Monday 8th @ 12:01 CET

Weekend results have been added and the midweek fixtures corrected. I've also posted a 72% winner over at SportsProfit.com - Jensen (admin)
Index : Brøndby vs Esbjerg

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Brøndby - Esbjerg (2 - 4):

Superligaen (Denmark)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Brøndby) (Trends: 6 Stars: 11)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Esbjerg) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 8 Stars: 15)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 14 Stars: 22)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 3 Stars: 5)

› Brøndby home: 4-2-1 19-10
› Brøndby form: 4-1-1 15-11
› Home form: 4-1-1 17-8

› Esbjerg away: 3-3-1 12-7
› Esbjerg form: 3-2-1 12-6
› Away form: 3-2-1 12-7

News:

Brøndby

2009-12-12 'Lindgren ziet overgang naar Brøndby wel zitten'

Rasmus Lindgren komt dit seizoen niet veel aan spelen toe onder trainer Martin Jol, terwijl hij onder Marco van Basten nog de nodige minuten pakte. De middenvelder kwam twee seizoenen geleden samen met Bruno Silva over van FC Groningen. Omdat Lindgren wienig aan spelen toekomt in Amsterdam, wil h...

2009-12-12 Lindgren bevestigt: 'Brøndby heeft interesse in me'

De kans dat Rasmus Lindgren in de aankomende transferperiode Ajax gaat verlaten, lijkt groter en groter te worden. Nadat anderhalve week geleden naar buiten kwam dat Brøndby en enkele Zweedse clubs in...

2009-11-30 'Overgang van Boilesen naar Ajax zo goed als rond'

De overgang van Nicolai Boilesen naar Ajax lijkt een kwestie van tijd. Eerder was de Deen al mondeling akkoord met de Amsterdammers en nu zijn ook beide clubs eruit. Het is onbekend hoeveel Brøndby IF ontvangt voor de verdediger. "We zijn blij dat de clubs met elkaar tot overeenstemming zijn gek...

2009-11-25 Ajax wil Deen Boilesen al in winterstop naar Amsterdam halen

Ajax heeft Nicolai Boilesen bijna binnen. De Deense verdediger heeft zijn zinnen gezet op een overgang naar Amsterdam en weet dat zijn huidige club Brøndby IF probeert een akkoord te bereiken met ...

2009-11-22 Ajax trekt zeventienjarig Deens talent Boilesen aan

De Nederlandse topclub Ajax heeft zich met het oog op de toekomst versterkt met Nicolai Boilesen. De zeventienjarige Deen vertrekt transfervrij bij zijn huidige club Brøndby IF om naar Amsterdam te komen. In het Deense medium Ekstra Bladet zegt het talent dat hij blij is dat zijn toekomst in de ...

2009-11-22 'Ajax en Brøndby steggelen over opleidingskosten Boilesen'

Na Christian Eriksen lijkt Ajax opnieuw een Deens talent aan haar gelederen toe te voegen. Volgens diverse media in het Scandinavische land neemt de Amsterdamse club de zeventienjarige Nicolai Boi...

Esbjerg

2009-12-31 Reading clinch Thorvaldsson deal

Reading complete the loan signing of Iceland international striker Gunnar Thorvaldsson from Danish side Esbjerg.

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Brøndby: Neutral
Form: 4-1-1 (13 points, 2.17 avg)
Last 30 matches: 17-5-8 (56 points, 1.87 avg)

› Esbjerg: Neutral
Form: 3-2-1 (11 points, 1.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 13-8-9 (47 points, 1.57 avg)

Home/Away

› Brøndby: Neutral
Home form: 4-1-1 (13 points, 2.17 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 9-3-3 (30 points, 2.00 avg)

