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Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw
       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

Lecce - Siena (4 - 1):

Serie A (Italy)
2011/2012

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Lecce) (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Siena) (Trends: 4 Stars: 6)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 11 Stars: 24)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 1 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 17 Stars: 31)

› Lecce home: 1-3-7 10-18
› Lecce form: 2-3-1 5-4
› Home form: 1-2-3 5-7

› Siena away: 0-5-6 5-14
› Siena form: 2-2-2 8-6
› Away form: 0-1-5 3-10

News:

Lecce

2014-04-13 Lega Pro, Prima divisione Risultati e classifiche

Lega Pro, Prima divisione Risultati e classifiche Nel girone A il Savona ferma l'Entella, non steccano Pro Vercelli e Cremonese che guadagnano 2 punti sulla capolista. Nel gruppo B il Lecce batte il Frosinone, Perugia in testa

2014-04-06 Prima divisione, risultati e classifiche

Prima divisione, risultati e classifiche Girone A: Entella e Pro Vercelli fermati da Pro Patria e Vicenza, la Cremonese cade a Carrara. Nel girone B il Lecce passa a Grosseto, il Perugia batte il Viareggio e la Salernitana piega il Pisa

2014-03-30 Frosinone pari in extremis Il Perugia vince ad Ascoli

Frosinone pari in extremis Il Perugia vince ad Ascoli Salernitana a un passo dal colpaccio in casa della capolista. Ne approfittano gli umbri e il Lecce con il 3-0 a tavolino. Giornata di riposo per il girone A

Siena

2014-04-05 Cesena va: è terzo posto Crotone, solo un pari

Cesena va: è terzo posto Crotone, solo un pari 33ª giornata: gli uomini di Bisoli vincono 2-0 con la Ternana e piazzano il sorpasso sui calabresi. Il Latina sale: 1-0 con la Reggina. Il Trapani cade col Carpi. Lanciano, 3 schiaffi col Modena. Anche il Siena k.o.

2014-03-29 Palermo ed Empoli: è fuga Il Siena vola al terzo posto

Palermo ed Empoli: è fuga Il Siena vola al terzo posto I rosanero sbancano Varese, gli azzurri piegano la Juve Stabia. Cadono Trapani (col Bari) e Lanciano (travolto a Padova) e il Siena stende il Brescia: è aggancio al terzo posto in attesa dei posticipi. Castaldo e Paolucci rilanciano Avellino e Latina. Pari per Pescara e Spezia

2014-03-21 Tra Trapani e Varese è 1-1 Rosina stende l'Avellino

Tra Trapani e Varese è 1-1 Rosina stende l'Avellino Anticipi della 30ª giornata: in vantaggio i siciliani con Terlizzi, Bjelanovic pareggia i conti. Vittoria del Siena in trasferta: zona playoff agganciata, in attesa delle gare del sabato

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Lecce: Uptrend
Form: 2-3-1 (9 points, 1.50 avg)
Last 30 matches: 7-7-16 (28 points, 0.93 avg)

› Siena: Neutral
Form: 2-2-2 (8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 30 matches: 8-10-12 (34 points, 1.13 avg)

Home/Away

› Lecce: Neutral
Home form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 3-4-8 (13 points, 0.87 avg)

› Siena: Downtrend
Away form: 0-1-5 (1 points, 0.17 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 1-6-8 (9 points, 0.60 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 AC Milan 11 7 3 1 24 5 24 12 7 2 3 21 15 23 23 14 5 4 45 20 47
2 Juventus 11 7 4 0 21 7 25 11 5 6 0 12 6 21 22 12 10 0 33 13 46
3 Lazio 12 6 4 2 17 9 22 11 6 2 3 20 15 20 23 12 6 5 37 24 42
4 Udinese 12 10 1 1 23 7 31 11 2 4 5 11 15 10 23 12 5 6 34 22 41
5 Napoli 12 5 5 2 23 13 20 12 4 5 3 18 11 17 24 9 10 5 41 24 37
6 Inter Milan 13 6 2 5 21 17 20 11 5 1 5 13 16 16 24 11 3 10 34 33 36
7 Roma 11 6 3 2 23 11 21 12 4 2 6 13 16 14 23 10 5 8 36 27 35
8 Atalanta 12 5 5 2 12 9 20 11 3 4 4 14 18 13 23 8 9 6 26 27 33
9 Palermo 11 9 0 2 26 14 27 12 0 4 8 7 20 4 23 9 4 10 33 34 31
10 Cagliari 12 4 6 2 12 10 18 11 3 3 5 10 14 12 23 7 9 7 22 24 30
11 Genoa 11 7 2 2 19 13 23 12 2 1 9 12 30 7 23 9 3 11 31 43 30
12 Fiorentina 12 6 3 3 19 13 21 10 1 4 5 4 9 7 22 7 7 8 23 22 28
13 Parma 10 5 3 2 16 9 18 11 2 3 6 8 22 9 21 7 6 8 24 31 27
14 Chievo 11 5 3 3 10 9 18 12 2 3 7 9 21 9 23 7 6 10 19 30 27
15 Catania 11 5 4 2 15 8 19 9 1 4 4 9 18 7 20 6 8 6 24 26 26
16 Bologna 10 3 2 5 9 13 11 12 3 5 4 12 13 14 22 6 7 9 21 26 25
17 Siena 11 5 3 3 17 8 18 11 0 5 6 5 14 5 22 5 8 9 22 22 23
18 Lecce 11 1 3 7 10 18 6 12 3 3 6 12 20 12 23 4 6 13 22 38 18
19 Cesena 10 2 3 5 8 10 9 12 2 1 9 7 24 7 22 4 4 14 15 34 16
20 Novara 12 2 5 5 13 21 11 11 1 2 8 7 21 5 23 3 7 13 20 42 16

