Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw
       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

Lecce - Siena (4 - 1):

Serie A (Italy)
2011/2012

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Lecce) (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Siena) (Trends: 4 Stars: 6)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 11 Stars: 24)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 1 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 17 Stars: 31)

› Lecce home: 1-3-7 10-18
› Lecce form: 2-3-1 5-4
› Home form: 1-2-3 5-7

› Siena away: 0-5-6 5-14
› Siena form: 2-2-2 8-6
› Away form: 0-1-5 3-10

News:

Lecce

2013-05-13 Águias seguem Di Mariano

Chama-se Francesco Di Mariano, tem 17 anos e estará a ser observado por responsáveis do Benfica. Quem o diz é o site TMW, garantindo que o clube da Luz vê neste jogador do Lecce uma ideia para o futuro.Notícias RelacionadasBilhetes para receção ao Moreirense à venda«É fundamental ter a cabeça limpa para a final da Liga Europa» - Álvaro MagalhãesLeverkusen tem Gaitán na mira para substituir SchurrleMan. United não larga GarayÓrgãos sociais reuniram esta segunda-feira

2013-04-25 Lecce-aanvaller riskeert contract na incident met prostituee en travestiet

Sommige voetballers zijn buiten de lijnen nogal omstreden en Ousmane Dramè is zeker een goed voorbeeld. De twintigjarige vleugelaanvaller uit Frankrijk is door Lecce voorlopig op non-actief gezet na e...

Siena

2013-05-22 Neto leva FIFA a pressionar Siena

O Siena voltou a falhar o pagamento de uma tranche referente à transferência do internacional português Luís Neto.Notícias RelacionadasEdgar Costa, fora das contas de Manuel Machado, foi dispensado

2013-05-20 Kyenge: "I cori a Balotelli? Bisogna capire se è razzismo"

Kyenge: "I cori a Balotelli? Bisogna capire se è razzismo" Il ministro dell'Integrazione sugli insulti a Mario a Siena e Firenze: "Serve lucidità: dobbiamo ricondurre tutto ai risultati della partita"

2013-05-20 Wilbacher: Sommar - nu ska vinnare formas

När domare Mauro Bergonzi satte pipan i munnen sent på söndagskvällen på Stadio Artemio Franchi i Siena betydde det att årets Serie A hade nått sin slutdestination och alla vinnare hade blivit korade. Spelare och ledare packar nu väskorna och beger sig till havet samtidigt som en helt annan del av fotbollen tar fart på riktigt. Sportchefer och agenter dammar av sina pennor när mercatocirkusen äntrar scenen. Nu ska nästa års vinnare och förlorare formas.

2013-05-20 Fiorentina antyder fusk i stor stil, da Milan spillede sig i Champions League

Et kontroversielt comeback mod Siena betyder, at AC Milan skal spille Champions League i stedet for Fiorentina

2013-05-20 Galliani relieved with Champions League spot

Milan chief Adriano Galliani was relieved to seal qualification for the UEFA Champions League with a tight 2-1 win over Siena on Sunday.

2013-05-20 VIDEO Woede na 'cadeautje' Milan

De overwinning van AC Milan op Siena en vooral de manier waarop is bij Fiorentina onthaald met woede en verbijstering. De club uit Florence waande zich zondag, met een ruime voorsprong op Pescara, zeker van deelname aan de voorronden van de Champions League tot Milan in de slotfase alsnog Siena versloeg. Mede door een discutalebe strafschop bogen de Milanezen een 1-0-achterstand om in een 2-1-zege.

2013-05-20 Mexès proud of Milan's grandstand finish

"In the end we showed our mental strength," said central defender Philippe Mexès after his late goal at AC Siena snatched a UEFA Champions League place for AC Milan.

2013-05-20 'Champions League is in our DNA' - but AC Milan need huge improvements after lucky final day

The Rossoneri clinched third spot in dramatic fashion in Siena on Sunday but still have a long way to go to get to where they need to be

2013-05-20 'Dit is oneerlijk, AC Milan kreeg een penalty cadeau'

AC Milan kwam zondagavond met de schrik vrij. De ploeg van Massimiliano Allegri moest winnen bij Siena om de derde plek en daarmee een ticket voor de play-offronde van de Champions League veilig te st...

