Index : Watford vs Bristol City

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

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Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Watford - Bristol City (2 - 0):

Championship League (England)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Watford) (Trends: 3 Stars: 6)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Bristol City) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 14 Stars: 29)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 11 Stars: 16)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 9 Stars: 13)

› Watford home: 6-4-3 24-16
› Watford form: 1-2-3 8-8
› Home form: 4-1-1 11-2

› Bristol City away: 2-6-5 12-18
› Bristol City form: 1-3-2 8-13
› Away form: 1-2-3 6-9

News:

Watford

2010-09-09 Mackay hoping for Mutch stay

Watford have begun talks with Birmingham to extend Jordon Mutch's loan deal, according to boss Malky Mackay.

2010-09-08 Watford want Saracens stay

Watford chief executive Julian Winter hopes Saracens will extend their stay at Vicarage Road.

2010-09-08 Wolfsburg Set Sights On USA International Jay DeMerit - Report

Wolfsburg are reportedly keeping tabs on USA defender Jay DeMerit.

2010-09-08 Boothroyd names assistant

Coventry boss Aidy Boothroyd has gone back to Watford to bring in Martyn Pert as his assistant.

2010-09-07 Massey has no Reds regrets

Watford starlet Gavin Massey insists he has no regrets at having passed up the opportunity to join Liverpool.

2010-09-07 US defender DeMerit close to Wolfsburg move?

Former Watford captain Jay DeMerit could be set for a shock move to join Steve McClaren at German side Wolfsburg as he is currently without a club.

2010-09-06 Hornets await ground decision

Watford expect an announcement on Tuesday on whether Saracens will continue to play at Vicarage Road.

2010-09-02 Hamburg snub Hornets bid

Hamburg turned down an approach from Watford for Anis Ben-Hatira, the club's general manager has confirmed.

2010-08-28 Naylor notches to sting Hornets

Leeds United made it back-to-back league victories as captain Richard Naylor struck to beat Watford.

2010-08-24 Hornets stung by Magpies

Notts County claimed a prized scalp in the Carling Cup second round as they dumped out second tier Watford.

Bristol City

2010-09-09 Spurs loan Rose to Bristol City

Bristol City sign Tottenham Hotspur midfielder Danny Rose on loan for the rest of the season.

2010-09-09 Robins pick up Rose

Bristol City have signed Tottenham winger Danny Rose on loan for the remainder of the season.

2010-09-09 Williams returns to Huish Park

Yeovil Town sign Bristol City midfielder Gavin Williams for a third time on a three-month loan deal.

2010-09-09 Williams makes Glovers return

Yeovil Town boss Terry Skiverton has signed Bristol City midfielder Gavin Williams on loan for a third time.

2010-09-06 Haynes set for return

Danny Haynes is preparing to make his comeback for Bristol City following groin and hamstring problems.

2010-09-04 Vokes eyes Robins return

Wolves striker Sam Vokes is still hoping to make an impact at Bristol City despite his injury setback.

2010-08-30 Robins tracking Spurs' Rose

Skysports.com understands Bristol City want to take Tottenham youngster Danny Rose on loan to Ashton Gate.

2010-08-28 Calamity James rides again

David James gifted Ipswich their opening goal as Roy Keane's side secured a 2-0 victory over Bristol City.

2010-08-28 Ipswich 2-0 Bristol City

A goalkeeping error from David James helps Ipswich beat Bristol City at Portman Road.

2010-08-27 Rovers swoop for City's Akinde

Bristol Rovers have bolstered their forward line with the loan signing of John Akinde from city rivals Bristol City until January.

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Watford: Downtrend
Form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 11-8-11 (41 points, 1.37 avg)

› Bristol City: Neutral
Form: 1-3-2 (6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 30 matches: 8-14-8 (38 points, 1.27 avg)

Home/Away

› Watford: Uptrend
Home form: 4-1-1 (13 points, 2.17 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 7-4-4 (25 points, 1.67 avg)

