Notts County vs Stevenage | League One

Notts County - Stevenage (1 - 0):

League One (England)
2011/2012

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Notts County) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Stevenage) (Trends: 4 Stars: 10)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 7 Stars: 13)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 13 Stars: 17)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 17 Stars: 26)

› Notts County home: 7-5-2 25-16
› Notts County form: 2-2-2 5-7
› Home form: 2-3-1 9-8

› Stevenage away: 7-5-3 23-11
› Stevenage form: 4-1-1 12-5
› Away form: 4-2-0 14-3

News:

Notts County

2013-05-22 Fleet secure Hughes signature

Fleetwood have made their fourth summer signing with Notts County midfielder Jeff Hughes penning a two-year deal.

2013-05-21 Magpies vow to end bullying

Notts County have taken a zero tolerance stance on "bullying and intimidation" amid an investigation into allegations of racial abuse.

2013-05-21 Watson lands Magpies role

Notts County have confirmed that Andy Watson has been appointed as the first-team coach at Meadow Lane.

2013-05-18 PFA backs Notts County racism probe

PFA chief executive Gordon Taylor is satisfied with the way Notts County dealt with allegations of racism leading to two youth coaches resigning.

2013-05-16 County interested in Gordon

Notts County have been linked with a move for out-of-contract defender Ben Gordon.

2013-05-08 Tempest lands international call

Notts County midfielder Greg Tempest has been called up to a Northern Ireland Under-21 training camp.

2013-05-03 Fans' anger understandable - Stoney

Lincoln Ladies captain Casey Stoney understands the fans' anger over the club's renaming and move to Notts County next season.

2013-05-01 Eight Magpies offered new deals

Notts County have offered new deals to eight out-of-contract players, while five will depart the League One club this summer.

2013-04-30 Trio make step up at County

Romello Nangle, Malachi Lavelle-Moore and Kyle Dixon have been offered professional contracts with Notts County.

2013-04-30 Sheehan wants Magpies stay

Alan Sheehan has revealed he is eager to remain at Notts County for the 2013/14 League One season.

Stevenage

2013-05-23 Horlock signs for Chairboys

Wycombe have handed goalkeeper Charlie Horlock a one-year contract following his release from Stevenage.

2013-05-22 Stevenage bring in two more

Stevenage have added two more new faces to their squad in the shape of midfielders Sam Wedgbury and Simon Heslop.

2013-05-21 Boro swoop for duo

Stevenage boss Graham Westley has begun rebuilding for next season by signing Oumare Tounkara and Luke Jones.

2013-05-20 Boro boss wields the axe

Stevenage manager Graham Westley has released four players and put David Gray, Anthony Grant and Marcus Haber up for transfer.

2013-05-17 Ashton pens new Boro contract

Experienced Stevenage defender Jon Ashton has signed a new two-year contract.

2013-05-17 Westley expects to lose duo

Stevenage boss Graham Westley is resigned to losing key men James Dunne and Lucas Akins this summer.

2013-05-13 A good Day for Stevenage

Veteran Stevenage goalkeeper Chris Day has signed a new one-year contract.

2013-05-08 Hammers stars come out for Cole

West Ham stars turned out in force for the Mitchell Cole benefit match at Stevenage on Tuesday night.

2013-05-07 Stars set to play in Cole benefit match

Andy Carroll, Kevin Nolan and Gary Hooper will take part in a benefit match for the late Mitchell Cole at Stevenage on Tuesday.

2013-05-06 Boro ready to remember Cole

Stevenage are preparing for an emotional evening when they host the Mitchell Cole benefit match on Tuesday.

