have offered Michael Symes and Bobby Grant new contracts after the duo were linked with Derby.

2010-01-03 Eintracht lustlos: Skibbe sauer

Zweitligist FC St. Pauli war nach dem Finalerfolg gegen Bielefeld der strahlende Sieger beim Hallenturnier in Frankfurt, während die gastgebende Eintracht ihre Fans herb enttäuschte. Sang- und klanglos schied der einzige Erstligist im Sechserfeld nach der Vorrunde aus. Im hessischen Derby um den dritten Platz besiegte Kickers Offenbach den benachbarten FSV Frankfurt mit 3:1.

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Ipswich: Downtrend
Form: 0-4-2 (4 points, 0.67 avg)
Last 30 matches: 6-13-11 (31 points, 1.03 avg)

› Derby: Neutral
Form: 2-1-3 (7 points, 1.17 avg)
Last 30 matches: 9-6-15 (33 points, 1.10 avg)

Home/Away

› Ipswich: Downtrend
Home form: 0-4-2 (4 points, 0.67 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 3-8-4 (17 points, 1.13 avg)

› Derby: Downtrend
Away form: 0-2-4 (2 points, 0.33 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 2-3-10 (9 points, 0.60 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Newcastle 7 5 2 0 11 3 17 7 3 1 3 10 6 10 14 8 3 3 21 9 27
2 Cardiff 7 4 1 2 16 5 13 7 4 1 2 14 10 13 14 8 2 4 30 15 26
3 West Bromwich 7 4 1 2 12 6 13 7 3 3 1 12 7 12 14 7 4 3 24 13 25
4 Middlesbrough 7 3 1 3 7 8 10 7 4 2 1 15 7 14 14 7 3 4 22 15 24
5 Leicester 7 4 2 1 9 5 14 7 2 4 1 7 6 10 14 6 6 2 16 11 24
6 Bristol City 7 5 2 0 11 4 17 7 1 4 2 6 9 7 14 6 6 2 17 13 24
7 Queens Park Rangers 6 3 3 0 16 6 12 7 3 2 2 9 7 11 13 6 5 2 25 13 23
8 Blackpool 7 5 2 0 13 2 17 7 1 3 3 6 11 6 14 6 5 3 19 13 23
9 Nottingham Forest 7 4 0 3 9 8 12 7 2 5 0 7 5 11 14 6 5 3 16 13 23
10 Preston 7 3 3 1 12 8 12 7 3 2 2 10 11 11 14 6 5 3 22 19 23
11 Watford 7 2 3 2 13 14 9 7 3 3 1 9 7 12 14 5 6 3 22 21 21
12 Swansea 7 2 4 1 5 5 10 7 2 3 2 4 5 9 14 4 7 3 9 10 19
13 Sheffield United 7 2 4 1 15 13 10 7 2 1 4 8 12 7 14 4 5 5 23 25 17
14 Crystal Palace 7 2 3 2 7 9 9 6 2 2 2 6 6 8 13 4 5 4 13 15 17
15 Coventry 7 2 4 1 9 8 10 7 2 1 4 7 12 7 14 4 5 5 16 20 17
16 Scunthorpe 7 4 1 2 13 10 13 7 1 1 5 6 16 4 14 5 2 7 19 26 17
17 Sheffield Wednesday 7 3 2 2 14 9 11 7 1 2 4 7 13 5 14 4 4 6 21 22 16
18 Doncaster 7 2 4 1 9 6 10 7 0 4 3 6 11 4 14 2 8 4 15 17 14
19 Derby 7 4 0 3 12 10 12 7 0 2 5 5 15 2 14 4 2 8 17 25 14
20 Barnsley 7 2 1 4 8 13 7 7 2 1 4 8 12 7 14 4 2 8 16 25 14
21 Peterborough 7 2 2 3 12 11 8 7 0 3 4 5 12 3 14 2 5 7 17 23 11
22 Reading 7 0 3 4 2 8 3 7 2 1 4 9 15 7 14 2 4 8 11 23 10
23 Plymouth 7 1 2 4 6 11 5 7 1 1 5 7 15 4 14 2 3 9 13 26 9
24 Ipswich 7 0 5 2 5 11 5 7 0 3 4 10 16 3 14 0 8 6 15 27 8

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 42% (value odds 2.36)

› Awaywin: 18% (value odds 5.50)

› Draw: 39% (value odds 2.54)

› Over: 52% (value odds 1.93)

› Under: 48% (value odds 2.07)

Expected Score:

› Ipswich: 1.51

› Derby: 1.36

› Total: 2.87


› Over: 57%

› Under: 43%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Ipswich) (Trends: 7 Stars: 11)

› Ipswich playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [won 11/ 16] [68.75%] [1*]
› Derby playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [lost 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Derby playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [lost 34/ 48] [70.83%] [2*]
› Derby playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 14/ 21] [66.67%] [1*]
› Derby playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. [lost 25/ 36] [69.44%] [1*]
› Derby after conceeding 2 or more in their last 2 matches the last 3 seasons. [lost 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Derby after losing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [lost 9/ 12] [75.00%] [2*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Derby) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring awaywin.

