Index : Ipswich vs Derby

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

Sponsors:

SportsProfit
SportsProfit is a professional managed bettingadvice service and was launched in January 2008. The service invests in over/under bets. Click to visit!


Ipswich - Derby (1 - 0):

Championship League (England)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Ipswich) (Trends: 7 Stars: 11)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Derby) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 12 Stars: 26)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 8 Stars: 14)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 7 Stars: 10)

› Ipswich home: 0-5-2 5-11
› Ipswich form: 0-4-2 7-12
› Home form: 0-4-2 5-11

› Derby away: 0-2-5 5-15
› Derby form: 2-1-3 7-12
› Away form: 0-2-4 3-12

News:

Ipswich

2010-09-03 McAuley enjoying Ipswich life

Gareth McAuley believes Ipswich are now starting to reap the rewards of Roy Keane's fitness regime.

2010-08-28 Calamity James rides again

David James gifted Ipswich their opening goal as Roy Keane's side secured a 2-0 victory over Bristol City.

2010-08-28 Ipswich 2-0 Bristol City

A goalkeeping error from David James helps Ipswich beat Bristol City at Portman Road.

2010-08-28 Championship round-up

QPR fought back from two goals down, Cardiff made it three wins in a row while Ipswich also triumphed.

2010-08-26 Clegg praises Keane style

Ipswich chief executive Simon Clegg has praised Roy Keane's management style, despite calling him demanding.

2010-08-26 Lisbie - Ipswich time over

Millwall's on-loan striker Kevin Lisbie insists that his future lies away from parent club Ipswich Town.

2010-08-23 Scotland seals Town switch

Jason Scotland has completed his move to Ipswich Town from Wigan Athletic for an undisclosed fee.

2010-08-23 Stead flies to Robins

Bristol City have captured striker Jon Stead from Championship rivals Ipswich on a three-year deal.

2010-08-23 Bristol City sign striker Stead

Bristol City sign striker Jon Stead from fellow Championship side Ipswich Town on a three-year-deal.

2010-08-23 Town snap up Scotland

Skysports.com understands Ipswich have landed Wigan striker Jason Scotland.

Derby

2010-09-03 Rams hopeful over Commons

Derby are confident of agreeing a new deal with star midfielder Kris Commons.

2010-09-03 Hulse happy with Rangers move

QPR new boy Rob Hulse has spoken of his delight at joining the club from Championship rivals Derby.

2010-09-02 Clough hopeful on Wood

Nigel Clough has revealed Derby have a strong chance of landing West Brom striker Chris Wood.

2010-09-01 Nigel Clough Reveals Derby County Signed Alberto Bueno On Vicente Del Bosque’s Glowing Recommendation

Vicente del Bosque told Derby County to sign Alberto Bueno from Real Valladolid...

2010-08-31 Rams bring in Bueno

Derby County have completed the signing of Spanish striker Alberto Bueno on a season-long loan deal.

2010-08-31 Bueno se va cedido una temporada al Derby County

El Real Valladolid, Alberto Bueno y el Derby County han llegado a un acuerdo para que el delantero madrileño juegue cedido una temporada en el equipo inglés, que milita en la Segunda inglesa, según confirmó la página web del club vallisoletano.  Leer

2010-08-31 Foot - Transferts - A.Bueno prêté à Derby County

L'ancien attaquant du Real Madrid, Alberto Bueno, quitte Valladolid. Le club pucelano a prêté l'Espagnol de 22 ans pour...

2010-08-31 Rovers swoop for loan duo

Tranmere have completed the loan signings of Coventry defender Jermaine Grandison and Derby midfielder Arnaud Mendy.

2010-08-31 Hulse in Rangers talks

Skysports.com understands QPR are closing in on the signing of Derby striker Rob Hulse.

2010-08-30 Rams to bag Bueno

Derby County are hoping to have tied up a deal for Alberto Bueno before Tuesday's transfer deadline.

