Index : Annan Athletic vs Berwick

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

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Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Annan Athletic - Berwick (1 - 1):

Third Division (Scotland)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Annan Athletic) (Trends: 7 Stars: 13)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Berwick) (Trends: 3 Stars: 3)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 2 Stars: 5)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 11 Stars: 19)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 8 Stars: 11)

› Annan Athletic home: 4-1-2 7-4
› Annan Athletic form: 1-2-3 6-8
› Home form: 4-1-1 7-3

› Berwick away: 3-2-4 19-16
› Berwick form: 2-0-4 9-9
› Away form: 3-1-2 15-10

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Annan Athletic: Downtrend
Form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 10-8-12 (38 points, 1.27 avg)

› Berwick: Downtrend
Form: 2-0-4 (6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 30 matches: 12-5-13 (41 points, 1.37 avg)

Home/Away

› Annan Athletic: Neutral
Home form: 4-1-1 (13 points, 2.17 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 8-4-3 (28 points, 1.87 avg)

› Berwick: Uptrend
Away form: 3-1-2 (10 points, 1.67 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 5-3-7 (18 points, 1.20 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 East Stirlingshire 10 7 2 1 16 9 23 9 6 0 3 11 11 18 19 13 2 4 27 20 41
2 Livingston 9 7 1 1 18 6 22 10 5 2 3 19 10 17 19 12 3 4 37 16 39
3 Berwick 11 7 1 3 12 6 22 9 3 2 4 19 16 11 20 10 3 7 31 22 33
4 Forfar 8 3 4 1 17 12 13 10 5 2 3 12 9 17 18 8 6 4 29 21 30
5 Queens Park 11 4 2 5 15 19 14 10 3 2 5 8 12 11 21 7 4 10 23 31 25
6 Albion Rovers 9 3 4 2 8 5 13 9 2 4 3 7 10 10 18 5 8 5 15 15 23
7 Stranraer 10 3 3 4 11 14 12 10 3 2 5 14 17 11 20 6 5 9 25 31 23
8 Annan Athletic 7 4 1 2 7 4 13 10 1 4 5 8 13 7 17 5 5 7 15 17 20
9 Elgin 9 1 2 6 10 23 5 9 3 4 2 15 11 13 18 4 6 8 25 34 18
10 Montrose 11 0 4 7 9 21 4 9 1 2 6 6 14 5 20 1 6 13 15 35 9

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 30% (value odds 3.32)

› Awaywin: 42% (value odds 2.36)

› Draw: 27% (value odds 3.64)

› Over: 54% (value odds 1.86)

› Under: 46% (value odds 2.16)

Expected Score:

› Annan Athletic: 1.32

› Berwick: 1.38

› Total: 2.70


› Over: 54%

› Under: 46%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Annan Athletic) (Trends: 7 Stars: 13)

› Berwick playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 14/ 15] [93.33%] [4*]
› Berwick playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [lost 14/ 20] [70.00%] [2*]
› Berwick playing against defensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 7/ 8] [87.50%] [3*]
› Berwick playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [lost 30/ 43] [69.77%] [1*]
› Berwick playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [lost 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Berwick playing 2 awaymatches in a row the last 3 seasons. [lost 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Berwick after losing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [lost 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Berwick) (Trends: 3 Stars: 3)

› Annan Athletic playing against good teams the current season. [lost 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Annan Athletic playing against offensively good teams the current season. [lost 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Berwick playing against teams with poor form the last 6 matches the current season. [won 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 2 Stars: 5)

› Annan Athletic playing against average awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Berwick after conceeding 2 or more in their last 2 matches the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 10] [50.00%] [3*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 11 Stars: 19)

› Annan Athletic playing against defensively average teams the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Berwick playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [over 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Berwick playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 55/ 88] [62.50%] [1*]
› Berwick playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 31/ 43] [72.09%] [2*]
› Berwick playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 11/ 15] [73.33%] [2*]
› Berwick playing against defensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Berwick playing in February the last 3 seasons. [over 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Berwick playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [over 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Berwick after conceeding 2 or more in their last 2 matches the last 3 seasons. [over 8/ 10] [80.00%] [3*]
› Berwick playing 2 awaymatches in a row the last 3 seasons. [over 8/ 11] [72.73%] [2*]
› Berwick after losing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [over 8/ 10] [80.00%] [3*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 8 Stars: 11)

› Annan Athletic playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [under 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Annan Athletic playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 12/ 17] [70.59%] [2*]
› Annan Athletic playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [under 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Berwick playing against average teams the current season. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Berwick playing against defensively good teams the current season. [under 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Berwick playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [under 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Berwick playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 11/ 17] [64.71%] [1*]
› Berwick playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 13/ 20] [65.00%] [1*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Annan Athletic
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1461.4
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1454.7
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1445.7

› Current ELO Rating: 1421.6

Berwick
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1510.9
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1543.1
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1523.2

› Current ELO Rating: 1477.9

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Annan Athletic 1485.0 1465.2 1449.5 1448.3 1455.6 1454.6 1448.2 1461.4 1443.5 1453.4 1470.4 1454.7 1434.5 1431.3 1445.7 1438.4 1421.6
Berwick 1510.8 1495.3 1505.3 1515.9 1513.5 1523.3 1533.8 1513.9 1498.7 1496.9 1510.9 1530.0 1522.2 1532.4 1543.1 1523.2 1502.7 1523.2 1495.3 1477.9