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 12 Stars: 26)

› Ipswich playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 5/ 10] [50.00%] [3*]
› Ipswich playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 8/ 14] [57.14%] [3*]
› Ipswich playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 5/ 7] [71.43%] [3*]
› Ipswich playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 37/ 104] [35.58%] [1*]
› Ipswich playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 20/ 52] [38.46%] [1*]
› Ipswich playing in weekend the current season. [draw 5/ 10] [50.00%] [3*]
› Ipswich playing in October the last 3 seasons. [draw 8/ 14] [57.14%] [3*]
› Ipswich playing in October at home the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 7] [57.14%] [3*]
› Ipswich playing in weekend at home the last 3 seasons. [draw 14/ 37] [37.84%] [1*]
› Ipswich playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 11] [36.36%] [1*]
› Ipswich playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 12/ 30] [40.00%] [2*]
› Derby playing in October at away the last 3 seasons. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 8 Stars: 14)

› Ipswich playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [over 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Ipswich playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [over 15/ 21] [71.43%] [2*]
› Ipswich after drawing in their last 2 homematches the last 3 seasons. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Derby playing against defensively poor teams the current season. [over 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Derby playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [over 15/ 24] [62.50%] [1*]
› Derby playing against defensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 7/ 9] [77.78%] [2*]
› Derby playing in weekend the current season. [over 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Derby after conceeding 2 or more in their last 2 matches the last 3 seasons. [over 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 7 Stars: 10)

› Ipswich playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [under 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Ipswich playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [under 19/ 30] [63.33%] [1*]
› Derby playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 18/ 30] [60.00%] [1*]
› Derby playing against poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 11/ 17] [64.71%] [1*]
› Derby playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 30/ 49] [61.22%] [1*]
› Derby playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 15/ 21] [71.43%] [2*]
› Derby playing in October at away the last 3 seasons. [under 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Ipswich
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1435.3
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1383.1
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1353.8

› Current ELO Rating: 1344.7

Derby
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1487.8
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1438.0
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1432.3

› Current ELO Rating: 1390.4

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ipswich 1485.0 1479.8 1460.6 1442.8 1435.3 1416.0 1409.9 1407.5 1383.1 1377.6 1361.6 1353.8 1345.2 1344.7
Derby 1510.8 1494.7 1494.7 1504.7 1487.8 1467.1 1445.6 1429.9 1438.0 1420.5 1434.9 1432.3 1413.6 1390.4

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Ipswich
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.87
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.72
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.70

› Current Power Rating: 9.70

Derby
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.95
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.90

› Current Power Rating: 9.80

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ipswich 9.97 9.97 9.92 9.87 9.87 9.82 9.82 9.82 9.72 9.72 9.70 9.70 9.70 9.70
Derby 10.03 10.00 10.00 10.03 10.00 9.97 9.95 9.92 9.95 9.82 9.90 9.90 9.85 9.80

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.43 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: -5 (indicates awaywin)

› Weighted Form System: -8 (indicates awaywin)

› Goal Superiority System: 2 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 0 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 2 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 0 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 36% (homewin) 50% (draw) 14% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.00 (indicates draw)

Stats for hometeam (Ipswich):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 14 0-8-6 15-27 8
› At home: 7 0-5-2 5-11 5

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 7-7
› At home: 2-5

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.07 goals per match
› At home: scoring 0.71 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.93 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.57 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LDLDDD 0-4-2
› Home: LDDLDD 0-4-2

ELO Rating: 1344.7

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 24 2009 away Plymouth 1-1 draw under
Oct 20 2009 home Watford 1-1 draw under
Oct 17 2009 home Swansea 1-1 draw under
Oct 03 2009 away Barnsley 1-2 lost over
Sep 29 2009 away Sheffield United 3-3 draw over
Sep 26 2009 home Newcastle 0-4 lost over
Sep 19 2009 away Doncaster 3-3 draw over
Sep 15 2009 home Nottingham Forest 1-1 draw under
Sep 12 2009 away Middlesbrough 1-3 lost over
Aug 29 2009 home Preston 1-1 draw under

Summary: 0-7-3 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 3.30 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 13-20