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Ipswich: Downtrend
Form: 0-4-2 (4 points, 0.67 avg)
Last 30 matches: 6-13-11 (31 points, 1.03 avg)

› Derby: Neutral
Form: 2-1-3 (7 points, 1.17 avg)
Last 30 matches: 9-6-15 (33 points, 1.10 avg)

Home/Away

› Ipswich: Downtrend
Home form: 0-4-2 (4 points, 0.67 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 3-8-4 (17 points, 1.13 avg)

› Derby: Downtrend
Away form: 0-2-4 (2 points, 0.33 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 2-3-10 (9 points, 0.60 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Newcastle 7 5 2 0 11 3 17 7 3 1 3 10 6 10 14 8 3 3 21 9 27
2 Cardiff 7 4 1 2 16 5 13 7 4 1 2 14 10 13 14 8 2 4 30 15 26
3 West Bromwich 7 4 1 2 12 6 13 7 3 3 1 12 7 12 14 7 4 3 24 13 25
4 Middlesbrough 7 3 1 3 7 8 10 7 4 2 1 15 7 14 14 7 3 4 22 15 24
5 Leicester 7 4 2 1 9 5 14 7 2 4 1 7 6 10 14 6 6 2 16 11 24
6 Bristol City 7 5 2 0 11 4 17 7 1 4 2 6 9 7 14 6 6 2 17 13 24
7 Queens Park Rangers 6 3 3 0 16 6 12 7 3 2 2 9 7 11 13 6 5 2 25 13 23
8 Blackpool 7 5 2 0 13 2 17 7 1 3 3 6 11 6 14 6 5 3 19 13 23
9 Nottingham Forest 7 4 0 3 9 8 12 7 2 5 0 7 5 11 14 6 5 3 16 13 23
10 Preston 7 3 3 1 12 8 12 7 3 2 2 10 11 11 14 6 5 3 22 19 23
11 Watford 7 2 3 2 13 14 9 7 3 3 1 9 7 12 14 5 6 3 22 21 21
12 Swansea 7 2 4 1 5 5 10 7 2 3 2 4 5 9 14 4 7 3 9 10 19
13 Sheffield United 7 2 4 1 15 13 10 7 2 1 4 8 12 7 14 4 5 5 23 25 17
14 Crystal Palace 7 2 3 2 7 9 9 6 2 2 2 6 6 8 13 4 5 4 13 15 17
15 Coventry 7 2 4 1 9 8 10 7 2 1 4 7 12 7 14 4 5 5 16 20 17
16 Scunthorpe 7 4 1 2 13 10 13 7 1 1 5 6 16 4 14 5 2 7 19 26 17
17 Sheffield Wednesday 7 3 2 2 14 9 11 7 1 2 4 7 13 5 14 4 4 6 21 22 16
18 Doncaster 7 2 4 1 9 6 10 7 0 4 3 6 11 4 14 2 8 4 15 17 14
19 Derby 7 4 0 3 12 10 12 7 0 2 5 5 15 2 14 4 2 8 17 25 14
20 Barnsley 7 2 1 4 8 13 7 7 2 1 4 8 12 7 14 4 2 8 16 25 14
21 Peterborough 7 2 2 3 12 11 8 7 0 3 4 5 12 3 14 2 5 7 17 23 11
22 Reading 7 0 3 4 2 8 3 7 2 1 4 9 15 7 14 2 4 8 11 23 10
23 Plymouth 7 1 2 4 6 11 5 7 1 1 5 7 15 4 14 2 3 9 13 26 9
24 Ipswich 7 0 5 2 5 11 5 7 0 3 4 10 16 3 14 0 8 6 15 27 8

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 42% (value odds 2.36)

› Awaywin: 18% (value odds 5.50)

› Draw: 39% (value odds 2.54)

› Over: 52% (value odds 1.93)

› Under: 48% (value odds 2.07)

Expected Score:

› Ipswich: 1.51

› Derby: 1.36

› Total: 2.87


› Over: 57%

› Under: 43%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Ipswich) (Trends: 7 Stars: 11)

› Ipswich playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [won 11/ 16] [68.75%] [1*]
› Derby playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [lost 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Derby playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [lost 34/ 48] [70.83%] [2*]
› Derby playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 14/ 21] [66.67%] [1*]
› Derby playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. [lost 25/ 36] [69.44%] [1*]
› Derby after conceeding 2 or more in their last 2 matches the last 3 seasons. [lost 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Derby after losing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [lost 9/ 12] [75.00%] [2*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Derby) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring awaywin.