› Esbjerg: Uptrend
Away form: 3-2-1 (11 points, 1.83 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 4-6-5 (18 points, 1.20 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 OB Odense 7 5 2 0 11 4 17 7 3 3 1 13 10 12 14 8 5 1 24 14 29
2 København 7 4 2 1 15 5 14 7 4 2 1 10 5 14 14 8 4 2 25 10 28
3 Esbjerg 7 5 1 1 13 7 16 7 3 3 1 12 7 12 14 8 4 2 25 14 28
4 Brøndby 7 4 2 1 19 10 14 7 4 1 2 13 11 13 14 8 3 3 32 21 27
5 Silkeborg 6 3 2 1 16 8 11 8 3 3 2 9 9 12 14 6 5 3 25 17 23
6 AGF Aarhus 8 3 3 2 13 14 12 6 3 0 3 8 7 9 14 6 3 5 21 21 21
7 AaB Aalborg 7 3 1 3 6 6 10 7 3 1 3 12 6 10 14 6 2 6 18 12 20
8 SønderjyskE 7 3 2 2 6 6 11 7 1 1 5 5 10 4 14 4 3 7 11 16 15
9 Midtjylland 7 3 1 3 9 11 10 7 1 2 4 8 14 5 14 4 3 7 17 25 15
10 Nordsjælland 7 2 1 4 7 11 7 7 2 1 4 8 11 7 14 4 2 8 15 22 14
11 HB Køge 6 1 2 3 4 12 5 8 0 2 6 8 23 2 14 1 4 9 12 35 7
12 Randers 8 0 2 6 6 16 2 6 0 2 4 4 12 2 14 0 4 10 10 28 4

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 47% (value odds 2.13)

› Awaywin: 28% (value odds 3.63)

› Draw: 26% (value odds 3.92)

› Over: 64% (value odds 1.56)

› Under: 36% (value odds 2.78)

Expected Score:

› Brøndby: 1.80

› Esbjerg: 1.74

› Total: 3.55


› Over: 71%

› Under: 29%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Brøndby) (Trends: 6 Stars: 11)

› Brøndby playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [won 23/ 37] [62.16%] [1*]
› Brøndby playing in November the last 3 seasons. [won 7/ 9] [77.78%] [2*]
› Brøndby playing in weekend at home the last 3 seasons. [won 20/ 33] [60.61%] [1*]
› Brøndby after drawing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [won 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Esbjerg playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 15/ 20] [75.00%] [2*]
› Esbjerg playing against offensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 15/ 20] [75.00%] [2*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Esbjerg) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Esbjerg playing against defensively average teams the current season. [won 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 8 Stars: 15)

› Brøndby playing against teams with good form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 3/ 6] [50.00%] [3*]
› Esbjerg playing against teams with good form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Esbjerg playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Esbjerg playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 13/ 37] [35.14%] [1*]
› Esbjerg playing in weekend at away the current season. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Esbjerg playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. [draw 11/ 31] [35.48%] [1*]
› Esbjerg playing against defensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 17] [35.29%] [1*]
› Esbjerg after drawing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 7] [57.14%] [3*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 14 Stars: 22)

› Brøndby playing against teams with good form the last 6 matches the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Brøndby playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [over 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Brøndby playing in weekend the current season. [over 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Brøndby playing in November the last 3 seasons. [over 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Brøndby after drawing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [over 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Esbjerg playing against good teams the current season. [over 6/ 8] [75.00%] [2*]
› Esbjerg playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. [over 21/ 35] [60.00%] [1*]
› Esbjerg playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 14/ 20] [70.00%] [2*]
› Esbjerg playing against defensively average teams the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Esbjerg playing against offensively good teams the current season. [over 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Esbjerg playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [over 25/ 37] [67.57%] [1*]
› Esbjerg playing against offensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 15/ 20] [75.00%] [2*]
› Esbjerg playing against teams with good form the last 6 matches the current season. [over 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Esbjerg playing in November the last 3 seasons. [over 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 3 Stars: 5)

› Brøndby playing against good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 10/ 13] [76.92%] [2*]
› Brøndby playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [under 14/ 23] [60.87%] [1*]
› Brøndby playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 9/ 12] [75.00%] [2*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Brøndby
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1497.5
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1540.8
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1529.6

› Current ELO Rating: 1553.2

Esbjerg
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1505.0
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1560.4
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1552.0

