Index : Mechelen vs Excelsior Mouscron

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

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Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Mechelen - Excelsior Mouscron (0 - 1):

Jupiler League (Belgium)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Mechelen) (Trends: 7 Stars: 13)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Excelsior Mouscron) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 7 Stars: 15)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 15 Stars: 23)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Mechelen home: 4-0-2 11-8
› Mechelen form: 3-0-3 6-7
› Home form: 4-0-2 11-8

› Excelsior Mouscron away: 1-2-3 9-14
› Excelsior Mouscron form: 1-3-2 7-8
› Away form: 1-2-3 9-14

News:

Mechelen

2010-09-01 Ethische Commissie roept Luc Devroe op het matje

De Ethische Commissie van de Pro League heeft een gesprek gehad met Luc Devroe, de sportmanager van Club Brugge, naar aanleiding van diens uitlatingen na het competitieduel tussen blauw-zwart en KV Mechelen van 22 augustus (1-2). Devroe was na ...

2010-08-31 Benteke woedend op Standard Luik na verhuur aan KV Mechelen

Christian Benteke keert naar eigen zeggen niet meer terug bij Standard Luik. De aanvaller wordt tegen zijn zin in aan KV Mechelen verhuurd. De negentienjarige Benteke was nog maar net teruggekeerd naa...

2010-08-31 Aloys Nong naar Standard, ook Pierre Womé?

Aloys Nong verlaat KV Mechelen en verkast naar Standard. Dat staat te lezen op de website van La Dernière Heure. De clubs hebben een overeenkomst bereikt over de transfersom: 1,25 miljoen euro. Christian Benteke zou dan weer de omgekeerde ...

2010-08-31 Aloys Nong (KV Mechelen) rond de tafel met Standard

Verkast Aloys Nong op de laatste dag van de transfermarkt alsnog naar Standard? Bij Mechelen hebben ze alvast de toestemming gegeven aan hun aanvaller om met de Rouches te gaan onderhandelen. Over de transfersom zouden de twee clubs wel nog geen ...

2010-08-29 Genk na zege op Lierse SK alleen koploper, AA Gent volgt

Racing Genk gaat na zondagavond alleen aan kop in de Belgische competitie. Frank Vercauteren en zijn mannen zagen KV Mechelen zaterdag punten verspelen en wonnen zelf eenvoudig van Lierse SK, dat blij...

2010-08-29 Genk onder impuls van sterke Vossen alleen leider

Racing Genk is met 15 op 15 alleen leider in de competitie. De Limburgers waren met 4-1 te sterk voor Lierse. Jelle Vossen stond weer twee keer aan het Genkse kanon. Gisteren moest co-leider KV Mechelen na puntenverlies lossen. Met zeven ...

2010-08-28 KV is maximum kwijt, Charleroi wint degradatieduel

Na vijf speeldagen is KV Mechelen het maximum van de punten kwijt. De match tegen STVV eindigde zoals ze begonnen was, 0-0 dus. Voor de Truienaren is het de eerste puntendeling in deze competitie. Genk kan straks over Mechelen wippen als het ...

2010-08-28 Mechelen, Anderlecht forget to score in Belgium

Belgian leaders Mechelen dropped their first points of the season, drawing 0-0 with Sint-Truiden while Anderlecht forgot to score against Zulte-Waregem.

2010-08-27 Koster: 'Dit is alleen het keerpunt als we zondag van Westerlo winnen'

Na de nederlaag van afgelopen zondag tegen KV Mechelen en de slechte start in de Jupiler Pro League was de druk op Club Brugge en coach Adrie Koster opgevoerd. Donderdagavond werd in Wit-Rusland ten k...

2010-08-26 Koster: Enorme opsteker

Na de (onverdiende) 1-2-nederlaag van zondag tegen KV Mechelen en de 3 op 12 in de Jupiler Pro League was de druk op Club Brugge en zijn coach Adrie Koster enorm groot in Minsk. Blauw-zwart speelde echter een uitstekende en zeer volwassen partij ...

Excelsior Mouscron

Found no news about Excelsior Mouscron.

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Mechelen: Neutral
Form: 3-0-3 (9 points, 1.50 avg)
Last 30 matches: 15-4-11 (49 points, 1.63 avg)

› Excelsior Mouscron: Neutral
Form: 1-3-2 (6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 30 matches: 6-10-14 (28 points, 0.93 avg)

Home/Away

› Mechelen: Neutral
Home form: 4-0-2 (12 points, 2.00 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 9-3-3 (30 points, 2.00 avg)

