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Monday 8th @ 12:01 CET Weekend results have been added and the midweek fixtures corrected. I've also posted a 72% winner over at SportsProfit.com - Jensen (admin) |
Consensus:
Summary of current votes
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› Trends favouring homewin (Bristol City) (Trends: 10 Stars: 16)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Sheffield Wednesday) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 11 Stars: 23)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 6 Stars: 9)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 9 Stars: 11)
› Bristol City home:
5-2-0
11-4
› Bristol City form:
3-2-1
9-5
› Home form:
4-2-0
10-4
› Sheffield Wednesday away:
1-2-4
7-13
› Sheffield Wednesday form:
2-1-3
7-10
› Away form:
1-1-4
6-12
Skysports.com understands Bristol City keeper Adriano Basso could be available on a free in this month's transfer window
On-loan Derby midfielder Lee Johnson is hoping to make an impact at Pride Park after moving from Bristol City.
Exeter City have added former Bristol City midfielder David Noble to their squad on a free transfer.
Derby County sign Bristol City midfielder Lee Johnson on a one-month loan deal.
Derby County have raided Championship rivals Bristol City to sign Lee Johnson on loan.
Preview followed by live coverage of Saturday's game between Bristol City and Cardiff in the FA Cup.
Swansea are waiting for Bristol City striker Lee Trundle to decide on staying until the end of the season.
Bristol City boss Gary Johnson may have to recall Christian Ribeiro from his loan spell at Stockport.
Bristol City boss Gary Johnson was fuming at Lewin Nyatanga's "unprofessional" sending off against Watford.
John Eustace's last-gasp goal earned Watford a 2-2 draw with Bristol City at Ashton Gate.
Ten young Australian footballers are being given the chance to earn an Academy contract at Sheffield Wednesday.
Neil Warnock has refused to rule himself out of the running for the vacant Sheffield Wednesday post.
Former Newcastle United manager Alan Shearer has rubbished rumours of him joining Sheffield Wednesday.
O Swansea, comandado por Paulo Sousa, caiu este sábado na terceira ronda da Taça de Inglaterra, ao ser derrotado na deslocação a Leicester por 2-1. Já Filipe Teixeira participou na vitória do West Bromwich Albion diante do Huddersfield Town (2-0), assim como José Fonte na vitória do Crystal Palace frente ao Sheffield Wednesday (2-1).
Sheffield Wednesday have extended Stoke midfielder Tom Soares' loan spell at Hillsborough until January 25.
Sheffield Wednesday remain in talks with Derby about bringing Luke Varney back to Hillsborough.
Derby striker Luke Varney is keen to return to Sheffield Wednesday following the end of his loan deal.
Darren Ferguson has declared an interest in the vacancy at Sheffield Wednesday.
Sheffield Wednesday caretaker manager Sean McAuley was delighted after the 2-2 draw against Newcastle.
Sheffield Wednesday scored for the first time since early November to hold runaway Championship leaders Newcastle to a 2-2 draw at Hillsborough on Saturday.
We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.
› Bristol City: Uptrend
Form: 3-2-1
(11 points, 1.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 10-11-9
(41 points, 1.37 avg)
› Sheffield Wednesday: Neutral
Form: 2-1-3
(7 points, 1.17 avg)
Last 30 matches: 10-8-12
(38 points, 1.27 avg)
› Bristol City: Neutral
Home form: 4-2-0
(14 points, 2.33 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 8-7-0
(31 points, 2.07 avg)
› Sheffield Wednesday: Downtrend
Away form: 1-1-4
(4 points, 0.67 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 4-5-6
(17 points, 1.13 avg)
| Home | Away | All | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matches | Goals | Matches | Goals | Matches | Goals | |||||||||||||||||
| All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | All | W | D | L | For | Aga | Pts | ||
| 1 | Newcastle | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 15 | 26 |
| 3 | West Bromwich | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 13 | 25 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 24 |
| 5 | Leicester | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 24 |
| 6 | Bristol City | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 24 |
| 7 | Queens Park Rangers | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 23 |
| 8 | Blackpool | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 23 |
| 9 | Nottingham Forest | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 23 |
| 10 | Preston | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 23 |
| 11 | Watford | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 21 | 21 |
| 12 | Swansea | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| 13 | Sheffield United | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 25 | 17 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 17 |
| 15 | Coventry | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 17 |
| 16 | Scunthorpe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 17 |
| 17 | Sheffield Wednesday | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 22 | 16 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 14 |
| 19 | Derby | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 14 |
| 20 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 25 | 14 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | 11 |
| 22 | Reading | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 10 |
| 23 | Plymouth | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 9 |
| 24 | Ipswich | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 8 |
The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.
