Monday 8th @ 12:01 CET

Weekend results have been added and the midweek fixtures corrected. I've also posted a 72% winner over at SportsProfit.com - Jensen (admin)
Index : Mechelen vs Excelsior Mouscron

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Mechelen - Excelsior Mouscron (0 - 1):

Jupiler League (Belgium)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Mechelen) (Trends: 7 Stars: 13)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Excelsior Mouscron) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 7 Stars: 15)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 15 Stars: 23)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Mechelen home: 4-0-2 11-8
› Mechelen form: 3-0-3 6-7
› Home form: 4-0-2 11-8

› Excelsior Mouscron away: 1-2-3 9-14
› Excelsior Mouscron form: 1-3-2 7-8
› Away form: 1-2-3 9-14

News:

Mechelen

2010-01-06 Racing Mechelen aan vijfde trainer toe dit seizoen

Derdeklasser Racing Mechelen heeft met de 45-jarige Nederlander Danny Hoekman een nieuwe trainer aangesteld. Hoekman volgt in het Oscar Vankesbeeckstadion de om gezondheidsredenen gestopte Luc Leys op als hoofdcoach. Eerder dit seizoen waren ook ...

2010-01-06 Hoekman wordt vijfde hoofdtrainer van derdeklasser Mechelen

Racing Mechelen heeft een nieuwe trainer. Danny Hoekman tekende gisteravond een contract tot eind volgend seizoen. De 45-jarige Nederlander is na Regi Van Acker, Olivio Calicchio, het duo Juan Laguna-...

2010-01-06 Maes: 'Trainingskamp is goed voor de teambuilding'

KV Mechelen heeft ervoor gekozen deze winterstop naar Spanje te gaan. De ploeg belegt een trainingskamp in Marbella. Volgens trainer Paul Maes is het niet zomaar een trainingskamp voor Mechelen, zo geeft hij aan tegenover Het Laatste Nieuws. "In de eerste plaats is het eens iets helemaal anders. ...

2010-01-04 Mechelen-middenvelder niet blij met korte winterstop

Koen Persoons is niet te spreken over de korte winterstop in België. De middenvelder van eersteklasser KV Mechelen vindt de korte rustperiode van vier dagen niet goed. Zijn ploeg begint, samen met Roeselare, vandaag al met de voorbereidingen op de tweede seizoenshelft. "Vier dagen is toch ontzet...

2009-12-30 Rode kaarten en buitenspel beslissen over Mechelse winst

KV Mechelen heeft voor het eerst in negen wedstrijden nog eens kunnen winnen. De Mechelaars versloegen in eigen huis Charleroi na een spectaculair slot met een donkerrode kaart voor Habibou en een doelpunt waarbij Nong duidelijk buitenspel ...

2009-12-29 Geen gebroken nekwervel voor Olivier Renard

Olivier Renard heeft uitstekend nieuws gekregen van de dokters in Luik. Het sluitstuk van KV Mechelen heeft enkel een barstje in de nekwervel opgelopen. Aanvankelijk was er sprake van een gebroken nekwervel. "Als ik over twee weken geen hinder ...

2009-12-29 'Zware kwetsuur' Mechelen-goalie Renard valt alleszins mee

Olivier Renard kan opgelucht ademhalen. De doelman van het Belgische KV Mechelen dacht het seizoen vaarwel te moeten zeggen vanwege een gebroken nekwervel, maar een second opinion in het ziekenhuis he...

2009-12-26 Olivier Renard drie tot vier maanden uitgeschakeld

Oliver Renard is waarschijnlijk lange tijd uitgeschakeld. De keeper van KV Mechelen heeft een halswervel gebroken, zo blijkt uit onderzoek. Voor het herstel staat minimaal twaalf weken. Renard raakte woensdag geblesseerd in de wedstrijd tegen Charleroi, die Mechelen met 5-2 wist te winnen. De der...

2009-12-24 Mechelen goalkeeper out for months

KV Mechelen goalkeeper Olivier Renard will be unavailable for three to four months after fracturing his cervical vertebrae in a Belgian Cup match on Wednesday.