› Current ELO Rating: 1557.4

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Brøndby 1495.8 1480.6 1496.8 1476.9 1497.5 1514.5 1514.2 1523.4 1540.8 1524.0 1538.2 1529.6 1543.0 1553.2
Esbjerg 1500.0 1510.6 1510.0 1490.6 1505.0 1518.4 1528.7 1535.9 1560.4 1569.5 1553.2 1552.0 1561.9 1557.4

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Brøndby
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.03
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.23
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.23

› Current Power Rating: 10.28

Esbjerg
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.03
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.23
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.23

› Current Power Rating: 10.28

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Brøndby 10.00 9.97 10.03 9.97 10.03 10.15 10.15 10.18 10.23 10.15 10.23 10.23 10.25 10.28
Esbjerg 10.00 10.03 10.03 10.00 10.03 10.08 10.10 10.13 10.23 10.25 10.23 10.23 10.28 10.28

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.29 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: 3 (indicates homewin)

› Weighted Form System: 18 (indicates homewin)

› Goal Superiority System: 1 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: -2 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 5 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 3 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 36% (homewin) 36% (draw) 29% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.83 (indicates awaywin)

Stats for hometeam (Brøndby):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 14 8-3-3 32-21 27
› At home: 7 4-2-1 19-10 14

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 9-5
› At home: 4-3

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 2.29 goals per match
› At home: scoring 2.71 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.50 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.43 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WLWDWW 4-1-1
› Home: WLWWWD 4-1-1

ELO Rating: 1553.2

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Nov 01 2009 away Nordsjælland 1-0 won under
Oct 25 2009 away AaB Aalborg 2-1 won over
Oct 18 2009 home Midtjylland 1-1 draw under
Oct 04 2009 home Nordsjælland 6-3 won over
Sep 27 2009 away Silkeborg 1-4 lost over
Sep 20 2009 away SønderjyskE 4-2 won over
Sep 13 2009 home AGF Aarhus 1-0 won under
Aug 30 2009 away København 1-1 draw under
Aug 23 2009 home HB Køge 6-1 won over
Aug 16 2009 away Randers 3-1 won over

Summary: 7-2-1 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 4.00 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 26-14

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Oct 18 2009 home Midtjylland 1-1 draw under
Oct 04 2009 home Nordsjælland 6-3 won over
Sep 13 2009 home AGF Aarhus 1-0 won under
Aug 23 2009 home HB Køge 6-1 won over
Aug 09 2009 home AaB Aalborg 0-2 lost under
Aug 02 2009 home Midtjylland 3-1 won over
Jul 19 2009 home OB Odense 2-2 draw over
May 31 2009 home Midtjylland 2-4 lost over
May 14 2009 home Randers 3-0 won over
Apr 26 2009 home OB Odense 0-0 draw under

Summary: 5-3-2 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 3.80 Median score: 4.00 Goals: 24-14

Stats for awayteam (Esbjerg):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 14 8-4-2 25-14 28
› At away: 7 3-3-1 12-7 12

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 8-6
› At away: 4-3

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.79 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.71 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.00 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.00 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WWLDWD 3-2-1
› Away: DWWWLD 3-2-1

ELO Rating: 1557.4

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Nov 01 2009 home København 0-0 draw under
Oct 25 2009 home SønderjyskE 2-0 won under
Oct 18 2009 away Silkeborg 2-2 draw over
Oct 04 2009 away København 1-2 lost over
Sep 28 2009 home AGF Aarhus 3-2 won over
Sep 20 2009 away Nordsjælland 4-0 won over
Sep 13 2009 home HB Køge 3-2 won over
Aug 30 2009 away Randers 1-0 won under
Aug 23 2009 home AaB Aalborg 2-0 won under
Aug 16 2009 away Silkeborg 3-2 won over

Summary: 7-2-1 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 3.10 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 21-10

Last 10 Matches Away:

Oct 18 2009 away Silkeborg 2-2 draw over
Oct 04 2009 away København 1-2 lost over
Sep 20 2009 away Nordsjælland 4-0 won over
Aug 30 2009 away Randers 1-0 won under
Aug 16 2009 away Silkeborg 3-2 won over
Aug 01 2009 away SønderjyskE 1-1 draw under
Jul 18 2009 away Midtjylland 0-0 draw under
May 31 2009 away SønderjyskE 1-1 draw under
May 14 2009 away AGF Aarhus 1-3 lost over
May 03 2009 away Randers 0-1 lost under