2013-05-19 Soccer-Fiorentina furious over Milan's 'gifted' penalty (Reuters)

May 20 (Reuters) - Fiorentina's players and officials were furious after being deprived of a place in the Champions League playoff by two late goals from AC Milan on Sunday, who clinched third place in Serie A and qualified at their expense. Milan, needing to beat relegated Siena to hold on to third spot, won 2-1 after equalising with a controversial penalty won and converted by Mario Balotelli before Philippe Mexes grabbed the winner. The goals were both scored in the last six minutes and allowed Milan to finish two points ahead of fourth-placed Fiorentina, who thrashed Pescara 5-1. ...

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Lecce: Uptrend
Form: 2-3-1 (9 points, 1.50 avg)
Last 30 matches: 7-7-16 (28 points, 0.93 avg)

› Siena: Neutral
Form: 2-2-2 (8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 30 matches: 8-10-12 (34 points, 1.13 avg)

Home/Away

› Lecce: Neutral
Home form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 3-4-8 (13 points, 0.87 avg)

› Siena: Downtrend
Away form: 0-1-5 (1 points, 0.17 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 1-6-8 (9 points, 0.60 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 AC Milan 11 7 3 1 24 5 24 12 7 2 3 21 15 23 23 14 5 4 45 20 47
2 Juventus 11 7 4 0 21 7 25 11 5 6 0 12 6 21 22 12 10 0 33 13 46
3 Lazio 12 6 4 2 17 9 22 11 6 2 3 20 15 20 23 12 6 5 37 24 42
4 Udinese 12 10 1 1 23 7 31 11 2 4 5 11 15 10 23 12 5 6 34 22 41
5 Napoli 12 5 5 2 23 13 20 12 4 5 3 18 11 17 24 9 10 5 41 24 37
6 Inter Milan 13 6 2 5 21 17 20 11 5 1 5 13 16 16 24 11 3 10 34 33 36
7 Roma 11 6 3 2 23 11 21 12 4 2 6 13 16 14 23 10 5 8 36 27 35
8 Atalanta 12 5 5 2 12 9 20 11 3 4 4 14 18 13 23 8 9 6 26 27 33
9 Palermo 11 9 0 2 26 14 27 12 0 4 8 7 20 4 23 9 4 10 33 34 31
10 Cagliari 12 4 6 2 12 10 18 11 3 3 5 10 14 12 23 7 9 7 22 24 30
11 Genoa 11 7 2 2 19 13 23 12 2 1 9 12 30 7 23 9 3 11 31 43 30
12 Fiorentina 12 6 3 3 19 13 21 10 1 4 5 4 9 7 22 7 7 8 23 22 28
13 Parma 10 5 3 2 16 9 18 11 2 3 6 8 22 9 21 7 6 8 24 31 27
14 Chievo 11 5 3 3 10 9 18 12 2 3 7 9 21 9 23 7 6 10 19 30 27
15 Catania 11 5 4 2 15 8 19 9 1 4 4 9 18 7 20 6 8 6 24 26 26
16 Bologna 10 3 2 5 9 13 11 12 3 5 4 12 13 14 22 6 7 9 21 26 25
17 Siena 11 5 3 3 17 8 18 11 0 5 6 5 14 5 22 5 8 9 22 22 23
18 Lecce 11 1 3 7 10 18 6 12 3 3 6 12 20 12 23 4 6 13 22 38 18
19 Cesena 10 2 3 5 8 10 9 12 2 1 9 7 24 7 22 4 4 14 15 34 16
20 Novara 12 2 5 5 13 21 11 11 1 2 8 7 21 5 23 3 7 13 20 42 16

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 20% (value odds 5.04)

› Awaywin: 18% (value odds 5.62)

› Draw: 62% (value odds 1.60)

› Over: 34% (value odds 2.95)

› Under: 66% (value odds 1.51)

Expected Score:

› Lecce: 1.00

› Siena: 1.02

› Total: 2.03


› Over: 41%

› Under: 59%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Lecce) (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)

› Lecce after drawing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [won 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Siena playing in weekend at away the current season. [lost 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Siena) (Trends: 4 Stars: 6)