› Homewin: 42% (value odds 2.36)
› Awaywin: 15% (value odds 6.87)
› Draw: 43% (value odds 2.33)
› Over: 38% (value odds 2.60)
› Under: 62% (value odds 1.63)
› Bristol City: 1.65
› Sheffield Wednesday: 0.89
› Total: 2.54
› Over: 51%
› Under: 49%
When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.
| › Bristol City playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. | [won | 5/ | 7] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Bristol City playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. | [won | 14/ | 22] | [63.64%] | [1*] |
| › Bristol City playing against poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [won | 6/ | 9] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Bristol City playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. | [won | 8/ | 13] | [61.54%] | [1*] |
| › Bristol City playing in October at home the last 3 seasons. | [won | 5/ | 7] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Sheffield Wednesday playing against good teams the current season. | [lost | 4/ | 6] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Sheffield Wednesday playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 10/ | 15] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Sheffield Wednesday playing against defensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 9/ | 12] | [75.00%] | [2*] |
| › Sheffield Wednesday playing in October the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 10/ | 14] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Sheffield Wednesday playing in October at away the last 3 seasons. | [lost | 6/ | 7] | [85.71%] | [3*] |
| › Bristol City playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. | [draw | 4/ | 10] | [40.00%] | [2*] |
| › Bristol City playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. | [draw | 6/ | 14] | [42.86%] | [2*] |
| › Bristol City playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 22/ | 52] | [42.31%] | [2*] |
| › Bristol City playing in weekend the current season. | [draw | 5/ | 10] | [50.00%] | [3*] |
| › Bristol City playing in weekend at home the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 15/ | 36] | [41.67%] | [2*] |
| › Bristol City playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 8/ | 19] | [42.11%] | [2*] |
| › Bristol City playing against offensively average awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 12/ | 26] | [46.15%] | [3*] |
| › Bristol City after winning in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 9/ | 14] | [64.29%] | [3*] |
| › Sheffield Wednesday playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 14/ | 35] | [40.00%] | [2*] |
| › Sheffield Wednesday playing against offensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 7/ | 20] | [35.00%] | [1*] |
| › Sheffield Wednesday playing 2 awaymatches in a row the last 3 seasons. | [draw | 5/ | 13] | [38.46%] | [1*] |
| › Sheffield Wednesday playing against good teams the current season. | [over | 4/ | 6] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
| › Sheffield Wednesday playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. | [over | 9/ | 15] | [60.00%] | [1*] |
| › Sheffield Wednesday playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. | [over | 9/ | 14] | [64.29%] | [1*] |
| › Sheffield Wednesday playing in weekend the current season. | [over | 7/ | 10] | [70.00%] | [2*] |
| › Sheffield Wednesday playing in October the last 3 seasons. | [over | 9/ | 14] | [64.29%] | [1*] |
| › Sheffield Wednesday playing in October at away the last 3 seasons. | [over | 6/ | 7] | [85.71%] | [3*] |
| › Bristol City playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. | [under | 6/ | 10] | [60.00%] | [1*] |
| › Bristol City playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. | [under | 9/ | 14] | [64.29%] | [1*] |
| › Bristol City playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. | [under | 5/ | 7] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Bristol City playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. | [under | 32/ | 52] | [61.54%] | [1*] |
| › Bristol City playing in weekend the current season. | [under | 6/ | 10] | [60.00%] | [1*] |
| › Bristol City playing in October at home the last 3 seasons. | [under | 5/ | 7] | [71.43%] | [2*] |
| › Bristol City playing against offensively average awayteams the last 3 seasons. | [under | 17/ | 26] | [65.38%] | [1*] |
| › Bristol City after winning in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. | [under | 9/ | 14] | [64.29%] | [1*] |
| › Sheffield Wednesday after conceeding 2 or more in their last 2 awaymatches the last 3 seasons. | [under | 4/ | 6] | [66.67%] | [1*] |
The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.