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Notts County: Neutral
Form: 2-2-2 (8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 30 matches: 11-7-12 (40 points, 1.33 avg)

› Stevenage: Neutral
Form: 4-1-1 (13 points, 2.17 avg)
Last 30 matches: 15-9-6 (54 points, 1.80 avg)

Home/Away

› Notts County: Neutral
Home form: 2-3-1 (9 points, 1.50 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 7-6-2 (27 points, 1.80 avg)

› Stevenage: Uptrend
Away form: 4-2-0 (14 points, 2.33 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 7-5-3 (26 points, 1.73 avg)

Table:

		Home							Away							All
		Matches				Goals			Matches				Goals			Matches				Goals
		All	W	D	L	For	Aga	Pts	All	W	D	L	For	Aga	Pts	All	W	D	L	For	Aga	Pts
1	Charlton	14	9	5	0	30	10	32	16	11	3	2	26	12	36	30	20	8	2	56	22	68
2	Sheffield United	16	12	2	2	38	17	38	14	7	3	4	20	12	24	30	19	5	6	58	29	62
3	Sheffield Wednesday	15	10	3	2	29	15	33	17	7	3	7	25	26	24	32	17	6	9	54	41	57
4	Huddersfield	16	9	5	2	26	15	32	14	5	8	1	31	15	23	30	14	13	3	57	30	55
5	Milton Keynes	14	7	6	1	30	14	27	16	7	4	5	29	20	25	30	14	10	6	59	34	52
6	Stevenage	13	6	4	3	21	14	22	15	7	5	3	23	11	26	28	13	9	6	44	25	48
7	Carlisle	15	7	5	3	26	23	26	15	5	5	5	17	25	20	30	12	10	8	43	48	46
8	Bournemouth	15	6	2	7	17	19	20	17	6	6	5	21	19	24	32	12	8	12	38	38	44
9	Brentford	16	6	5	5	26	20	23	14	5	5	4	17	17	20	30	11	10	9	43	37	43
10	Hartlepool	16	5	3	8	17	16	18	15	6	5	4	22	21	23	31	11	8	12	39	37	41
11	Notts County	14	7	5	2	25	16	26	16	4	2	10	20	28	14	30	11	7	12	45	44	40
12	Colchester	15	6	5	4	26	26	23	14	4	4	6	15	19	16	29	10	9	10	41	45	39
13	Preston	15	6	3	6	24	28	21	15	5	3	7	19	22	18	30	11	6	13	43	50	39
14	Bury	14	5	4	5	18	21	19	16	6	2	8	21	28	20	30	11	6	13	39	49	39
15	Leyton Orient	16	4	4	8	15	23	16	14	6	4	4	18	20	22	30	10	8	12	33	43	38
16	Oldham	14	6	3	5	18	17	21	14	3	5	6	16	26	14	28	9	8	11	34	43	35
17	Tranmere	16	5	8	3	15	12	23	15	3	2	10	16	25	11	31	8	10	13	31	37	34
18	Yeovil	16	6	2	8	22	27	20	15	2	7	6	17	25	13	31	8	9	14	39	52	33
19	Exeter	16	6	5	5	18	18	23	16	2	4	10	12	29	10	32	8	9	15	30	47	33
20	Scunthorpe	15	3	6	6	21	26	15	14	3	7	4	17	18	16	29	6	13	10	38	44	31
21	Walsall	16	4	6	6	16	19	18	14	1	7	6	13	17	10	30	5	13	12	29	36	28
22	Chesterfield	15	4	5	6	15	18	17	16	2	4	10	21	34	10	31	6	9	16	36	52	27
23	Rochdale	15	4	6	5	18	22	18	15	2	3	10	10	28	9	30	6	9	15	28	50	27
24	Wycombe	16	5	2	9	21	28	17	16	2	3	11	18	35	9	32	7	5	20	39	63	26

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 18% (value odds 5.45)

› Awaywin: 46% (value odds 2.16)

› Draw: 35% (value odds 2.82)

› Over: 47% (value odds 2.15)

› Under: 53% (value odds 1.87)

Expected Score:

› Notts County: 1.05

› Stevenage: 1.46

› Total: 2.51

› Over: 50%

› Under: 50%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Notts County) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Notts County after winning in their last homematch the last 3 seasons.