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 20% (value odds 5.04)

› Awaywin: 18% (value odds 5.62)

› Draw: 62% (value odds 1.60)

› Over: 34% (value odds 2.95)

› Under: 66% (value odds 1.51)

Expected Score:

› Lecce: 1.00

› Siena: 1.02

› Total: 2.03


› Over: 41%

› Under: 59%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Lecce) (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)

› Lecce after drawing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [won 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Siena playing in weekend at away the current season. [lost 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Siena) (Trends: 4 Stars: 6)

› Lecce playing against defensively good teams the current season. [lost 8/ 9] [88.89%] [3*]
› Lecce playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [lost 10/ 16] [62.50%] [1*]
› Lecce playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [lost 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Lecce playing in weekend at home the current season. [lost 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 11 Stars: 24)

› Lecce playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [draw 4/ 10] [40.00%] [2*]
› Lecce playing in February the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 12] [50.00%] [3*]
› Lecce after playing under 2 matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 7] [71.43%] [3*]
› Siena playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [draw 4/ 9] [44.44%] [2*]
› Siena playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 19] [36.84%] [1*]
› Siena playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 8/ 22] [36.36%] [1*]
› Siena playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 5/ 11] [45.45%] [3*]
› Siena playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 18/ 51] [35.29%] [1*]
› Siena playing in February the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 10] [40.00%] [2*]
› Siena playing in February at away the last 3 seasons. [draw 3/ 6] [50.00%] [3*]
› Siena after drawing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 10] [50.00%] [3*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 1 Stars: 2)

› Siena playing against defensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 17 Stars: 31)

› Lecce playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [under 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]
› Lecce playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [under 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Lecce playing in weekend the current season. [under 12/ 19] [63.16%] [1*]
› Lecce playing in weekend at home the current season. [under 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]
› Lecce playing against poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Lecce after playing under 2 matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 7] [100.00%] [4*]
› Lecce after drawing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Siena playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [under 10/ 14] [71.43%] [2*]
› Siena playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 15/ 22] [68.18%] [1*]
› Siena playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [under 8/ 11] [72.73%] [2*]
› Siena playing in weekend the current season. [under 11/ 18] [61.11%] [1*]
› Siena playing in weekend at away the current season. [under 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Siena playing in February the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]
› Siena playing in February at away the last 3 seasons. [under 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Siena playing against poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 9/ 12] [75.00%] [2*]
› Siena playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 13/ 19] [68.42%] [1*]
› Siena after playing under 2 matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [under 9/ 9] [100.00%] [4*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Lecce
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1330.8
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1286.6
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1257.2

› Current ELO Rating: 1242.0

Siena
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1447.9
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1413.9
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1373.3

› Current ELO Rating: 1370.8

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Lecce 1480.8 1503.0 1483.5 1468.4 1447.8 1445.8 1425.2 1407.5 1402.3 1416.0 1398.1 1376.3 1356.1 1330.8 1326.7 1305.6 1278.7 1286.6 1278.0 1281.6 1257.2 1249.3 1242.0
Siena 1500.0 1480.1 1480.0 1498.7 1483.4 1481.7 1494.2 1491.9 1508.1 1491.2 1486.2 1465.5 1447.9 1428.7 1408.0 1402.6 1413.9 1398.4 1390.1 1373.3 1364.5 1370.8

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Lecce
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.67
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.60
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.60

› Current Power Rating: 9.60

Siena
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.05
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.05
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.97

› Current Power Rating: 10.00

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Lecce 9.95 10.00 9.97 9.90 9.85 9.85 9.82 9.77 9.77 9.80 9.77 9.75 9.70 9.67 9.67 9.60 9.57 9.60 9.60 9.62 9.60 9.60 9.60
Siena 10.00 9.97 9.97 10.05 10.00 10.00 10.05 10.05 10.12 10.10 10.10 10.07 10.05 10.00 9.95 9.95 10.05 10.00 10.00 9.97 9.97 10.00

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.09 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: 2 (indicates draw)

› Weighted Form System: -1 (indicates draw)