Bristol City
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1513.9
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1486.6
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1489.1
› Current ELO Rating: 1509.5
Sheffield Wednesday
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1519.2
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1490.3
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1487.5
› Current ELO Rating: 1452.4
| Match | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | 1500.0 | 1510.6 | 1520.8 | 1505.0 | 1513.9 | 1513.0 | 1510.3 | 1504.8 | 1486.6 | 1500.5 | 1497.4 | 1489.1 | 1498.3 | 1509.5 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 1495.8 | 1495.3 | 1479.3 | 1499.2 | 1519.2 | 1513.1 | 1492.5 | 1476.2 | 1490.3 | 1489.9 | 1472.0 | 1487.5 | 1467.7 | 1452.4 |
A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.
Bristol City
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.98
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.03
› Current Power Rating: 10.10
Sheffield Wednesday
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.13
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.10
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.08
› Current Power Rating: 9.98
| Match | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | 10.00 | 10.03 | 10.05 | 9.98 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 9.98 | 10.03 | 10.03 | 10.03 | 10.08 | 10.10 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 10.00 | 10.00 | 9.97 | 10.07 | 10.13 | 10.13 | 10.07 | 10.05 | 10.10 | 10.10 | 10.03 | 10.08 | 10.05 | 9.98 |
Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.
› Point Ratio System: 1.71 (indicates homewin)
Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 14 6-6-2 17-13 24
› At home: 7 5-2-0 11-4 17
Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 5-9
› At home: 2-5
Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.21 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.57 goals per match
Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 0.93 goals per match
› At home: allowing 0.57 goals per match
Form:
› Overall:
LWDDWW
3-2-1
› Home:
WWDWDW
4-2-0
ELO Rating: 1509.5
Last 10 Matches Overall:
| Oct 24 2009 | away | Barnsley | 3-2 | won | over |
| Oct 20 2009 | home | Plymouth | 3-1 | won | over |
| Oct 17 2009 | home | Peterborough | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Oct 03 2009 | away | Newcastle | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Sep 29 2009 | home | Blackpool | 2-0 | won | under |
| Sep 26 2009 | away | Derby | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Sep 19 2009 | home | Scunthorpe | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Sep 15 2009 | away | Swansea | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Sep 12 2009 | away | Coventry | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Aug 29 2009 | home | Middlesbrough | 2-1 | won | over |
Summary: 4-5-1 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 2.10 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 13-8
Last 10 Matches At Home:
| Oct 20 2009 | home | Plymouth | 3-1 | won | over |
| Oct 17 2009 | home | Peterborough | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Sep 29 2009 | home | Blackpool | 2-0 | won | under |
| Sep 19 2009 | home | Scunthorpe | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Aug 29 2009 | home | Middlesbrough | 2-1 | won | over |
| Aug 18 2009 | home | Queens Park Rangers | 1-0 | won | under |
| Aug 15 2009 | home | Crystal Palace | 1-0 | won | under |
| Apr 25 2009 | home | Sheffield Wednesday | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Apr 13 2009 | home | Ipswich | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Apr 04 2009 | home | Preston | 1-1 | draw | under |