[won

8/

13]

[61.54%]

[1*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Stevenage) (Trends: 4 Stars: 10)

› Stevenage playing in midweek the current season.	[won	6/	7]	[85.71%]	[3*]
› Stevenage playing in midweek the last 3 seasons.	[won	29/	40]	[72.50%]	[2*]
› Stevenage playing in midweek at away the last 3 seasons.	[won	17/	20]	[85.00%]	[3*]
› Stevenage playing 2 awaymatches in a row the last 3 seasons.	[won	11/	15]	[73.33%]	[2*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 7 Stars: 13)

› Notts County playing against good awayteams the current season.	[draw	3/	7]	[42.86%]	[2*]
› Notts County playing against defensively good awayteams the current season.	[draw	3/	7]	[42.86%]	[2*]
› Notts County playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season.	[draw	5/	14]	[35.71%]	[1*]
› Notts County playing in midweek the current season.	[draw	4/	8]	[50.00%]	[3*]
› Stevenage playing against average teams the current season.	[draw	4/	10]	[40.00%]	[2*]
› Stevenage playing against average teams the last 3 seasons.	[draw	16/	38]	[42.11%]	[2*]
› Stevenage playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season.	[draw	6/	17]	[35.29%]	[1*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 13 Stars: 17)

› Notts County playing against good teams the current season.	[over	7/	9]	[77.78%]	[2*]
› Notts County playing against good awayteams the current season.	[over	5/	7]	[71.43%]	[2*]
› Notts County playing against good teams the last 3 seasons.	[over	27/	44]	[61.36%]	[1*]
› Notts County playing against good awayteams the last 3 seasons.	[over	10/	15]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Notts County playing against defensively good awayteams the current season.	[over	5/	7]	[71.43%]	[2*]
› Notts County playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons.	[over	8/	13]	[61.54%]	[1*]
› Notts County playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons.	[over	10/	15]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Notts County playing against offensively good teams the current season.	[over	8/	12]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Notts County playing against teams with good form the last 6 matches the current season.	[over	7/	9]	[77.78%]	[2*]
› Notts County playing against teams with average elo rating the current season.	[over	20/	30]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Notts County playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season.	[over	9/	14]	[64.29%]	[1*]
› Notts County playing in midweek the current season.	[over	5/	8]	[62.50%]	[1*]
› Notts County after winning in their last homematch the last 3 seasons.	[over	8/	13]	[61.54%]	[1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 17 Stars: 26)

› Notts County playing in February the last 3 seasons.	[under	7/	11]	[63.64%]	[1*]
› Notts County playing in February at home the last 3 seasons.	[under	5/	7]	[71.43%]	[2*]
› Stevenage playing against average teams the current season.	[under	6/	10]	[60.00%]	[1*]
› Stevenage playing against average teams the last 3 seasons.	[under	24/	38]	[63.16%]	[1*]
› Stevenage playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons.	[under	12/	15]	[80.00%]	[3*]
› Stevenage playing against defensively average teams the current season.	[under	8/	13]	[61.54%]	[1*]
› Stevenage playing against defensively average hometeams the current season.	[under	4/	6]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Stevenage playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons.	[under	34/	53]	[64.15%]	[1*]
› Stevenage playing against defensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons.	[under	19/	27]	[70.37%]	[2*]
› Stevenage playing against hometeams with average form the last 6 matches the current season.	[under	8/	13]	[61.54%]	[1*]
› Stevenage playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season.	[under	10/	15]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Stevenage playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons.	[under	74/	118]	[62.71%]	[1*]
› Stevenage playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons.	[under	41/	59]	[69.49%]	[1*]
› Stevenage playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons.	[under	28/	44]	[63.64%]	[1*]
› Stevenage playing against offensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons.	[under	15/	20]	[75.00%]	[2*]
› Stevenage playing in February at away the last 3 seasons.	[under	6/	8]	[75.00%]	[2*]
› Stevenage after playing under 2 awaymatches in a row the last 3 seasons.	[under	6/	6]	[100.00%]	[4*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Notts County
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1459.2
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1398.5
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1394.5

› Current ELO Rating: 1384.0

Stevenage
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1470.3
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1512.7
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1494.0

