Monday 8th @ 12:01 CET

Weekend results have been added and the midweek fixtures corrected. I've also posted a 72% winner over at SportsProfit.com - Jensen (admin)
Index : Mattersburg vs Kapfenberg

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 1     › Users favouring over 2.5: 1
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Mattersburg - Kapfenberg (4 - 1):

T-Mobile Bundesliga (Austria)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Mattersburg) (Trends: 5 Stars: 7)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Kapfenberg) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 1 Stars: 3)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 28 Stars: 56)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

› Mattersburg home: 4-0-3 15-12
› Mattersburg form: 1-0-5 4-14
› Home form: 3-0-3 13-11

› Kapfenberg away: 1-2-4 4-17
› Kapfenberg form: 2-2-2 9-7
› Away form: 1-2-3 4-14

News:

Mattersburg

2009-11-22 Schinkels weg als trainer Kärnten

Frenk Schinkels heeft ontslag genomen als trainer van Austria Kärnten. Dat maakte de Oostenrijkse club op de website bekend. De Nederlandse coach leverde zaterdag na de thuisnederlaag tegen SV Mattersburg (0-3) zijn contract in. Het bestuur van Kärnten accepteerde zijn beslissing en ontbond de verbintenis van Schinkels.

2009-11-21 Schinkels veroorzaakt eerste wisseling van de wacht in Bundesliga

Het tijdperk van Fred Schinkels als coach van Austria Kärnten is voorlopig voorbij. De coach heeft zaterdag na de 0-3 thuisnederlaag tegen SV Mattersburg zijn contract ingeleverd. Daarmee veroorza...

2009-09-26 Áustria Viena bate Mattersburg fora de portas

O Áustria Viena, adversário do Nacional na Liga Europa, deslocou-se ao campo do Mattersburg e venceu por 3-1, em jogo da nona jornada da Liga austríaca.

Kapfenberg

2009-11-21 Treffer Opdam bij wederom winnend Red Bull Salzburg

Het blijft crescendo gaan met Huub Stevens en zijn Red Bull Salzburg. Alhoewel het er dit keer lange tijd op leek dat Die Roten Bullen het bij laagvlieger SV Kapfenberg met een doelpuntloze punt...

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Mattersburg: Downtrend
Form: 1-0-5 (3 points, 0.50 avg)
Last 30 matches: 10-5-15 (35 points, 1.17 avg)

› Kapfenberg: Neutral
Form: 2-2-2 (8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 30 matches: 10-5-15 (35 points, 1.17 avg)

Home/Away

› Mattersburg: Neutral
Home form: 3-0-3 (9 points, 1.50 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 8-2-5 (26 points, 1.73 avg)

› Kapfenberg: Neutral
Away form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 3-3-9 (12 points, 0.80 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Salzburg 7 6 1 0 23 7 19 7 2 3 2 8 8 9 14 8 4 2 31 15 28
2 Rapid Wien 6 5 1 0 19 5 16 7 3 2 2 11 6 11 13 8 3 2 30 11 27
3 Sturm Graz 7 4 2 1 13 4 14 6 4 1 1 10 6 13 13 8 3 2 23 10 27
4 Austria Wien 7 5 2 0 12 3 17 7 3 0 4 14 14 9 14 8 2 4 26 17 26
5 Ried 6 4 1 1 14 5 13 8 1 4 3 6 10 7 14 5 5 4 20 15 20
6 LASK Linz 7 4 2 1 21 10 14 7 0 1 6 12 28 1 14 4 3 7 33 38 15
7 Wiener 8 4 2 2 15 13 14 6 0 1 5 4 15 1 14 4 3 7 19 28 15
8 Mattersburg 7 4 0 3 15 12 12 7 1 0 6 1 16 3 14 5 0 9 16 28 15
9 Kapfenberg 7 3 0 4 11 8 9 7 1 2 4 4 17 5 14 4 2 8 15 25 14
10 Austria Kärnten 7 1 3 3 6 10 6 7 0 0 7 7 29 0 14 1 3 10 13 39 6

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 60% (value odds 1.66)

› Awaywin: 30% (value odds 3.34)

› Draw: 10% (value odds 10.15)

› Over: 78% (value odds 1.29)

› Under: 22% (value odds 4.46)

Expected Score:

› Mattersburg: 1.60

› Kapfenberg: 1.53

› Total: 3.13


› Over: 63%

› Under: 37%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Mattersburg) (Trends: 5 Stars: 7)