Summary: 5-5-0 O-U: 2-8 Avg. score: 2.10 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 14-7
Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 14 4-4-6 21-22 16
› At away: 7 1-2-4 7-13 5
Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 9-5
› At away: 4-3
Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.50 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.00 goals per match
Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.57 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.86 goals per match
Form:
› Overall:
WDLWLL
2-1-3
› Away:
LWLDLL
1-1-4
ELO Rating: 1452.4
Last 10 Matches Overall:
| Oct 23 2009 | away | Watford | 1-4 | lost | over |
| Oct 20 2009 | home | Preston | 1-2 | lost | over |
| Oct 17 2009 | home | Coventry | 2-0 | won | under |
| Oct 03 2009 | away | Derby | 0-3 | lost | over |
| Sep 29 2009 | away | Crystal Palace | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Sep 26 2009 | home | Cardiff | 3-1 | won | over |
| Sep 18 2009 | away | Sheffield United | 2-3 | lost | over |
| Sep 15 2009 | home | Middlesbrough | 1-3 | lost | over |
| Sep 12 2009 | home | Nottingham Forest | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Aug 29 2009 | away | Plymouth | 3-1 | won | over |
Summary: 3-2-5 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 3.20 Median score: 4.00 Goals: 14-18
Last 10 Matches Away:
| Oct 23 2009 | away | Watford | 1-4 | lost | over |
| Oct 03 2009 | away | Derby | 0-3 | lost | over |
| Sep 29 2009 | away | Crystal Palace | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Sep 18 2009 | away | Sheffield United | 2-3 | lost | over |
| Aug 29 2009 | away | Plymouth | 3-1 | won | over |
| Aug 19 2009 | away | Newcastle | 0-1 | lost | under |
| Aug 15 2009 | away | Peterborough | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Apr 25 2009 | away | Bristol City | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Apr 13 2009 | away | Queens Park Rangers | 2-3 | lost | over |
| Apr 04 2009 | away | Norwich | 1-0 | won | under |
Summary: 2-3-5 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.80 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 11-17
| Oct 25 2003 | Bristol City - Sheffield Wednesday | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Feb 28 2004 | Sheffield Wednesday - Bristol City | 1-0 | homewin | under |
| Nov 27 2004 | Bristol City - Sheffield Wednesday | 1-4 | awaywin | over |
| May 07 2005 | Sheffield Wednesday - Bristol City | 2-3 | awaywin | over |
| Sep 01 2007 | Sheffield Wednesday - Bristol City | 0-1 | awaywin | under |
| Feb 09 2008 | Bristol City - Sheffield Wednesday | 2-1 | homewin | over |
| Dec 13 2008 | Sheffield Wednesday - Bristol City | 0-0 | draw | under |
| Apr 25 2009 | Bristol City - Sheffield Wednesday | 1-1 | draw | under |
Summary (overall): 2-3-3 O-U: 3-5 Avg. score: 2.38 Median score: 2.00
Summary (3 years): 1-2-1 O-U: 1-3 Avg. score: 1.50 Median score: 1.50
Trend: Bristol City is 3-3-2
Trend 3 years: Bristol City is 2-2-0
| Oct 25 2003 | Bristol City - Sheffield Wednesday | 1-1 | draw | under |
| Nov 27 2004 | Bristol City - Sheffield Wednesday | 1-4 | awaywin | over |
| Feb 09 2008 | Bristol City - Sheffield Wednesday | 2-1 | homewin | over |
| Apr 25 2009 | Bristol City - Sheffield Wednesday | 1-1 | draw | under |
Summary (overall): 1-2-1 O-U: 2-2 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 2.50
Summary (3 years): 1-1-0 O-U: 1-1 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.50
Trend: Neither team is favoured based on history.
Trend 3 years: Bristol City is 1-1-0