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Annan Athletic
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.97
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.97
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.97

› Current Power Rating: 9.95

Berwick
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.13
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.28
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.30

› Current Power Rating: 10.23

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Annan Athletic 9.97 9.95 9.90 9.90 9.92 9.92 9.92 9.97 9.92 9.95 10.00 9.97 9.92 9.92 9.97 9.97 9.95
Berwick 10.03 10.00 10.03 10.05 10.05 10.08 10.13 10.10 10.08 10.08 10.13 10.18 10.18 10.23 10.28 10.25 10.20 10.30 10.25 10.23

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.63 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: -8 (indicates awaywin)

› Weighted Form System: -25 (indicates awaywin)

› Goal Superiority System: -5 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: -2 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: -7 (indicates awaywin) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: -3 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 51% (homewin) 18% (draw) 31% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: -0.17 (indicates draw)

Stats for hometeam (Annan Athletic):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 17 5-5-7 15-17 20
› At home: 7 4-1-2 7-4 13

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 5-12
› At home: 1-6

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.88 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.00 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.00 goals per match
› At home: allowing 0.57 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LLDWDL 1-2-3
› Home: WDWWLW 4-1-1

ELO Rating: 1421.6

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Jan 23 2010 away Queens Park 2-3 lost over
Dec 12 2009 away Montrose 0-0 draw under
Dec 05 2009 home Queens Park 3-1 won over
Nov 21 2009 away Albion Rovers 0-0 draw under
Nov 14 2009 home Elgin 0-2 lost under
Nov 07 2009 away Forfar 1-2 lost over
Oct 31 2009 away East Stirlingshire 3-1 won over
Oct 17 2009 home Stranraer 1-0 won under
Oct 13 2009 away Livingston 0-2 lost under
Oct 10 2009 home Montrose 2-0 won under

Summary: 4-2-4 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.30 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 12-11

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Dec 05 2009 home Queens Park 3-1 won over
Nov 14 2009 home Elgin 0-2 lost under
Oct 17 2009 home Stranraer 1-0 won under
Oct 10 2009 home Montrose 2-0 won under
Sep 26 2009 home Albion Rovers 0-0 draw under
Sep 12 2009 home Forfar 1-0 won under
Aug 15 2009 home East Stirlingshire 0-1 lost under
May 09 2009 home Dumbarton 1-3 lost over
Apr 25 2009 home Berwick 1-1 draw under
Apr 04 2009 home Montrose 2-1 won over

Summary: 5-2-3 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 11-9

Stats for awayteam (Berwick):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 20 10-3-7 31-22 33
› At away: 9 3-2-4 19-16 11

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 7-13
› At away: 6-3

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.55 goals per match
› At away: scoring 2.11 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.10 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.78 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WLLWLL 2-0-4
› Away: DWWLWL 3-1-2

ELO Rating: 1477.9

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 away East Stirlingshire 2-3 lost over
Jan 30 2010 home Montrose 0-2 lost under
Jan 23 2010 away Elgin 5-1 won over
Jan 16 2010 away Queens Park 0-2 lost under
Dec 12 2009 home East Stirlingshire 0-1 lost under
Dec 05 2009 home Elgin 2-0 won under
Dec 01 2009 away Montrose 3-1 won over
Nov 14 2009 home Queens Park 1-1 draw under
Nov 07 2009 away Stranraer 4-2 won over
Oct 31 2009 home Albion Rovers 2-0 won under

Summary: 5-1-4 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 3.20 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 19-13

Last 10 Matches Away:

Feb 06 2010 away East Stirlingshire 2-3 lost over
Jan 23 2010 away Elgin 5-1 won over
Jan 16 2010 away Queens Park 0-2 lost under
Dec 01 2009 away Montrose 3-1 won over
Nov 07 2009 away Stranraer 4-2 won over
Oct 17 2009 away Livingston 1-1 draw under
Oct 10 2009 away East Stirlingshire 0-1 lost under
Sep 19 2009 away Elgin 3-3 draw over
Aug 15 2009 away Albion Rovers 1-2 lost over
May 09 2009 away Elgin 0-2 lost under

Summary: 3-2-5 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 3.70 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 19-18

History:

Overall History

Sep 27 2008 Berwick - Annan Athletic 3-0 homewin over
Dec 13 2008 Annan Athletic - Berwick 1-2 awaywin over
Feb 24 2009 Berwick - Annan Athletic 1-1 draw under
Apr 25 2009 Annan Athletic - Berwick 1-1 draw under
Aug 08 2009 Berwick - Annan Athletic 2-1 homewin over

Summary (overall): 2-2-1 O-U: 3-2 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 2-2-1 O-U: 3-2 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 3.00

Trend: Berwick is 3-2-0

Trend 3 years: Berwick is 3-2-0

Home - Away History

Dec 13 2008 Annan Athletic - Berwick 1-2 awaywin over
Apr 25 2009 Annan Athletic - Berwick 1-1 draw under

Summary (overall): 0-1-1 O-U: 1-1 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.50

Summary (3 years): 0-1-1 O-U: 1-1 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.50

Trend: Berwick is 1-1-0

Trend 3 years: Berwick is 1-1-0