› Excelsior Mouscron: Uptrend
Away form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 2-4-9 (10 points, 0.67 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Club Brugge 7 5 2 0 14 6 17 6 4 1 1 14 9 13 13 9 3 1 28 15 30
2 Anderlecht 7 5 2 0 13 4 17 6 4 0 2 11 7 12 13 9 2 2 24 11 29
3 Standard Liege 6 2 4 0 9 5 10 7 3 3 1 12 6 12 13 5 7 1 21 11 22
4 Mechelen 6 4 0 2 11 8 12 7 3 0 4 8 11 9 13 7 0 6 19 19 21
5 Germinal Beerschot 6 4 1 1 11 8 13 7 2 2 3 5 9 8 13 6 3 4 16 17 21
6 Zulte Waregem 7 3 2 2 14 10 11 6 2 3 1 9 9 9 13 5 5 3 23 19 20
7 AA Gent 6 3 1 2 13 7 10 7 2 2 3 8 9 8 13 5 3 5 21 16 18
8 Racing Genk 7 1 3 3 8 9 6 6 3 2 1 10 6 11 13 4 5 4 18 15 17
9 Kortrijk 7 3 1 3 7 7 10 6 1 4 1 9 8 7 13 4 5 4 16 15 17
10 Sint Truiden 6 2 1 3 8 10 7 7 3 1 3 8 8 10 13 5 2 6 16 18 17
11 Westerlo 7 2 2 3 9 10 8 6 2 1 3 6 12 7 13 4 3 6 15 22 15
12 Charleroi 6 1 2 3 7 12 5 7 2 3 2 9 11 9 13 3 5 5 16 23 14
13 Cercle Brugge 6 1 2 3 8 11 5 7 2 2 3 11 10 8 13 3 4 6 19 21 13
14 Excelsior Mouscron 7 1 3 3 4 6 6 6 1 2 3 9 14 5 13 2 5 6 13 20 11
15 Lokeren 7 2 2 3 12 11 8 6 1 0 5 4 13 3 13 3 2 8 16 24 11
16 Roeselare 6 1 1 4 9 16 4 7 0 3 4 7 15 3 13 1 4 8 16 31 7

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 42% (value odds 2.37)

› Awaywin: 22% (value odds 4.48)

› Draw: 36% (value odds 2.82)

› Over: 70% (value odds 1.44)

› Under: 31% (value odds 3.28)

Expected Score:

› Mechelen: 1.63

› Excelsior Mouscron: 1.29

› Total: 2.92


› Over: 58%

› Under: 42%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Mechelen) (Trends: 7 Stars: 13)

› Mechelen playing against poor teams the current season. [won 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Mechelen playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [won 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Mechelen playing in weekend at home the current season. [won 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Mechelen after losing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [won 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 15/ 17] [88.24%] [3*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [lost 19/ 30] [63.33%] [1*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against offensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 16/ 18] [88.89%] [3*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Excelsior Mouscron) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring awaywin.

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 7 Stars: 15)

› Mechelen playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 11/ 25] [44.00%] [2*]
› Mechelen playing in November the last 3 seasons. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against good teams the current season. [draw 3/ 6] [50.00%] [3*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against defensively average teams the current season. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against offensively good teams the current season. [draw 3/ 6] [50.00%] [3*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 5/ 13] [38.46%] [1*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing in weekend the current season. [draw 5/ 12] [41.67%] [2*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 15 Stars: 23)

› Mechelen playing against poor teams the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Mechelen playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [over 8/ 13] [61.54%] [1*]
› Mechelen playing in weekend the current season. [over 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Mechelen playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [over 18/ 29] [62.07%] [1*]
› Mechelen playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [over 13/ 19] [68.42%] [1*]
› Mechelen playing against offensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [over 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against defensively average teams the current season. [over 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [over 16/ 25] [64.00%] [1*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against defensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 13/ 17] [76.47%] [2*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [over 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 24/ 40] [60.00%] [1*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing in weekend at away the current season. [over 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. [over 24/ 40] [60.00%] [1*]
› Excelsior Mouscron playing against offensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 13/ 18] [72.22%] [2*]
› Excelsior Mouscron after losing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [over 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Excelsior Mouscron playing against offensively good teams the current season. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Mechelen
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1533.8
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1521.7
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1529.0

› Current ELO Rating: 1491.6

Excelsior Mouscron
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1487.7
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1411.0
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1405.1

› Current ELO Rating: 1377.7

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mechelen 1518.9 1503.7 1513.5 1533.8 1514.1 1499.0 1506.9 1521.7 1503.7 1516.8 1529.0 1508.8 1491.6
Excelsior Mouscron 1515.0 1510.0 1508.8 1487.7 1470.7 1449.7 1434.0 1411.0 1402.1 1397.9 1405.1 1387.1 1377.7

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Mechelen
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.13
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.05
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.10

› Current Power Rating: 10.00

Excelsior Mouscron
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.82
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.85

› Current Power Rating: 9.82

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mechelen 10.07 10.05 10.07 10.13 10.07 10.00 10.03 10.05 10.03 10.08 10.10 10.05 10.00
Excelsior Mouscron 10.03 10.03 10.03 10.00 9.93 9.90 9.85 9.82 9.82 9.82 9.85 9.82 9.82

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 1.17 (indicates homewin)

› Game Form System: 9 (indicates homewin)