› Lecce playing against defensively good teams the current season. [lost 8/ 9] [88.89%] [3*]
› Lecce playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [lost 10/ 16] [62.50%] [1*]
› Lecce playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [lost 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Lecce playing in weekend at home the current season. [lost 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 11 Stars: 24)

› Lecce playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [draw 4/ 10] [40.00%] [2*]
› Lecce playing in February the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 12] [50.00%] [3*]
› Lecce after playing under 2 matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 7] [71.43%] [3*]
› Siena playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [draw 4/ 9] [44.44%] [2*]
› Siena playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 19] [36.84%] [1*]
› Siena playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 8/ 22] [36.36%] [1*]
› Siena playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 5/ 11] [45.45%] [3*]
› Siena playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 18/ 51] [35.29%] [1*]
› Siena playing in February the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 10] [40.00%] [2*]
› Siena playing in February at away the last 3 seasons. [draw 3/ 6] [50.00%] [3*]
› Siena after drawing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 10] [50.00%] [3*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 1 Stars: 2)

› Siena playing against defensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 17 Stars: 31)

› Lecce playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [under 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]
› Lecce playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [under 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Lecce playing in weekend the current season. [under 12/ 19] [63.16%] [1*]
› Lecce playing in weekend at home the current season. [under 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]
› Lecce playing against poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Lecce after playing under 2 matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 7] [100.00%] [4*]
› Lecce after drawing in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Siena playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [under 10/ 14] [71.43%] [2*]
› Siena playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 15/ 22] [68.18%] [1*]
› Siena playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [under 8/ 11] [72.73%] [2*]
› Siena playing in weekend the current season. [under 11/ 18] [61.11%] [1*]
› Siena playing in weekend at away the current season. [under 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Siena playing in February the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]
› Siena playing in February at away the last 3 seasons. [under 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Siena playing against poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 9/ 12] [75.00%] [2*]
› Siena playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 13/ 19] [68.42%] [1*]
› Siena after playing under 2 matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [under 9/ 9] [100.00%] [4*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Lecce
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1330.8
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1286.6
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1257.2

› Current ELO Rating: 1242.0

Siena
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1447.9
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1413.9
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1373.3

› Current ELO Rating: 1370.8

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Lecce 1480.8 1503.0 1483.5 1468.4 1447.8 1445.8 1425.2 1407.5 1402.3 1416.0 1398.1 1376.3 1356.1 1330.8 1326.7 1305.6 1278.7 1286.6 1278.0 1281.6 1257.2 1249.3 1242.0
Siena 1500.0 1480.1 1480.0 1498.7 1483.4 1481.7 1494.2 1491.9 1508.1 1491.2 1486.2 1465.5 1447.9 1428.7 1408.0 1402.6 1413.9 1398.4 1390.1 1373.3 1364.5 1370.8

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Lecce
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.67
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.60
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.60

› Current Power Rating: 9.60

Siena
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.05
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.05
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.97

› Current Power Rating: 10.00

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Lecce 9.95 10.00 9.97 9.90 9.85 9.85 9.82 9.77 9.77 9.80 9.77 9.75 9.70 9.67 9.67 9.60 9.57 9.60 9.60 9.62 9.60 9.60 9.60
Siena 10.00 9.97 9.97 10.05 10.00 10.00 10.05 10.05 10.12 10.10 10.10 10.07 10.05 10.00 9.95 9.95 10.05 10.00 10.00 9.97 9.97 10.00

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.09 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: 2 (indicates draw)

› Weighted Form System: -1 (indicates draw)

› Goal Superiority System: -1 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: -1 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 3 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: -3 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 32% (homewin) 36% (draw) 32% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: -0.33 (indicates homewin)

Stats for hometeam (Lecce):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 23 4-6-13 22-38 18
› At home: 11 1-3-7 10-18 6

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 10-13
› At home: 4-7

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.96 goals per match
› At home: scoring 0.91 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.65 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.64 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WDWLDD 2-3-1
› Home: LLLDWD 1-2-3