› Bristol City: Neutral
Away form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 2-6-7 (12 points, 0.80 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Newcastle 15 11 4 0 30 7 37 13 6 4 3 18 10 22 28 17 8 3 48 17 59
2 West Bromwich 14 8 2 4 29 15 26 15 8 6 1 30 16 30 29 16 8 5 59 31 56
3 Nottingham Forest 15 11 1 3 33 13 34 14 4 9 1 13 9 21 29 15 10 4 46 22 55
4 Cardiff 13 6 3 4 22 11 21 15 7 3 5 31 24 24 28 13 6 9 53 35 45
5 Swansea 15 7 6 2 13 8 27 13 4 6 3 12 12 18 28 11 12 5 25 20 45
6 Crystal Palace 13 6 4 3 17 14 22 15 5 6 4 16 16 21 28 11 10 7 33 30 43
7 Leicester 14 7 4 3 18 12 25 13 4 5 4 13 16 17 27 11 9 7 31 28 42
8 Sheffield United 15 7 6 2 24 15 27 14 4 3 7 17 25 15 29 11 9 9 41 40 42
9 Blackpool 15 7 4 4 28 17 25 14 3 6 5 18 21 15 29 10 10 9 46 38 40
10 Barnsley 15 6 4 5 19 21 22 13 5 2 6 18 20 17 28 11 6 11 37 41 39
11 Middlesbrough 14 4 4 6 12 15 16 15 6 4 5 28 18 22 29 10 8 11 40 33 38
12 Bristol City 15 6 7 2 22 20 25 13 2 6 5 12 18 12 28 8 13 7 34 38 37
13 Watford 13 6 4 3 24 16 22 15 3 4 8 15 27 13 28 9 8 11 39 43 35
14 Preston 13 5 5 3 18 14 20 15 4 3 8 14 25 15 28 9 8 11 32 39 35
15 Queens Park Rangers 13 4 6 3 24 19 18 15 4 4 7 16 26 16 28 8 10 10 40 45 34
16 Coventry 14 5 6 3 19 18 21 15 3 4 8 14 23 13 29 8 10 11 33 41 34
17 Doncaster 14 6 5 3 20 16 23 13 2 4 7 14 20 10 27 8 9 10 34 36 33
18 Derby 14 7 1 6 20 22 22 15 2 5 8 10 19 11 29 9 6 14 30 41 33
19 Scunthorpe 14 6 3 5 20 19 21 14 3 3 8 14 29 12 28 9 6 13 34 48 33
20 Sheffield Wednesday 14 5 3 6 21 23 18 15 3 4 8 13 24 13 29 8 7 14 34 47 31
21 Ipswich 15 4 9 2 17 16 21 13 1 6 6 15 24 9 28 5 15 8 32 40 30
22 Reading 13 2 6 5 10 16 12 15 5 2 8 20 29 17 28 7 8 13 30 45 29
23 Plymouth 14 4 2 8 13 17 14 13 3 1 9 10 21 10 27 7 3 17 23 38 24
24 Peterborough 15 4 5 6 24 26 17 14 0 4 10 9 25 4 29 4 9 16 33 51 21

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 24% (value odds 4.19)

› Awaywin: 20% (value odds 4.94)

› Draw: 56% (value odds 1.79)

› Over: 52% (value odds 1.93)

› Under: 48% (value odds 2.07)

Expected Score:

› Watford: 1.68

› Bristol City: 1.21

› Total: 2.89


› Over: 58%

› Under: 42%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Watford) (Trends: 3 Stars: 6)

› Watford playing against average awayteams the current season. [won 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Watford playing in February the last 3 seasons. [won 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]
› Watford playing in February at home the last 3 seasons. [won 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Bristol City) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Bristol City playing in February at away the last 3 seasons. [won 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 14 Stars: 29)

› Watford playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 4/ 10] [40.00%] [2*]
› Watford playing against defensively average awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 20] [35.00%] [1*]
› Watford playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 13/ 37] [35.14%] [1*]
› Bristol City playing against average teams the current season. [draw 6/ 13] [46.15%] [3*]
› Bristol City playing against average teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 21/ 59] [35.59%] [1*]
› Bristol City playing against defensively poor teams the current season. [draw 5/ 7] [71.43%] [3*]
› Bristol City playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 15] [46.67%] [3*]
› Bristol City playing against offensively average teams the current season. [draw 3/ 6] [50.00%] [3*]
› Bristol City playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 15/ 38] [39.47%] [1*]
› Bristol City playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 13/ 28] [46.43%] [3*]
› Bristol City playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 6/ 13] [46.15%] [3*]
› Bristol City playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 43/ 118] [36.44%] [1*]
› Bristol City playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [draw 11/ 31] [35.48%] [1*]
› Bristol City after playing under 2 matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 9] [55.56%] [3*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 11 Stars: 16)