Summary: 3-4-3 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 14-12

History:

Overall History

Aug 15 1999 Brøndby - Esbjerg 3-1 homewin over
Mar 12 2000 Brøndby - Esbjerg 2-3 awaywin over
May 07 2000 Esbjerg - Brøndby 2-0 homewin under
Aug 26 2001 Esbjerg - Brøndby 0-7 awaywin over
Nov 18 2001 Esbjerg - Brøndby 0-2 awaywin under
Apr 01 2002 Brøndby - Esbjerg 1-0 homewin under
Sep 01 2002 Brøndby - Esbjerg 1-1 draw under
Nov 10 2002 Brøndby - Esbjerg 1-1 draw under
May 03 2003 Esbjerg - Brøndby 1-2 awaywin over
Oct 05 2003 Brøndby - Esbjerg 3-0 homewin over
Mar 14 2004 Brøndby - Esbjerg 1-6 awaywin over
Apr 12 2004 Esbjerg - Brøndby 0-0 draw under
Nov 03 2004 Esbjerg - Brøndby 2-2 draw over
Mar 20 2005 Esbjerg - Brøndby 0-0 draw under
May 22 2005 Brøndby - Esbjerg 4-0 homewin over
Jul 31 2005 Esbjerg - Brøndby 2-3 awaywin over
Oct 26 2005 Esbjerg - Brøndby 0-0 draw under
Apr 17 2006 Brøndby - Esbjerg 3-0 homewin over
Sep 17 2006 Brøndby - Esbjerg 2-0 homewin under
Apr 05 2007 Esbjerg - Brøndby 1-1 draw under
Apr 29 2007 Brøndby - Esbjerg 2-1 homewin over
Jul 18 2007 Esbjerg - Brøndby 1-0 homewin under
Nov 25 2007 Esbjerg - Brøndby 3-2 homewin over
Apr 12 2008 Brøndby - Esbjerg 2-1 homewin over
Sep 22 2008 Brøndby - Esbjerg 2-1 homewin over
Apr 05 2009 Brøndby - Esbjerg 1-0 homewin under
May 10 2009 Esbjerg - Brøndby 1-2 awaywin over
Jul 26 2009 Esbjerg - Brøndby 2-1 homewin over

Summary (overall): 14-7-7 O-U: 16-12 Avg. score: 2.86 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 7-1-1 O-U: 6-3 Avg. score: 2.67 Median score: 3.00

Trend: Brøndby is 15-7-6

Trend 3 years: Brøndby is 5-1-3

Home - Away History

Aug 15 1999 Brøndby - Esbjerg 3-1 homewin over
Mar 12 2000 Brøndby - Esbjerg 2-3 awaywin over
Apr 01 2002 Brøndby - Esbjerg 1-0 homewin under
Sep 01 2002 Brøndby - Esbjerg 1-1 draw under
Nov 10 2002 Brøndby - Esbjerg 1-1 draw under
Oct 05 2003 Brøndby - Esbjerg 3-0 homewin over
Mar 14 2004 Brøndby - Esbjerg 1-6 awaywin over
May 22 2005 Brøndby - Esbjerg 4-0 homewin over
Apr 17 2006 Brøndby - Esbjerg 3-0 homewin over
Sep 17 2006 Brøndby - Esbjerg 2-0 homewin under
Apr 29 2007 Brøndby - Esbjerg 2-1 homewin over
Apr 12 2008 Brøndby - Esbjerg 2-1 homewin over
Sep 22 2008 Brøndby - Esbjerg 2-1 homewin over
Apr 05 2009 Brøndby - Esbjerg 1-0 homewin under

Summary (overall): 10-2-2 O-U: 9-5 Avg. score: 3.07 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 4-0-0 O-U: 3-1 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 3.00

Trend: Brøndby is 10-2-2

Trend 3 years: Brøndby is 4-0-0