2009-12-24 KV Mechelen-goalie Renard breekt nekwervel

Het seizoen van Olivier Renard is waarschijnlijk aan een einde gekomen . De doelman van KV Mechelen heeft tijdens het bekerwedstrijd tegen Charleroi SC (2-5) een nekwervel te hebben gebroken. Renard ging vijf minuten voor tijd neer na een botsing met een aanvaller van Charloi. In eerste insta...

Excelsior Mouscron

2009-12-29 Club Brugge Set To Sign Maxime Lestienne - Report

The former Excelsior Mouscron youngster could be on his way to Club Brugge...

2009-12-28 Belgian side Excelsior expelled from Jupiler League

Excelsior Mouscron have been forced to withdraw from the Belgian football league, the financially-stricken club have confirmed.

2009-12-28 Mouscron removed from Belgian league

After a long financial battle and several walkovers in top-flight matches, Jupiler Pro League officials decided on Monday to expel Excelsior Mouscron from Belgium's top football league.

2009-12-26 Mouscron players refuse to face Kortrijk

The Belgian Pro League match between Excelsior Mouscron and Kortrijk will not be played on Saturday as players of the home side refuse to make an appearance.

2009-11-16 Toffees sweet on Lestienne

Belgian outfit Excelsior Mouscron claim Everton have invited Maxime Lestienne for a two-day trial at Goodison Park.

2009-10-30 Standard drop points in Belgian league

Defending champions Standard Liege dropped another two points in the Belgian League, being held to a goalless draw at Excelsior Mouscron on Friday.

2009-09-24 Anderlecht victorious at Excelsior

RSC Anderlecht have joined Club Brugge and Sint-Truiden at the top of the Belgian Pro League following an 1-2 victory at Excelsior Mouscron.

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Mechelen: Neutral
Form: 3-0-3 (9 points, 1.50 avg)
Last 30 matches: 15-4-11 (49 points, 1.63 avg)

› Excelsior Mouscron: Neutral
Form: 1-3-2 (6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 30 matches: 6-10-14 (28 points, 0.93 avg)

Home/Away

› Mechelen: Neutral
Home form: 4-0-2 (12 points, 2.00 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 9-3-3 (30 points, 2.00 avg)

› Excelsior Mouscron: Uptrend
Away form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 2-4-9 (10 points, 0.67 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Club Brugge 7 5 2 0 14 6 17 6 4 1 1 14 9 13 13 9 3 1 28 15 30
2 Anderlecht 7 5 2 0 13 4 17 6 4 0 2 11 7 12 13 9 2 2 24 11 29
3 Standard Liege 6 2 4 0 9 5 10 7 3 3 1 12 6 12 13 5 7 1 21 11 22
4 Mechelen 6 4 0 2 11 8 12 7 3 0 4 8 11 9 13 7 0 6 19 19 21
5 Germinal Beerschot 6 4 1 1 11 8 13 7 2 2 3 5 9 8 13 6 3 4 16 17 21
6 Zulte Waregem 7 3 2 2 14 10 11 6 2 3 1 9 9 9 13 5 5 3 23 19 20
7 AA Gent 6 3 1 2 13 7 10 7 2 2 3 8 9 8 13 5 3 5 21 16 18
8 Racing Genk 7 1 3 3 8 9 6 6 3 2 1 10 6 11 13 4 5 4 18 15 17
9 Kortrijk 7 3 1 3 7 7 10 6 1 4 1 9 8 7 13 4 5 4 16 15 17
10 Sint Truiden 6 2 1 3 8 10 7 7 3 1 3 8 8 10 13 5 2 6 16 18 17
11 Westerlo 7 2 2 3 9 10 8 6 2 1 3 6 12 7 13 4 3 6 15 22 15
12 Charleroi 6 1 2 3 7 12 5 7 2 3 2 9 11 9 13 3 5 5 16 23 14
13 Cercle Brugge 6 1 2 3 8 11 5 7 2 2 3 11 10 8 13 3 4 6 19 21 13
14 Excelsior Mouscron 7 1 3 3 4 6 6 6 1 2 3 9 14 5 13 2 5 6 13 20 11
15 Lokeren 7 2 2 3 12 11 8 6 1 0 5 4 13 3 13 3 2 8 16 24 11
16 Roeselare 6 1 1 4 9 16 4 7 0 3 4 7 15 3 13 1 4 8 16 31 7