› Weighted Form System: 27 (indicates homewin)

› Goal Superiority System: 5 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 0 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 3 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: -1 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 58% (homewin) 17% (draw) 25% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: -0.17 (indicates draw)

Stats for hometeam (Mechelen):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 13 7-0-6 19-19 21
› At home: 6 4-0-2 11-8 12

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 8-5
› At home: 3-3

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.46 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.83 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.46 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.33 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WLWWLL 3-0-3
› Home: WWLWWL 4-0-2

ELO Rating: 1491.6

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 31 2009 away Kortrijk 0-2 lost under
Oct 25 2009 home Anderlecht 0-2 lost under
Oct 18 2009 away Racing Genk 2-1 won over
Oct 03 2009 home Lokeren 2-0 won under
Sep 28 2009 away Cercle Brugge 0-1 lost under
Sep 23 2009 away Charleroi 2-1 won over
Sep 19 2009 home Roeselare 3-2 won over
Sep 12 2009 away Standard Liege 0-3 lost over
Aug 29 2009 home Sint Truiden 0-2 lost under
Aug 22 2009 away Germinal Beerschot 3-1 won over

Summary: 5-0-5 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.70 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 12-15

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Oct 25 2009 home Anderlecht 0-2 lost under
Oct 03 2009 home Lokeren 2-0 won under
Sep 19 2009 home Roeselare 3-2 won over
Aug 29 2009 home Sint Truiden 0-2 lost under
Aug 15 2009 home Club Brugge 2-1 won over
Aug 01 2009 home Westerlo 4-1 won over
May 15 2009 home Lokeren 3-0 won over
May 02 2009 home Charleroi 2-1 won over
Apr 18 2009 home Cercle Brugge 0-1 lost under
Apr 04 2009 home Kortrijk 1-1 draw under

Summary: 6-1-3 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.80 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 17-11

Stats for awayteam (Excelsior Mouscron):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 13 2-5-6 13-20 11
› At away: 6 1-2-3 9-14 5

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 7-6
› At away: 5-1

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.00 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.50 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.54 goals per match
› At away: allowing 2.33 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LDDWLD 1-3-2
› Away: WDLLDL 1-2-3

ELO Rating: 1377.7

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 30 2009 home Standard Liege 0-0 draw under
Oct 24 2009 away Germinal Beerschot 2-3 lost over
Oct 17 2009 home Sint Truiden 2-1 won over
Oct 02 2009 away AA Gent 1-1 draw under
Sep 27 2009 home Club Brugge 1-1 draw under
Sep 24 2009 home Anderlecht 1-2 lost over
Sep 19 2009 away Zulte Waregem 1-3 lost over
Sep 12 2009 home Westerlo 0-1 lost under
Aug 29 2009 away Lokeren 1-4 lost over
Aug 22 2009 home Cercle Brugge 0-1 lost under

Summary: 1-3-6 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 9-17

Last 10 Matches Away:

Oct 24 2009 away Germinal Beerschot 2-3 lost over
Oct 02 2009 away AA Gent 1-1 draw under
Sep 19 2009 away Zulte Waregem 1-3 lost over
Aug 29 2009 away Lokeren 1-4 lost over
Aug 16 2009 away Kortrijk 2-2 draw over
Aug 01 2009 away Racing Genk 2-1 won over
May 16 2009 away Club Brugge 1-4 lost over
Apr 25 2009 away Lokeren 0-3 lost over
Apr 11 2009 away Charleroi 0-1 lost under
Mar 21 2009 away Cercle Brugge 1-0 won under

Summary: 2-2-6 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 3.30 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 11-22

History:

Overall History

Nov 23 1996 Mechelen - Excelsior Mouscron 0-2 awaywin under
May 18 1997 Excelsior Mouscron - Mechelen 4-0 homewin over
Sep 15 2007 Mechelen - Excelsior Mouscron 2-2 draw over
Feb 23 2008 Excelsior Mouscron - Mechelen 0-1 awaywin under
Aug 23 2008 Excelsior Mouscron - Mechelen 3-1 homewin over
Jan 24 2009 Mechelen - Excelsior Mouscron 2-2 draw over

Summary (overall): 2-2-2 O-U: 4-2 Avg. score: 3.17 Median score: 4.00

Summary (3 years): 1-2-1 O-U: 3-1 Avg. score: 3.25 Median score: 4.00

Trend: Excelsior Mouscron is 3-2-1

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Home - Away History

Nov 23 1996 Mechelen - Excelsior Mouscron 0-2 awaywin under
Sep 15 2007 Mechelen - Excelsior Mouscron 2-2 draw over
Jan 24 2009 Mechelen - Excelsior Mouscron 2-2 draw over

Summary (overall): 0-2-1 O-U: 2-1 Avg. score: 3.33 Median score: 4.00

Summary (3 years): 0-2-0 O-U: 2-0 Avg. score: 4.00 Median score: 4.00

Trend: Excelsior Mouscron is 1-2-0

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.