› Watford playing against average awayteams the current season. [over 7/ 9] [77.78%] [2*]
› Watford playing against average awayteams the last 3 seasons. [over 25/ 39] [64.10%] [1*]
› Watford playing against defensively average awayteams the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Watford playing against defensively average awayteams the last 3 seasons. [over 14/ 20] [70.00%] [2*]
› Watford playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [over 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Watford playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [over 8/ 13] [61.54%] [1*]
› Watford playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 35/ 58] [60.34%] [1*]
› Watford playing in midweek the current season. [over 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Watford playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [over 23/ 34] [67.65%] [1*]
› Watford playing in midweek at home the last 3 seasons. [over 13/ 16] [81.25%] [3*]
› Bristol City after drawing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [over 8/ 13] [61.54%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 9 Stars: 13)

› Watford playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [under 12/ 19] [63.16%] [1*]
› Watford playing in February the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Watford playing in February at home the last 3 seasons. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Bristol City playing against defensively poor teams the current season. [under 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Bristol City playing against defensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 9/ 15] [60.00%] [1*]
› Bristol City playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [under 23/ 38] [60.53%] [1*]
› Bristol City playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [under 19/ 31] [61.29%] [1*]
› Bristol City playing in midweek at away the last 3 seasons. [under 8/ 12] [66.67%] [1*]
› Bristol City after playing under 2 matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [under 9/ 9] [100.00%] [4*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Watford
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1469.0
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1430.4
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1398.0

› Current ELO Rating: 1396.4

Bristol City
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1455.9
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1435.4
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1425.8

› Current ELO Rating: 1417.8

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
Watford 1495.8 1480.6 1503.1 1498.4 1497.3 1505.4 1516.8 1512.1 1509.0 1488.5 1468.4 1480.2 1475.0 1493.4 1476.9 1491.4 1504.3 1487.9 1469.0 1484.7 1461.1 1438.5 1430.4 1430.2 1415.1 1398.0 1413.3 1396.4
Bristol City 1500.0 1510.6 1520.8 1505.0 1513.9 1513.0 1510.3 1504.8 1486.6 1500.5 1497.4 1489.1 1498.3 1509.5 1503.1 1502.9 1485.4 1464.0 1455.9 1475.9 1458.5 1450.5 1435.4 1431.0 1446.4 1425.8 1425.1 1417.8

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Watford
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.90
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.90
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.85

› Current Power Rating: 9.90

Bristol City
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.00
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.90

› Current Power Rating: 9.90

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
Watford 10.00 9.95 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.03 10.05 10.05 10.05 10.03 9.93 9.95 9.95 10.03 9.90 9.95 10.03 9.95 9.90 9.95 9.93 9.90 9.90 9.90 9.88 9.85 9.92 9.90
Bristol City 10.00 10.03 10.05 9.98 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 9.98 10.03 10.03 10.03 10.08 10.10 10.10 10.10 10.03 10.00 10.00 10.05 10.03 10.03 10.00 10.00 10.05 9.90 9.90 9.90

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.77 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: -3 (indicates awaywin)

› Weighted Form System: 2 (indicates draw)

› Goal Superiority System: 2 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 5 (indicates homewin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 0 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 0 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 42% (homewin) 38% (draw) 19% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: -0.83 (indicates homewin)

Stats for hometeam (Watford):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 28 9-8-11 39-43 35
› At home: 13 6-4-3 24-16 22

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 15-13
› At home: 8-5

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.39 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.85 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.54 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.23 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DDLLWL 1-2-3
› Home: WWWLDW 4-1-1

ELO Rating: 1396.4

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 away Barnsley 0-1 lost under
Feb 02 2010 home Sheffield United 3-0 won over
Jan 23 2010 away Blackpool 2-3 lost over
Jan 16 2010 away Doncaster 1-2 lost over
Dec 28 2009 away Bristol City 2-2 draw over
Dec 26 2009 home Nottingham Forest 0-0 draw under
Dec 19 2009 away Peterborough 1-2 lost over
Dec 12 2009 home Derby 0-1 lost under
Dec 07 2009 home Queens Park Rangers 3-1 won over
Dec 05 2009 away Newcastle 0-2 lost under