› Mattersburg playing in weekend at home the current season. [won 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Mattersburg playing against poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [won 14/ 18] [77.78%] [2*]
› Mattersburg playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [won 8/ 11] [72.73%] [2*]
› Kapfenberg playing against offensively good hometeams the current season. [lost 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Kapfenberg playing against offensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 18/ 28] [64.29%] [1*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Kapfenberg) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Mattersburg playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [lost 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 1 Stars: 3)

› Mattersburg playing in November the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 9] [55.56%] [3*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 28 Stars: 56)

› Mattersburg playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [over 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Mattersburg playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [over 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Mattersburg playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 25/ 40] [62.50%] [1*]
› Mattersburg playing in weekend the current season. [over 8/ 12] [66.67%] [1*]
› Mattersburg playing in weekend at home the current season. [over 6/ 6] [100.00%] [4*]
› Mattersburg playing in weekend at home the last 3 seasons. [over 26/ 40] [65.00%] [1*]
› Mattersburg playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [over 25/ 37] [67.57%] [1*]
› Mattersburg playing against poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [over 16/ 18] [88.89%] [3*]
› Mattersburg playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [over 23/ 33] [69.70%] [1*]
› Mattersburg playing against defensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [over 21/ 29] [72.41%] [2*]
› Mattersburg playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [over 9/ 11] [81.82%] [3*]
› Kapfenberg playing against poor teams the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Kapfenberg playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [over 20/ 28] [71.43%] [2*]
› Kapfenberg playing against average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 6/ 6] [100.00%] [4*]
› Kapfenberg playing against defensively poor teams the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Kapfenberg playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [over 29/ 40] [72.50%] [2*]
› Kapfenberg playing against defensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 12/ 15] [80.00%] [3*]
› Kapfenberg playing against offensively good hometeams the current season. [over 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Kapfenberg playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [over 12/ 17] [70.59%] [2*]
› Kapfenberg playing against offensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 23/ 28] [82.14%] [3*]
› Kapfenberg playing against teams with poor form the last 6 matches the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Kapfenberg playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [over 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Kapfenberg playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 53/ 80] [66.25%] [1*]
› Kapfenberg playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 30/ 40] [75.00%] [2*]
› Kapfenberg playing in weekend at away the current season. [over 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Kapfenberg playing in weekend the last 3 seasons. [over 47/ 68] [69.12%] [1*]
› Kapfenberg playing in weekend at away the last 3 seasons. [over 26/ 36] [72.22%] [2*]
› Kapfenberg after drawing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [over 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring under.

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Mattersburg
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1473.9
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1470.6
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1443.8

› Current ELO Rating: 1401.5

Kapfenberg
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1441.5
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1390.7
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1364.9

› Current ELO Rating: 1385.1

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mattersburg 1485.0 1495.2 1479.2 1459.0 1473.9 1489.6 1507.9 1490.6 1470.6 1453.0 1462.3 1443.8 1421.5 1401.5
Kapfenberg 1480.8 1491.4 1476.1 1460.8 1441.5 1423.2 1436.0 1413.8 1390.7 1384.9 1365.9 1364.9 1369.5 1385.1

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Mattersburg
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.88
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.90
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.80

› Current Power Rating: 9.70

Kapfenberg
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.80
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.68
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.60

› Current Power Rating: 9.75

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mattersburg 9.90 9.93 9.88 9.85 9.88 9.95 10.02 9.95 9.90 9.87 9.90 9.80 9.75 9.70
Kapfenberg 9.97 10.00 9.93 9.83 9.80 9.70 9.73 9.70 9.68 9.68 9.60 9.60 9.63 9.75

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 1.00 (indicates draw)

› Game Form System: 1 (indicates draw)

› Weighted Form System: 2 (indicates draw)

› Goal Superiority System: -3 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: -12 (indicates awaywin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 0 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: -5 (indicates awaywin) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 57% (homewin) 14% (draw) 29% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 1.17 (indicates awaywin)

Stats for hometeam (Mattersburg):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 14 5-0-9 16-28 15
› At home: 7 4-0-3 15-12 12

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 9-5
› At home: 6-1

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.14 goals per match
› At home: scoring 2.14 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 2.00 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.71 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LLWLLL 1-0-5
› Home: LWWLWL 3-0-3