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Oct 20 2009 home Watford 1-1 draw under
Oct 17 2009 home Swansea 1-1 draw under
Sep 26 2009 home Newcastle 0-4 lost over
Sep 15 2009 home Nottingham Forest 1-1 draw under
Aug 29 2009 home Preston 1-1 draw under
Aug 18 2009 home Crystal Palace 1-3 lost over
Aug 15 2009 home Leicester 0-0 draw under
May 03 2009 home Coventry 2-1 won over
Apr 19 2009 home Norwich 3-2 won over
Apr 11 2009 home Doncaster 1-3 lost over

Summary: 2-5-3 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.80 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 11-17

Stats for awayteam (Derby):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 14 4-2-8 17-25 14
› At away: 7 0-2-5 5-15 2

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 8-6
› At away: 3-4

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.21 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.71 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.79 goals per match
› At away: allowing 2.14 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WLWDLL 2-1-3
› Away: DLLLDL 0-2-4

ELO Rating: 1390.4

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 24 2009 home Queens Park Rangers 2-4 lost over
Oct 20 2009 away Middlesbrough 0-2 lost under
Oct 17 2009 away Leicester 0-0 draw under
Oct 03 2009 home Sheffield Wednesday 3-0 won over
Sep 29 2009 away Cardiff 1-6 lost over
Sep 26 2009 home Bristol City 1-0 won under
Sep 19 2009 away Crystal Palace 0-1 lost under
Sep 15 2009 home Barnsley 2-3 lost over
Sep 12 2009 home Sheffield United 0-1 lost under
Aug 29 2009 away Nottingham Forest 2-3 lost over

Summary: 2-1-7 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 3.10 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 11-20

Last 10 Matches Away:

Oct 20 2009 away Middlesbrough 0-2 lost under
Oct 17 2009 away Leicester 0-0 draw under
Sep 29 2009 away Cardiff 1-6 lost over
Sep 19 2009 away Crystal Palace 0-1 lost under
Aug 29 2009 away Nottingham Forest 2-3 lost over
Aug 18 2009 away Blackpool 0-0 draw under
Aug 15 2009 away Scunthorpe 2-3 lost over
May 03 2009 away Watford 1-3 lost over
Apr 18 2009 away Crystal Palace 0-1 lost under
Apr 11 2009 away Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 won under

Summary: 1-2-7 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 7-19

History:

Overall History

Oct 14 1995 Derby - Ipswich 1-1 draw under
Apr 02 1996 Ipswich - Derby 1-0 homewin under
Dec 02 2000 Ipswich - Derby 0-1 awaywin under
May 19 2001 Derby - Ipswich 1-1 draw under
Aug 21 2001 Ipswich - Derby 3-1 homewin over
Jan 19 2002 Derby - Ipswich 1-3 awaywin over
Sep 28 2002 Ipswich - Derby 0-1 awaywin under
May 04 2003 Derby - Ipswich 1-4 awaywin over
Nov 08 2003 Derby - Ipswich 2-2 draw over
Dec 06 2003 Ipswich - Derby 2-1 homewin over
Aug 14 2004 Derby - Ipswich 3-2 homewin over
Apr 02 2005 Ipswich - Derby 3-2 homewin over
Nov 02 2005 Derby - Ipswich 3-3 draw over
Apr 22 2006 Ipswich - Derby 2-0 homewin under
Nov 29 2006 Derby - Ipswich 2-1 homewin over
Apr 14 2007 Ipswich - Derby 2-1 homewin over
Nov 22 2008 Ipswich - Derby 2-0 homewin under
Dec 28 2008 Derby - Ipswich 0-1 awaywin under

Summary (overall): 9-4-5 O-U: 10-8 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 3-0-1 O-U: 2-2 Avg. score: 2.25 Median score: 2.50

Trend: Ipswich is 10-4-4

Trend 3 years: Ipswich is 3-0-1

Home - Away History

Apr 02 1996 Ipswich - Derby 1-0 homewin under
Dec 02 2000 Ipswich - Derby 0-1 awaywin under
Aug 21 2001 Ipswich - Derby 3-1 homewin over
Sep 28 2002 Ipswich - Derby 0-1 awaywin under
Dec 06 2003 Ipswich - Derby 2-1 homewin over
Apr 02 2005 Ipswich - Derby 3-2 homewin over
Apr 22 2006 Ipswich - Derby 2-0 homewin under
Apr 14 2007 Ipswich - Derby 2-1 homewin over
Nov 22 2008 Ipswich - Derby 2-0 homewin under

Summary (overall): 7-0-2 O-U: 4-5 Avg. score: 2.44 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 2-0-0 O-U: 1-1 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.50

Trend: Ipswich is 7-0-2

Trend 3 years: Ipswich is 2-0-0