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 12 Stars: 26)

› Ipswich playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 5/ 10] [50.00%] [3*]
› Ipswich playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 8/ 14] [57.14%] [3*]
› Ipswich playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 5/ 7] [71.43%] [3*]
› Ipswich playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 37/ 104] [35.58%] [1*]
› Ipswich playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 20/ 52] [38.46%] [1*]
› Ipswich playing in weekend the current season. [draw 5/ 10] [50.00%] [3*]
› Ipswich playing in October the last 3 seasons. [draw 8/ 14] [57.14%] [3*]
› Ipswich playing in October at home the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 7] [57.14%] [3*]
› Ipswich playing in weekend at home the last 3 seasons. [draw 14/ 37] [37.84%] [1*]
› Ipswich playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 11] [36.36%] [1*]
› Ipswich playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 12/ 30] [40.00%] [2*]
› Derby playing in October at away the last 3 seasons. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 8 Stars: 14)

› Ipswich playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [over 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Ipswich playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [over 15/ 21] [71.43%] [2*]
› Ipswich after drawing in their last 2 homematches the last 3 seasons. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Derby playing against defensively poor teams the current season. [over 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Derby playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [over 15/ 24] [62.50%] [1*]
› Derby playing against defensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 7/ 9] [77.78%] [2*]
› Derby playing in weekend the current season. [over 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Derby after conceeding 2 or more in their last 2 matches the last 3 seasons. [over 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 7 Stars: 10)

› Ipswich playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [under 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Ipswich playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [under 19/ 30] [63.33%] [1*]
› Derby playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 18/ 30] [60.00%] [1*]
› Derby playing against poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 11/ 17] [64.71%] [1*]
› Derby playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 30/ 49] [61.22%] [1*]
› Derby playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 15/ 21] [71.43%] [2*]
› Derby playing in October at away the last 3 seasons. [under 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Ipswich
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1435.3
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1383.1
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1353.8

› Current ELO Rating: 1344.7

Derby
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1487.8
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1438.0
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1432.3

› Current ELO Rating: 1390.4

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ipswich 1485.0 1479.8 1460.6 1442.8 1435.3 1416.0 1409.9 1407.5 1383.1 1377.6 1361.6 1353.8 1345.2 1344.7
Derby 1510.8 1494.7 1494.7 1504.7 1487.8 1467.1 1445.6 1429.9 1438.0 1420.5 1434.9 1432.3 1413.6 1390.4

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Ipswich
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.87
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.72
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.70

› Current Power Rating: 9.70

Derby
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.95
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.90

› Current Power Rating: 9.80

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ipswich 9.97 9.97 9.92 9.87 9.87 9.82 9.82 9.82 9.72 9.72 9.70 9.70 9.70 9.70
Derby 10.03 10.00 10.00 10.03 10.00 9.97 9.95 9.92 9.95 9.82 9.90 9.90 9.85 9.80

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.43 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: -5 (indicates awaywin)

› Weighted Form System: -8 (indicates awaywin)

› Goal Superiority System: 2 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 0 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 2 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 0 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 36% (homewin) 50% (draw) 14% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.00 (indicates draw)

Stats for hometeam (Ipswich):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 14 0-8-6 15-27 8
› At home: 7 0-5-2 5-11 5

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 7-7
› At home: 2-5

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.07 goals per match
› At home: scoring 0.71 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.93 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.57 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LDLDDD 0-4-2
› Home: LDDLDD 0-4-2

ELO Rating: 1344.7

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 24 2009 away Plymouth 1-1 draw under
Oct 20 2009 home Watford 1-1 draw under
Oct 17 2009 home Swansea 1-1 draw under
Oct 03 2009 away Barnsley 1-2 lost over
Sep 29 2009 away Sheffield United 3-3 draw over
Sep 26 2009 home Newcastle 0-4 lost over
Sep 19 2009 away Doncaster 3-3 draw over
Sep 15 2009 home Nottingham Forest 1-1 draw under
Sep 12 2009 away Middlesbrough 1-3 lost over
Aug 29 2009 home Preston 1-1 draw under

Summary: 0-7-3 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 3.30 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 13-20

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Oct 20 2009 home Watford 1-1 draw under
Oct 17 2009 home Swansea 1-1 draw under
Sep 26 2009 home Newcastle 0-4 lost over
Sep 15 2009 home Nottingham Forest 1-1 draw under
Aug 29 2009 home Preston 1-1 draw under
Aug 18 2009 home Crystal Palace 1-3 lost over
Aug 15 2009 home Leicester 0-0 draw under
May 03 2009 home Coventry 2-1 won over
Apr 19 2009 home Norwich 3-2 won over
Apr 11 2009 home Doncaster 1-3 lost over