ELO Rating: 1401.5

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Oct 31 2009 away Salzburg 0-2 lost under
Oct 28 2009 home Sturm Graz 0-2 lost under
Oct 25 2009 away Rapid Wien 0-4 lost over
Oct 17 2009 home LASK Linz 3-2 won over
Oct 04 2009 away Austria Wien 0-1 lost under
Sep 26 2009 home Austria Wien 1-3 lost over
Sep 22 2009 away Wiener 0-3 lost over
Sep 12 2009 home Ried 3-0 won over
Aug 28 2009 home Austria Kärnten 4-1 won over
Aug 23 2009 away Kapfenberg 1-0 won under

Summary: 4-0-6 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 12-18

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Oct 28 2009 home Sturm Graz 0-2 lost under
Oct 17 2009 home LASK Linz 3-2 won over
Sep 26 2009 home Austria Wien 1-3 lost over
Sep 12 2009 home Ried 3-0 won over
Aug 28 2009 home Austria Kärnten 4-1 won over
Aug 08 2009 home Salzburg 2-3 lost over
Jul 26 2009 home Rapid Wien 2-1 won over
May 31 2009 home LASK Linz 3-1 won over
May 16 2009 home Austria Kärnten 3-2 won over
Apr 25 2009 home Kapfenberg 3-1 won over

Summary: 7-0-3 O-U: 9-1 Avg. score: 4.00 Median score: 4.00 Goals: 24-16

Stats for awayteam (Kapfenberg):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 14 4-2-8 15-25 14
› At away: 7 1-2-4 4-17 5

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 7-7
› At away: 5-2

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.07 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.57 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.79 goals per match
› At away: allowing 2.43 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LDLDWW 2-2-2
› Away: LLWDLD 1-2-3

ELO Rating: 1385.1

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Nov 01 2009 home LASK Linz 7-2 won over
Oct 28 2009 home Austria Wien 1-0 won under
Oct 24 2009 away Austria Kärnten 1-1 draw under
Oct 17 2009 away Ried 0-3 lost over
Oct 04 2009 away Sturm Graz 0-0 draw under
Sep 26 2009 home Sturm Graz 0-1 lost under
Sep 23 2009 home Rapid Wien 0-1 lost under
Sep 12 2009 away Wiener 3-2 won over
Aug 29 2009 away Salzburg 0-4 lost over
Aug 23 2009 home Mattersburg 0-1 lost under

Summary: 3-2-5 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.70 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 12-15

Last 10 Matches Away:

Oct 24 2009 away Austria Kärnten 1-1 draw under
Oct 17 2009 away Ried 0-3 lost over
Oct 04 2009 away Sturm Graz 0-0 draw under
Sep 12 2009 away Wiener 3-2 won over
Aug 29 2009 away Salzburg 0-4 lost over
Aug 07 2009 away LASK Linz 0-4 lost over
Aug 02 2009 away Austria Wien 0-3 lost over
May 21 2009 away Altach 1-5 lost over
May 09 2009 away Austria Kärnten 2-0 won under
Apr 25 2009 away Mattersburg 1-3 lost over

Summary: 2-2-6 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 3.30 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 8-25

History:

Overall History

Jul 23 2002 Kapfenberg - Mattersburg 4-0 homewin over
Sep 20 2002 Mattersburg - Kapfenberg 5-1 homewin over
Mar 21 2003 Mattersburg - Kapfenberg 3-0 homewin over
May 23 2003 Kapfenberg - Mattersburg 2-0 homewin under
Aug 23 2008 Mattersburg - Kapfenberg 2-1 homewin over
Nov 12 2008 Kapfenberg - Mattersburg 2-1 homewin over
Dec 06 2008 Kapfenberg - Mattersburg 3-1 homewin over
Apr 25 2009 Mattersburg - Kapfenberg 3-1 homewin over
Aug 23 2009 Kapfenberg - Mattersburg 0-1 awaywin under

Summary (overall): 8-0-1 O-U: 7-2 Avg. score: 3.33 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 4-0-1 O-U: 4-1 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.00

Trend: Mattersburg is 5-0-4

Trend 3 years: Mattersburg is 3-0-2

Home - Away History

Sep 20 2002 Mattersburg - Kapfenberg 5-1 homewin over
Mar 21 2003 Mattersburg - Kapfenberg 3-0 homewin over
Aug 23 2008 Mattersburg - Kapfenberg 2-1 homewin over
Apr 25 2009 Mattersburg - Kapfenberg 3-1 homewin over

Summary (overall): 4-0-0 O-U: 4-0 Avg. score: 4.00 Median score: 3.50

Summary (3 years): 2-0-0 O-U: 2-0 Avg. score: 3.50 Median score: 3.50

Trend: Mattersburg is 4-0-0

Trend 3 years: Mattersburg is 2-0-0