ELO Rating: 1242.0

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 12 2012 away Atalanta 0-0 draw under
Feb 05 2012 home Bologna 0-0 draw under
Feb 01 2012 away Udinese 1-2 lost over
Jan 29 2012 home Inter Milan 1-0 won under
Jan 22 2012 home Chievo 2-2 draw over
Jan 15 2012 away Fiorentina 1-0 won under
Jan 08 2012 home Juventus 0-1 lost under
Dec 21 2011 away Inter Milan 1-4 lost over
Dec 18 2011 away Parma 3-3 draw over
Dec 10 2011 home Lazio 2-3 lost over

Summary: 2-4-4 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 11-15

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Feb 05 2012 home Bologna 0-0 draw under
Jan 29 2012 home Inter Milan 1-0 won under
Jan 22 2012 home Chievo 2-2 draw over
Jan 08 2012 home Juventus 0-1 lost under
Dec 10 2011 home Lazio 2-3 lost over
Nov 26 2011 home Catania 0-1 lost under
Oct 30 2011 home Novara 1-1 draw under
Oct 23 2011 home AC Milan 3-4 lost over
Oct 02 2011 home Cagliari 0-2 lost under
Sep 21 2011 home Atalanta 1-2 lost over

Summary: 1-3-6 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 10-16

Stats for awayteam (Siena):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 22 5-8-9 22-22 23
› At away: 11 0-5-6 5-14 5

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 7-15
› At away: 3-8

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.00 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.45 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.00 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.27 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WLDLDW 2-2-2
› Away: LLLLLD 0-1-5

ELO Rating: 1370.8

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 13 2012 home Roma 1-0 won under
Feb 05 2012 away Juventus 0-0 draw under
Jan 29 2012 away Fiorentina 1-2 lost over
Jan 22 2012 home Napoli 1-1 draw under
Jan 15 2012 away Parma 1-3 lost over
Jan 07 2012 home Lazio 4-0 won over
Dec 20 2011 home Fiorentina 0-0 draw under
Dec 17 2011 away AC Milan 0-2 lost under
Dec 10 2011 home Genoa 0-2 lost under
Dec 04 2011 away Bologna 0-1 lost under

Summary: 2-3-5 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 1.90 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 8-11

Last 10 Matches Away:

Feb 05 2012 away Juventus 0-0 draw under
Jan 29 2012 away Fiorentina 1-2 lost over
Jan 15 2012 away Parma 1-3 lost over
Dec 17 2011 away AC Milan 0-2 lost under
Dec 04 2011 away Bologna 0-1 lost under
Nov 06 2011 away Udinese 1-2 lost over
Oct 26 2011 away Novara 1-1 draw under
Oct 16 2011 away Cagliari 0-0 draw under
Oct 02 2011 away Palermo 0-2 lost under
Sep 22 2011 away Roma 1-1 draw under

Summary: 0-4-6 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 1.90 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 5-14

History:

Overall History

Nov 05 2002 Siena - Lecce 0-0 draw under
Jan 26 2003 Lecce - Siena 1-1 draw under
Oct 25 2003 Siena - Lecce 2-1 homewin over
Mar 07 2004 Lecce - Siena 0-0 draw under
Nov 10 2004 Siena - Lecce 1-1 draw under
Apr 10 2005 Lecce - Siena 2-2 draw over
Nov 20 2005 Lecce - Siena 3-0 homewin over
Mar 26 2006 Siena - Lecce 1-2 awaywin over
Sep 21 2008 Lecce - Siena 1-1 draw under
Feb 01 2009 Siena - Lecce 1-2 awaywin over
Sep 25 2011 Siena - Lecce 3-0 homewin over

Summary (overall): 3-6-2 O-U: 6-5 Avg. score: 2.27 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 1-0-0 O-U: 1-0 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.00

Trend: Lecce is 3-6-2

Trend 3 years: Siena is 1-0-0

Home - Away History

Jan 26 2003 Lecce - Siena 1-1 draw under
Mar 07 2004 Lecce - Siena 0-0 draw under
Apr 10 2005 Lecce - Siena 2-2 draw over
Nov 20 2005 Lecce - Siena 3-0 homewin over
Sep 21 2008 Lecce - Siena 1-1 draw under

Summary (overall): 1-4-0 O-U: 2-3 Avg. score: 2.20 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 0-0-0 O-U: 0-0 Avg. score: 0 Median score: 0.00

Trend: Lecce is 1-4-0

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.