Summary: 2-5-3 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.80 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 11-17

Stats for awayteam (Derby):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 14 4-2-8 17-25 14
› At away: 7 0-2-5 5-15 2

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 8-6
› At away: 3-4

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.21 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.71 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.79 goals per match
› At away: allowing 2.14 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WLWDLL 2-1-3
› Away: DLLLDL 0-2-4

ELO Rating: 1390.4

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 24 2009 home Queens Park Rangers 2-4 lost over
Oct 20 2009 away Middlesbrough 0-2 lost under
Oct 17 2009 away Leicester 0-0 draw under
Oct 03 2009 home Sheffield Wednesday 3-0 won over
Sep 29 2009 away Cardiff 1-6 lost over
Sep 26 2009 home Bristol City 1-0 won under
Sep 19 2009 away Crystal Palace 0-1 lost under
Sep 15 2009 home Barnsley 2-3 lost over
Sep 12 2009 home Sheffield United 0-1 lost under
Aug 29 2009 away Nottingham Forest 2-3 lost over

Summary: 2-1-7 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 3.10 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 11-20

Last 10 Matches Away:

Oct 20 2009 away Middlesbrough 0-2 lost under
Oct 17 2009 away Leicester 0-0 draw under
Sep 29 2009 away Cardiff 1-6 lost over
Sep 19 2009 away Crystal Palace 0-1 lost under
Aug 29 2009 away Nottingham Forest 2-3 lost over
Aug 18 2009 away Blackpool 0-0 draw under
Aug 15 2009 away Scunthorpe 2-3 lost over
May 03 2009 away Watford 1-3 lost over
Apr 18 2009 away Crystal Palace 0-1 lost under
Apr 11 2009 away Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 won under

Summary: 1-2-7 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 7-19

History:

Overall History

Oct 14 1995 Derby - Ipswich 1-1 draw under
Apr 02 1996 Ipswich - Derby 1-0 homewin under
Dec 02 2000 Ipswich - Derby 0-1 awaywin under
May 19 2001 Derby - Ipswich 1-1 draw under
Aug 21 2001 Ipswich - Derby 3-1 homewin over
Jan 19 2002 Derby - Ipswich 1-3 awaywin over
Sep 28 2002 Ipswich - Derby 0-1 awaywin under
May 04 2003 Derby - Ipswich 1-4 awaywin over
Nov 08 2003 Derby - Ipswich 2-2 draw over
Dec 06 2003 Ipswich - Derby 2-1 homewin over
Aug 14 2004 Derby - Ipswich 3-2 homewin over
Apr 02 2005 Ipswich - Derby 3-2 homewin over
Nov 02 2005 Derby - Ipswich 3-3 draw over
Apr 22 2006 Ipswich - Derby 2-0 homewin under
Nov 29 2006 Derby - Ipswich 2-1 homewin over
Apr 14 2007 Ipswich - Derby 2-1 homewin over
Nov 22 2008 Ipswich - Derby 2-0 homewin under
Dec 28 2008 Derby - Ipswich 0-1 awaywin under

Summary (overall): 9-4-5 O-U: 10-8 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 3-0-1 O-U: 2-2 Avg. score: 2.25 Median score: 2.50

Trend: Ipswich is 10-4-4

Trend 3 years: Ipswich is 3-0-1

Home - Away History

Apr 02 1996 Ipswich - Derby 1-0 homewin under
Dec 02 2000 Ipswich - Derby 0-1 awaywin under
Aug 21 2001 Ipswich - Derby 3-1 homewin over
Sep 28 2002 Ipswich - Derby 0-1 awaywin under
Dec 06 2003 Ipswich - Derby 2-1 homewin over
Apr 02 2005 Ipswich - Derby 3-2 homewin over
Apr 22 2006 Ipswich - Derby 2-0 homewin under
Apr 14 2007 Ipswich - Derby 2-1 homewin over
Nov 22 2008 Ipswich - Derby 2-0 homewin under

Summary (overall): 7-0-2 O-U: 4-5 Avg. score: 2.44 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 2-0-0 O-U: 1-1 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.50

Trend: Ipswich is 7-0-2

Trend 3 years: Ipswich is 2-0-0