Summary: 2-2-6 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 12-14

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Feb 02 2010 home Sheffield United 3-0 won over
Dec 26 2009 home Nottingham Forest 0-0 draw under
Dec 12 2009 home Derby 0-1 lost under
Dec 07 2009 home Queens Park Rangers 3-1 won over
Nov 21 2009 home Scunthorpe 3-0 won over
Nov 07 2009 home Preston 2-0 won under
Oct 23 2009 home Sheffield Wednesday 4-1 won over
Oct 03 2009 home Cardiff 0-4 lost over
Sep 29 2009 home Coventry 2-3 lost over
Sep 19 2009 home Leicester 3-3 draw over

Summary: 5-2-3 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 3.30 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 20-13

Stats for awayteam (Bristol City):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 28 8-13-7 34-38 37
› At away: 13 2-6-5 12-18 12

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 12-16
› At away: 6-7

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.21 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.92 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.36 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.38 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LDWLDD 1-3-2
› Away: DLWLLD 1-2-3

ELO Rating: 1417.8

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 home Coventry 1-1 draw under
Jan 30 2010 away Middlesbrough 0-0 draw under
Jan 26 2010 home Cardiff 0-6 lost over
Jan 16 2010 home Preston 4-2 won over
Dec 28 2009 home Watford 2-2 draw over
Dec 26 2009 away Queens Park Rangers 1-2 lost over
Dec 19 2009 home Reading 1-1 draw under
Dec 12 2009 away Doncaster 0-1 lost under
Dec 08 2009 away Leicester 3-1 won over
Dec 05 2009 home Ipswich 0-0 draw under

Summary: 2-5-3 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.80 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 12-16

Last 10 Matches Away:

Jan 30 2010 away Middlesbrough 0-0 draw under
Dec 26 2009 away Queens Park Rangers 1-2 lost over
Dec 12 2009 away Doncaster 0-1 lost under
Dec 08 2009 away Leicester 3-1 won over
Nov 21 2009 away West Bromwich 1-4 lost over
Nov 07 2009 away Nottingham Forest 1-1 draw under
Oct 24 2009 away Barnsley 3-2 won over
Oct 03 2009 away Newcastle 0-0 draw under
Sep 26 2009 away Derby 0-1 lost under
Sep 15 2009 away Swansea 0-0 draw under

Summary: 2-4-4 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.10 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 9-12

History:

Overall History

Nov 20 1993 Watford - Bristol City 1-1 draw under
Apr 23 1994 Bristol City - Watford 1-1 draw under
Jan 02 1995 Bristol City - Watford 0-0 draw under
Apr 22 1995 Watford - Bristol City 1-0 homewin under
Dec 03 1996 Bristol City - Watford 1-1 draw under
Mar 01 1997 Watford - Bristol City 3-0 homewin over
Dec 13 1997 Watford - Bristol City 1-1 draw under
Apr 13 1998 Bristol City - Watford 1-1 draw under
Aug 22 1998 Bristol City - Watford 1-4 awaywin over
Dec 26 1998 Watford - Bristol City 1-0 homewin under
Dec 01 2007 Watford - Bristol City 1-2 awaywin over
Mar 11 2008 Bristol City - Watford 0-0 draw under
Nov 25 2008 Bristol City - Watford 1-1 draw under
Dec 26 2008 Watford - Bristol City 2-4 awaywin over
Dec 28 2009 Bristol City - Watford 2-2 draw over

Summary (overall): 3-9-3 O-U: 5-10 Avg. score: 2.33 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 0-3-2 O-U: 3-2 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.00

Trend: Watford is 4-9-2

Trend 3 years: Bristol City is 2-3-0

Home - Away History

Nov 20 1993 Watford - Bristol City 1-1 draw under
Apr 22 1995 Watford - Bristol City 1-0 homewin under
Mar 01 1997 Watford - Bristol City 3-0 homewin over
Dec 13 1997 Watford - Bristol City 1-1 draw under
Dec 26 1998 Watford - Bristol City 1-0 homewin under
Dec 01 2007 Watford - Bristol City 1-2 awaywin over
Dec 26 2008 Watford - Bristol City 2-4 awaywin over

Summary (overall): 3-2-2 O-U: 3-4 Avg. score: 2.57 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 0-0-2 O-U: 2-0 Avg. score: 4.50 Median score: 4.50

Trend: Watford is 3-2-2

Trend 3 years: Bristol City is 2-0-0