› Current ELO Rating: 1520.8

ELO Trend
Match	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30
Notts County	1526.2	1506.8	1516.9	1500.4	1485.0	1498.8	1509.3	1505.4	1526.5	1537.4	1522.2	1539.9	1554.8	1548.7	1544.2	1525.6	1515.3	1497.6	1504.3	1482.5	1459.2	1439.5	1422.9	1414.4	1398.5	1388.8	1383.9	1394.5	1400.6	1384.0
Stevenage	1495.8	1495.3	1517.6	1512.3	1495.8	1508.8	1507.3	1527.2	1507.1	1490.9	1469.6	1451.0	1456.9	1449.4	1462.0	1475.7	1483.7	1479.2	1470.3	1468.1	1477.0	1505.9	1512.7	1488.2	1501.4	1494.0	1506.5	1520.8

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Notts County
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.12
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.05
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.07

› Current Power Rating: 10.03

Stevenage
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.15
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.33
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.40

› Current Power Rating: 10.48

Power Rating Trend
Match	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30
Notts County	10.07	10.05	10.07	10.05	10.00	10.05	10.07	10.07	10.12	10.18	10.10	10.18	10.23	10.23	10.23	10.18	10.18	10.15	10.18	10.15	10.12	10.10	10.07	10.07	10.05	10.05	10.05	10.07	10.10	10.03
Stevenage	10.00	10.00	10.05	10.05	10.03	10.08	10.08	10.18	10.12	10.10	10.07	10.05	10.07	10.07	10.10	10.12	10.15	10.15	10.15	10.15	10.18	10.30	10.33	10.30	10.40	10.40	10.45	10.48

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.12 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: -3 (indicates awaywin)

› Weighted Form System: -6 (indicates awaywin)

› Goal Superiority System: -18 (indicates awaywin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: -9 (indicates awaywin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: -9 (indicates awaywin) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: -7 (indicates awaywin) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 35% (homewin) 35% (draw) 30% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.33 (indicates awaywin)

Stats for hometeam (Notts County):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 30 11-7-12 45-44 40
› At home: 14 7-5-2 25-16 26

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 20-10
› At home: 9-5

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.50 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.79 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.47 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.14 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LDDWWL 2-2-2
› Home: WLDDDW 2-3-1

ELO Rating: 1384.0

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 18 2012	away	Hartlepool	0-3	lost	over
Feb 14 2012	home	Exeter	2-1	won	over
Jan 31 2012	away	Walsall	1-0	won	under
Jan 24 2012	home	Preston	0-0	draw	under
Jan 21 2012	home	Milton Keynes	1-1	draw	under
Jan 14 2012	away	Bournemouth	1-2	lost	over
Jan 02 2012	home	Huddersfield	2-2	draw	over
Dec 31 2011	away	Oldham	2-3	lost	over
Dec 27 2011	away	Sheffield United	1-2	lost	over
Dec 17 2011	home	Leyton Orient	1-2	lost	over

Summary: 2-3-5 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 2.70 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 11-16

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Feb 14 2012	home	Exeter	2-1	won	over
Jan 24 2012	home	Preston	0-0	draw	under
Jan 21 2012	home	Milton Keynes	1-1	draw	under
Jan 02 2012	home	Huddersfield	2-2	draw	over
Dec 17 2011	home	Leyton Orient	1-2	lost	over
Nov 26 2011	home	Scunthorpe	3-2	won	over
Nov 05 2011	home	Wycombe	1-1	draw	under
Oct 22 2011	home	Brentford	1-1	draw	under
Oct 09 2011	home	Hartlepool	3-0	won	over
Sep 24 2011	home	Rochdale	2-0	won	under

Summary: 4-5-1 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 16-10

Stats for awayteam (Stevenage):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 28 13-9-6 44-25 48
› At away: 15 7-5-3 23-11 26

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 12-16
› At away: 5-10

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.57 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.53 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 0.89 goals per match
› At away: allowing 0.73 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WLWDWW 4-1-1
› Away: DWWWDW 4-2-0

ELO Rating: 1520.8