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 42% (value odds 2.37)

› Awaywin: 22% (value odds 4.48)

› Draw: 36% (value odds 2.82)

› Over: 70% (value odds 1.44)

› Under: 31% (value odds 3.28)

Expected Score:

› Mechelen: 1.63

› Excelsior Mouscron: 1.29

› Total: 2.92


› Over: 58%

› Under: 42%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Mechelen) (Trends: 7 Stars: 13)

› Mechelen playing against poor teams the current season. [won 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Mechelen playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [won 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Mechelen playing in weekend at home the current season. [won 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Mechelen after losing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [won 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 15/ 17] [88.24%] [3*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [lost 19/ 30] [63.33%] [1*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against offensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 16/ 18] [88.89%] [3*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Excelsior Mouscron) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring awaywin.

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 7 Stars: 15)

› Mechelen playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 11/ 25] [44.00%] [2*]
› Mechelen playing in November the last 3 seasons. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against good teams the current season. [draw 3/ 6] [50.00%] [3*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against defensively average teams the current season. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against offensively good teams the current season. [draw 3/ 6] [50.00%] [3*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 5/ 13] [38.46%] [1*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing in weekend the current season. [draw 5/ 12] [41.67%] [2*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 15 Stars: 23)

› Mechelen playing against poor teams the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Mechelen playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [over 8/ 13] [61.54%] [1*]
› Mechelen playing in weekend the current season. [over 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Mechelen playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [over 18/ 29] [62.07%] [1*]
› Mechelen playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [over 13/ 19] [68.42%] [1*]
› Mechelen playing against offensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [over 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against defensively average teams the current season. [over 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [over 16/ 25] [64.00%] [1*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against defensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 13/ 17] [76.47%] [2*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [over 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 24/ 40] [60.00%] [1*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing in weekend at away the current season. [over 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. [over 24/ 40] [60.00%] [1*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against offensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 13/ 18] [72.22%] [2*]
› Excelsior Mouscron after losing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [over 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Excelsior Mouscron playing against offensively good teams the current season. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Mechelen
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1533.8
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1521.7
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1529.0

› Current ELO Rating: 1491.6

Excelsior Mouscron
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1487.7
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1411.0
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1405.1

› Current ELO Rating: 1377.7

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mechelen 1518.9 1503.7 1513.5 1533.8 1514.1 1499.0 1506.9 1521.7 1503.7 1516.8 1529.0 1508.8 1491.6
Excelsior Mouscron 1515.0 1510.0 1508.8 1487.7 1470.7 1449.7 1434.0 1411.0 1402.1 1397.9 1405.1 1387.1 1377.7

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Mechelen
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.13
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.05
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.10

› Current Power Rating: 10.00

Excelsior Mouscron
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.82
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.85

› Current Power Rating: 9.82

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mechelen 10.07 10.05 10.07 10.13 10.07 10.00 10.03 10.05 10.03 10.08 10.10 10.05 10.00
Excelsior Mouscron 10.03 10.03 10.03 10.00 9.93 9.90 9.85 9.82 9.82 9.82 9.85 9.82 9.82

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 1.17 (indicates homewin)

› Game Form System: 9 (indicates homewin)

› Weighted Form System: 27 (indicates homewin)

› Goal Superiority System: 5 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 0 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 3 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: -1 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 58% (homewin) 17% (draw) 25% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: -0.17 (indicates draw)

Stats for hometeam (Mechelen):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 13 7-0-6 19-19 21
› At home: 6 4-0-2 11-8 12

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 8-5
› At home: 3-3

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.46 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.83 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.46 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.33 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WLWWLL 3-0-3
› Home: WWLWWL 4-0-2

ELO Rating: 1491.6

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 31 2009 away Kortrijk 0-2 lost under
Oct 25 2009 home Anderlecht 0-2 lost under
Oct 18 2009 away Racing Genk 2-1 won over
Oct 03 2009 home Lokeren 2-0 won under
Sep 28 2009 away Cercle Brugge 0-1 lost under
Sep 23 2009 away Charleroi 2-1 won over
Sep 19 2009 home Roeselare 3-2 won over
Sep 12 2009 away Standard Liege 0-3 lost over
Aug 29 2009 home Sint Truiden 0-2 lost under
Aug 22 2009 away Germinal Beerschot 3-1 won over