› Goal Superiority System: -1 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: -1 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 3 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: -3 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 32% (homewin) 36% (draw) 32% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: -0.33 (indicates homewin)

Stats for hometeam (Lecce):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 23 4-6-13 22-38 18
› At home: 11 1-3-7 10-18 6

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 10-13
› At home: 4-7

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.96 goals per match
› At home: scoring 0.91 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.65 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.64 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WDWLDD 2-3-1
› Home: LLLDWD 1-2-3

ELO Rating: 1242.0

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 12 2012 away Atalanta 0-0 draw under
Feb 05 2012 home Bologna 0-0 draw under
Feb 01 2012 away Udinese 1-2 lost over
Jan 29 2012 home Inter Milan 1-0 won under
Jan 22 2012 home Chievo 2-2 draw over
Jan 15 2012 away Fiorentina 1-0 won under
Jan 08 2012 home Juventus 0-1 lost under
Dec 21 2011 away Inter Milan 1-4 lost over
Dec 18 2011 away Parma 3-3 draw over
Dec 10 2011 home Lazio 2-3 lost over

Summary: 2-4-4 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 11-15

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Feb 05 2012 home Bologna 0-0 draw under
Jan 29 2012 home Inter Milan 1-0 won under
Jan 22 2012 home Chievo 2-2 draw over
Jan 08 2012 home Juventus 0-1 lost under
Dec 10 2011 home Lazio 2-3 lost over
Nov 26 2011 home Catania 0-1 lost under
Oct 30 2011 home Novara 1-1 draw under
Oct 23 2011 home AC Milan 3-4 lost over
Oct 02 2011 home Cagliari 0-2 lost under
Sep 21 2011 home Atalanta 1-2 lost over

Summary: 1-3-6 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 10-16

Stats for awayteam (Siena):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 22 5-8-9 22-22 23
› At away: 11 0-5-6 5-14 5

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 7-15
› At away: 3-8

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.00 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.45 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.00 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.27 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WLDLDW 2-2-2
› Away: LLLLLD 0-1-5

ELO Rating: 1370.8

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 13 2012 home Roma 1-0 won under
Feb 05 2012 away Juventus 0-0 draw under
Jan 29 2012 away Fiorentina 1-2 lost over
Jan 22 2012 home Napoli 1-1 draw under
Jan 15 2012 away Parma 1-3 lost over
Jan 07 2012 home Lazio 4-0 won over
Dec 20 2011 home Fiorentina 0-0 draw under
Dec 17 2011 away AC Milan 0-2 lost under
Dec 10 2011 home Genoa 0-2 lost under
Dec 04 2011 away Bologna 0-1 lost under

Summary: 2-3-5 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 1.90 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 8-11

Last 10 Matches Away:

Feb 05 2012 away Juventus 0-0 draw under
Jan 29 2012 away Fiorentina 1-2 lost over
Jan 15 2012 away Parma 1-3 lost over
Dec 17 2011 away AC Milan 0-2 lost under
Dec 04 2011 away Bologna 0-1 lost under
Nov 06 2011 away Udinese 1-2 lost over
Oct 26 2011 away Novara 1-1 draw under
Oct 16 2011 away Cagliari 0-0 draw under
Oct 02 2011 away Palermo 0-2 lost under
Sep 22 2011 away Roma 1-1 draw under

Summary: 0-4-6 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 1.90 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 5-14

History:

Overall History

Nov 05 2002 Siena - Lecce 0-0 draw under
Jan 26 2003 Lecce - Siena 1-1 draw under
Oct 25 2003 Siena - Lecce 2-1 homewin over
Mar 07 2004 Lecce - Siena 0-0 draw under
Nov 10 2004 Siena - Lecce 1-1 draw under
Apr 10 2005 Lecce - Siena 2-2 draw over
Nov 20 2005 Lecce - Siena 3-0 homewin over
Mar 26 2006 Siena - Lecce 1-2 awaywin over
Sep 21 2008 Lecce - Siena 1-1 draw under
Feb 01 2009 Siena - Lecce 1-2 awaywin over
Sep 25 2011 Siena - Lecce 3-0 homewin over

Summary (overall): 3-6-2 O-U: 6-5 Avg. score: 2.27 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 1-0-0 O-U: 1-0 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.00

Trend: Lecce is 3-6-2

Trend 3 years: Siena is 1-0-0

Home - Away History

Jan 26 2003 Lecce - Siena 1-1 draw under
Mar 07 2004 Lecce - Siena 0-0 draw under
Apr 10 2005 Lecce - Siena 2-2 draw over
Nov 20 2005 Lecce - Siena 3-0 homewin over
Sep 21 2008 Lecce - Siena 1-1 draw under

Summary (overall): 1-4-0 O-U: 2-3 Avg. score: 2.20 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 0-0-0 O-U: 0-0 Avg. score: 0 Median score: 0.00

Trend: Lecce is 1-4-0

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.