Summary: 5-0-5 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.70 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 12-15

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Oct 25 2009 home Anderlecht 0-2 lost under
Oct 03 2009 home Lokeren 2-0 won under
Sep 19 2009 home Roeselare 3-2 won over
Aug 29 2009 home Sint Truiden 0-2 lost under
Aug 15 2009 home Club Brugge 2-1 won over
Aug 01 2009 home Westerlo 4-1 won over
May 15 2009 home Lokeren 3-0 won over
May 02 2009 home Charleroi 2-1 won over
Apr 18 2009 home Cercle Brugge 0-1 lost under
Apr 04 2009 home Kortrijk 1-1 draw under

Summary: 6-1-3 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.80 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 17-11

Stats for awayteam (Excelsior Mouscron):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 13 2-5-6 13-20 11
› At away: 6 1-2-3 9-14 5

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 7-6
› At away: 5-1

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.00 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.50 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.54 goals per match
› At away: allowing 2.33 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LDDWLD 1-3-2
› Away: WDLLDL 1-2-3

ELO Rating: 1377.7

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 30 2009 home Standard Liege 0-0 draw under
Oct 24 2009 away Germinal Beerschot 2-3 lost over
Oct 17 2009 home Sint Truiden 2-1 won over
Oct 02 2009 away AA Gent 1-1 draw under
Sep 27 2009 home Club Brugge 1-1 draw under
Sep 24 2009 home Anderlecht 1-2 lost over
Sep 19 2009 away Zulte Waregem 1-3 lost over
Sep 12 2009 home Westerlo 0-1 lost under
Aug 29 2009 away Lokeren 1-4 lost over
Aug 22 2009 home Cercle Brugge 0-1 lost under

Summary: 1-3-6 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 9-17

Last 10 Matches Away:

Oct 24 2009 away Germinal Beerschot 2-3 lost over
Oct 02 2009 away AA Gent 1-1 draw under
Sep 19 2009 away Zulte Waregem 1-3 lost over
Aug 29 2009 away Lokeren 1-4 lost over
Aug 16 2009 away Kortrijk 2-2 draw over
Aug 01 2009 away Racing Genk 2-1 won over
May 16 2009 away Club Brugge 1-4 lost over
Apr 25 2009 away Lokeren 0-3 lost over
Apr 11 2009 away Charleroi 0-1 lost under
Mar 21 2009 away Cercle Brugge 1-0 won under

Summary: 2-2-6 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 3.30 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 11-22

History:

Overall History

Nov 23 1996 Mechelen - Excelsior Mouscron 0-2 awaywin under
May 18 1997 Excelsior Mouscron - Mechelen 4-0 homewin over
Sep 15 2007 Mechelen - Excelsior Mouscron 2-2 draw over
Feb 23 2008 Excelsior Mouscron - Mechelen 0-1 awaywin under
Aug 23 2008 Excelsior Mouscron - Mechelen 3-1 homewin over
Jan 24 2009 Mechelen - Excelsior Mouscron 2-2 draw over

Summary (overall): 2-2-2 O-U: 4-2 Avg. score: 3.17 Median score: 4.00

Summary (3 years): 1-2-1 O-U: 3-1 Avg. score: 3.25 Median score: 4.00

Trend: Excelsior Mouscron is 3-2-1

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Home - Away History

Nov 23 1996 Mechelen - Excelsior Mouscron 0-2 awaywin under
Sep 15 2007 Mechelen - Excelsior Mouscron 2-2 draw over
Jan 24 2009 Mechelen - Excelsior Mouscron 2-2 draw over

Summary (overall): 0-2-1 O-U: 2-1 Avg. score: 3.33 Median score: 4.00

Summary (3 years): 0-2-0 O-U: 2-0 Avg. score: 4.00 Median score: 4.00

Trend: Excelsior Mouscron is 1-2-0

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.